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Friday, June 7, 2013

June 2013: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the June FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team.

The most popular opponent for the month of May is Equatorial Guinea - the best opponent for no less than 99 teams.

Of the top 15 teams, only Netherlands and England would have benefited from an extra friendly - both gaining 2 points. England would have climbed one spot.




Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

14 - Senegal
13 - Equatorial Guinea
9 - Finland, China PR and Georgia

Recommended team for Senegal and Georgia: Equatorial Guinea. Finland and China PR should have played against Albania, while Equatorial Guinea should have played against Central African Republic.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

3 - Paraguay
2 - Uruguay, Brazil and Sweden

Recommended team for Paraguay and Uruguay - Albania, for Brazil - Greece and for Sweden - Montenegro.

June Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference

 
1 Spain Greece -22 0
2 Germany Greece -12 0
3 Argentina Greece -11 0
4 Croatia Montenegro -16 0
5 Netherlands Greece 2 0
6 Portugal Montenegro -7 0
7 Colombia Montenegro -16 0
8 Italy Montenegro -6 -1
9 England Greece 2 1
10 Ecuador Montenegro -20 -1
11 Russia Montenegro -5 0
12 Belgium Albania -25 -1
13 Côte d'Ivoire Albania -7 0
14 Switzerland Montenegro -8 -2
15 Bosnia-Herzegovina Albania -19 -1
16 Greece Albania -4 0
17 Mexico Montenegro 1 0
18 France Albania 2 0
19 Uruguay Albania 18 2
20 Denmark Albania 6 0
21 Ghana Albania -1 0
22 Brazil Greece 18 2
23 Mali Albania -10 0
24 Czech Republic Albania 0 0
25 Chile Albania 12 1
25 Montenegro Albania -7 -1
27 Sweden Montenegro 11 2
28 USA Albania 2 0
29 Norway Algeria 9 1
30 Peru Albania 4 1
31 Nigeria Albania -6 0
32 Japan Albania 7 0
33 Hungary Albania 6 1
34 Romania Albania 2 0
35 Algeria Equatorial Guinea 0 0
36 Serbia Albania 9 0
37 Venezuela Albania 6 0
38 Albania Equatorial Guinea -8 -1
39 Ukraine Albania 3 1
40 Korea Republic Albania 15 0
41 Republic of Ireland Albania 17 1
42 Tunisia Albania 5 0
43 Panama Albania 5 1
44 Paraguay Albania 21 3
45 Wales Equatorial Guinea 9 1
46 Bulgaria Albania 2 0
47 Australia Albania 16 1
48 Costa Rica Albania 4 1
49 Jamaica Equatorial Guinea 2 0
49 Zambia Equatorial Guinea 6 0
51 Burkina Faso Equatorial Guinea -3 0
52 Honduras Albania 8 0
53 Bolivia Albania 2 0
54 Turkey Albania 23 3
55 Slovenia Equatorial Guinea 21 3
56 Slovakia Equatorial Guinea 15 3
57 New Zealand Albania 10 0
58 Uzbekistan Albania 11 1
59 Central African Republic Equatorial Guinea 3 0
60 South Africa Equatorial Guinea 4 1
61 Iceland Equatorial Guinea -5 -2
62 Israel Albania 12 5
63 Haiti Equatorial Guinea 6 4
64 Equatorial Guinea Central African Republic 71 13
65 Cameroon Albania 17 1
65 Poland Albania 15 1
67 Belarus Albania 21 3
67 Iran Albania 17 3
69 Libya Equatorial Guinea 15 2
70 Sierra Leone Central African Republic 15 3
71 Egypt Albania 19 4
72 Cape Verde Islands Central African Republic 7 1
73 Togo Equatorial Guinea 2 0
74 Scotland Albania 29 7
75 Jordan Equatorial Guinea 6 0
76 Austria Albania 27 5
77 Morocco Equatorial Guinea 9 2
78 FYR Macedonia Equatorial Guinea 9 2
79 Congo DR Equatorial Guinea 3 0
80 Congo Equatorial Guinea 17 4
81 Trinidad and Tobago Equatorial Guinea 8 2
82 Gabon Equatorial Guinea 19 5
83 Canada Equatorial Guinea 12 4
84 Finland Albania 27 8
85 Guinea Equatorial Guinea 23 7
86 El Salvador Equatorial Guinea 13 2
87 United Arab Emirates Albania 11 1
88 Guatemala Equatorial Guinea 9 0
89 Armenia Equatorial Guinea 35 6
89 Estonia Equatorial Guinea 22 3
91 Angola Equatorial Guinea 19 4
91 Cuba Equatorial Guinea 3 2
93 Uganda Equatorial Guinea 8 4
94 Dominican Republic Equatorial Guinea 10 3
95 China PR Albania 32 8
96 Georgia Equatorial Guinea 21 8
97 New Caledonia Equatorial Guinea 8 0
98 Iraq Equatorial Guinea 8 1
99 Senegal Equatorial Guinea 72 14
100 Liberia Equatorial Guinea 11 1
101 Oman Equatorial Guinea 7 1
