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Monday, May 31, 2010

CONCACAF moving to a final octagonal?

Although Horace Burrell said CONCACAF are considering a final group of 12 teams, it seems they are actually planning an octagonal, at least according to Radio HRN.

The Radio HRN article is basically the CONCACAF press release, with a different title and subtitle.

CONCACAF clasificaría al próximo Mundial mediante una Octagonal

Durante la reunión del Ejecutivo de la Confederación en Nueva York (participó el hondureño Alfredo Hawitt Banegas), estudiaron crear cuatro cuadrangulares en la fase previa a la Octagonal.

Basically, it seems the final round will be an octagonal, with four groups of four in the previous round.

Did Julio César Núñez, HRN senior sport editor, get inside info from Mr. Banegas? I don't know. I certainly have been unable to get info from Mr. Gulati or Mr. Alvarado, the only members of CONCACAF's Executive Committee kind enough to answer my e-mails.

Also, this post on BigSoccer has a few details about the preliminary round and the first group stage.

All things considered, it looks like this:

1. Preliminary round to get to 32 teams. CONCACAF have 35 teams, but the number could increase to 36 with the Netherlands Antilles dissolving (more on Wikipedia).
2. 8 groups of 4 teams - top two advancing to the next stage.
3. 4 groups of 4 teams - top two advancing to the next stage.
4. One group of 8 teams, with the top three qualifying for the World Cup, while the fourth placed team will go to an intercontinental playoff. Of course, that's if CONCACAF will have 3.5 spots.

Swiss mathematician using FIFA ranking to predict the World Cup

That seems as an unhappy choice - the FIFA ranking has many flaws... But that's my opinion and I don't have a PhD in mathematics as Mr. Roger Kaufmann has.

More info on his website: RogerKaufmann.ch

He will update the probabilities after each match.

Chances of winning the World Cup (as of May 26):

1 Brazil 15.4
2 Spain 15.2
3 Portugal 6.1
4 Netherlands 5.7
5 Italy 5.2
6 Nigeria 4
7 Cameroon 3.9
8 Germany 3.8
9 Argentina 3.4
10 France 3.3
11 Algeria 3.2
12 England 3.1
13 Cote d'Ivoire 2.7
14 Ghana 2.5
15 Greece 2.2
16 Serbia 2.1
17 USA 2
18 Mexico 1.8
19 Uruguay 1.8
20 Australia 1.6
21 Paraguay 1.5
22 Chile 1.5
23 Slovenia 1.3
24 Slovakia 1.2
25 South Africa 1.1
26 Switzerland 1.1
27 Denmark 1
28 Honduras 0.7
29 Japan 0.7
30 Korea Republic 0.5
31 New Zealand 0.2
32 Korea DPR 0.1

Friday, May 28, 2010

France to host EURO 2016

France has been selected as the host nation of UEFA EURO 2016, the first UEFA European Football Championship final round to feature 24 teams.

Source: uefa.com

The qualifying format is already known (also check this scenario):

9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)

Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.

This is how the pots look like at the moment (only the 2010 WCQ included):
 1 Spain              8231
2 Netherlands 8188
3 England 7681
4 Germany 7411
5 Italy 6910
6 Serbia 6540
7 Slovakia 6520
8 Portugal 6484
9 Russia 6475
--------------------------
10 Denmark 6310
11 Switzerland 6300
12 Greece 6292
13 Slovenia 6150
14 Croatia 6060
15 Ukraine 5984
16 Sweden 5680
17 Finland 5600
18 Bosnia-Herzegovina 5450
--------------------------
19 Latvia 5430
20 Ireland 5392
21 Czech Republic 5310
22 Israel 5300
23 Hungary 5220
24 Northern Ireland 5040
25 Turkey 5030
26 Bulgaria 4840
27 Austria 4790
--------------------------
28 Belarus 4650
29 Norway 4525
30 Scotland 4438
31 Lithuania 4390
32 Wales 4370
33 Romania 4340
34 Poland 4250
35 Belgium 3930
36 Cyprus 3780
--------------------------
37 Montenegro 3750
38 Macedonia 3675
39 Estonia 3450
40 Albania 3330
41 Iceland 3175
42 Kazakhstan 3020
43 Azerbaijan 2900
44 Luxembourg 2790
45 Faroe Islands 2650
--------------------------
46 Armenia 2640
47 Georgia 2480
48 Moldova 2480
49 Liechtenstein 2190
50 Malta 1940
51 Andorra 1640
52 San Marino 1540

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

2010 FIFA World Cup simulation using Elo Ratings

By request :)

According to the Elo ratings, Spain will win the World Cup, defeating Brazil after PSO. England third, after a PSO win against Germany.

