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Friday, November 22, 2013

EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (22 November 2013)

This is the final ranking that will be used for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw. It will take place in Nice on 23 February 2014.

The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:

2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

Click here for more info on the coefficient system.

France will host the final tournament.


The qualifying format is already known (but things could change): 9 groups (1 x 5, 8 x 6)

Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots. 

Pot 1: Spain, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, England, Portugal, Greece, Russia, Bosnia-Herzegovina
Pot 2: Croatia, Ukraine, Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Hungary, Republic of Ireland
Pot 3: Serbia, Turkey, Slovenia, Israel, Norway, Slovakia, Romania, Austria, Montenegro
Pot 4: Armenia, Poland, Scotland, Finland, Latvia, Wales, Bulgaria, Estonia, Belarus
Pot 5: Iceland, Northern Ireland, Albania, Lithuania, Moldova, FYR Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Cyprus
Pot 6: Luxembourg, Kazakhstan, Liechtenstein, Faroe Islands, Malta, Andorra, San Marino, Gibraltar

Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points

 1  1 Spain               42158
 2  2 Germany             41365
 3  3 Netherlands         38541
 4  4 Italy               35343
 5  5 England             34885
 6  7 Portugal            34448
 7  8 Greece              33674
 8  6 Russia              32946
 9  9 Bosnia-Herzegovina  31416
-------------------------------
10 14 Croatia             30785
11 12 Ukraine             30635
12 10 Sweden              30245
13 11 Denmark             29660
14 13 Switzerland         29572
15 15 Belgium             28732
16 16 Czech Republic      28234
17 17 Hungary             27802
18 18 Republic of Ireland 26733
-------------------------------
19 19 Serbia              25985
20 20 Turkey              25955
21 21 Slovenia            25835
22 22 Israel              25442
23 23 Norway              25341
24 24 Slovakia            25333
25 25 Romania             25171
26 26 Austria             24572
27 27 Montenegro          22991
-------------------------------
28 28 Armenia             22861
29 29 Poland              22464
30 30 Scotland            22233
31 31 Finland             22001
32 32 Latvia              20771
33 33 Wales               20551
34 34 Bulgaria            20391
35 35 Estonia             19988
36 36 Belarus             19646
-------------------------------
37 39 Iceland             19376
38 37 Northern Ireland    19201
39 38 Albania             19151
40 40 Lithuania           19026
41 41 Moldova             18301
42 42 FYR Macedonia       17376
43 43 Azerbaijan          16901
44 44 Georgia             16766
45 45 Cyprus              14236
-------------------------------
46 46 Luxembourg          14050
47 47 Kazakhstan          13961
48 48 Liechtenstein       12220
49 49 Faroe Islands       11751
50 50 Malta               10740
51 51 Andorra              8560
52 52 San Marino           7420
53 53 Gibraltar               0

11 comments:

  1. Out of curiosity, where would France have been?

    ReplyDelete
  2. It brings up some interesting potential match-ups:

    England, Ireland, Scotland, Northern Ireland, Gibraltar + 1 other

    or:

    Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Serbia, Macedonia + 2 others

    or:

    Germany, Czech Republic, Austria, Poland, Liechtenstein + 1 other

    ReplyDelete
  3. In the regulations for EURO 2016 some changes in the bonus-points system are mentioned:
    - play-offs: both EURO and WC was 6000, becomes 4000;
    - group stage: EURO was 9000, becomes 8000; WC was 6000, becomes 8000;
    - round of 16: EURO was n/a, becomes 12000; WC was 9000, becomes 12000;

    This leads to some changes in the NT-ranking mentioned above:
    - a switch in positions between Switzerland and Denmark (still both in pot 2), Slovenia and Turkey (still both in pot 3), Slovakia, Israel and Norway (all still in pot 3)
    - and as most significant change: Armenia will climb to pot 3 and Montenegro will drop to pot 4.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I have found some new informations here:
    http://www.footballseeding.com/national-ranking-uefa/

    What about the coefficient calculating for the teams that have hosted final tournament in recent years? What about information that Poland will be in pot 3 and Armenia in pot 4?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, it seems there is another change in the regulations regarding the treatment of european hosts of a EURO or WC. As a host does not participate in the qualifying for their home tournament, for the calculation of the NT-coefficient the results of the previous qualifying tournament were incorporated to avoid a distorted calculation.
      In the new regulations for EURO 2016 it is stated that in that case the results of the most recent qualifying tournament shall be used instead.

      This leads to the following coefficients:
      for Poland: 23002 (jumps over Montenegro and Armenia to pot 3)
      for Ukraine: 30902 (jumps over Croatia, still pot 2)
      and for France: 30933.

      Well spotted !

      Delete
    2. Thanks peeotreck! Asked someone from UEFA about the implementation. Waiting for an answer next week.

      Delete
    3. Ok, thanks for sending your ask to UEFA. But I must to ask you if you see any uncertainty in the changed regulations. The other parts of document seem to be re-written from the previous one so the changes seem to be intentional, not accidental or unperceived.

      Delete
    4. There is a particularity in the new calculation for Ukraine: in the cycle two they use the points earned in the wc2014 qualifiers but with the old value of the play-offs bonus points (6000 points for each match). In the cycle three the bonus points are 4000 for each match according to the new rules. So for the same qualifying campaign Ukraine has 383530 in the cycle two and 379530 in the last cycle.. total 31156 according to the official publication by UEFA http://www.uefa.com/MultimediaFiles/Download/competitions/General/02/04/77/16/2047716_DOWNLOAD.pdf

      Delete
  5. Bosnia-Herzegovina-Ukraine-Austria-Wales-Albania

    England-Switzerland-Israel-Scotland-Azerbaijan-San Marino

    Germany-Sweden-Montenegro-Poland-Cyprus-Malta

    Greece-Republic of Ireland-Norway-Latvia-FYR Macedonia-Luxembourg

    Italy-Hungary-Romania-Finland-Georgia-Liechtenstein

    Netherlands-Denmark-Serbia-Estonia-Iceland-Kazakhstan

    Portugal-Czech Republic-Slovakia-Bulgaria-Lithuania-Gibraltar

    Russia-Croatia-Slovenia-Belarus-Moldova-Faroe Islands

    Spain-Belgium-Turkey-Armenia-Northern Ireland-Andorra

    ReplyDelete