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Friday, February 21, 2014

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Yemen, Vietnam and Uzbekistan expected to climb 10 or more places.

Myanmar, Palestine, Laos, Guam, Turkmenistan, Armenia, Tajikistan and United Arab Emirates expected to drop 10 or more.

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the March 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 preview

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

28 - Cuba
22 - Benin
19 - Congo DR
17 - Bolivia
13 - Afghanistan
6 - Japan
4 - Canada
4 - Malawi
4 - Nepal
3 - Nigeria
3 - Cambodia

Friday, February 14, 2014

Best teams to play against on 5 March

This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating).

I took into account only teams that would bring at least 200 points for an OFC opponent.

The top 20 best teams to play against have already scheduled friendlies.

February 2014: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference


Korea DPR 136 61 75
Fiji 181 122 59
South Sudan 202 148 54
Syria 133 94 39
Kuwait 109 73 36
Guinea-Bissau 183 147 36
Vanuatu 179 144 35
Iraq 114 81 33
Guatemala 126 93 33
Papua New Guinea 194 161 33