You can check the list of probable results. These are not my probable results, but the most likely results generated using the Elo ratings.

Tie-breakers:

- goal difference - that's actually never used, since the only win by more than a goal is Brazil - Korea DPR 4 - 0
- Elo rating - that's why Mexico tops group A, Korea Republic comes second in group B and so on. Japan and Cameroon are still tied even using the Elo ratings, but it doesn't matter in the end.

In the KO stage, if the most likely result is a draw, the team with the higher Elo rating will win after PSO.

Group A

11/Jun South Africa - Mexico 2
11/Jun Uruguay - France X
16/Jun South Africa - Uruguay 2
17/Jun France - Mexico X
22/Jun France - South Africa 1
22/Jun Mexico - Uruguay X

Mexico 5, France 5, Uruguay 5, South Africa 0

Group B

12/Jun Korea Republic - Greece X
12/Jun Argentina - Nigeria 1
17/Jun Argentina - Korea Republic 1
17/Jun Greece - Nigeria X
22/Jun Greece - Argentina 2
22/Jun Nigeria - Korea Republic X

Argentina 9, Korea Republic 2, Greece 2, Nigeria 2

Group C

12/Jun England - USA 1
13/Jun Algeria - Slovenia 2
18/Jun Slovenia - USA X
18/Jun England - Algeria 1
23/Jun USA - Algeria 1
23/Jun Slovenia - England 2

England 9, USA 4, Slovenia 4, Algeria 0

Group D

13/Jun Serbia - Ghana 1
13/Jun Germany - Australia 1
18/Jun Germany - Serbia X
19/Jun Ghana - Australia X
23/Jun Australia - Serbia 2
23/Jun Ghana - Germany 2

Germany 7, Serbia 7, Australia 1, Ghana 1

Group E

14/Jun Netherlands - Denmark 1
14/Jun Japan - Cameroon X
19/Jun Netherlands - Japan 1
19/Jun Cameroon - Denmark X
24/Jun Cameroon - Netherlands 2
24/Jun Denmark - Japan X

Netherlands 9, Denmark 2, Cameroon 2, Japan 2

Group F

14/Jun Italy - Paraguay 1
15/Jun New Zealand - Slovakia X
20/Jun Slovakia - Paraguay X
20/Jun Italy - New Zealand 1
24/Jun Paraguay - New Zealand 1
24/Jun Slovakia - Italy 2

Italy 9, Paraguay 4, Slovakia 2, New Zealand 1

Group G

15/Jun Côte d'Ivoire - Portugal X
15/Jun Brazil - Korea DPR 1
20/Jun Brazil - Côte d'Ivoire 1
21/Jun Portugal - Korea DPR 1
25/Jun Korea DPR - Côte d'Ivoire 2
25/Jun Portugal - Brazil 2

Brazil 9, Portugal 4, Côte d'Ivoire 4, Korea DPR 0

Group H

16/Jun Honduras - Chile 2
16/Jun Spain - Switzerland 1
21/Jun Chile - Switzerland 1
21/Jun Spain - Honduras 1
25/Jun Chile - Spain 2
25/Jun Switzerland - Honduras X

Spain 9, Chile 6, Switzerland 1, Honduras 1

Round of 16

26/Jun Mexico - Korea Republic 1
26/Jun England - Serbia X England PSO
27/Jun Germany - USA 1
27/Jun Argentina - France X Argentina PSO
28/Jun Netherlands - Paraguay 1
28/Jun Brazil - Chile 1
29/Jun Italy - Denmark 1
29/Jun Spain - Portugal 1

Quarter-finals

02/Jul Netherlands - Brazil X Brazil PSO
02/Jul Mexico - England X England PSO
03/Jul Argentina - Germany X Germany PSO
03/Jul Italy - Spain 2

Semi-finals

06/Jul Brazil - England 1
07/Jul Germany - Spain 2

Match for third place

10/Jul England - Germany X England PSO

Final

11/Jul Brazil - Spain X Spain PSO

FIFA Ranking: July 2010 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Next update: June 9th, 2010.

