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Monday, October 12, 2009

FIFA Ranking: October 2009 probable ranking (V)

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Already included: matches up to and including October 11th, 2009.

Next update: October 16th, 2009.

Probable October 2009 rank - Team - Probable October 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Brazil 1677 0 73
2 Spain 1629 0 41
3 Netherlands 1340 0 -36
4 Germany 1224 0 38
5 Italy 1215 -1 29
6 England 1101 1 -26
7 Croatia 1087 2 -14
8 Switzerland 1060 7 162
9 USA 1055 2 81
10 France 1049 0 9
11 Portugal 1042 6 162
12 Argentina 1038 -4 -75
13 Russia 1021 -7 -108
14 Czech Republic 1012 4 142
15 Paraguay 981 8 139
16 Serbia 979 -3 63
17 Cameroon 970 12 151
18 Denmark 944 -2 52
19 Mexico 930 5 95
20 Greece 921 -8 -50
21 Chile 909 0 63
22 Côte d'Ivoire 903 -2 51
23 Uruguay 881 5 61
24 Ukraine 857 1 28
25 Bulgaria 854 -6 -6
26 Australia 848 -12 -59
27 Republic of Ireland 805 11 62
28 Egypt 798 4 12
29 Algeria 783 15 76
30 Israel 782 -8 -62
31 Nigeria 763 3 -10
32 Romania 752 -6 -75
33 Norway 751 10 42
34 Ghana 746 -2 -40
35 Turkey 738 -8 -88
36 Japan 735 4 1
37 Honduras 732 5 20
38 Sweden 728 3 5
39 Northern Ireland 724 -8 -71
40 Bosnia-Herzegovina 721 6 39
41 Poland 699 -5 -50
42 Ecuador 697 -6 -52
43 Gabon 691 -8 -68
44 Costa Rica 688 -5 -47
45 Scotland 687 -15 -117
46 Latvia 683 12 128
47 Colombia 675 1 18
48 Korea Republic 671 1 30
49 Slovenia 666 5 90
50 Slovakia 644 -5 -43
51 Tunisia 640 -1 26
52 Mali 632 1 39
53 Canada 631 13 127
54 Burkina Faso 616 -2 14
55 Venezuela 597 -4 -7
56 Finland 565 5 30
57 Bolivia 549 2 2
58 Austria 524 12 51
59 Bahrain 519 5 13
59 Iran 519 1 -22
61 Morocco 511 -4 -49
62 Belgium 494 6 15
63 Hungary 492 -16 -177
64 Saudi Arabia 490 1 -15
65 Cyprus 489 11 60
66 Benin 479 12 66
67 FYR Macedonia 476 -11 -94
68 Jamaica 470 1 -7
69 Panama 464 6 33
70 Guinea 461 -15 -113
71 Belarus 444 6 24
72 Trinidad and Tobago 439 -9 -78
73 Cuba 432 14 39
74 Uganda 428 -2 -20
75 Wales 419 -8 -62
76 Oman 417 -2 -15
77 El Salvador 411 8 13
78 Togo 403 -7 -51
78 Uzbekistan 403 7 5
80 Lithuania 395 -18 -136
81 Montenegro 391 8 11
82 South Africa 387 -9 -58
83 Mozambique 383 1 -16
83 New Zealand 383 17 47
85 Haiti 378 24 74
86 Moldova 370 2 -20
86 Peru 370 5 7
88 Senegal 368 -8 -42
89 Malawi 363 16 51
90 Korea DPR 359 0 -20
91 Barbados 355 12 30
92 Iceland 349 4 4
92 Iraq 349 6 9
94 Qatar 347 -11 -53
95 Syria 344 0 -6
96 Zambia 342 -15 -67
97 Albania 334 -4 -26
98 Tanzania 328 -4 -30
99 Armenia 323 26 92
100 Angola 319 -8 -42
101 Cape Verde Islands 316 11 20
102 China PR 312 5 5
103 Kenya 304 1 -13
104 Grenada 303 4 -2
105 Antigua and Barbuda 300 1 -11
106 Congo 297 -27 -115
107 Fiji 291 -5 -39
108 Kuwait 283 2 -16
109 Thailand 280 6 -6
110 Namibia 271 -9 -60
111 Congo DR 259 7 -14
112 Estonia 256 2 -31
113 Sudan 254 -17 -91
114 Rwanda 247 3 -32
115 Suriname 242 4 -30
116 Georgia 234 -4 -62
116 Guyana 234 6 -6
116 United Arab Emirates 234 7 -4
119 Singapore 228 8 5
120 Libya 225 -38 -182
121 Kazakhstan 223 15 42
122 Faroe Islands 218 41 122
123 Gambia 217 -24 -120
124 Botswana 214 8 12
124 Burundi 214 1 -17
126 Jordan 209 3 -10
127 Hong Kong 207 1 -14
128 Indonesia 201 5 0
129 Guatemala 200 -18 -97
130 Zimbabwe 196 -10 -63
131 Ethiopia 182 5 1
132 Luxembourg 177 -16 -105
133 Azerbaijan 172 6 -1
133 Vietnam 172 13 23
135 Nicaragua 165 6 0
136 Equatorial Guinea 163 -7 -56
137 Kyrgyzstan 161 6 0
138 India 160 11 26
139 Yemen 158 3 -5
140 Myanmar 157 5 7
141 New Caledonia 148 -7 -51
142 Turkmenistan 145 5 -1
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 140 5 1
144 Liechtenstein 139 7 14
145 Lebanon 136 5 4
146 Malta 132 -6 -34
147 Chad 130 -23 -103
148 Swaziland 129 8 14
149 Bermuda 128 5 9
149 Malaysia 128 3 5
149 Maldives 128 6 11
152 Sierra Leone 117 -31 -124
153 Eritrea 115 4 1
154 Madagascar 112 -23 -96
155 Philippines 108 3 0
156 Lesotho 106 4 5
157 St. Kitts and Nevis 105 -5 -18
158 Sri Lanka 103 1 0
159 Vanuatu 99 -21 -78
160 Liberia 98 -17 -63
161 Chinese Taipei 88 5 2
162 Puerto Rico 87 3 0
163 Netherlands Antilles 85 1 -3
163 Niger 85 -28 -105
165 Bangladesh 83 2 -2
166 Somalia 82 3 0
167 Pakistan 79 1 -5
168 Tajikistan 76 4 11
169 Mauritania 70 -8 -29
170 Laos 69 0 0
171 Cambodia 68 0 1
172 Mongolia 61 2 0
173 Nepal 60 2 0
173 Solomon Islands 60 -11 -37
175 Belize 57 1 0
176 Palestine 53 -3 -9
177 Bahamas 47 0 -6
178 Brunei Darussalam 46 2 0
179 Turks and Caicos Islands 45 0 -6
180 Cayman Islands 44 1 0
180 Seychelles 44 -2 -8
182 Dominican Republic 41 1 1
183 Guinea-Bissau 38 1 0
183 Mauritius 38 -1 -5
183 Samoa 38 1 0
186 Cook Islands 34 0 0
186 Djibouti 34 2 1
186 Guam 34 0 0
189 Afghanistan 32 2 2
189 St. Lucia 32 0 0
191 Macau 28 2 0
191 Tonga 28 2 0
193 British Virgin Islands 25 -2 -5
194 Tahiti 19 -5 -13
195 Bhutan 17 0 0
196 Dominica 12 1 0
197 Aruba 11 1 0
198 Timor-Leste 10 1 1
199 US Virgin Islands 9 1 1
200 Comoros 8 0 0
201 Central African Republic 4 1 0
202 Andorra 2 -7 -15
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

