Assumptions:
- CONCACAF will again have 3.5 spots
- CONCACAF will again use the same qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
The May 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between May 2007 and May 2011. We already have the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between May 2007 and May 2009) - that's basically 25% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.5" part (matches played between May 2009 and May 2010). A lot can and will change before May 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving CONCACAF teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, 2010 Caribbean Championship, 2011 UNCAF Nations Cup and plenty of friendlies.
This is the May 2011 ranking (for CONCACAF only) using matches played up to and including November 22nd, 2009 and matches scheduled up to May 2010 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Mexico climb to the top.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 2 Mexico 514
2 1 USA 510
3 3 Honduras 407
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4 4 Costa Rica 381
5 5 Canada 293
6 6 El Salvador 255
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7 7 Panama 208
8 8 Jamaica 203
9 9 Trinidad and Tobago 186
10 10 Haiti 174
11 11 Grenada 115
12 12 Antigua and Barbuda 112
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13 13 Guatemala 90
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14 14 Guyana 87
14 14 Cuba 87
16 16 Bermuda 80
17 17 Barbados 70
18 18 Suriname 67
19 19 Netherlands Antilles 57
20 20 St. Kitts and Nevis 56
21 21 Nicaragua 53
22 22 Puerto Rico 48
23 23 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 26
24 24 Cayman Islands 24
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25 25 Belize 22
26 26 St. Lucia 13
26 26 Turks and Caicos Islands 13
28 28 British Virgin Islands 12
29 29 Bahamas 9
30 30 Aruba 7
31 31 Dominica 5
32 32 US Virgin Islands 3
33 33 Anguilla 0
33 33 Dominican Republic 0
33 33 Montserrat 0
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