Probable May 2010 rank - Team - Probable May 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1976 1 411
2 Brazil 1860 -1 249
3 Netherlands 1539 1 308
4 England 1450 4 382
5 Germany 1365 1 283
6 Italy 1349 -1 165
7 Argentina 1305 0 229
8 Serbia 1198 7 251
9 France 1085 0 41
10 Egypt 1054 2 87
11 Uruguay 1043 5 144
12 Portugal 1006 -9 -243
13 Croatia 991 -3 -50
14 Chile 974 4 86
15 Russia 956 -4 -59
16 Greece 930 -3 -34
17 Mexico 928 0 33
18 Slovenia 917 7 57
19 USA 902 -5 -55
20 Norway 901 2 19
21 Ukraine 834 2 -41
22 Turkey 829 7 -1
23 Côte d'Ivoire 827 4 -29
24 Paraguay 826 7 6
25 Nigeria 817 -4 -66
26 Switzerland 779 -2 -87
27 Cameroon 769 -8 -118
27 Czech Republic 769 6 -24
29 Gabon 755 13 55
30 Australia 742 -10 -144
31 Denmark 738 5 -29
32 Colombia 737 3 -39
33 Republic of Ireland 734 8 25
34 Israel 733 -8 -124
35 Peru 726 18 148
36 Sweden 725 1 -36
37 Slovakia 716 -3 -61
38 Romania 710 -10 -143
39 Algeria 703 -9 -118
40 Scotland 699 3 0
41 Ghana 683 -9 -117
42 Honduras 675 -4 -59
43 Bulgaria 672 -4 -39
44 Burkina Faso 646 4 35
45 Japan 642 0 -40
46 Venezuela 613 3 5
47 Korea Republic 607 0 -25
48 Belgium 589 11 48
49 Latvia 579 -3 -73
50 Lithuania 571 -1 -37
51 Bolivia 570 14 71
52 Finland 560 0 -24
53 Costa Rica 556 -13 -154
54 Poland 555 4 -6
55 Mali 548 -1 -27
56 Bosnia-Herzegovina 546 -5 -58
57 Ecuador 545 -13 -149
58 Northern Ireland 540 -2 -26
59 Austria 536 9 57
60 Benin 535 0 4
61 Hungary 534 -4 -31
62 Tunisia 525 -7 -49
63 Cyprus 523 4 37
64 Iran 522 -3 1
65 Saudi Arabia 471 1 -27
66 Bahrain 460 3 -15
67 Uganda 457 6 17
68 Albania 455 11 49
69 Montenegro 448 -5 -52
70 Zambia 445 1 -11
71 FYR Macedonia 439 -10 -82
72 Malawi 426 14 44
73 Togo 422 3 4
74 Trinidad and Tobago 405 21 52
75 Iceland 385 15 18
76 Mozambique 377 9 -6
77 Oman 374 14 12
78 Morocco 371 -8 -92
79 Jamaica 368 2 -31
80 Belarus 366 2 -31
80 Wales 366 -3 -49
82 Kuwait 365 15 15
83 China PR 362 1 -25
84 Moldova 361 5 -17
85 Angola 356 3 -23
86 New Zealand 354 -8 -56
87 Uzbekistan 352 7 -2
88 South Africa 345 -5 -47
89 United Arab Emirates 344 12 34
90 El Salvador 343 -18 -109
91 Senegal 338 -16 -84
92 Syria 334 6 -9
93 Panama 323 -19 -111
94 Armenia 318 6 7
94 Libya 318 8 9
96 Estonia 305 3 -15
97 Jordan 301 7 1
98 Qatar 300 -2 -51
99 Gambia 286 -6 -75
99 Guinea 286 -12 -95
101 Korea DPR 283 4 -2
102 Iraq 276 -22 -129
103 Thailand 273 3 -3
104 Canada 271 -41 -245
105 Congo 263 -2 -45
106 Cape Verde Islands 261 8 20