7 comments:

  1. Hi, I have some difficulties to understand the points difference between last Month 09/2009 and probable ranking 10/2009 for Belgium and Turkey.
    They against each other and Turkey is loosing 88 points Belgium is earning 15 points.The only match was on 11/10/2009 and Begium wins.Should Belgium not wins 129 points ?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  2. Brazil losing at Bolivia and earning more points than Spain (winning at Armenia)???? Is it possible for Spain to lead again the next ranking winning at Bosnia? Thanks!!!

    ReplyDelete
  3. and who is to say that SPain will winn at Bosnia???

    ReplyDelete
  4. Can anyone explain me how to calculate points with this results in four years?! Take example Estonia vs Bosnia and Bosnia vs Turkey?! Thank you ;)

    ReplyDelete
  5. I think people need to seriously take a look at the United States. They are a brutally tough outfit, since their group stage exit in WC 2006 they have won 1 Gold Cup and made the final of another. They have a 6-4 record vs. Europe and absolutely dominate the CONCACAF Federation. Not to mention a runner-up finish at the Confederations Cup that saw the States beat Egypt 3-0 and #1 Spain 2-0, and they took Brazil to the limit in a 3-2 Loss. People are thinking in the past to much, the USA are the real deal and overlooking them is a fatal result when it comes to football.

    (Great Website...Regards from Germany)

    ReplyDelete
  6. I come from Turkey, sorry English is not so good for me. My country is good football but we have no consistency. I think in past times country like Turkey, England, France, Brazil, Argentina are best in world. But I see the time is change now, I know the FIFA ranking is no perfect but I think teams that are the champion in future now is Spain, USA, Brazil, and Netherlands. I think my country cannot beat this nation. Spain and netherlands have too much skill, USA is too strong and fast, and Brazil is always best. I hope Turkey get better, but we maybe have the best days in the past.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Regarding Belgium

    This is a probable ranking based on probable results generated using the Elo ratings. So this ranking also takes into account a draw between Estonia and Belgium on the 14th.

    Regarding Brazil

    If you look at the previous probable FIFA ranking, you'll see Brazil with 1742 points. After losing in Bolivia, they dropped to 1677.

    Regarding Spain

    They can overtake Brazil for 1st spot only if they win against Bosnia-Herzegovina and Brazil lose at home against Venezuela.

    Regarding Bosnia-Herzegovina

    I replied a couple of minutes ago to your e-mail.

    Regarding USA

    I wouldn't say "absolutely dominate". They recently lost 5 - 0 (with a C team, yes) and 2 - 1 to Mexico.

    Regarding Turkey

    You just need a fresh approach - you already have the passion and the player pool. Good luck!

    ReplyDelete