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Friday, August 14, 2009

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (12 August 2009)

The preliminary draw for the 2010 FIFA World Cup took place on November 25th, 2007 and used the July 2007 FIFA ranking.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

This is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including August 12th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Senegal, Angola And Tanzania replace Gambia, Sudan and Malawi in the second pot.

First round seeding:
43 43 Mauritania                23
45 45 Lesotho 22
46 46 Eritrea 16
47 47 Mauritius 15
48 48 Guinea-Bissau 12
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48 48 Djibouti 12
50 50 Seychelles 11
51 51 Central African Republic 0
51 51 Comoros 0
51 51 Sao Tome e Principe 0
Winners advance to the first group stage.

Seeding for the first group stage:
 1  1 Gabon                    243
2 3 Ghana 235
3 2 Côte d'Ivoire 234
4 6 Algeria 229
5 5 Cameroon 222
6 3 Egypt 215
7 6 Nigeria 180
8 10 Mali 174
9 8 Burkina Faso 164
10 9 Tunisia 154
11 12 Guinea 144
12 11 Morocco 143
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13 13 Togo 127
14 14 Libya 121
15 18 Congo 117
16 15 Uganda 116
16 15 South Africa 116
18 26 Senegal 112
19 23 Benin 107
19 31 Angola 107
21 22 Mozambique 106
21 17 Kenya 106
23 19 Zambia 103
24 27 Tanzania 102
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25 20 Gambia 101
26 21 Sudan 100
27 24 Malawi 87
28 25 Rwanda 86
29 28 Congo DR 78
30 29 Zimbabwe 77
31 30 Namibia 76
32 31 Sierra Leone 74
33 33 Madagascar 73
34 34 Cape Verde Islands 71
35 35 Chad 67
36 36 Burundi 52
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37 37 Equatorial Guinea 51
38 38 Botswana 49
39 39 Niger 47
40 40 Swaziland 43
41 41 Liberia 39
42 42 Ethiopia 29
43 43 Somalia 23
43 43 Mauritania 23
45 45 Lesotho 22
46 46 Eritrea 16
47 47 Mauritius 15
48 48 Guinea-Bissau 12

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