107 Azerbaijan 254 2 -5
108 Zimbabwe 249 2 -9
109 Yemen 248 3 0
110 Georgia 237 10 20
111 Tanzania 235 -3 -26
112 Rwanda 233 -5 -36
113 Cuba 215 13 21
113 Sudan 215 5 -4
115 Botswana 210 1 -26
115 Kenya 210 -2 -33
117 Luxembourg 209 10 16
118 Faroe Islands 206 7 10
119 Guatemala 204 -5 -37
120 Guyana 203 2 -2
120 Namibia 203 -9 -48
122 Congo DR 201 -1 -14
123 Singapore 198 4 5
124 Suriname 187 13 34
125 Kazakhstan 186 4 3
126 Vietnam 179 -9 -52
127 Barbados 174 8 19
128 Antigua and Barbuda 168 -9 -50
129 Fiji 167 3 0
129 Haiti 167 -38 -195
131 India 160 2 -3
132 Grenada 158 -8 -40
132 Hong Kong 158 8 8
134 Swaziland 155 -3 -16
134 Tajikistan 155 1 0
136 Turkmenistan 151 3 0
137 Indonesia 142 0 -11
138 Sierra Leone 130 -8 -51
139 Liechtenstein 126 10 9
140 Burundi 125 4 -2
141 Chad 124 2 -4
142 Malaysia 123 4 0
143 Myanmar 122 4 0
144 Madagascar 121 4 0
145 Maldives 117 -3 -12
146 Ethiopia 114 -23 -86
147 Equatorial Guinea 110 -6 -32
147 St. Kitts and Nevis 110 4 -3
149 Netherlands Antilles 108 5 5
150 Lebanon 106 10 8
151 Malta 105 6 5
152 Bangladesh 104 5 4
153 Lesotho 100 -1 -9
153 Niger 100 9 8
155 Sri Lanka 96 4 -3
156 Nepal 94 5 -2
157 Eritrea 92 -2 -9
157 Liberia 92 -7 -22
159 Bermuda 91 -25 -69
160 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 87 3 -4
161 Nicaragua 86 -6 -15
162 New Caledonia 82 -17 -44
163 Pakistan 75 2 -3
163 Vanuatu 75 -10 -33
165 Kyrgyzstan 74 3 0
166 Chinese Taipei 69 1 -6
167 Philippines 67 2 0
168 Mauritania 62 -4 -19
169 Solomon Islands 60 1 0
170 Puerto Rico 52 -4 -24
171 Comoros 43 0 0
172 Cayman Islands 39 1 0
172 Laos 39 1 0
172 Somalia 39 1 0
175 Samoa 38 2 0
175 Seychelles 38 3 1
177 Mauritius 37 -5 -3
178 Bahamas 34 3 0
178 Palestine 34 -5 -5
180 Cambodia 33 5 3
180 Dominica 33 3 0
182 Belize 32 -3 -4
182 Mongolia 32 -3 -4
182 Turks and Caicos Islands 32 2 0
185 Dominican Republic 26 2 0
186 Tonga 23 0 -5
187 Brunei Darussalam 21 2 0
188 Guinea-Bissau 19 3 0
188 St. Lucia 19 3 0
188 Tahiti 19 3 0
191 British Virgin Islands 18 3 0
191 Djibouti 18 -3 -5
193 Afghanistan 17 -4 -4
193 Cook Islands 17 -12 -17
193 Guam 17 2 0
196 Macau 12 1 -2
197 Aruba 11 1 0
198 Bhutan 9 -2 -6
199 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
200 Timor-Leste 4 0 0
201 Andorra 2 0 0
202 American Samoa 0 0 0
202 Anguilla 0 0 0
202 Central African Republic 0 0 0
202 Montserrat 0 0 0
202 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
202 San Marino 0 0 0

