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Friday, July 17, 2015

FIFA Ranking: August 2015 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 August.

I will most likely post the final preview on 31 July, if I'm not on vacation. That's a big if.

13 matches left: the 8 final matches of the 2015 CONCACAF Gold Cup and a couple of friendlies (actually Indian Ocean Islands Games and East Asian Cup matches).


Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank

USA 784 911 31 22
Costa Rica 728 912 39 21
Mexico 721 852 40 26
Japan 595 607 59 52
Korea Republic 581 599 60 54
Trinidad and Tobago 563 767 60 34
Jamaica 498 673 68 42
Panama 470 633 73 45
China PR 416 441 81 77
Haiti 387 614 85 49
Cuba 254 464 119 74
Madagascar 230 246 127 122
Korea DPR 213 240 133 123
Maldives 90 115 175 169
Mauritius 59 73 185 179
Seychelles 52 82 186 178
Comoros 50 75 186 178

In the table below I've used the minimum points for these teams.

Best movers:

14 - Mauritania
12 - Albania
9 - Malawi

Worst movers:

-22 - El Salvador
-21 - Serbia
-18 - Benin

Best movers in the top 50:

12 - Albania
3 - USA
2 - Costa Rica, Congo

Of course, both USA and Costa Rica can climb further.

Worst movers in the top 50:

-21 - Serbia
-7 - Netherlands
-5 - Uruguay

6 teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Wales (9 - 10 in July 2015)
Austria (14 - 15 in July 2015)
Slovakia (14 - 15 in July 2015)
Albania (at least 24 - 36 in July 2015)
Congo (at least 45 - 47 in July 2015)
Guam (146 - 154 in July 2015)

Belgium will return to its best ever ranking (2nd - June 2015).

Two teams will drop to new lows:

Serbia (at most 64 - 47 in December 2005)
Bahamas (208 - 200 in July 2015)

Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:

Romania (7 - 7 in December 1997) - 17 years and 8 months
Mauritania (at least 114 - 114 in March 2008) - 7 years and 5 months
Sudan (at least 88 - 88 in June 2009) - 6 years and 2 months
Swaziland (at least 132 - 131 in May 2010) - 5 years and 3 months
Chile (10 - 10 in September 2010) - 4 years and 11 months
Cyprus (at least 84 - 76 in August 2011) - 4 years
England (8 - 7 in May 2013) - 2 years and 3 months
Canada (at least 102 - 91 in August 2013) - 2 years

Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:

Georgia (154 - 156 in April 1994) - 21 years and 4 months
Tajikistan (158 - 165 in December 2009) - 5 years and 8 months
Mali (at most 62 - 69 in January 2012) - 3 years and 7 months
Uzbekistan (at most 76 - 77 in February 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
Malta (159 - 159 in February 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
Tanzania (140 - 145 in May 2012) - 3 years and 3 months
South Africa (at most 71 - 85 in January 2013) - 2 years and 7 months
Uruguay (18 - 19 in June 2013) - 2 years and 2 months
Botswana (121 - 127 in June 2013) - 2 years and 2 months
Benin (at most 114 - 115 in July 2013) - 2 years and 1 month

Albania will be ranked above Denmark, Ghana, Russia and Sweden for the first time ever.
Anguilla will be ranked above Bahamas for the first time ever.
Belgium will be ranked above Germany for the first time ever.
Bhutan will be ranked above Indonesia for the first time ever.
Congo will be ranked above Serbia for the first time ever.
Equatorial Guinea will be ranked above Serbia for the first time ever.
Congo DR will be ranked above Serbia for the first time in the last 18 years and 11 months.
Albania will be ranked above Bosnia-Herzegovina for the first time in the last 14 years and 7 months.
Austria will be ranked above Uruguay for the first time in the last 14 years and 2 months.
Andorra will be ranked above Bahamas for the first time in the last 9 years.

