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Friday, September 18, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (18 September 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia). The November 2009 ranking is computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.

Bahrain/Cameroon/Ecuador/Portugal replace Costa Rica/Croatia/Gabon/Saudi Arabia.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
2 Germany 58.7 30.3 28.3
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 52.0 26.3 25.7
6 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
7 Argentina 48.3 21.0 27.3
--------------------------------
8 Portugal 46.0 22.3 23.7
9 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
10 Mexico 38.0 19.3 18.7
11 USA 35.0 13.7 21.3
12 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay 30.0 11.7 18.3
14 Ghana 28.3 13.3 15.0
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Ecuador 25.7 17.0 8.7
17 Korea Republic 24.0 15.7 8.3
18 Japan 24.0 13.3 10.7
19 Cameroon 23.7 3.0 20.7
20 Australia 22.0 11.3 10.7
21 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
22 Denmark 21.0 7.7 13.3
23 Serbia 21.0 5.3 15.7
24 Greece 18.7 0.0 18.7
25 Tunisia 14.7 8.7 6.0
26 Chile 10.7 0.0 10.7
27 Honduras 7.7 0.0 7.7
28 Algeria 6.7 0.0 6.7
29 Slovakia 6.3 0.0 6.3
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Bahrain 2.3 0.0 2.3
32 Korea DPR 1.3 0.0 1.3
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Chile
Group B: England, Slovakia, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire
Group C: Spain, Russia, Korea Republic, Ecuador
Group D: Brazil, Netherlands, USA, Tunisia
Group E: Germany, Portugal, Australia, Cameroon
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Bahrain, Paraguay
Group G: Argentina, Denmark, Mexico, Ghana
Group H: France, Greece, Honduras, Algeria

2 comments:

  1. Will be interesting if Argentina do not qualify....

    Will that make the pots...

    A. South Africa, Brazil, Germany, Italy, Spain, England, France, Portugal
    B. Netherlands, Switzerland, Russia, Denmark, Serbia, Slovenia, New Zealand
    C. Australia, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Ecuador, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile
    D. Ivory Coast, Ghana, Algeria, Tunisia, Cameroon, USA, Mexico, Costa Rica

    So there could potentially be a group with....

    South Africa, New Zealand, North Korea, Costa Rica

    or

    Brazil, Netherlands, Australia, Ivory Coast

    ReplyDelete
  2. Group H - France V Algeria now that would be a big match considering the history between the two countries

    ReplyDelete