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Wednesday, July 8, 2009

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (8 July 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.

Korea DPR/Algeria/Gabon/Czech Republic/Honduras replace Iran/Egypt/Cameroon/Sweden/Uruguay.
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.3 26.3 25.0
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
9 Mexico 36.0 19.3 16.7
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Switzerland 32.7 15.3 17.3
12 Paraguay 30.7 11.7 19.0
13 Czech Republic 28.3 6.0 22.3
14 Ghana 27.0 13.3 13.7
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Australia 25.7 11.3 14.3
17 Japan 25.3 13.3 12.0
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 23.3 7.7 15.7
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
22 Cote d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
23 Costa Rica 16.0 8.3 7.7
24 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 12.7 0.0 12.7
27 Honduras 9.0 0.0 9.0
28 Slovakia 7.3 0.0 7.3
29 Gabon 6.0 0.0 6.0
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Algeria 4.0 0.0 4.0
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA

An explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Slovakia, Honduras, Paraguay
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: France, Greece, Australia, Cote d'Ivoire
Group D: Germany, Czech Republic, Korea DPR, Chile
Group E: Spain, Russia, Japan, Algeria
Group F: Italy, Denmark, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group G: Argentina, Netherlands, Korea Republic, Ghana
Group H: England, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, USA

2 comments:

  1. Hi, thanks for the new ranking, but I couldn't understand the meaning of the three numbers put for each national team and used to rank them. Can you explain this?. It seems to be a rating for previous worldcup qualifications.

    Do you have a link to qualification chances for different national teams in their respective groups. I am looking for qualification chances in Africa as I am from Algeria and aiming to a third worldcup qualification for the Desert Foxes.

    Regards,
    Brahim.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Brahim!

    I apply the 2006 seeding formula.
    This is the order of the columns: Total - Previous WC performance - FIFA World Ranking.

    Here are the qualifications chances computed by Voros McCracken.

    Best of luck to Algeria!

    Edgar.

    ReplyDelete