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Friday, May 29, 2015

FIFA Ranking: June 2015 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 June.

11 matches left - all friendlies, although 3 of them are the final matches of the 2015 COSAFA Cup.

The top 50 is pretty much set, only Mexico and Northern Ireland having matches scheduled before the deadline.



This is how the points and ranks could change for the 22 teams involved.

Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank


Mexico 907 926 24 23
Northern Ireland 664 699 47 42
Zambia 517 533 68 63
Honduras 442 462 75 75
Mozambique 391 409 83 79
El Salvador 371 394 90 81
Guatemala 348 394 94 81
Qatar 327 350 99 93
Malawi 320 345 102 95
Oman 313 329 103 96
Jordan 312 322 104 99
Bahrain 288 307 111 105
Botswana 285 293 111 106
Namibia 262 303 116 105
Libya 238 268 119 114
Madagascar 237 278 120 112
Palestine 237 256 120 116
Lebanon 172 221 140 123
Singapore 126 136 159 153
Bangladesh 116 141 165 150
Afghanistan 112 138 167 151
Laos 94 112 175 167

Best/worst moves etc. can be found in this post.

June 2015 rank - Team - June 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1775 0 88
2 Belgium 1509 1 52
3 Argentina 1496 -1 2
4 Colombia 1435 0 23
5 Brazil 1392 0 20
6 Netherlands 1378 0 77
7 Portugal 1229 0 8
8 Uruguay 1183 0 7
9 France 1164 2 37
10 Spain 1147 0 15
11 Switzerland 1146 -2 11
12 Romania 1115 0 29
13 Italy 1101 0 16
14 Costa Rica 1056 1 40
15 England 1051 -1 21
16 Czech Republic 1036 2 113
17 Slovakia 1012 2 92
18 Croatia 992 -1 15
19 Chile 989 -3 -13
20 Austria 946 5 55
21 Algeria 941 -1 24
22 Wales 929 -1 13
23 Côte d'Ivoire 916 0 9
24 Mexico 907 -2 -1
25 Greece 899 -1 -1
26 Russia 833 1 5
27 USA 823 1 -2
28 Scotland 818 2 22
29 Denmark 808 0 0
29 Tunisia 808 2 15
31 Ecuador 806 3 44
32 Bosnia-Herzegovina 802 0 19
32 Poland 802 3 49
34 Ghana 800 -8 -33
35 Ukraine 784 -2 12
36 Senegal 782 0 30
37 Iceland 769 1 41
38 Cape Verde Islands 746 -1 9
39 Sweden 737 0 33
40 Israel 725 6 76
41 Iran 717 -1 28
42 Hungary 685 1 20
43 Nigeria 681 2 22
44 Guinea 673 -3 -5
44 Serbia 673 0 9
46 Congo 666 3 42
47 Northern Ireland 664 -5 -8
48 Slovenia 653 -1 5
49 Cameroon 641 -1 14
50 Equatorial Guinea 635 11 86
51 Albania 624 6 49
52 Japan 623 -2 9
52 Mali 623 4 45
54 Panama 597 -1 10
55 Egypt 596 -4 -16
56 Congo DR 591 -2 7
57 Turkey 590 -5 -13
58 Korea Republic 587 -1 12
59 Gabon 583 -4 0
60 Republic of Ireland 581 2 35
61 Peru 546 2 14
62 Bulgaria 537 5 32
63 Australia 532 1 1
64 Norway 528 6 37
65 Jamaica 524 9 58
66 Burkina Faso 520 0 3
67 Trinidad and Tobago 519 -2 0
68 Zambia 517 -8 -35
69 South Africa 515 -10 -38
70 Montenegro 513 5 56
71 Uganda 504 0 19
72 Venezuela 497 -3 2
73 United Arab Emirates 496 -5 -5
74 Uzbekistan 479 -2 3
75 Haiti 442 4 0
75 Honduras 442 1 -11
77 Togo 438 3 3
78 Finland 410 0 -36
79 China PR 409 3 1
80 Belarus 400 3 3
81 Mozambique 391 5 8
82 Latvia 390 3 3
83 Sierra Leone 387 5 5
