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Wednesday, October 6, 2010

FIFA Ranking: October 2010 probable ranking (II)

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Probably...

Slovenia, Belarus, Uganda, Botswana and Central African Republic will improve their best ever ranking.
New Zealand and Philippines will return to their best ever ranking.
Solomon Islands will return to their worst ever ranking.
Poland, Congo DR, Liberia, Malta and Seychelles will have their worst ever ranking.

Lots of climbers in the Caribbean.

Bolivia to fall 38 places, Cyprus and Liberia 24.

Bolivia, Cyprus and Peru expected to drop out of the top 50.
Austria, Belarus and South Africa set to replace them in the top 50.

Probable September 2010 rank - Team - Probable September 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1881 0 57
2 Netherlands 1683 0 20
3 Brazil 1493 1 13
4 Germany 1481 -1 -9
5 Argentina 1331 0 -20
6 England 1271 0 80
7 Uruguay 1167 0 -15
8 Portugal 1123 0 74
9 Egypt 1056 0 22
10 Italy 1042 3 77
11 Croatia 994 0 -4
12 Greece 963 0 -10
13 Russia 957 12 89
14 Chile 931 -4 -73
15 Slovenia 926 4 29
16 Slovakia 915 0 -4
17 Ghana 913 3 24
18 Norway 902 -4 -56
19 Serbia 893 -4 -52
20 France 888 7 53
21 Switzerland 875 0 -7
22 Côte d'Ivoire 871 1 -6
23 Turkey 862 -2 -20
24 USA 855 -6 -44
25 Australia 836 -1 -38
26 Paraguay 833 -9 -71
27 Denmark 799 2 18
27 Mexico 799 1 4
29 Japan 761 1 -12
30 Republic of Ireland 754 3 9
31 Czech Republic 739 6 22
32 Ukraine 727 -6 -111
33 Nigeria 723 1 -10
34 Algeria 716 1 -16
35 Gabon 706 -4 -62
36 Sweden 696 -4 -64
37 Cameroon 693 0 -24
38 Israel 692 -2 -29
39 Burkina Faso 681 0 -22
40 Belarus 655 15 101
41 Montenegro 654 -1 -30
42 Korea Republic 640 2 0
43 Northern Ireland 607 2 -31
44 Lithuania 577 -2 -98
45 Austria 574 16 46
46 Romania 568 0 -63
47 New Zealand 566 2 -39
48 South Africa 561 10 16
49 Colombia 547 -9 -137
50 Bosnia-Herzegovina 542 9 -2
50 Tunisia 542 6 -9
52 Uganda 541 11 18
53 Honduras 540 -1 -25
54 Scotland 525 -7 -92
55 Hungary 523 -4 -44
56 Ecuador 511 16 34
57 Bulgaria 509 -3 -47
58 Peru 505 -10 -108
59 Costa Rica 503 -6 -58
59 Latvia 503 9 9
61 Iran 502 -4 -44
62 Belgium 499 0 -27
63 Mali 493 2 -25
64 Albania 491 3 -11
65 Venezuela 487 -5 -44
66 Panama 475 4 -12
67 Cyprus 470 -24 -173
68 FYR Macedonia 455 3 -24
69 Poland 451 -3 -53
70 Finland 447 -6 -74
71 Senegal 446 8 41
72 Saudi Arabia 443 1 -17
73 Zambia 439 1 7
74 Guinea 438 7 44
75 Benin 435 -6 -54
76 Moldova 424 4 26
77 Togo 419 10 48
78 Botswana 413 4 25
79 Jamaica 412 -3 -13
80 Bahrain 408 -5 -23
80 Cape Verde Islands 408 -3 -14
82 Malawi 403 -4 -12
83 Canada 387 5 27
84 Georgia 384 5 27
85 China PR 375 -3 -13
86 Mozambique 373 0 -1
87 Wales 371 -3 -11
88 Bolivia 352 -38 -239
89 Morocco 348 6 18
90 Angola 342 3 0
91 Jordan 341 8 23
92 United Arab Emirates 337 -2 -12
93 Kuwait 326 3 -3
94 Gambia 322 -3 -23
94 Iraq 322 13 60
96 Estonia 319 -11 -56
97 Armenia 317 8 44
98 Oman 314 -6 -30
99 Syria 305 -5 -27
100 Libya 302 7 40
100 Trinidad and Tobago 302 -3 -25
102 Uzbekistan 293 -5 -34
103 Qatar 290 1 12
104 Barbados 286 17 106
105 Thailand 284 -3 -3
106 Iceland 272 -6 -36
107 Sudan 270 -6 -25
108 Korea DPR 269 -2 -1
109 Guyana 264 11 82
110 Rwanda 262 2 36
111 El Salvador 246 -1 -7
112 Congo 244 5 42
113 Tanzania 243 -2 4
114 Azerbaijan 239 -12 -48
115 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 231 38 138
116 Yemen 226 -9 -36
116 Zimbabwe 226 2 32
118 Kenya 219 -4 4
119 Cuba 218 -6 0
120 Guatemala 214 -5 0
121 Suriname 195 16 62
122 Grenada 194 6 34
123 Singapore 193 -4 4
124 Haiti 187 -1 12
125 Antigua and Barbuda 183 -2 8
126 Burundi 171 -4 -8
