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Friday, December 7, 2012

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 probable ranking (IV)

Next update: 14 December 2012. 

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Couple of things will happen (not depending on probable results):


  • The top 21 teams are already set.
  • Ecuador, Mali, Aruba, Montserrat and Timor-Leste will improve their best ever ranking.
  • Côte d'Ivoire will return to their best ever ranking.
  • Cayman Islands and Seychelles will return to their worst ever ranking
  • Brazil, Sri Lanka and Eritrea will fall to new lows. 
  • Spain will be the Team of the Year
Unless Dominican Republic pull of something extremely unlikely at the 2012 Caribbean Cup, Colombia will be the Best Mover of the year (most points gained since December 2011) with 455 points.

Expect some raised eyebrows in South East Asia. Although Vietnam were eliminated in the group stage of the AFF Suzuki Cup, they will climb at least 6 places, while the Philippines will drop at least 1 spot, even if they advance to the final with two wins against Singapore.

Based on these probable results, Burundi, Trinidad and Tobago, Thailand and Sao Tome e Principe will climb 15 or more places, while Belize, Dominican Republic, Lebanon, Bermuda, Chad, Afghanistan, Wales, Korea DPR, Curacao, and St. Kitts and Nevis will drop 15 or more spots.

Probable December 2012 rank - Team - Probable December 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1606 0 42
2 Germany 1437 0 16
3 Argentina 1290 0 -59
4 Italy 1165 1 -4
5 Colombia 1164 3 54
6 England 1151 0 -16
7 Portugal 1144 -3 -34
8 Netherlands 1124 -1 -4
9 Russia 1070 0 -14
10 Croatia 1064 0 -14
11 Greece 1033 1 29
12 Switzerland 1004 4 38
13 Ecuador 999 4 48
14 Côte d'Ivoire 995 1 21
15 Mexico 994 -1 10
16 Uruguay 975 -5 -72
17 France 949 1 11
18 Brazil 946 -5 -48
19 Algeria 887 0 -20
20 Sweden 870 3 44
21 Belgium 868 -1 -13
22 Japan 840 2 30
23 Denmark 821 -1 -30
24 Norway 810 2 32
25 Mali 809 3 37
26 Chile 793 -5 -60
27 Bosnia-Herzegovina 788 4 42
28 USA 782 -1 6
29 Czech Republic 781 -4 -25
30 Ghana 777 -1 15
31 Montenegro 756 3 65
32 Hungary 750 -2 -3
33 Romania 700 4 31
34 Zambia 697 5 64
35 Korea Republic 686 -3 -42
36 Australia 668 -3 -51
37 Paraguay 666 -2 -24
38 Serbia 659 4 33
39 Jamaica 645 11 59
40 Turkey 627 -2 -12
41 Egypt 615 -1 -12
42 Bolivia 609 9 24
42 Gabon 609 10 28
42 Republic of Ireland 609 -6 -73
45 Haiti 607 12 54
46 Tunisia 606 0 -3
47 Peru 603 -3 -8
48 Slovakia 595 -5 -24
48 Ukraine 595 7 20
50 Slovenia 591 -1 -2
51 Bulgaria 585 -11 -42
52 Panama 582 -6 -27
53 Central African Republic 581 -1 0
53 Nigeria 581 4 28
55 Libya 572 4 27
56 Iran 552 -12 -59
57 Venezuela 551 -9 -49
58 Poland 550 -4 -29
59 Honduras 540 -3 -32
60 Guinea 527 11 42
61 Trinidad and Tobago 526 18 80
62 Cameroon 523 0 3
63 Sierra Leone 521 -2 0
64 Albania 518 3 22
65 Canada 517 -5 -9
66 Belarus 516 8 38
67 Costa Rica 515 -3 6
68 Uzbekistan 513 1 23
69 Cape Verde Islands 498 -6 -13
70 Austria 492 -2 0
71 Togo 491 2 12
72 Scotland 490 -2 2
73 Georgia 481 -8 -18
74 Morocco 468 -2 -14
75 FYR Macedonia 467 8 36
76 Armenia 457 6 13
