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Friday, August 30, 2013

August 2013: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the August FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team.

The most popular opponent for the month of July were Equatorial Guinea and Albania - each of them best opponent for 72 teams.

5 of the top 20 teams (England +11, Uruguay +8, Germany +6, Portugal +5, Mexico +1) would have gained points, but only England would have climbed in the ranking - 2 spots by defeating Albania.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

18 - Benin
7 - Lithuania
6 - Korea Republic and Georgia

Albania were the recommended team for Korea Republic, while Equatorial Guinea were the team of choice for the other three.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

6 - Korea Republic
4 - Wales and Paraguay
3 -  Venezuela and Republic of Ireland

Albania were the recommended opponent for all 5 teams.

August Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference



1 Spain Greece -7 0
2 Germany Greece 6 0
3 Colombia Montenegro -25 -1
4 Argentina Greece -6 0
5 Netherlands Greece -5 0
6 Italy Montenegro -1 0
7 Portugal Montenegro 5 0
8 Croatia Albania -7 0
9 Brazil Greece -3 0
10 Belgium Albania -24 0
11 Greece Albania -6 0
12 Uruguay Albania 8 0
13 Bosnia-Herzegovina Albania -16 -2
14 England Albania 11 2
15 Switzerland Montenegro -8 0
16 Russia Albania -1 0
17 Ecuador Albania -8 0
18 Côte d'Ivoire Albania -2 0
19 USA Albania -8 0
20 Mexico Albania 1 0
21 Chile Albania 7 0
22 Peru Albania -2 0
23 France Albania 11 0
24 Ghana Albania -14 0
25 Norway Montenegro 11 0
26 Czech Republic Albania 11 1
27 Denmark Albania 14 2
28 Montenegro Albania 3 0
28 Ukraine Albania 0 0
30 Sweden Albania 15 2
31 Hungary Albania 9 0
32 Mali Albania 5 0
33 Romania Albania 4 1
34 Algeria Albania 5 2
35 Nigeria Albania 1 0
36 Cape Verde Islands Albania -1 0
37 Japan Albania 10 2
38 Albania Equatorial Guinea -9 -1
39 Venezuela Albania 8 3
40 Panama Albania 3 1
41 Serbia Albania 12 1
42 Costa Rica Albania -8 1
43 Honduras Albania -7 -2
44 Republic of Ireland Albania 17 3
45 Slovenia Equatorial Guinea 9 2
46 Australia Albania 0 0
46 Wales Albania 20 4
48 Burkina Faso Albania 1 0
49 Paraguay Albania 23 4
50 Scotland Albania 16 2
51 Cameroon Albania -10 -4
52 Iran Albania -4 0
53 Bulgaria Albania 6 1
53 Tunisia Albania 9 2
55 Austria Albania 14 4
56 Korea Republic Albania 18 6
57 New Zealand Albania -19 -2
58 Turkey Albania 24 5
59 Uzbekistan Albania 10 1
60 Zambia Albania 2 0
61 Egypt Albania 20 1
62 Slovakia Albania 24 3
63 Israel Albania 14 3
64 Bolivia Albania -7 -2
65 Finland Albania 16 5
66 Armenia Equatorial Guinea 13 5
67 South Africa Albania 9 3
68 Guinea Albania 15 5
69 Libya Albania 5 0
70 Iceland Equatorial Guinea -1 0
71 Jordan Albania 10 1
72 Poland Albania 21 2
73 Belarus Albania 18 3
74 Haiti Equatorial Guinea 4 0
75 Morocco Albania 14 2
76 Jamaica Albania 0 0
77 Uganda Albania -2 0
78 Senegal Albania 9 0
78 Trinidad and Tobago Equatorial Guinea 6 0
80 Sierra Leone Dominican Republic 13 2
81 Gabon Equatorial Guinea 16 3
82 Togo Equatorial Guinea 4 1
83 El Salvador Albania 3 0
84 United Arab Emirates Albania -2 0
85 Estonia Equatorial Guinea 16 3
86 Dominican Republic Equatorial Guinea 8 2
87 Congo DR Equatorial Guinea 7 0
88 Central African Republic Equatorial Guinea 32 4
89 FYR Macedonia Equatorial Guinea 10 1
90 Cuba Equatorial Guinea 2 0
91 Canada Albania 5 1
92 Congo Equatorial Guinea 18 4
93 Guatemala Equatorial Guinea 9 2
93 New Caledonia Equatorial Guinea 9 2
95 China PR Albania 9 2
95 Oman Albania 11 2
97 Georgia Equatorial Guinea 19 6
98 Angola Equatorial Guinea 13 5
99 Equatorial Guinea Dominican Republic 16 1
100 Suriname Equatorial Guinea 20 2
101 Botswana Equatorial Guinea 12 2
102 Ethiopia Equatorial Guinea 8 3
103 Liberia Equatorial Guinea 13 4
