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Monday, July 7, 2008

2010 WC Seeding: Looking ahead (July 2008)

Since amirbachar requested this...

Probable December 2008 and November 2009 FIFA Rankings - the ones involved in the FIFA World Cup seeding formula. I'll try to update this monthly - if I'll have the time.

It doesn't look good for England. It's interesting to see what an amazing effect the home defeat against Croatia could have: missing EURO 2008, missing seeded status in the WC 2010 preliminary draw and probably loosing seeded status in the WC 2010 final draw. Of course, there are plenty of matches to be played that will affect these rankings, so it's not done and dusted yet.

Probable top 50 in the December 2008 FIFA rankings:

1 Spain 1824
2 Germany 1413
3 Netherlands 1411
4 Italy 1332
5 Croatia 1275
6 Argentina 1149
7 Portugal 1147
8 Russia 1122
9 Brazil 1075
10 Cameroon 1036
11 Turkey 1028
12 Czech Republic 1000
13 Ghana 963
14 Egypt 949
15 France 927
16 Nigeria 880
17 Romania 858
18 Uruguay 835
19 England 823
20 Côte d'Ivoire 818
21 Mexico 762
22 Greece 742
23 USA 740
24 Sweden 728
25 Chile 725
26 Japan 720
27 Guinea 716
28 Switzerland 695
29 Paraguay 689
30 Australia 686
31 Mali 680
32 Morocco 674
33 Ukraine 661
34 Tunisia 657
35 Bulgaria 654
36 Saudi Arabia 648
37 Iran 642
37 Poland 642
39 Israel 630
40 Senegal 619
41 Colombia 594
42 Korea Republic 584
43 Uzbekistan 574
44 Honduras 573
45 Scotland 568
46 Burkina Faso 565
46 Denmark 565
48 Bolivia 549
49 Ecuador 530
50 Angola 525
50 Kenya 525

Probable top 50 in the November 2009 FIFA rankings:

1 Spain 917
2 Germany 731
3 Italy 698
4 Netherlands 673
5 Croatia 657
6 Brazil 601
7 Argentina 595
8 Portugal 589
9 Russia 557
10 Czech Republic 533
11 Cameroon 508
12 Turkey 499
13 France 499
14 Romania 470
15 Egypt 460
16 Ghana 454
17 Nigeria 445
18 England 423
19 Bulgaria 420
20 Greece 415
21 Israel 402
22 Côte d'Ivoire 400
23 Sweden 376
24 Paraguay 374
25 Mexico 368
26 Uruguay 367
26 Guinea 367
28 Ukraine 359
29 Mali 356
30 Australia 350
30 Japan 350
32 Denmark 341
33 USA 340
34 Ecuador 334
35 Chile 331
36 Switzerland 330
37 Poland 325
38 Morocco 322
39 Serbia 309
40 Iran 307
41 Tunisia 301
42 Saudi Arabia 299
43 Senegal 295
43 Korea Republic 295
45 Scotland 291
46 Colombia 288
47 Wales 287
48 Northern Ireland 279
49 Belarus 275
50 Uzbekistan 272
50 Burkina Faso 272

Top 10 in the seeding table:

1 Germany 60.3 30.3 30.0
2 Italy 57.0 27.3 29.7
3 Brazil 56.7 29.3 27.3
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 Argentina 49.3 21.0 28.3
6 Portugal 47.7 22.3 25.3
7 France 44.7 23.3 21.3
-----------------------------
8 England 43.3 26.3 17.0
9 Netherlands 42.3 14.7 27.7
10 Croatia 35.3 9.0 26.3

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