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Monday, February 18, 2013

FIFA Ranking: March 2013 preview

Next update: 8 March 2013.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 14 March 2013.

This is a quiet month - only 11 teams have matches scheduled - all part of the 2014 AFC Challenge Cup qualification. None of them could climb higher than 128th. This means the top 127 of the March ranking is already set.

This is how the points and rankings could change for these 11 teams:

Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst possible rank - Best possible rank

Palestine 132 175 168 143
India 97 218 175 138
Myanmar 84 165 178 147
Bangladesh 79 208 178 140
Chinese Taipei 78 175 178 143
Laos 73 154 179 149
Nepal 72 152 179 150
Mongolia 50 244 187 128
Guam 40 120 190 164
Afghanistan 39 233 190 131
Sri Lanka 28 221 196 135

In the table below, the values displayed for these teams are the lowest possible, thus their total points can't drop even if they lose all the matches.


Best movers:

9 - Cuba
8 - Bolivia
7 - Albania, Benin and Tanzania

Worst movers:

-19 - Turkmenistan
-17 - Tajikistan, Sao Tome e Principe and Chad
-15 - St. Kitts and Nevis

Best movers in the top 50:

8 - Bolivia
5 - Burkina Faso
3 - Venezuela, Bulgaria and Honduras

Worst movers in the top 50:

-8 - Korea Republic
-6 - Slovakia
-3 - Denmark and Turkey

Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Ecuador (11 - 12 in January 2013)
Mali (24 - 25 in December 2012)
Panama (41 - 42 in February 2013)
Belize (129 - 131 in July 2012)

Three teams will drop to new lows:

Egypt (71 - 70 in February 2013)
China PR (110 - 108 in July 2009)
Kyrgyzstan (201 - 200 in November 2012)

Haiti drop to 5th in CONCACAF, with Honduras up to 4th.