84 Armenia 383 -7 -66
85 Paraguay 382 -4 -33
86 Iraq 381 0 -2
87 Cyprus 377 9 35
88 Angola 374 1 -7
89 Bolivia 371 3 11
89 El Salvador 371 -5 -17
91 Estonia 370 2 12
92 Morocco 369 -2 -2
93 Guatemala 348 -3 -23
94 Rwanda 346 -21 -128
95 Lithuania 341 5 8
96 Saudi Arabia 329 -1 -20
97 Qatar 327 2 -10
98 Ethiopia 324 3 3
99 FYR Macedonia 321 6 9
100 Malawi 320 -3 -21
101 Faroe Islands 318 1 0
102 Antigua and Barbuda 313 4 2
102 Oman 313 -5 -28
104 Jordan 312 -1 -4
105 Cuba 295 4 -3
106 Sudan 292 5 4
107 Canada 290 8 13
108 Benin 289 -14 -68
109 Bahrain 288 -1 -11
110 Botswana 285 -6 -29
111 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 279 -1 -12
112 St. Kitts and Nevis 275 0 -6
113 Azerbaijan 272 3 8
114 Namibia 262 0 -17
115 Dominican Republic 257 3 0
116 Niger 251 3 -1
117 Libya 238 -5 -43
117 Zimbabwe 238 6 3
119 Madagascar 237 31 81
119 Palestine 237 22 47
121 Syria 234 4 9
122 Lesotho 226 -1 -16
123 Kenya 220 -6 -38
124 Moldova 219 -4 -26
125 Kuwait 218 1 -6
126 Bermuda 217 2 0
127 Tanzania 215 -20 -89
127 Vietnam 215 -3 -14
129 Liechtenstein 207 -2 -12
129 Thailand 207 13 24
131 Luxembourg 201 6 1
132 Barbados 196 -2 -19
133 Kazakhstan 195 1 -15
134 Burundi 194 -12 -43
135 St. Lucia 186 -4 -28
136 Philippines 183 1 -17
137 New Zealand 180 7 17
138 Georgia 173 1 -24
138 Tajikistan 173 5 0
140 Lebanon 172 4 9
141 Central African Republic 161 3 -2
141 India 161 6 0
143 Myanmar 160 15 27
144 Curaçao 159 4 0
145 Malta 154 4 -4
146 Korea DPR 151 10 12
146 Timor-Leste 151 5 0
148 Liberia 149 -16 -63
149 Mauritania 146 -20 -70
150 Guyana 140 13 12
151 Aruba 138 -15 -66
151 Nicaragua 138 3 -4
153 Belize 131 6 0
153 Guinea-Bissau 131 -21 -81
153 Indonesia 131 6 0
156 Bhutan 128 7 0
157 Singapore 126 5 -4
158 Gambia 124 -1 -14
158 Grenada 124 13 11
160 Malaysia 121 6 1
160 Swaziland 121 16 24
162 Hong Kong 118 7 2
163 Yemen 117 5 0
164 Bangladesh 116 5 0
165 Suriname 115 -10 -26
166 Puerto Rico 114 1 -5
167 Afghanistan 112 -32 -96
167 Dominica 112 -2 -9
169 New Caledonia 111 6 10
170 Pakistan 106 3 0
171 US Virgin Islands 104 3 0
172 Chad 100 -20 -50
173 Turkmenistan 99 -14 -32
174 Guam 97 2 0
175 Laos 94 3 6
176 Mauritius 90 9 25
177 Kyrgyzstan 89 -24 -59
178 Cambodia 86 1 0
178 Chinese Taipei 86 1 0
178 Maldives 86 -38 -105
181 Montserrat 74 -9 -33
182 Tahiti 71 3 6
183 Nepal 70 -2 0
184 Brunei Darussalam 69 -2 0
185 Macau 66 -2 0
186 Sri Lanka 64 2 0
187 Seychelles 60 2 0
188 Sao Tome e Principe 58 2 0
189 Cayman Islands 48 2 0
190 Comoros 44 -5 -21
190 Solomon Islands 44 2 -2
192 San Marino 40 2 0
193 Turks and Caicos Islands 33 -10 -33
194 British Virgin Islands 29 4 3
195 Fiji 28 1 -2
196 Bahamas 26 2 0
197 South Sudan 24 -4 -19
198 Samoa 21 -2 -9
199 Mongolia 19 1 0
200 Tonga 17 1 0
200 Vanuatu 17 -5 -17
202 Papua New Guinea 13 0 0
203 American Samoa 12 0 0
204 Andorra 8 0 0
204 Eritrea 8 0 0
206 Somalia 6 0 0
207 Cook Islands 4 0 0
207 Djibouti 4 0 0
209 Anguilla 2 0 0

