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Friday, June 7, 2013

Best teams to play against on 14 August

This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating).

I ran 10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings for the matches still to be played before the August 2013 FIFA ranking deadline.

I took into account only teams that would bring at least 200 points for an OFC opponent.

Of the top 20 best teams to play against only 6 are still available for the 14 August 2013 FIFA match date.


Teams in bold still available:

Albania (home vs. Armenia)
Montenegro (away to Belarus)
Greece (away to Austria)
Norway (away to Sweden)
Belgium (home vs. France)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (home vs. USA)
Iceland (home vs. the Faroe Islands)
Switzerland (home vs. Brazil)
Hungary (home vs. the Czech Republic)
Algeria
Wales (home vs. the Republic of Ireland)
Mali
Cape Verde Islands
Colombia
Croatia (away to Liechtenstein)
Uruguay (away to Japan)
Czech Republic (away to Hungary)
Peru
Venezuela
Denmark (away to Poland)

3 comments:

  1. Do you have a readily available list of nations available to play friendlies on this date? Interested to know who Australia may line up a game against.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Top 20 of those still available:

      Colombia
      Chile
      Peru
      Côte d'Ivoire
      Venezuela
      Serbia
      Ghana
      Mali
      Nigeria
      Algeria
      Korea Republic
      Costa Rica
      Tunisia
      Honduras
      Panama
      Burkina Faso
      Cape Verde Islands
      Bolivia
      New Zealand
      South Africa

      Delete
    2. Peru will play Korea Republic, so both are no linger in the list

      Delete