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Friday, September 2, 2011

2014 FIFA World Cup: AFC round 3 sims

10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings.

Group A

China PR 88.93
Iraq 63.83
Jordan 39.98
Singapore 7.26

Group B

Korea Republic 98.1
Kuwait 72.98
United Arab Emirates 28.28
Lebanon 0.64

Group C

Japan 99.13
Uzbekistan 62.8
Korea DPR 34.61
Tajikistan 3.47

Group D

Australia 97.43
Saudi Arabia 55.46
Oman 37.36
Thailand 9.75

Group E

Iran 97.7
Qatar 48.5
Bahrain 42.84
Indonesia 10.96

Group of death seems to be Group E - with only 6.01 between Qatar and Bahrain.

In Group B, Kuwait heavily favored for 2nd spot - 44.7 ahead of United Arab Emirates.

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