FIFA Ranking: July 2010 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the July 2010 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

26/May Netherlands - Mexico 1 (Friendly)
26/May Uruguay - Israel 1 (Friendly)
26/May Estonia - Croatia 2 (Friendly)
26/May Northern Ireland - Turkey 2 (Friendly)
26/May Chile - Zambia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Moldova - Azerbaijan X (Friendly)
26/May France - Costa Rica 1 (Friendly)
27/May Denmark - Senegal 1 (Friendly)
27/May South Africa - Colombia X (Friendly)
27/May Belarus - Honduras 2 (Friendly)
28/May Republic of Ireland - Algeria 1 (Friendly)
29/May Hungary - Germany 2 (Friendly)
29/May New Zealand - Serbia 2 (Friendly)
29/May Poland - Finland 1 (Friendly)
29/May USA - Turkey X (Friendly)
29/May Norway - Montenegro 1 (Friendly)
29/May Slovakia - Cameroon X (Friendly)
29/May Sweden - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Friendly)
29/May Ukraine - Romania 1 (Friendly)
29/May Venezuela - Canada 1 (Friendly)
29/May Iceland - Andorra 1 (Friendly)
29/May Spain - Saudi Arabia 1 (Friendly)
29/May Congo DR - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
29/May United Arab Emirates - Moldova X (Friendly)
29/May Azerbaijan - FYR Macedonia 2 (Friendly)
30/May Tunisia - France 2 (Friendly)
30/May Paraguay - Côte dIvoire X (Friendly)
30/May Chile - Northern Ireland 1 (Friendly)
30/May Nigeria - Colombia X (Friendly)
30/May Chile - Israel 1 (Friendly)
30/May Belarus - Korea Republic 2 (Friendly)
30/May Japan - England 2 (Friendly)
30/May Mexico - Gambia 1 (Friendly)
31/May South Africa - Guatemala 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Netherlands - Ghana 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Portugal - Cameroon 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Australia - Denmark X (Friendly)
01/Jun Switzerland - Costa Rica 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Norway - Ukraine X (Friendly)
02/Jun Greece - Paraguay X (Friendly)
02/Jun Serbia - Poland 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Belarus - Sweden X (Friendly)
02/Jun Azerbaijan - Honduras 2 (Friendly)
02/Jun Albania - Andorra 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Romania - FYR Macedonia 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Germany - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Spain - Korea Republic 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Italy - Mexico X (Friendly)
04/Jun France - China PR 1 (Friendly)
04/Jun Slovenia - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
04/Jun Japan - Côte dIvoire X (Friendly)
04/Jun Luxembourg - Faroe Islands X (Friendly)
04/Jun Sudan - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Netherlands - Hungary 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Slovakia - Costa Rica X (Friendly)
05/Jun South Africa - Denmark X (Friendly)
05/Jun Algeria - United Arab Emirates X (Friendly)
05/Jun Romania - Honduras X (Friendly)
05/Jun USA - Australia X (Friendly)
05/Jun Serbia - Cameroon 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Ghana - Latvia 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Switzerland - Italy X (Friendly)
06/Jun Nigeria - Korea DPR 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Tanzania - Brazil 2 (Friendly)
08/Jun Spain - Poland 1 (Friendly)
08/Jun Portugal - Mozambique 1 (Friendly)
09/Jun Chile - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
11/Jun South Africa - Mexico 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
11/Jun Uruguay - France X (FIFA World Cup Final)
12/Jun Korea Republic - Greece X (FIFA World Cup Final)
12/Jun Argentina - Nigeria 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
12/Jun England - USA 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
13/Jun Algeria - Slovenia 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
13/Jun Macau - Hong Kong 2 (Friendly)
13/Jun Serbia - Ghana 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
13/Jun Germany - Australia 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
14/Jun Netherlands - Denmark 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
14/Jun Japan - Cameroon X (FIFA World Cup Final)
14/Jun Italy - Paraguay 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
15/Jun New Zealand - Slovakia X (FIFA World Cup Final)
15/Jun Côte dIvoire - Portugal X (FIFA World Cup Final)
15/Jun Brazil - Korea DPR 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
16/Jun Honduras - Chile 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
16/Jun Spain - Switzerland 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
16/Jun South Africa - Uruguay 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
17/Jun Argentina - Korea Republic 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
17/Jun Greece - Nigeria X (FIFA World Cup Final)
17/Jun France - Mexico X (FIFA World Cup Final)
18/Jun Lithuania - Latvia X (Friendly)
18/Jun Germany - Serbia X (FIFA World Cup Final)
18/Jun Slovenia - USA X (FIFA World Cup Final)
18/Jun England - Algeria 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
19/Jun Estonia - Latvia X (Friendly)
19/Jun Netherlands - Japan 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
19/Jun Ghana - Australia X (FIFA World Cup Final)
19/Jun Cameroon - Denmark X (FIFA World Cup Final)
20/Jun Lithuania - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
20/Jun Slovakia - Paraguay X (FIFA World Cup Final)
20/Jun Italy - New Zealand 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
20/Jun Brazil - Côte dIvoire 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
21/Jun Portugal - Korea DPR 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
21/Jun Chile - Switzerland 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
21/Jun Spain - Honduras 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
22/Jun France - South Africa 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
22/Jun Mexico - Uruguay X (FIFA World Cup Final)
22/Jun Greece - Argentina 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
22/Jun Nigeria - Korea Republic X (FIFA World Cup Final)
23/Jun USA - Algeria 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
23/Jun Slovenia - England 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
23/Jun Australia - Serbia 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
23/Jun Ghana - Germany 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
24/Jun Paraguay - New Zealand 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
24/Jun Slovakia - Italy 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
24/Jun Cameroon - Netherlands 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
24/Jun Denmark - Japan X (FIFA World Cup Final)
25/Jun Korea DPR - Côte dIvoire 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
25/Jun Portugal - Brazil 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
25/Jun Chile - Spain 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
25/Jun Switzerland - Honduras X (FIFA World Cup Final)
26/Jun Mexico - Korea Republic 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
26/Jun England - Serbia X England PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
27/Jun Germany - USA 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
27/Jun Argentina - France X Argentina PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
28/Jun Netherlands - Paraguay 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
28/Jun Brazil - Chile 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
29/Jun Italy - Denmark 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
29/Jun Spain - Portugal 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
02/Jul Netherlands - Brazil X Brazil PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
02/Jul Mexico - England X England PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
03/Jul Argentina - Germany X Germany PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
03/Jul Italy - Spain 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
06/Jul Brazil - England 1 (FIFA World Cup Final)
07/Jul Germany - Spain 2 (FIFA World Cup Final)
10/Jul England - Germany X England PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)
11/Jul Brazil - Spain X Spain PSO (FIFA World Cup Final)