March 2013 rank - Team - March 2013 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1610 0 20
2 Germany 1473 0 36
3 Argentina 1309 0 28
4 England 1174 0 14
5 Italy 1173 0 16
6 Colombia 1159 0 30
7 Portugal 1133 -1 4
8 Netherlands 1106 0 -2
9 Croatia 1080 0 21
10 Russia 1064 0 9
11 Ecuador 1037 1 38
12 Greece 1033 -1 13
13 Côte d'Ivoire 1022 -1 23
14 Switzerland 1019 0 26
15 Mexico 995 0 27
16 Uruguay 950 0 0
17 France 921 0 -8
18 Brazil 908 0 -16
19 Belgium 892 1 28
20 Ghana 883 -1 18
21 Sweden 849 0 -14
22 Chile 829 1 14
23 Bosnia-Herzegovina 825 1 11
24 Mali 815 1 2
25 Denmark 814 -3 -11
26 Japan 811 2 32
27 Czech Republic 809 -1 12
28 Montenegro 790 1 34
29 Norway 784 -2 4
30 Nigeria 775 0 28
31 Romania 768 0 24
32 Hungary 752 1 24
33 USA 733 -1 -3
34 Algeria 722 0 -3
35 Serbia 657 1 -11
36 Bolivia 641 8 34
37 Paraguay 640 -2 -41
38 Australia 634 -1 -15
39 Peru 633 0 -1
40 Republic of Ireland 627 -1 -7
41 Panama 624 1 12
42 Venezuela 622 3 23
43 Tunisia 619 -1 7
44 Turkey 616 -3 0
45 Bulgaria 615 3 25
46 Korea Republic 601 -8 -42
47 Ukraine 598 -1 1
48 Honduras 592 3 11
49 Zambia 591 -2 0
50 Burkina Faso 588 5 17
51 Haiti 584 -1 0
52 Central African Republic 581 -1 0
53 Costa Rica 577 0 0
54 Jamaica 576 2 6
55 Slovakia 574 -6 -15
56 Slovenia 567 -2 -6
57 Cape Verde Islands 540 6 28
57 Iran 540 1 -3
59 Uzbekistan 536 -2 -21
60 South Africa 531 0 6
61 Poland 529 -2 1
62 Belarus 524 3 21
63 Sierra Leone 517 -2 0
64 Albania 510 7 21
65 Libya 507 -3 -7
66 Scotland 501 -2 -10
67 Togo 500 0 6
68 Canada 496 4 11
69 Georgia 494 0 3
70 Wales 491 -2 -2
71 Egypt 489 -1 -1
71 Guinea 489 2 7
73 FYR Macedonia 487 5 22
74 Israel 485 -8 -10
75 Gabon 478 0 0
76 Morocco 475 -2 -6
77 Trinidad and Tobago 468 0 2
78 Cuba 458 9 59
79 Austria 453 -3 -17
79 Cameroon 453 0 -11
81 Congo DR 437 5 37
82 Senegal 434 0 8
83 El Salvador 432 -2 -2
84 Armenia 431 -4 -31
85 Uganda 427 -1 3
86 Benin 424 7 40
87 Finland 423 -2 9
88 New Zealand 419 2 29
89 Estonia 408 -7 -18
90 Jordan 394 2 8
91 Guatemala 393 -3 -1
92 Iceland 392 6 22
93 Niger 389 4 15
94 Iraq 387 -5 -5
95 Angola 381 -1 0
96 Dominican Republic 378 -1 0
97 Northern Ireland 367 5 13
98 United Arab Emirates 364 1 0
99 Zimbabwe 361 1 2
100 Congo 358 -9 -30
101 Qatar 353 0 -4
102 Sudan 344 2 1
103 Korea DPR 341 -1 -13
104 New Caledonia 336 2 0
105 Equatorial Guinea 335 2 0
106 Oman 329 -1 -9
107 Saudi Arabia 327 1 -1
108 Mozambique 321 4 11
109 Latvia 319 0 -6
110 China PR 315 -14 -60
111 Suriname 311 -1 0
112 Malawi 310 1 6
113 Ethiopia 307 1 4
114 Kuwait 294 -4 -17
115 Antigua and Barbuda 288 1 -5
116 Lithuania 287 1 0
117 Azerbaijan 286 1 3
118 Bahrain 271 1 -9
119 Liberia 265 0 -15
120 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 263 5 -3
120 Tanzania 263 7 5
122 Namibia 261 1 -7
123 Botswana 260 5 6
124 Puerto Rico 257 5 9
125 Burundi 253 -10 -48
126 Guyana 248 -2 -19
127 Kenya 247 -1 -17
128 Belize 240 4 0
129 Vietnam 239 5 0
130 Lebanon 234 1 -7
131 Moldova 232 6 4
132 Rwanda 228 -2 -18
133 Cyprus 225 2 -7
134 Syria 222 4 -1
135 Grenada 220 4 -2
135 Thailand 220 6 0
137 St. Kitts and Nevis 219 -15 -52
138 Tahiti 215 5 0
139 Kazakhstan 212 3 -4
140 Turkmenistan 207 -19 -68
141 Barbados 188 3 0
142 Gambia 176 3 -11
143 Philippines 173 4 -3
144 St. Lucia 168 6 0
145 Malta 166 4 -7
145 Solomon Islands 166 6 0
147 Aruba 163 5 0
148 Luxembourg 157 0 -17
149 Tajikistan 154 -17 -86
150 Faroe Islands 151 5 0
151 Nicaragua 150 -6 -37
152 Sao Tome e Principe 144 -17 -88
153 Liechtenstein 143 1 -10
154 Hong Kong 141 2 -2
155 Bermuda 139 2 0
156 Maldives 136 3 6
157 Chad 133 -17 -88
157 Singapore 133 1 -1
159 Palestine 132 -6 -28
160 Malaysia 129 -1 -1
161 Dominica 124 0 0
162 Indonesia 121 1 4
162 Lesotho 121 0 0
164 Vanuatu 102 2 0
165 Yemen 101 0 -5
166 India 97 1 -1
166 Pakistan 97 4 9
168 Mauritania 94 0 0
169 Fiji 85 3 0
170 Myanmar 84 -6 -23
171 Bangladesh 79 -2 -11
172 Chinese Taipei 78 -1 -9
173 Samoa 74 2 0
174 Laos 73 -1 -10
175 Nepal 72 -1 -8
176 Bahamas 66 0 0
176 Montserrat 66 0 0
178 Curacao 65 1 0
179 Guinea-Bissau 63 -3 -3
179 Swaziland 63 1 0
181 Cambodia 58 2 5
182 Brunei Darussalam 52 3 0
182 Timor-Leste 52 3 0
184 Mongolia 50 -3 -5
185 Madagascar 49 -4 -6
186 Mauritius 48 1 0
187 Tonga 44 1 0
188 Guam 40 -5 -13
189 Afghanistan 39 0 0
189 US Virgin Islands 39 0 0
191 Comoros 38 0 0
191 Papua New Guinea 38 0 0
193 British Virgin Islands 34 1 0
194 Cayman Islands 33 1 0
195 American Samoa 30 1 0
196 Sri Lanka 28 -3 -8
197 Eritrea 24 0 0
198 Macau 22 -1 -2
198 Seychelles 22 -1 -2
200 South Sudan 20 0 0
201 Kyrgyzstan 19 -1 -1
202 Cook Islands 16 0 0
203 Somalia 14 0 0
204 Andorra 11 0 0
204 Djibouti 11 0 0
206 Anguilla 4 0 0
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

30 comments:

  1. Don't you write about the possible outcomes of the matches between those 20 teams in AFC Challenge Cup Qualifier?

    ReplyDelete
  2. The international match in Bangkok between Thailand and Faroe Islands on 21 February appeared on FIFA's webesite for few weeks ago. For around one week ago it was taken off FIFA's website. This morning the match again appear on FIFA's website, so I guess it means the match is an offical international.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's removed again. Somebody has some difficulty making up his (or her) mind... :D

      Delete
  3. @EDGAR ARE U ON FB??
    also when will india play next in the afc cup after the myanmar match?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No, I don't use Facebook as I explained some time ago.

