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Friday, September 30, 2011

September 2011: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Solomon Islands 178 120 58
Syria 109 64 45
Vanuatu 173 129 44
Kuwait 99 61 38
Iraq 107 70 37
Tahiti 184 148 36
Fiji 147 113 34
Bermuda 189 155 34
Korea DPR 121 88 33
Mauritania 193 160 33

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Armenia 44 103 -59
Sierra Leone 68 127 -59
Luxembourg 114 166 -52
US Virgin Islands 151 198 -47
Algeria 46 92 -46
Nepal 135 177 -42
Estonia 58 98 -40
Zimbabwe 66 104 -38
Bangladesh 138 176 -38
Belize 134 171 -37

Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Ecuador 69 37 32
Ukraine 60 29 31
China PR 73 47 26
Poland 65 42 23
Iran 50 30 20
Bulgaria 55 39 16
Sweden 25 13 12
Korea Republic 29 17 12
Ghana 37 25 12
Peru 35 24 11

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Armenia 44 103 -59
Algeria 46 92 -46
Bosnia-Herzegovina 22 57 -35
Burkina Faso 41 71 -30
Hungary 27 54 -27
Greece 11 30 -19
Montenegro 26 44 -18
Belgium 34 51 -17
Denmark 17 33 -16

Matches I would have liked to see before the next ranking:

Ecuador - Armenia
Ukraine - Slovakia
China PR - Algeria
Poland - Montenegro
Iran - Bosnia-Herzgovina
Bulgaria - Estonia
Sweden - Slovenia
Korea Republic - Hungary
Ghana - Belgium
Peru - Burkina Faso

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

2 comments:

  1. Because Armenia, Montenegro, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Slovakia and Slovenia were already taken.

    It's based on FIFA match points and Elo rating probability of a win.

    ReplyDelete