FIFA Ranking: July 2010 preview (I)

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included: matches up to and including May 25th, 2010.

Next update: June 9th, 2010.

May 2010 rank - Country - May 2010 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1 Brazil 1611 1191 2021
2 Spain 1565 1177 2020
3 Portugal 1249 858 1671
4 Netherlands 1231 910 1828
5 Italy 1184 882 1734
6 Germany 1082 848 1746
7 Argentina 1076 866 1591
8 England 1068 854 1762
9 France 1044 796 1620
10 Croatia 1041 957 991
11 Russia 1015 956 956
12 Egypt 967 1054 1054
13 Greece 964 823 1685
14 USA 957 782 1402
15 Serbia 947 740 1666
16 Uruguay 899 774 1644
17 Mexico 895 755 1247
18 Chile 888 684 1451
19 Cameroon 887 701 1334
20 Australia 886 674 1529
21 Nigeria 883 716 1397
22 Norway 882 827 945
23 Ukraine 875 765 870
24 Switzerland 866 675 1662
25 Slovenia 860 674 1571
26 Israel 857 733 889
27 Côte d'Ivoire 856 703 1394
28 Romania 853 647 802
29 Turkey 830 762 867
30 Algeria 821 698 1393
31 Paraguay 820 696 1481
32 Ghana 800 629 1266
33 Czech Republic 793 769 769
34 Slovakia 777 605 1486
35 Colombia 776 707 797
36 Denmark 767 646 1401
37 Sweden 761 674 747
38 Honduras 734 597 1277
39 Bulgaria 711 672 672
40 Costa Rica 710 543 667
41 Republic of Ireland 709 687 734
42 Gabon 700 755 755
43 Scotland 699 699 699
44 Ecuador 694 545 545
45 Japan 682 573 1187
46 Latvia 652 554 676
47 Korea Republic 632 537 1175
48 Burkina Faso 611 646 646
49 Lithuania 608 506 615
49 Venezuela 608 582 613
51 Bosnia-Herzegovina 604 546 653
52 Finland 584 560 607
53 Peru 578 726 726
54 Mali 575 548 548
55 Tunisia 574 525 578
56 Northern Ireland 566 540 672
57 Hungary 565 534 664
58 Poland 561 523 637
59 Belgium 541 589 589
60 Benin 531 535 535
61 FYR Macedonia 521 405 504
61 Iran 521 522 522
63 Canada 516 271 340
64 Montenegro 500 448 515
65 Bolivia 499 570 570
66 Saudi Arabia 498 471 532
67 Cyprus 486 523 523
68 Austria 479 536 536
69 Bahrain 475 460 460
70 Morocco 463 371 371
71 Zambia 456 445 473
72 El Salvador 452 343 343
73 Uganda 440 457 457
74 Panama 434 323 323
75 Senegal 422 338 414
76 Togo 418 422 422
77 Wales 415 366 366
78 New Zealand 410 298 1337
79 Albania 406 433 455
80 Iraq 405 276 276
81 Jamaica 399 368 368
82 Belarus 397 351 475
83 South Africa 392 320 939
84 China PR 387 362 397
85 Mozambique 383 377 416
86 Malawi 382 426 426
87 Guinea 381 286 286
88 Angola 379 356 356
89 Moldova 378 339 407
90 Iceland 367 370 385
91 Haiti 362 167 167
91 Oman 362 374 374
93 Gambia 361 286 379
94 Uzbekistan 354 352 352
95 Trinidad and Tobago 353 405 405
96 Qatar 351 300 300
97 Kuwait 350 365 365
98 Syria 343 334 334
99 Estonia 320 292 416
100 Armenia 311 318 318
101 United Arab Emirates 310 316 399
