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Friday, September 7, 2012

FIFA Ranking: October 2012 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the October 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

 07/Sep Albania - Cyprus 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Andorra - Hungary 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Argentina - Paraguay 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Azerbaijan - Israel 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Bermuda - Puerto Rico 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Sep Brazil - South Africa 1 (Friendly)
07/Sep British Virgin Islands - Suriname 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Sep Bulgaria - Italy 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Canada - Panama X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Colombia - Uruguay X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Costa Rica - Mexico 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Croatia - FYR Macedonia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Cuba - Honduras 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Ecuador - Bolivia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Egypt - Benin 1 (Friendly)
07/Sep El Salvador - Guyana 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Estonia - Romania X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Finland - France 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Georgia - Belarus X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Germany - Faroe Islands 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Guatemala - Antigua and Barbuda 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Iceland - Norway 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Jamaica - USA X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Kazakhstan - Republic of Ireland 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Latvia - Greece 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Liechtenstein - Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Lithuania - Slovakia X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Luxembourg - Portugal 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Malta - Armenia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Moldova - England 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Montenegro - Poland X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Netherlands - Turkey 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep New Caledonia - New Zealand X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Peru - Venezuela 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Russia - Northern Ireland 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Singapore - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
07/Sep Slovenia - Switzerland X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Solomon Islands - Tahiti X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
07/Sep Spain - Saudi Arabia 1 (Friendly)
07/Sep Uzbekistan - Kuwait 1 (Friendly)
07/Sep Wales - Belgium X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
08/Sep Cape Verde Islands - Cameroon 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Central African Republic - Burkina Faso X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Côte d'Ivoire - Senegal 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Denmark - Czech Republic 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
08/Sep Gabon - Togo 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Ghana - Malawi 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Liberia - Nigeria 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Mali - Botswana 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Scotland - Serbia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
08/Sep Sierra Leone - Tunisia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Sudan - Ethiopia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Sep Zambia - Uganda 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep British Virgin Islands - Montserrat 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Congo DR - Equatorial Guinea 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Guinea - Niger 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Haiti - Bermuda 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Libya - Algeria 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Mozambique - Morocco 2 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Sep Zimbabwe - Angola X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Sep Brazil - China PR 1 (Friendly)
10/Sep Indonesia - Korea DPR 2 (Friendly)
10/Sep Laos - Philippines 2 (Friendly)
11/Sep Antigua and Barbuda - Guatemala 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Austria - Germany 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Belgium - Croatia X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Bosnia-Herzegovina - Latvia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Bulgaria - Armenia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Chile - Colombia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Cyprus - Iceland 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Czech Republic - Finland 1 (Friendly)
11/Sep Egypt - Cameroon 1 (Friendly)
11/Sep England - Ukraine 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep France - Belarus 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Gabon - Saudi Arabia 1 (Friendly)
11/Sep Georgia - Spain 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Greece - Lithuania 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Guyana - El Salvador 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Haiti - Puerto Rico 1 (Continental Qualifier)
11/Sep Honduras - Cuba 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Hungary - Netherlands 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Israel - Russia X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Italy - Malta 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Japan - Iraq 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Jordan - Australia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Lebanon - Iran 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Liberia - Ghana 2 (Friendly)
11/Sep Malaysia - Vietnam X (Friendly)
11/Sep Mexico - Costa Rica 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Myanmar - Singapore 2 (Friendly)
11/Sep New Zealand - Solomon Islands 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Northern Ireland - Luxembourg 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Norway - Slovenia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Panama - Canada 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Paraguay - Venezuela 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Peru - Argentina 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Poland - Moldova 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Portugal - Azerbaijan 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Republic of Ireland - Oman 1 (Friendly)
11/Sep Romania - Andorra 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep San Marino - Montenegro 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Scotland - FYR Macedonia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Serbia - Wales 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Slovakia - Liechtenstein 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep South Africa - Mozambique 1 (Friendly)
11/Sep Sweden - Kazakhstan 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Switzerland - Albania 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Tahiti - New Caledonia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Turkey - Estonia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep United Arab Emirates - Kuwait X (Friendly)
11/Sep Uruguay - Ecuador 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep USA - Jamaica 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Sep Uzbekistan - Korea Republic 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
12/Sep Thailand - Laos 1 (Friendly)
14/Sep Indonesia - Vietnam X (Friendly)
19/Sep Brazil - Argentina 1 (Friendly)
22/Sep Vietnam - Indonesia 1 (Friendly)
23/Sep Aruba - Dominican Republic 2 (Continental Qualifier)
23/Sep Barbados - Dominica 1 (Continental Qualifier)
25/Sep Barbados - Dominican Republic 1 (Continental Qualifier)
25/Sep Chinese Taipei - Macau 1 (Friendly)
25/Sep Dominica - Aruba X (Continental Qualifier)
25/Sep Philippines - Guam 1 (Friendly)
26/Sep Indonesia - Brunei Darussalam 1 (Friendly)
26/Sep New Caledonia - Tahiti X (Friendly)
27/Sep Barbados - Aruba 1 (Continental Qualifier)
27/Sep Chinese Taipei - Guam 1 (Friendly)
27/Sep Dominican Republic - Dominica 1 (Continental Qualifier)
27/Sep Philippines - Macau 1 (Friendly)