      I assume you're thinking of the Challenge Cup. India needs to be in the top 2 of the 2nd placed teams.

      Delete
  4. Replies
    1. I'm assuming you're curious as to where Afghanistan will be in the March rankings? Well, they will be the mover of the month and will rise to 141st on the rankings with 190 points.

      Delete
  5. Please try to remember that this is a hobby for Edgar. I assume he was too busy to update the predictions this time. Perhaps he will do so this week, and otherwise there will surely be a new prognosis for the April rankings.

    ReplyDelete
  6. I hope everything is OK with Edgar. Losing this website would be a devastating loss. Tobcoach and Ed would then need to step in and do the dirty work. :)

    ReplyDelete
  7. I've never seen Edgar miss an update, ever. It's a little worrying, I hope he's alright. Has anyone ever seen him miss one?

    ReplyDelete
  8. Edgar is on vacation

    ReplyDelete
  9. Edgar's last tweet was about 'changing jobs' so I suppose he's just too busy at the moment.
    Although I have to admit I would be glad to see just a little message from him.

    Patience, my friends !

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi guys,

    Yes, there was no update because I was changing jobs and I was also on vacation.

    Started working at the new company 2 days ago.

    Thanks for worrying about me though, I'm touched :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey, you're back ! Very good.

      And congratulations with your new job !

      I was worrying that maybe the Internet in Iasi was switched off :D

      Delete
    2. No need, looking at Akamai figures, Romania are 5th in the average peak connection speeds - ahead of Holland :D

      Delete
    3. He's baaaaack!

      Yes, the alarm bells start ringing for me when creatures of habit break their habits.

      Delete
  11. I'm glad you're OK, Edgar! Yes, we were worried about you. The information you provide is invaluable and all your efforts here are truly appreciated by many. Yet at the end of the day, it's just sport and there are many things more important.

    Best of luck with the new job and all future endeavors!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. And he's very nice and helpful.

      Delete
  12. I JUST CHECKED THE PAGE 100 TIMES FOR NEW POST. ATLAST U R BACK

    ReplyDelete
  13. I have one question if it is possible? I have been looking into the calculations regarding Bosnia-Herzegovina for the FIFA and UEFA ranking. When it comes to UEFA ranking points I get the same as you have on this site. But when I look at the FIFA ranking I can't get it right.

    Both you and FIFA have Bosnia at 825 points. On the latest ranking (14 March 2013) Bosnias coefficient for 2013 is 420.05 accordning to FIFA. Before this update Bosnia only played one match against Slovenia in 2013. According to my calculations Bosnia shold have the coefficient 459 since Slovenia was ranked 47. when they played the game:

    3*1*153*1=459.

    Did I miss something? I am searching like crazy and I can't find my mistake, I would really appreciate it if you could answer. Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ajo,

      Do I understand you correctly that you compare the 459 match points for the Slovenia-match with the first time frame average of 420.05 ?
      That can't be right as the first time frame average is indeed an average. It is the division of the sum of match points from all the matches played in the first time frame (roughly from march 2012 until march 2013) by the number of played matches in that time frame.
      For a better understanding of how the FIFA ranking works, read: http://www.fifa.com/worldranking/procedureandschedule/menprocedure/index.html

      Delete
    2. Ed,

      od course you are right! I mixed things up last night, when I looked at the coefficients I was under the impression that 2013 was for the calendar year 2013, not the past 12 months. And now I feel silly, since it is absolutely logical that the coefficient for 2013 iz based on games from the last 12 months and not only on the Slovenia game.

      Everything is correct in my calculations now as well, when I go back to April 2009 and not only to January of 2010. I have seen the link you put up loads of times but my eyes just decided to avoid seeing the "past 12 months" sentence :)

      Also, even though this is my first comment on here I have been coming to your blog for years and I would like to take this opportunity and thank you for this wonderful page that is just an oasis for us statistic lovers!

      Cheers,
      Ajo

      Delete
    3. Glad that's solved. The caption '2013' for the first time frame average could indeed be confusing !

      Btw I'm not Edgar, just another reader of this blog whose name happens to begin with 'Ed' and who tries to be of help.
      I support your compliments towards Edgar completely though !

      Delete
    4. Ah, another mystery solved! Thank you for your help, nonetheless, Ed!

      Cheers,
      Ajo

      Delete