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Friday, June 12, 2015

FIFA Ranking: July 2015 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 9 July.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.


Probable July 2015 rank - Team - Probable July 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Argentina 1580 2 84
2 Germany 1411 -1 -364
3 Belgium 1391 -1 -118
4 Colombia 1356 0 -79
5 Brazil 1344 0 -48
6 Romania 1277 6 162
7 Netherlands 1204 -1 -174
8 England 1157 7 106
9 Portugal 1136 -2 -93
10 Spain 1110 0 -37
11 Chile 1106 8 117
12 Uruguay 1093 -4 -90
13 Croatia 1023 5 31
14 Italy 1020 -1 -81
15 Slovakia 1016 2 4
16 Switzerland 997 -5 -149
17 Czech Republic 983 -1 -53
18 Algeria 941 3 0
19 Côte d'Ivoire 930 5 14
20 France 926 -11 -238
21 Russia 915 5 82
22 Wales 910 0 -19
23 Denmark 876 6 68
24 Austria 854 -4 -92
25 Ghana 827 9 27
26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 819 6 17
27 Poland 818 5 16
28 Ukraine 791 7 7
29 Tunisia 789 0 -19
30 Iceland 786 7 17
31 Sweden 752 8 15
32 USA 748 -5 -75
33 Iran 740 8 23
34 Greece 731 -9 -168
34 Scotland 731 -6 -87
36 Mexico 728 -13 -198
37 Ecuador 717 -6 -89
38 Senegal 715 -2 -67
39 Republic of Ireland 714 21 133
40 Costa Rica 695 -26 -361
41 Hungary 688 1 3
42 Cameroon 672 7 31
43 Northern Ireland 663 1 -13
44 Serbia 662 1 -11
45 Congo 656 2 -10
46 Albania 641 5 17
47 Japan 636 5 13
48 Turkey 627 9 37
49 Slovenia 626 -1 -27
50 Guinea 622 -5 -51
51 Israel 620 -11 -105
52 Cape Verde Islands 608 -14 -138
52 Korea Republic 608 6 21
54 Egypt 606 1 10
55 Nigeria 601 -12 -80
56 Equatorial Guinea 584 -6 -51
57 Australia 559 6 27
58 Mali 556 -6 -67
59 Congo DR 555 -3 -36
60 Panama 549 -6 -48
61 Trinidad and Tobago 543 6 24
62 Norway 537 2 9
63 Venezuela 521 9 24
64 Gabon 513 -5 -70
65 Zambia 497 3 -20
66 South Africa 493 3 -22
67 Bulgaria 489 -5 -48
68 United Arab Emirates 487 5 -9
69 Burkina Faso 481 -3 -39
70 Uganda 462 1 -42
71 Paraguay 459 14 77
71 Uzbekistan 459 3 -20
73 Peru 448 -12 -98
74 Jamaica 437 -9 -87
75 China PR 436 4 27
76 Haiti 428 0 -14
77 Montenegro 423 -7 -90
78 Estonia 420 13 50
78 Finland 420 0 10
80 Honduras 416 -5 -46
81 Togo 415 -4 -23
82 Morocco 402 10 33
83 Mozambique 399 -2 8
84 Cyprus 391 3 14
85 Iraq 382 1 1
86 Latvia 377 -4 -13
87 El Salvador 374 2 3
88 Armenia 373 -4 -10
89 Sudan 371 19 79
90 Angola 363 -2 -11
91 Jordan 355 12 39
91 Saudi Arabia 355 7 26
93 Qatar 345 4 11
94 Belarus 341 -14 -59
95 Cuba 339 12 44
96 Malawi 334 -1 -11
97 Guatemala 333 -4 -15
98 Oman 329 3 10
99 Canada 328 10 38
100 Rwanda 325 -6 -21
101 Sierra Leone 317 -18 -70
