Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (2 December 2016)
TwitterLinked In

Friday, March 29, 2013

EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding based on generated results (29 March 2013)

Since I already have the results generated using the Elo ratings for the remaining 2014 World Cup qualifiers, I thought I should post them in case anyone is interested.

It doesn't include the play-offs, obviously.

Wins are considered to be 1 - 0, draws 0 - 0.

Rank - Team - Points

 1 Spain               42108
 2 Germany             40405
 3 Netherlands         39201
 4 Italy               36163
 5 Russia              34886
 6 England             34765
 7 Croatia             34722
 8 Portugal            34211
 9 Greece              33580
----------------------------
10 Bosnia-Herzegovina  32535
11 Sweden              32068
12 Denmark             30859
13 Switzerland         29551
14 Ukraine             29551
15 Czech Republic      28614
16 Belgium             28292
17 Hungary             27882
18 Republic of Ireland 27553
----------------------------
19 Norway              27041
20 Romania             26901
21 Israel              26682
22 Slovakia            24912
23 Serbia              24644
24 Montenegro          24371
25 Poland              24064
26 Turkey              23794
27 Slovenia            23294
----------------------------
28 Austria             22511
29 Bulgaria            22051
30 Latvia              21291
31 Finland             21051
32 Wales               21011
33 Estonia             20088
34 Armenia             19901
35 Belarus             19671
36 Albania             19571
----------------------------
37 Scotland            18933
38 Northern Ireland    18821
39 Iceland             18576
40 Lithuania           18166
41 FYR Macedonia       17036
42 Azerbaijan          16861
43 Georgia             16791
44 Moldova             16621
45 Cyprus              14716
----------------------------
46 Kazakhstan          13981
47 Luxembourg          12530
48 Faroe Islands       11890
49 Liechtenstein       11880
50 Malta                9640
51 Andorra              8740
52 San Marino           7820

Pot 1: Spain, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Russia, England, Croatia, Portugal, Greece
Pot 2: Bosnia-Herzegovina, Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, Ukraine, Czech Republic, Belgium, Hungary, Republic of Ireland
Pot 3: Norway, Romania, Israel, Slovakia, Serbia, Montenegro, Poland, Turkey, Slovenia
Pot 4: Austria, Bulgaria, Latvia, Finland, Wales, Estonia, Armenia, Belarus, Albania
Pot 5: Scotland, Northern Ireland, Iceland, Lithuania, FYR Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, Cyprus
Pot 6: Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Faroe Islands, Liechtenstein, Malta, Andorra, San Marino

13 comments:

  1. I'm not sure, on what is this list based on?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Where is France? I can't find them on this list.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. France are hosting, so they don't need to qualify.

      Delete
  3. Bosnia number 10? Hmm

    ReplyDelete
  4. Excellent post, but can I see the probable results used for this seeding. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Request seconded.

      Also Edgar, is there anyway that Wales can get to pot 3? If so, what results do we need. Thanks.

      Delete
    2. The rankings aren't based on future results.
      That's the current "Race", that is the theoretical minimum points for each team if it loses the rest of its matches and doesn't qualify for the WC or Playoffs. Those point will be added when the qualification phase ends.

      Delete
    3. Please ignore what I just said...

      Delete
    4. Regarding Wales - there's a 3.21% chance of reaching pot 3.

      Delete
  5. why world-results.net have another outcome???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different approaches. I include all the remaining matches as loses, while Raoul doesn't. In the end we'll have the same totals.

      Delete
  6. post the generated results please

    ReplyDelete
  7. I think the generated results are no longer relevant.

    ReplyDelete