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Friday, September 26, 2014

September 2014: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the September 2014 FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team and their recommended opponent.

The most popular opponent for the month of August were again Sierra Leone, this time far ahead of the pack - no less than 97 teams had the Stars as their recommended opponent. Aruba (45) and Armenia (32) were the other teams in the top 3.


Of the top 20 teams, 5 would have gained points: Spain, Italy, USA, England and Croatia, with the last two even climbing in the rankings.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

25 - Togo
24 - Equatorial Guinea
23 - Haiti and Cuba

Sierra Leone were the recommended opponent for all 4.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

22 - Venezuela
12 - Paraguay
10 - Hungary

Armenia were the recommended opponent for the 2 South American teams. Hungary opponent would have been Sierra Leone.

September Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Germany Uruguay -32 0
2 Argentina Switzerland -28 0
3 Colombia Croatia -23 0
4 Netherlands Switzerland -23 -1
5 Belgium Armenia -26 0
6 Brazil Armenia -17 0
7 Uruguay Armenia -16 -1
8 Spain Romania 1 0
9 France Romania -17 0
10 Switzerland Armenia -16 0
11 Portugal Romania -9 0
12 Chile Armenia -9 0
13 Italy Armenia 3 0
14 Greece Armenia -4 0
15 Costa Rica Armenia -10 0
16 Mexico Armenia -4 0
17 USA Armenia 1 0
18 England Armenia 1 1
19 Croatia Armenia 8 2
20 Algeria Armenia -8 0
21 Ecuador Armenia 4 0
22 Côte d'Ivoire Armenia 3 0
23 Russia Armenia 9 1
24 Ukraine Armenia 1 0
25 Bosnia-Herzegovina Armenia 10 1
26 Romania Armenia 3 0
27 Denmark Iceland 5 1
28 Czech Republic Armenia 7 0
29 Scotland Armenia 8 0
29 Wales Sierra Leone 2 0
31 Tunisia Sierra Leone 1 0
32 Sweden Armenia 21 0
33 Ghana Armenia 10 1
34 Iceland Sierra Leone 7 0
34 Serbia Iceland 14 0
36 Senegal Sierra Leone 1 2
37 Nigeria Armenia 6 3
38 Turkey Armenia 13 4
39 Austria Sierra Leone 13 0
40 Slovakia Sierra Leone 5 0
41 Cape Verde Islands Sierra Leone 76 9
42 Cameroon Iceland 8 1
43 Montenegro Sierra Leone 24 2
44 Iran Sierra Leone 9 0
45 Albania Sierra Leone 17 1
46 Bulgaria Sierra Leone 23 3
47 Peru Armenia 36 4
48 Burkina Faso Sierra Leone 10 1
48 Congo Sierra Leone 4 0
48 Guinea Sierra Leone 77 9
48 Japan Armenia 17 4
52 Armenia Sierra Leone 20 8
53 Slovenia Sierra Leone 26 9
54 Hungary Sierra Leone 31 10
55 Panama Armenia 28 8
56 Honduras Sierra Leone 12 1
57 Guatemala Sierra Leone 4 1
58 Uzbekistan Sierra Leone 15 3
59 Mali Sierra Leone 19 4
60 Paraguay Armenia 43 12
61 Egypt Armenia 25 6
62 Republic of Ireland Armenia 23 3
63 Korea Republic Sierra Leone 11 1
64 Israel Sierra Leone 28 5
65 Finland Sierra Leone 24 5
66 Venezuela Armenia 98 22
67 South Africa Sierra Leone 15 0
68 Libya Sierra Leone 20 1
69 Jordan Sierra Leone 10 2
70 Poland Sierra Leone 26 3
71 Northern Ireland Sierra Leone 22 3
72 El Salvador Sierra Leone 21 3
73 Congo DR Azerbaijan 19 3
73 United Arab Emirates Sierra Leone 15 3
75 Sierra Leone Luxembourg 17 5
76 Norway Sierra Leone 24 6
76 Oman Sierra Leone 15 6
78 Benin Sierra Leone 25 8
79 Uganda Sierra Leone 9 4
80 Antigua and Barbuda Sierra Leone 77 14
81 Estonia Sierra Leone 20 6
82 Saudi Arabia Sierra Leone 16 4
83 Gabon Sierra Leone 19 4
84 Australia Sierra Leone 24 5
85 Cyprus Sierra Leone 16 5
86 Trinidad and Tobago Sierra Leone 39 7
87 Morocco Sierra Leone 26 4
88 Zambia Sierra Leone 22 2
89 Belarus Sierra Leone 27 5
90 Iraq Sierra Leone 23 4
91 Botswana Sierra Leone 18 5
92 Zimbabwe Sierra Leone 17 4
93 Rwanda Sierra Leone 12 3
94 Bolivia Sierra Leone 55 12
95 Azerbaijan Sierra Leone 22 7