102 Libya 309 318 318
103 Congo 308 263 263
104 Jordan 300 301 301
105 Korea DPR 285 280 865
106 Thailand 276 273 273
107 Rwanda 269 233 233
108 Tanzania 261 235 285
109 Azerbaijan 259 245 345
110 Zimbabwe 258 249 249
111 Namibia 251 203 203
112 Yemen 248 248 248
113 Kenya 243 210 210
114 Cape Verde Islands 241 261 261
114 Guatemala 241 204 264
116 Botswana 236 210 210
117 Vietnam 231 179 179
118 Sudan 219 190 215
119 Antigua and Barbuda 218 168 168
120 Georgia 217 237 237
121 Congo DR 215 185 234
122 Guyana 205 203 203
123 Ethiopia 200 114 114
124 Grenada 198 158 158
125 Faroe Islands 196 196 227
126 Cuba 194 215 215
127 Luxembourg 193 199 228
127 Singapore 193 198 198
129 Kazakhstan 183 186 186
130 Sierra Leone 181 130 130
131 Swaziland 171 155 155
132 Fiji 167 167 167
133 India 163 160 160
134 Bermuda 160 91 91
135 Barbados 155 174 174
135 Tajikistan 155 155 155
137 Indonesia 153 142 142
137 Suriname 153 187 187
139 Turkmenistan 151 151 151
140 Hong Kong 150 147 158
141 Equatorial Guinea 142 110 110
142 Maldives 129 117 117
143 Chad 128 124 124
144 Burundi 127 125 125
145 New Caledonia 126 82 82
146 Malaysia 123 123 123
147 Myanmar 122 122 122
148 Madagascar 121 121 121
149 Liechtenstein 117 126 126
150 Liberia 114 92 92
151 St. Kitts and Nevis 113 110 110
152 Lesotho 109 100 100
153 Vanuatu 108 75 75
154 Netherlands Antilles 103 108 108
155 Eritrea 101 92 92
155 Nicaragua 101 86 86
157 Bangladesh 100 104 104
157 Malta 100 105 105
159 Sri Lanka 99 96 96
160 Lebanon 98 106 106
161 Nepal 96 94 94
162 Niger 92 100 100
163 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 91 87 87
164 Mauritania 81 62 62
165 Pakistan 78 75 75
166 Puerto Rico 76 52 52
167 Chinese Taipei 75 69 69
168 Kyrgyzstan 74 74 74
169 Philippines 67 67 67
170 Solomon Islands 60 60 60
171 Comoros 43 43 43
172 Mauritius 40 37 37
173 Cayman Islands 39 39 39
173 Laos 39 39 39
173 Palestine 39 34 76
173 Somalia 39 39 39
177 Samoa 38 38 38
178 Seychelles 37 38 38
179 Belize 36 32 32
179 Mongolia 36 32 32
181 Bahamas 34 34 34
181 Cook Islands 34 17 17
183 Dominica 33 33 33
184 Turks and Caicos Islands 32 32 32
185 Cambodia 30 33 33
186 Tonga 28 23 23
187 Dominican Republic 26 26 26
188 Djibouti 23 18 18
189 Afghanistan 21 17 17
189 Brunei Darussalam 21 21 21
191 Guinea-Bissau 19 19 19
191 St. Lucia 19 19 19
191 Tahiti 19 19 19
194 British Virgin Islands 18 18 18
195 Guam 17 17 17
196 Bhutan 15 9 9
197 Macau 14 12 43
198 Aruba 11 11 11
199 US Virgin Islands 5 5 5
200 Timor-Leste 4 4 4
201 Andorra 2 2 140
202 American Samoa 0 0 0
202 Anguilla 0 0 0
202 Central African Republic 0 0 0
202 Montserrat 0 0 0
202 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
202 San Marino 0 0 0