102 Ethiopia 314 -3 -10
103 FYR Macedonia 311 -3 -10
104 Niger 305 13 54
105 Lithuania 301 -9 -40
106 Bolivia 294 -17 -77
107 Libya 287 12 49
108 Bahrain 282 -2 -17
108 Benin 282 2 -7
110 Antigua and Barbuda 281 -6 -32
111 Moldova 275 13 56
112 Namibia 271 -7 -32
113 Azerbaijan 264 2 -8
114 Botswana 261 -3 -24
115 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 260 -3 -19
116 Kenya 256 7 36
117 St. Kitts and Nevis 254 -3 -21
118 Madagascar 250 -5 -28
119 Kuwait 242 6 24
119 St. Lucia 242 17 56
121 Syria 240 0 6
122 Faroe Islands 239 -20 -79
123 Dominican Republic 238 -7 -19
123 Palestine 238 -5 -4
125 Barbados 227 7 31
126 Zimbabwe 226 -7 -12
127 India 225 14 64
128 Philippines 221 9 38
129 Lebanon 218 6 30
130 Burundi 217 4 23
131 Guyana 213 27 84
131 Lesotho 213 -9 -13
133 Afghanistan 212 18 74
133 Tajikistan 212 6 39
135 New Zealand 209 3 29
136 Belize 206 19 75
137 Thailand 199 -8 -8
138 Kazakhstan 195 -5 0
139 Tanzania 191 -12 -24
140 Vietnam 188 -13 -27
141 Luxembourg 187 -10 -14
142 Korea DPR 181 4 30
143 Suriname 179 7 38
144 Bermuda 177 -18 -40
145 Georgia 165 -6 -8
146 Grenada 163 14 39
146 Hong Kong 163 18 45
148 Liechtenstein 161 -19 -46
149 Kyrgyzstan 160 28 71
150 Malta 157 -5 3
151 Mauritania 153 -2 7
151 Nicaragua 153 0 15
153 Curaçao 152 -9 -7
154 Singapore 149 0 13
155 Myanmar 145 -12 -15
156 Indonesia 134 -1 3
156 Puerto Rico 134 11 20
158 Gambia 133 2 9
159 Guinea-Bissau 131 -4 0
160 Timor-Leste 130 -14 -21
161 Bhutan 128 -2 0
161 Malaysia 128 1 7
163 Liberia 126 -15 -23
164 Aruba 125 -13 -13
165 Guam 122 9 25
166 New Caledonia 118 3 7
166 Yemen 118 -1 1
168 Central African Republic 111 -27 -50
169 Swaziland 108 -7 -13
170 Pakistan 101 0 -5
171 Chad 100 1 0
172 Turkmenistan 99 1 0
173 Dominica 98 -5 -14
174 Bangladesh 97 -8 -19
174 US Virgin Islands 97 -3 -7
176 Maldives 87 2 1
177 Laos 86 -2 -8
178 Montserrat 74 3 0
179 Chinese Taipei 72 -1 -14
180 Mauritius 71 -4 -19
181 Cambodia 66 -3 -20
181 Macau 66 4 0
183 Sri Lanka 62 3 -2
184 Brunei Darussalam 61 0 -8
185 Nepal 60 -2 -10
186 Seychelles 52 1 -8
187 Tahiti 50 -5 -21
188 Cayman Islands 48 1 0
188 Sao Tome e Principe 48 0 -10
190 Solomon Islands 44 0 0
191 San Marino 40 1 0
192 Comoros 37 -2 -7
193 Turks and Caicos Islands 33 0 0
194 British Virgin Islands 27 0 -2
195 South Sudan 24 2 0
196 Samoa 19 2 -2
197 Tonga 17 3 0
197 Vanuatu 17 3 0
199 Fiji 16 -4 -12
200 Bahamas 13 -4 -13
201 American Samoa 12 2 0
202 Andorra 9 2 1
202 Papua New Guinea 9 0 -4
204 Eritrea 8 0 0
205 Mongolia 6 -6 -13
205 Somalia 6 1 0
207 Cook Islands 4 0 0
207 Djibouti 4 0 0
209 Anguilla 0 0 -2