15 comments:

  1. Belgium had, up to now, been ranked as high as third, and yet, on all occasions, Argentina had been ranked even higher than them. Only now, moving to the second place, they finally do overtake Argentina. But has Belgium ever been above Germany? And how likely is that to happen any time soon?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Belgium has never been above Germany in the FIFA-ranking but lo and behold, if all scheduled matches go according to elo-predictions then Belgium could overtake Germany very soon. In August Belgium is 4th and Germany is 5th !

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I guess the top three places will be occupied by Brazil, Argentina and Colombia (not necessarily in that order), who will are predicted to earn lots of points at the Copa América this month. But what if all three of them perform rather poorly, like what they did in the previous edition of the Copa América (2011) when none of them reached the semi-finals? Can Belgium dream of getting ranked number 1 in the world?

      Delete
    2. Well, dreaming is always allowed, I guess :)
      But, especially if Argentina does not perform conform elo-predictions (they are predicted to win the tournament on penalties against Chile, while Brazil wins the third place play-off on penalties against Colombia) Belgium could easily be catapulted to first place, because in the predicted August ranking they are hot on the heels of Colombia and Brazil already. Only Argentina has created quite some distance (200+ points).
      A very first good step could be made tonight if Belgium wins against France instead of the predicted loss ! You are predicted second in August then already. Of course the Wales-qualifier remains a must-win for that to happen.

      Delete
  3. A very good movie explaining the fifa ranking system.
    https://youtu.be/hbuhSBan3Yg

    only drawback: it's in Dutch.

    ReplyDelete
  4. By the way, I absolutely love the new way users have to prove they're not robots. Point all photos displaying the given type of food - lovely!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Google must have changed the CAPTCHA challenge. I have made no modifications.

      Delete
  5. Blatter just declared there is no fraud in FIFA, only wrong mathematics used by the entire world except for FIFA. Look at: http://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/ranking-table/men/index.html#201

    Anguilla's ranking & detailled ranking: 0+0+0+0 = 2

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. And now they have adjusted it, but, typically, in the wrong way: June points for Anguilla is 2, not 0. Their fourth timeframe average is 1.76.
      What on earth are they doing in Zürich at the moment ? Everybody's confused, that's for sure !

      Delete
    2. Hm, I see the ranking-points for Anguilla in the CONCACAF-filtered list (0 pts) is different from their ranking-points in the unfiltered list (2 pts). Somebody really has to check the working process of that website...

      Delete
  6. Quick question (i don't have my rankings table with me): which games in july will still count at 100% for july's ranking? by Germany's loss, i think Belgium jumps over Germany if they win in Wales. (off course, some South American national teams will probably jump over Belgium).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. According to my calculations, Belgium are still some 20 points behind Germany, even with a win in Wales.

      Delete
    2. probably Germany's 7-1 win still counts at 100% and isn't yet devaluated to 50%?

      Delete
  7. Nope, only the final vs. Argentina counts in the 100% timeframe.

    ReplyDelete
  8. just 've seen my error: i included the Gibraltar result ;).

    ReplyDelete