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Friday, April 8, 2011

2014 FIFA World Cup probable seeding for CONCACAF teams (8 April 2011)

See the list of probable results.

FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Underachievers

Canada (6 in CONCACAF in the Elo Ratings) fail to reach the first pot.
Haiti (11) and Guatemala (12) fail to reach the second pot.
Barbados (15) fail to reach the third pot.
Aruba (29) and Bahamas (30) fail to reach the sixth pot.

Special mention to Bermuda (19) and St. Lucia (23). Based on the Elo Ratings both would be in the fourth pot, but their probable FIFA Ranking puts them in the sixth pot.

Overachievers

Panama (7) in the first pot.
Antigua and Barbuda (14) and Suriname (15) in the second pot.
Dominica (22) in the third pot.
British Virgin Islands (31) and Turks and Caicos Islands (32) in the sixth pot.

Special mention to Puerto Rico (26) and Cayman Islands (27). Based on the Elo Ratings both would be in the sixth pot, but their probable FIFA Ranking puts them in the fourth pot.

Rank - Team - Points

 1 Mexico                         1015
 2 USA                             867
 3 Honduras                        660
 4 Jamaica                         601
 5 Costa Rica                      561
 6 Panama                          403
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 7 Trinidad and Tobago             379
 8 Cuba                            377
 9 Antigua and Barbuda             324
10 El Salvador                     316
11 Suriname                        296
12 Canada                          293
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13 Guyana                          282
14 Grenada                         264
15 Haiti                           256
16 St. Kitts and Nevis             244
17 Guatemala                       240
18 Dominica                        193
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19 Barbados                        191
20 Puerto Rico                     167
21 Curacao                         128
22 St. Vincent and the Grenadines  115
23 Cayman Islands                   99
24 Dominican Republic               66
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24 Nicaragua                        66
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26 Belize                           64
27 Bermuda                          40
28 British Virgin Islands           38
29 St. Lucia                        31
30 Turks and Caicos Islands         13
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31 Bahamas                           8
32 Aruba                             7
33 US Virgin Islands                 3
34 Anguilla                          0
34 Montserrat                        0

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