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Wednesday, June 9, 2010

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for UEFA teams (9 June 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed.

Assumptions:

- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have almost 50% of the final ranking: the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between July 2007 and July 2009) and almost all the "0.5" part (matches played between July 2009 and July 2010). A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).

This is the July 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including June 8th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Norway climb from 3rd to 1st pot, with Denmark doing the opposite.
Belgium climbed from 5th to 3rd pot, dropping Bosnia-Herzegovina to 4th pot and Belarus to 5th.
Croatia replaced Greece in the 1st pot.
Czech Republic and Republic of Ireland replaced Sweden and Bulgaria in the 2nd pot.
Scotland and Romania replaced Austria and Poland in the 3rd pot.
Cyprus and Macedonia replaced Northern Ireland and Albania in the 4th pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
 1  1 Spain                    674
2 2 Netherlands 525
3 4 Russia 489
4 10 Croatia 462
5 6 England 460
6 3 Portugal 456
7 7 Germany 447
8 5 Italy 444
9 21 Norway 426
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10 15 Ukraine 424
11 8 Greece 403
12 16 Turkey 400
13 11 France 395
14 25 Czech Republic 380
15 13 Serbia 377
16 14 Switzerland 372
17 12 Slovenia 369
18 20 Republic of Ireland 368
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19 19 Israel 361
20 17 Sweden 359
21 9 Denmark 344
22 28 Scotland 337
23 18 Bulgaria 329
24 30 Romania 322
25 24 Slovakia 317
26 37 Belgium 311
27 27 Latvia 303
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28 26 Austria 278
29 31 Hungary 276
30 33 Finland 269
31 34 Lithuania 265
32 40 Cyprus 263
33 22 Poland 257
34 39 FYR Macedonia 256
35 23 Bosnia-Herzegovina 246
36 29 Montenegro 245
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37 32 Northern Ireland 243
38 36 Albania 221
39 35 Belarus 207
40 38 Iceland 197
41 41 Wales 192
42 44 Moldova 191
43 43 Estonia 165
44 45 Armenia 143
45 42 Azerbaijan 121
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46 47 Georgia 120
47 48 Luxembourg 117
48 46 Faroe Islands 108
49 49 Kazakhstan 83
50 51 Liechtenstein 60
51 50 Malta 44
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0

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