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Friday, June 15, 2012

2013 UEFA Under-21 play-off seeding (15 June 2012)

Next update: 21 September 2012.

The coefficients for the 2013 UEFA European Under-21 Championship playoff draw will take into account results from:

2009 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
2011 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2013 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

More info about the Under-21 coefficient on UEFA.com (PDF file).




As mentioned before, I think there's a mistake in the regulations regarding the qualification points for teams that have hosted one of the last two final tournaments.

For Sweden (hosts of the 2009 final tournament) I used the 2011 qualification results (as in the regulations), while for Denmark (hosts of the 2011 final tournament) I used the 2009 qualification results, since I couldn't use the 2011 qualification results as in the regulation.

For the play-off draw, the seven group winners with the best coefficients will be seeded. Israel as hosts are already qualified. Their coefficient is 30302.

Current group standings available on UEFA.com.

Since last update:

Best movers:

8 - Portugal
6 - Netherlands
5 - Romania and Norway

Worst movers:

-6 - Italy
-4 - Turkey and Belarus
-3 - Germany, Greece, Croatia, Iceland and Moldova

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Points
                  
 1  1 Spain              36715
 2  6 Czech Republic     30125
 3  9 Netherlands        29074
 4  7 France             29392
 5  4 England            30925
 6  3 Germany            31183
 7  5 Switzerland        30434
 8  2 Italy              31383
 9 10 Sweden             28861
10  8 Russia             29222
11 16 Romania            25585
12 12 Serbia             26819
13 14 Wales              25871
14 22 Portugal           24326
15 11 Turkey             27342
16 15 Scotland           25684
17 13 Belarus            26678
18 18 Denmark            24809
19 20 Austria            24552
20 17 Greece             25431
21 24 Ukraine            23279
22 19 Croatia            24771
23 21 Belgium            24426
24 23 Slovakia           24189
25 28 Armenia            21631
26 31 Norway             19989
27 25 Montenegro         23039
28 26 Finland            22306
29 33 Hungary            19388
30 27 Iceland            22158
31 29 Slovenia           20378
32 30 Poland             20201
33 34 Bosnia-Herzegovina 18856
34 35 Georgia            18561
35 32 Moldova            19671
36 36 Ireland            18471
37 37 Northern Ireland   18364
38 38 Latvia             17646
39 39 Bulgaria           17538
40 40 Cyprus             16561
41 42 Macedonia          15513
42 41 Albania            16046
43 44 Faroe Islands      15085
44 47 Azerbaijan         12401
45 43 Estonia            15410
46 45 Kazakhstan         14563
47 46 Lithuania          13370
48 48 Malta              12043
49 49 Luxembourg         10963
50 50 Andorra             9356
51 51 Liechtenstein       8563
52 52 San Marino          7790


Using Wikipedia to determine the best second-placed teams, this is how the pots would look now:

Pot 1
Spain             38240
Czech Republic    33251
Netherlands       32824
France            32542
England           32525
Germany           32403
Italy             31883

Pot 2
Switzerland *     31959
Sweden            31282
Russia *          29697
Serbia            28369
Portugal          27402
Turkey *          27317
Norway *          23039

* - second placed teams

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