76 Benin 457 1 0
78 Senegal 455 -3 -16
79 Israel 454 -1 2
80 Angola 443 -1 -3
81 Equatorial Guinea 439 14 42
82 Guatemala 438 -6 -29
83 Wales 435 -17 -62
84 Finland 431 7 20
85 Uganda 428 1 0
86 Estonia 425 -2 -5
87 South Africa 416 -3 -14
88 China PR 410 0 -14
89 Burkina Faso 408 0 -15
90 Iceland 392 6 0
91 New Zealand 390 2 -14
92 Iraq 379 5 -11
93 Oman 374 -7 -54
94 Jordan 373 -4 -47
95 Northern Ireland 367 5 11
95 United Arab Emirates 367 14 47
97 Qatar 365 7 35
98 Korea DPR 361 -17 -84
99 Sudan 349 3 16
99 Zimbabwe 349 -1 -34
101 El Salvador 348 -7 -54
102 Burundi 342 26 87
103 Latvia 334 5 12
104 Congo DR 332 -5 -28
105 New Caledonia 330 -1 0
106 Congo 325 9 16
107 Ethiopia 323 -5 -10
108 Niger 321 -1 -3
109 Malawi 318 -8 -19
110 Liberia 312 4 0
110 Mozambique 312 0 -6
112 Antigua and Barbuda 311 9 30
112 Suriname 311 13 46
114 Dominican Republic 304 -22 -102
115 Kuwait 288 -5 -30
116 Lithuania 284 3 -12
117 Azerbaijan 277 6 0
118 Sao Tome e Principe 275 15 35
119 Botswana 274 -2 -25
119 Namibia 274 -2 -25
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 271 -15 -56
122 Guyana 267 -6 -38
123 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 266 3 3
124 Saudi Arabia 258 -12 -55
125 Bahrain 256 -1 -14
126 Moldova 255 6 14
127 Turkmenistan 254 2 0
128 Tanzania 253 6 16
129 Vietnam 251 9 34
130 Cyprus 248 -3 -10
130 Puerto Rico 248 0 0
132 Kenya 246 -2 -2
132 Rwanda 246 -10 -34
134 Lebanon 244 -22 -69
135 Thailand 240 17 80
136 Tajikistan 233 1 8
137 Cuba 223 4 25
138 Grenada 222 11 56
139 Tahiti 215 0 0
140 Chad 212 -20 -70
141 Kazakhstan 200 -1 0
142 Barbados 197 11 39
143 Gambia 186 -1 0
144 Nicaragua 180 -8 -53
144 Syria 180 3 8
146 Malta 178 3 12
147 Philippines 174 -4 -10
148 Luxembourg 172 -4 -7
149 St. Lucia 168 -3 -7
150 Solomon Islands 166 -1 0
151 Aruba 163 3 9
152 Faroe Islands 151 7 13
153 Liechtenstein 146 4 -1
153 Singapore 146 10 19
155 Palestine 144 -7 -24
156 Indonesia 143 9 19
157 Bermuda 139 -22 -96
158 Lesotho 130 0 -10
158 Malaysia 130 5 3
158 Maldives 130 2 -5
161 Dominica 124 -6 -27
162 Myanmar 114 -6 -35
163 Hong Kong 112 9 4
164 Yemen 108 -2 -23
165 Vanuatu 99 9 0
166 India 96 3 -20
167 Belize 92 -23 -87
168 Bangladesh 90 3 -24
169 Chinese Taipei 85 7 -5
169 Fiji 85 -2 -36
171 Laos 83 6 -4
171 Nepal 83 -2 -33
173 Samoa 74 -8 -50
174 Bahamas 66 9 0
174 Guinea-Bissau 66 1 -32
174 Montserrat 66 9 0
177 Curacao 65 -16 -69
178 Swaziland 61 7 5
179 Madagascar 55 -6 -51
179 Mongolia 55 7 0
181 Guam 53 0 -18
182 Brunei Darussalam 52 5 0
182 Timor-Leste 52 5 0
184 Cambodia 50 7 1
185 Tonga 44 -8 -43
186 Afghanistan 39 -19 -82
186 US Virgin Islands 39 4 -11
188 Papua New Guinea 38 7 0
189 Pakistan 37 -9 -35
190 Sri Lanka 36 -8 -32
191 British Virgin Islands 34 6 0
192 Cayman Islands 33 -3 -18
193 American Samoa 30 -14 -55
194 Comoros 29 2 -7
195 Somalia 27 -2 -16
196 Eritrea 24 -4 -21
196 Seychelles 24 -2 -15
198 Macau 23 1 1
199 Kyrgyzstan 20 1 0
199 South Sudan 20 1 0
201 Cook Islands 16 -3 -12
202 Djibouti 13 0 -4
202 Mauritius 13 1 0
204 Andorra 11 -1 -2
205 Anguilla 4 0 0
206 Mauritania 3 0 0
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0
 

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