102 Zimbabwe Equatorial Guinea 16 3
103 Mozambique Equatorial Guinea 15 3
104 Qatar Equatorial Guinea 12 2
105 Lithuania Equatorial Guinea 25 4
106 Ethiopia Equatorial Guinea 8 1
107 Niger Equatorial Guinea 20 3
108 Saudi Arabia Equatorial Guinea 13 3
109 Malawi Equatorial Guinea 15 4
109 Tanzania Equatorial Guinea 10 2
111 Kuwait Equatorial Guinea 13 5
112 Tajikistan Equatorial Guinea 29 8
113 Suriname Equatorial Guinea 25 8
114 Korea DPR Albania 51 14
115 Benin Equatorial Guinea 72 18
116 Northern Ireland Equatorial Guinea 29 11
117 Bahrain Equatorial Guinea 10 0
118 Azerbaijan Equatorial Guinea 25 7
119 Latvia Equatorial Guinea 32 10
120 Namibia Equatorial Guinea 28 6
121 Antigua and Barbuda Equatorial Guinea 24 5
122 Cyprus Equatorial Guinea 28 5
123 Kenya Equatorial Guinea 16 3
124 Grenada Equatorial Guinea 72 20
125 Burundi Equatorial Guinea 32 6
126 Guyana Equatorial Guinea 22 4
127 Botswana Equatorial Guinea 22 3
128 Puerto Rico Bhutan 26 4
129 Belize Equatorial Guinea 35 7
130 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Puerto Rico 5 2
131 Lebanon Equatorial Guinea 12 4
132 Turkmenistan Equatorial Guinea 71 15
133 Vietnam Equatorial Guinea 20 7
134 Moldova Equatorial Guinea 31 9
135 Rwanda Equatorial Guinea 27 9
135 Sudan Equatorial Guinea 20 7
137 St. Kitts and Nevis Equatorial Guinea 73 19
138 Syria Equatorial Guinea 23 8
138 Tahiti Equatorial Guinea 26 10
140 Afghanistan American Samoa 25 9
140 St. Lucia American Samoa -9 -4
142 Thailand Equatorial Guinea 20 7
143 Kyrgyzstan Equatorial Guinea 72 21
144 Philippines Equatorial Guinea 14 6
145 Luxembourg Equatorial Guinea 33 8
146 Kazakhstan Equatorial Guinea 38 9
147 Hong Kong Equatorial Guinea 23 2
147 India Equatorial Guinea 26 3
149 Barbados Puerto Rico 9 3
150 Aruba American Samoa 4 0
151 Palestine Equatorial Guinea 18 5
152 Bangladesh American Samoa 7 2
153 Lesotho Equatorial Guinea 29 7
154 Chad Equatorial Guinea 71 17
155 Myanmar American Samoa 2 0
156 Malta Equatorial Guinea 38 11
157 Maldives Puerto Rico 18 7
158 Liechtenstein Equatorial Guinea 38 12
159 Malaysia Equatorial Guinea 18 8
159 Sao Tome e Principe Bhutan 26 9
161 Bermuda Equatorial Guinea 72 21
162 Faroe Islands Equatorial Guinea 65 18
162 Gambia Equatorial Guinea 71 20
162 Nicaragua Puerto Rico 40 15
165 Singapore Equatorial Guinea 17 10
166 Solomon Islands Equatorial Guinea 27 13
167 Dominica American Samoa 26 12
168 Laos American Samoa 4 0
168 Pakistan American Samoa 5 0
170 Indonesia Equatorial Guinea 29 12
171 Nepal American Samoa 12 3
172 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 5
173 Yemen Equatorial Guinea 22 5
174 Mauritania Equatorial Guinea 72 24
175 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 9 3
176 Bahamas American Samoa 26 1
176 Montserrat American Samoa 26 1
178 Curacao American Samoa 26 3
178 Guam American Samoa 6 2
178 Swaziland Puerto Rico 39 6
181 Guinea-Bissau Equatorial Guinea 71 15
182 Fiji Equatorial Guinea 71 16
182 Mongolia American Samoa 26 6
184 Madagascar Equatorial Guinea 71 17
185 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 12 4
185 Mauritius American Samoa 26 9
185 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 9
188 Samoa American Samoa 26 12
189 Cambodia American Samoa 18 8
190 Tonga American Samoa 26 14
191 Vanuatu Equatorial Guinea 71 20
192 Comoros American Samoa 25 16
193 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 15
194 Papua New Guinea Puerto Rico 39 18
195 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 11
196 Cayman Islands American Samoa 26 12
197 American Samoa Bhutan 26 13
198 Eritrea Equatorial Guinea 72 25
199 Seychelles American Samoa 25 11
200 South Sudan Equatorial Guinea 72 25
201 Cook Islands American Samoa 25 9
202 Macau American Samoa 15 4
202 Somalia American Samoa 26 9
204 Djibouti American Samoa 25 9
205 Andorra American Samoa 15 6
206 Anguilla American Samoa 26 9
207 Bhutan American Samoa 26 9
207 San Marino American Samoa 15 5
207 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 9

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