127 Vietnam 169 -2 -5
128 Kazakhstan 167 -2 -4
129 Namibia 162 -13 -50
130 Indonesia 161 1 10
130 St. Kitts and Nevis 161 21 67
132 Turkmenistan 156 -3 2
133 Fiji 154 -6 -7
134 Sierra Leone 153 -2 9
135 Hong Kong 151 1 16
136 Ethiopia 147 -1 11
137 India 143 23 61
138 Puerto Rico 140 32 88
139 Myanmar 130 2 4
140 Luxembourg 129 -10 -24
141 Guinea-Bissau 127 -1 0
142 Chad 126 -8 -16
142 Congo DR 126 -10 -18
144 Maldives 124 -1 7
145 Faroe Islands 122 -7 -10
146 Central African Republic 121 26 71
147 Madagascar 118 7 27
148 Dominica 116 30 83
148 Malaysia 116 -4 5
150 Cayman Islands 114 31 88
151 Bangladesh 112 -6 4
151 Tajikistan 112 -6 4
153 Chinese Taipei 104 17 52
153 Sri Lanka 104 -5 0
155 New Caledonia 102 -10 -6
155 Swaziland 102 -13 -20
157 Philippines 98 8 31
158 Lebanon 97 -7 3
159 Liechtenstein 91 -10 -11
160 Nicaragua 86 -2 0
161 Dominican Republic 85 20 59
162 Nepal 83 -6 -5
163 Liberia 82 -24 -49
164 Eritrea 81 -3 1
164 Lesotho 81 -7 -6
166 Equatorial Guinea 79 -2 6
167 Niger 78 -13 -13
168 Malta 76 -18 -20
169 Pakistan 73 -7 -2
170 Netherlands Antilles 63 -4 0
170 Vanuatu 63 -4 0
172 Bermuda 62 -9 -12
173 Kyrgyzstan 60 -14 -23
174 Belize 54 -6 0
175 British Virgin Islands 41 13 23
175 Laos 41 2 4
177 Solomon Islands 40 -2 0
178 Palestine 39 -5 -10
178 Somalia 39 -2 0
180 Mauritania 38 -11 -15
181 Comoros 37 -7 -6
182 Cambodia 34 -4 1
183 Mongolia 32 -3 0
184 Tahiti 31 10 18
185 Samoa 26 -4 0
186 Brunei Darussalam 23 -1 2
187 Djibouti 19 1 1
187 St. Lucia 19 -1 0
187 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 -1 0
190 Cook Islands 17 0 0
190 Guam 17 0 0
190 Tonga 17 0 0
193 Mauritius 16 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Macau 12 2 0
196 Afghanistan 10 -2 -3
196 Seychelles 10 -12 -12
198 Bhutan 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 -1
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

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Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

6 comments:

  1. Hello, u told me that after beating Namibia(115), India(160) got 45 points, now in today' s update I saw India will end up with only 61 points if they draw with Vietnam and Yemen.
    Why India will get only 16 points for drawing against so much higher ranked teams like vietnam and yemen?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  2. Because you lost against Hong Kong. You can still get to 191 points (see the preview) with 2 wins though.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I was told that India will not loose a single point if they loose all the matches this month, moreover India will get 2 points if they loose all the matches.
    For loosing matches India's enough points have been deducted over the last 2 months, then why again this month also?
    And why loosing against such higher ranked teams will result in deducting points?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  4. There's no point deduction. It's pretty straightforward.

    You'll have 6 matches in the last 12 months when the October ranking is released.
    For the first three time frames the total is 84 (rounded) so even if you had lost all your matches you'd have gained 2 points.

    You won against Namibia so you got an extra 35.91 points (215.46/6).
    You lost against Hong Kong - so no extra points. With a win against Hong Kong you'd have received 27.2 points (163.2/6).

    ReplyDelete
  5. Edgar

    In what ranking position would El Salvador be if they win both the two friendlies.

    Thank You!

    ReplyDelete
  6. @La Selecta

    I replied a month ago. See this comment.

    ReplyDelete