31 comments:

  1. Hi!

    I was wondering if Mexico and Jamaica have an unfair advantage as they're playing both Copa America and Gold Cup, which means more competitive matches.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, there was an opportunity, but both failed to perform.

      Delete
  2. Yay! Romania will be on 6th place! ^^ (I'm Romanian)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. no offense because i have nothing against romania, but its completely undeserved.

      Delete
    2. Undeserved? You mustn't be seen Romania performance in Group F of Euro 2016 Qualifiers. I think they deserved it.

      Delete
    3. Romania haven't been that good. Only 1 point clear of a team with only 1 world class player in Lafferty in a group they should be walking

      Delete
    4. @Andrei - At most 7th.

      @Anonymous Romania have no world class player.

      Delete
  3. Costa Rica are losing 23 places this month; where will they end in August ranking should they win the Gold Cup?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Andres, elo predicts that they win their three group matches and the quarter final (against Panama), but then lose to the USA in the semis and win in the third place play-off against Guatemala. With that set of results Costa Rica will end at around spot 23 in August.
      If they win their semi and consequently the final against Mexico then Costa Rica will land at around spot 18, making up for almost all the lost ground in July. But for that a good, deep run in the Gold Cup is necessary anyhow. Success !

      Delete
  4. Slovakia in 1 basket :) when portugal won against italy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. no Croatia is the last team in Pot 1, Slovakia is still behind Italy as 2nd and 1st in Pot 2 respectively

      Delete
    2. No, actually Slovakia is the top ranked team in pot 2, then Austria, and only then Italy with only 1001 points.

      Delete
    3. thank you for the correction, I think I was using the Italy numbers if they had a draw against Portugal like elo predicted

      Delete
  5. My nt (greece) after her loss by Faroe will go very very down..I think somewhere between 50th and 40th place...

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hi Edgar,
    Could you please post the rankings, not taking friendlies into account?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "On vacation from 12 June. Will return in one or two weeks."

      Delete
    2. Thanks nepoznat - still waiting for a reply on LinkedIn.

      Delete
  7. Quick question,
    Does anybody have a complete excel doc for FIFA Rankings that I could use and another question how come when I use the FIFA Ranking tool, the Confederation Coefficient changes, for example CONCACAF has .92, .925, and .95 and UEFA has both .99 and .92.
    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  8. The match confederation coefficient is the average of 2 coefficents. So Germany playing New Zealand is (0.99+0.85)/2. Germany playing argentina is (0.99+1.00)/2.

    Concerning excel-table: http://www.filedropper.com/fifaranking could improve the table (now you have to add each game twice), but i'm lazy

    ReplyDelete
  9. Will the 3 - 0 result (FIFA sanctioned Barbados for fielding an ineligible player) awarded to Aruba also count for the FIFA ranking points?

    ReplyDelete
  10. yes, Aruba collects 211 points in the July-ranking (instead of 125 points with the loss) and jumps from spot 151 in June to somewhere around spot 135, close to their all-time high of 120 reached in June 2014.

    ReplyDelete
  11. According to the latest FIFA Rankings calculator it'll should be like this:
    1. Argentina 1438 +2
    2. Germany 1411 -1
    3. Belgium 1244 -1
    4. Colombia 1217 -
    5. Netherlands 1204 +1
    6. Brazil 1186 -1
    7. Portugal 1177 -
    8. Romania 1166 +4
    9. England 1157 +6
    10. Wales 1155 +12
    11. Spain 1110 -1
    12. Chile 1089 +7
    13. Uruguay 1036 -5
    14. Croatia 1023 +4
    15. Slovakia 1016 +2
    16. Austria 1016 +4
    17. Italy 1001 -4
    18. Switzerland 997 -7
    19. Algeria 941 +2
    20. Czech Republic 933 -4
    21. Ivory Coast 917 +3
    22. France 882 -13
    23. Iceland 877 +14
    24. Denmark 876 +5
    25. Ghana 827 +9
    26. Bosnia Herze 819 +6
    27. Ukraine 791 +8
    28. USA 786 -1
    29. Russia 782 -3
    30. Poland 769 +2
    31. Costa Rica 764 -17
    32. Hungary 763 +10
    33. Scotland 774 -5
    34. Tunisia 758 -5
    35. Sweden 752 +4
    36. Ecuador 738 -5
    37. Albania 722 +14
    38. North Ireland 721 +6
    39. Iran 716 +2
    40. Mexico 709 -17
    41. Senegal 709
    42. Serbia 662
    43. Greece 661
    44. Venezuela 643
    45. Congo 630
    46. Slovenia 626
    47. Japan 621
    48. Israel 620
    49. Cape Verde 608
    50. Egypt 606

    ReplyDelete
  12. My mistake Scotland should be 30, Poland 31, Costa Rica 32, Hungary 33

    ReplyDelete