96 Qatar Sierra Leone 15 6
97 China PR Sierra Leone 22 7
98 Malawi Sierra Leone 19 8
99 Latvia Sierra Leone 25 9
100 Jamaica Sierra Leone 26 6
101 Angola Sierra Leone 46 11
102 Palestine Sierra Leone 18 2
103 Lithuania Sierra Leone 22 3
104 Bahrain Sierra Leone 18 4
105 Moldova Sierra Leone 17 4
106 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Aruba 3 1
107 Dominican Republic Sierra Leone 77 20
107 Niger Sierra Leone 39 8
109 Mozambique Sierra Leone 17 7
110 Georgia Sierra Leone 52 14
111 Kenya Sierra Leone 21 8
112 FYR Macedonia Sierra Leone 46 12
113 Namibia Sierra Leone 34 12
114 Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone 77 24
115 Lesotho Sierra Leone 20 8
115 Tanzania Sierra Leone 17 6
117 St. Kitts and Nevis Aruba 39 16
118 New Zealand Sierra Leone 50 18
119 Haiti Sierra Leone 76 23
120 Canada Sierra Leone 43 16
121 Lebanon Sierra Leone 27 11
122 Cuba Sierra Leone 77 23
123 St. Lucia Aruba 5 1
124 Kuwait Sierra Leone 18 5
125 Togo Sierra Leone 77 25
126 Liberia Sierra Leone 76 25
127 Kazakhstan Sierra Leone 36 9
127 Luxembourg Aruba 15 3
129 Aruba American Samoa -7 0
130 Burundi Sierra Leone 22 5
130 Guinea-Bissau Aruba 39 10
132 Ethiopia Sierra Leone 31 8
133 Sudan Sierra Leone 29 9
134 Philippines Sierra Leone 17 5
135 Afghanistan Aruba 10 4
136 Tajikistan Sierra Leone 53 17
137 Central African Republic Sierra Leone 76 24
137 Grenada Aruba 22 8
137 New Caledonia Sierra Leone 76 24
140 Mauritania Aruba 6 0
141 Turkmenistan Sierra Leone 77 23
142 Vietnam Sierra Leone 32 12
143 Myanmar Aruba 9 3
144 Chad Sierra Leone 77 22
145 Maldives Aruba 10 2
146 Madagascar Aruba 39 13
147 Suriname Aruba 39 13
148 Curaçao Aruba 19 3
149 Singapore Aruba 11 1
150 Korea DPR Sierra Leone 77 21
151 Kyrgyzstan Aruba 13 3
152 Syria Sierra Leone 53 12
153 Guyana Sierra Leone 76 21
154 Malaysia Aruba 12 0
155 Malta Aruba 26 4
156 Indonesia Aruba 11 2
157 Puerto Rico Aruba 39 9
158 India Aruba 39 6
158 Thailand Sierra Leone 61 11
160 Swaziland Aruba 14 3
161 Barbados Aruba 38 8
162 Tahiti Sierra Leone 76 16
163 Belize Aruba 38 9
164 Guam American Samoa 9 2
164 Hong Kong Aruba 26 7
166 Gambia Sierra Leone 77 19
167 Dominica Aruba 15 4
168 Montserrat American Samoa 25 6
169 Laos American Samoa 15 2
170 Bermuda Aruba 39 12
170 Nicaragua Aruba 39 12
172 Liechtenstein Aruba 27 10
172 Seychelles Aruba 18 5
174 Comoros Aruba 38 16
175 Pakistan Aruba 39 17
176 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 12
177 Sao Tome e Principe Aruba 39 15
178 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 25 11
179 Faroe Islands Aruba 42 17
180 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 13
181 Bangladesh Aruba 39 18
182 Solomon Islands Aruba 39 19
183 Nepal Aruba 39 17
184 Yemen Aruba 21 9
185 South Sudan Aruba 26 6
186 Macau American Samoa 26 7
187 Samoa American Samoa 26 4
188 Vanuatu Aruba 39 11
189 Mauritius Aruba 39 11
190 Fiji Sierra Leone 76 28
191 Mongolia American Samoa 25 6
192 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 7
193 American Samoa Bhutan 25 8
193 Bahamas Aruba 39 12
193 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 25 8
193 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 8
193 Tonga American Samoa 25 8
198 Cayman Islands Aruba 38 14
199 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 12
199 Cambodia American Samoa 26 12
199 Papua New Guinea Aruba 39 14
202 Eritrea Aruba 39 17
203 Andorra Aruba 35 18
204 Somalia American Samoa 26 16
205 Cook Islands American Samoa 26 16
205 Djibouti American Samoa 26 16
207 Anguilla American Samoa 26 14
208 Bhutan American Samoa 26 15
208 San Marino American Samoa 28 16

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