17 comments:

  1. Thanks for making it date then alphabetical now.

    So much easier to read than past versions!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You're welcome.

      You can always search in the text of the post :)

      Delete
  2. Will you update this probable ranking after these September games? and if yes, when will the output available?
    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  3. 11/Sep Czech Republic - Finland 1 (Friendly) 0-1 so that should be 2, right?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Probable Top 20 Ranking on October 3.

    1. Spain 1611 (0)
    2. Germany 1459 (0)
    3. Argentina 1276 (+4)
    4. Portugal 1259(0)
    5. England 1196 (-2)
    6. Netherlands 1141 (+2)
    7. Uruguay 1140 (-2)
    8. Italy 1106 (-2)
    9. Colombia 1102 (+13)
    10. Greece 1029(+2)
    11. Croatia 1023 (-2)
    12. Russia 1014 (+1)
    13. France 1011 (+2)
    14. Brazil 986 (-2)
    15. Switzerland 983 (+5)
    16. Chile 948 (-2)
    17. Ivory Coast 947 (-1)
    18. Mexico 925 (+3)
    19. Ecuador 902 (-2)
    20. Sweden 859 (-2)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not quite....

      Denmark drops 8 places from 10 to 18 and from 1006 to 944 pts.

      Delete
    2. It appears there is potential for 4 South American top seeds. That's going to throw a monkey wrench into the draw procedure if it happens. 4 Euro seeds, 9 Euro's left. Too big for a Euro pot. Three pots will have to contain European teams. I guess they'll see to it that extra team will end up with a SA team. But how do they choose which one?

      Delete
    3. Oh and if it happens, I could see FIFA stripping Europe of a place and giving it to South America.

      Delete
    4. When this happens, they will make an extra pot for the remaining European team. They did the same thing with the draw for the 2006 World Cup finals, when Serbia & Montenegro were the odd one out.

      To choose, they simply put all the 9 remaining European groups in one pot, draw 8 of them, and the 9th team will be drawn into a group with only 1 European team, thus avoiding a group with possible 3 European teams. With 13 European teams, of which 4 seeded and 8 drawn into the 8 groups, there would be 4 groups remaining, all of them with a South-American top seed.

      Delete
  5. Yes, you are right. Thank you, Ed.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Do the matches on 29/Sep of Philippines - Chinese Taipei and Macau - Guam count for the October rankings or will be used in the November rankings?

    ReplyDelete
  7. @Anonymous September 9, 2012 12:31 PM

    It's updated now.

    FIFA Ranking: October 2012 preview (II)

    @Anonymous September 12, 2012 10:40 AM

    Yes.

    @Anonymous September 14, 2012 2:13 AM

    It's not 100% certain. FIFA used to have a deadline on Thursday - 6 days before the release. The deadline info is now gone from FIFA.com.

    ReplyDelete
  8. If FIFA uses it's announced deadline date (27/9) for the October ranking then all matches played on or after 27/9 will count for the November ranking.

    However, there are lots of instances where FIFA uses another deadline to let matches, played in the same tournament, count for the same ranking. In that case the tournament should have some real importance though and I don't think that FIFA considers the Paulino Alcantara Cup that important.

    But who knows, let's just wait and see.....

    ReplyDelete
  9. You used the wrong results for bosnia-herzegowina! They Play 2 times against Slovakai and not against latvia and liechtenstein

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Wow, almost a whole year later someone discovers the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth :D

      Delete