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Friday, April 3, 2009

EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (1 April 2009)

The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:

2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

Click here for more info on the coefficient system.

As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (23006) - automatically qualified as hosts).

The Czech Republic drop to the second pot, with France replacing them among the top seeds.

Hungary replace Lithuania in pot three.

Montenegro replace Azerbaijan in pot five.
 1  1 Spain              34924
2 2 Germany 34153
3 3 Netherlands 33220
4 4 Italy 31738
5 5 England 29698
6 6 Croatia 29676
7 8 Russia 28446
8 9 Greece 28045
9 12 France 27671
------------------------------
10 7 Czech Republic 27491
11 13 Switzerland 27094
12 10 Portugal 26719
13 11 Turkey 26607
14 18 Denmark 26002
15 14 Sweden 25755
16 15 Serbia 25671
17 16 Israel 25091
18 17 Romania 24985
------------------------------
19 20 Bulgaria 24358
20 22 Scotland 24221
21 21 Slovakia 24068
22 19 Ireland 24048
23 23 Northern Ireland 23758
24 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 22485
25 24 Finland 22427
26 25 Norway 22135
27 28 Hungary 21928
------------------------------
28 30 Austria 21580
29 27 Lithuania 20911
30 31 Latvia 20523
31 29 Belgium 20345
32 32 Slovenia 19141
33 33 Wales 18874
34 36 Belarus 18675
35 34 Albania 17999
36 35 Macedonia 17434
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 16771
38 39 Estonia 16692
39 38 Georgia 15959
40 40 Moldova 14994
41 41 Iceland 14979
42 42 Armenia 14044
43 43 Kazakhstan 13690
44 44 Liechtenstein 13341
45 46 Montenegro 12850
------------------------------
46 45 Azerbaijan 12020
47 47 Malta 11697
48 48 Luxembourg 11692
49 49 Andorra 9657
50 50 Faroe Islands 9640
51 51 San Marino 8223

5 comments:

  1. yeah, Hungary in pot 3. but I'm afraid of the new point system, we'll play very hard matches against Portugal, Denmark and Sweden. pot 3 is the best result for us.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi, very good work on the blog, keep it up! Just a quick question, are these coeffcients up to date up until the last round of WC2010 qualifiers? Because the ones here: http://www.world-results.net/uefa/ranking.html are different and they claim to be up to date as well. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Nick!

    Sorry for my late reply - I've been on vacation for the last two weeks.

    Yes, the coefficients are up to date. You can also find a link to my blog on World-Results.net (scroll to the end).

    Raoul da Silva Curiel (from World-Results.net) uses the official formula as if the qualifiers have finished on April 1st.

    Let's take Spain for instance.

    WC2006: 541534/16
    EC2008: 753035/18
    WC2010: 245513/6

    Total: (WC2006 + 2 * EC2008 + 2 * WC2010) / 5 = 39870.81 (rounded to 39871).

    I compute the WC2010 part slightly different (as proposed by amirbachar), but in the end we'll have the same values.

    Spain has 4 matches left, so I've already added the 40.000 points and divided the total by 10 - the final number of matches. That's why we have different values.

    Another interesting approach (see details) is the one on europeancups.altervista.org.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Ah, ok, thanks for the explaination. Enjoy the upcoming world cup qualifiers!

    ReplyDelete
  5. rankfootball.com
    is also a very good site for football rankings which is updated regularly.

    ReplyDelete