104 Iraq Albania 15 3
105 Niger Equatorial Guinea 15 4
106 Lithuania Equatorial Guinea 25 7
107 Saudi Arabia Equatorial Guinea 1 1
108 Mozambique Equatorial Guinea 12 4
109 Northern Ireland Equatorial Guinea 27 6
110 Korea DPR Albania 17 5
111 Qatar Equatorial Guinea 11 4
112 Kuwait Albania 7 3
113 Benin Equatorial Guinea 68 18
114 Tajikistan Equatorial Guinea 27 11
115 Azerbaijan Equatorial Guinea 21 9
116 Zimbabwe Equatorial Guinea 17 7
117 Bahrain Equatorial Guinea 10 1
118 Malawi Equatorial Guinea 18 4
119 Latvia Equatorial Guinea 28 10
120 Lebanon Equatorial Guinea 12 3
121 Antigua and Barbuda Equatorial Guinea 29 7
122 Grenada Equatorial Guinea 70 19
123 Cyprus Equatorial Guinea 25 4
123 Moldova Equatorial Guinea 21 3
125 Turkmenistan Equatorial Guinea 68 20
126 Burundi Equatorial Guinea 26 6
127 Guyana Equatorial Guinea 23 6
128 Tanzania Equatorial Guinea 14 5
129 Kenya Equatorial Guinea 14 6
130 Puerto Rico Bhutan 26 8
131 Namibia Equatorial Guinea 19 8
131 Rwanda Equatorial Guinea 20 8
133 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Suriname 9 4
134 Malta Equatorial Guinea 24 11
135 Kyrgyzstan Suriname 4 0
135 Sudan Equatorial Guinea 18 6
137 Thailand Equatorial Guinea 17 6
138 St. Kitts and Nevis Suriname 48 16
139 Afghanistan American Samoa 25 6
140 Luxembourg Suriname 17 3
141 Philippines Equatorial Guinea 13 3
142 St. Lucia American Samoa -8 -1
143 Belize Suriname 14 5
144 Hong Kong Equatorial Guinea 22 0
145 India Suriname 13 1
146 Barbados Suriname 16 2
147 Syria Albania 31 4
148 Liechtenstein Equatorial Guinea 27 4
149 Kazakhstan Equatorial Guinea 33 6
150 Palestine Equatorial Guinea 21 6
151 Mauritania Equatorial Guinea 31 7
152 Solomon Islands Equatorial Guinea 36 8
153 Maldives Suriname 25 7
154 Tahiti Equatorial Guinea 30 9
155 Singapore Equatorial Guinea 15 3
156 Bermuda Equatorial Guinea 69 15
156 Vietnam Equatorial Guinea 25 5
158 Bangladesh American Samoa 8 3
158 Nicaragua Suriname 48 14
160 Chad Equatorial Guinea 68 16
160 Lesotho Suriname 12 6
162 Malaysia Equatorial Guinea 20 10
163 Dominica American Samoa 26 10
163 Gambia Equatorial Guinea 69 19
165 Myanmar American Samoa 2 0
165 Sao Tome e Principe Bhutan 26 10
167 Aruba American Samoa 26 11
167 Pakistan American Samoa 5 0
169 Indonesia Equatorial Guinea 26 6
170 Nepal American Samoa 11 1
170 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 5
172 Laos American Samoa 4 0
173 Yemen Equatorial Guinea 29 4
174 Mauritius American Samoa 9 2
175 Faroe Islands Equatorial Guinea 47 12
176 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 9 4
177 Guam American Samoa 7 1
178 Vanuatu Equatorial Guinea 68 18
179 Montserrat American Samoa 26 7
180 Swaziland Bhutan 10 3
181 Curacao American Samoa 26 9
182 Guinea-Bissau Equatorial Guinea 69 19
183 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 12 3
183 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 7
185 Fiji Equatorial Guinea 68 18
185 Madagascar Suriname 47 15
187 Mongolia American Samoa 25 10
188 Samoa American Samoa 26 11
189 Tonga American Samoa 25 11
190 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 12
191 Bahamas American Samoa 26 12
192 Cayman Islands American Samoa 26 10
192 Comoros American Samoa 26 10
194 American Samoa Bhutan 26 11
195 Eritrea Suriname 48 18
195 Seychelles American Samoa 25 8
197 Papua New Guinea Suriname 47 19
198 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 10
199 Cambodia American Samoa 18 7
200 Somalia American Samoa 26 9
201 Macau American Samoa 17 7
202 Djibouti American Samoa 25 10
203 South Sudan Equatorial Guinea 69 27
204 Cook Islands American Samoa 25 12
205 Andorra American Samoa 15 8
206 Anguilla American Samoa 26 11
207 Bhutan American Samoa 26 12
207 San Marino American Samoa 15 7
207 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 12

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