August 2015 rank - Team - July 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Argentina 1425 0 -48
2 Belgium 1244 1 0
3 Germany 1226 -1 -185
4 Colombia 1218 0 1
5 Brazil 1186 1 0
6 Portugal 1177 1 0
7 Romania 1166 1 0
8 England 1157 1 0
9 Wales 1155 1 0
10 Chile 1124 1 -5
11 Spain 1110 1 0
12 Netherlands 1032 -7 -172
13 Croatia 1023 1 0
14 Austria 1016 1 0
14 Slovakia 1016 1 0
16 Italy 1001 1 0
17 Switzerland 997 1 0
18 Uruguay 988 -5 -48
19 Algeria 941 0 0
20 Czech Republic 933 0 0
21 Côte d'Ivoire 912 0 -5
22 Albania 888 14 166
23 France 882 -1 0
24 Iceland 877 -1 0
25 Denmark 876 -1 0
26 Ghana 827 -1 0
27 Bosnia-Herzegovina 819 -1 0
28 Ukraine 791 -1 0
28 USA 791 6 43
30 Russia 782 -2 0
31 Scotland 774 -2 0
32 Poland 769 -2 0
33 Tunisia 768 -1 10
34 Hungary 763 -3 0
35 Ecuador 758 0 20
36 Sweden 752 -3 0
37 Costa Rica 728 4 33
38 Senegal 722 1 7
39 Mexico 721 1 24
39 Northern Ireland 721 -2 0
41 Iran 718 -3 2
42 Cameroon 667 0 -5
43 Congo 666 4 36
44 Greece 661 0 0
45 Turkey 627 3 0
46 Slovenia 626 3 0
47 Israel 620 4 0
48 Venezuela 617 -3 -26
49 Peru 612 -3 -23
50 Cape Verde Islands 608 2 0
50 Republic of Ireland 608 2 0
52 Egypt 606 3 0
53 Nigeria 601 4 0
54 Japan 595 -4 -26
55 Paraguay 588 1 -15
56 Korea Republic 581 -4 -27
57 Trinidad and Tobago 566 7 23
58 Congo DR 555 2 0
59 Guinea 552 -1 -39
60 Australia 551 -1 -8
61 Equatorial Guinea 546 2 0
62 Mali 545 -1 -5
63 Gabon 544 2 20
64 Serbia 523 -21 -139
65 Bolivia 515 1 4
66 Jamaica 502 10 65
67 Norway 495 0 0
68 Bulgaria 489 0 0
69 United Arab Emirates 484 0 -3
70 Burkina Faso 482 2 1
71 South Africa 478 -1 -5
72 Panama 470 -10 -79
73 Zambia 465 -2 -17
74 Uganda 463 -1 -4
75 Faroe Islands 456 -1 0
76 Uzbekistan 452 -1 -1
77 Montenegro 423 4 0
78 Estonia 420 4 0
79 China PR 416 -2 -20
80 Togo 415 3 0
81 Honduras 409 -1 -18
82 Cyprus 391 3 0
82 Morocco 391 2 -3
84 Haiti 387 -5 -41
85 Iraq 386 1 4
86 Latvia 377 1 0
87 Sudan 375 3 4
88 Armenia 373 1 0
89 Angola 371 3 16
89 Finland 371 1 0
91 Rwanda 369 -13 -64
92 Jordan 357 0 2
93 Saudi Arabia 351 -1 -4
94 Libya 345 2 0
95 Qatar 344 1 -1
96 Belarus 341 4 0
97 Mozambique 339 -2 -15
98 Malawi 335 10 33
99 Ethiopia 330 2 -3
99 Oman 330 3 1
101 Canada 323 2 -5
102 Niger 312 -6 -33
103 FYR Macedonia 311 2 0
104 Sierra Leone 304 7 4
105 Antigua and Barbuda 303 2 0
106 Azerbaijan 302 2 0
107 Lithuania 301 3 0
108 Guatemala 299 -3 -12
108 Zimbabwe 299 4 9
110 El Salvador 289 -22 -85
111 Namibia 284 3 8
112 Bahrain 282 1 0
113 Mauritania 273 15 49
114 Benin 269 -18 -76
115 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 268 0 0
116 Kenya 266 0 3
117 Syria 259 0 -3
118 Palestine 255 1 0
119 Cuba 254 -15 -59
119 St. Kitts and Nevis 254 1 0
121 Botswana 253 -1 -1
122 Belize 242 -4 -15
123 Philippines 239 1 3
124 Kuwait 237 -1 -5
125 Moldova 236 -1 0
126 Madagascar 230 -4 -20
127 Lesotho 229 4 12
128 Dominican Republic 224 -2 -3
129 Lebanon 223 1 5
130 St. Lucia 220 -3 -5
131 Burundi 218 0 1
131 Swaziland 218 7 12
133 Korea DPR 213 -4 -9
134 Afghanistan 212 0 0
135 Bermuda 209 1 0
135 New Zealand 209 1 0
137 Aruba 201 -2 -10
138 Barbados 198 3 0
139 Thailand 197 1 -2
140 Tanzania 194 -1 -6
141 Kazakhstan 193 1 0
142 Gambia 191 1 3
142 Guinea-Bissau 191 -9 -22
144 Nicaragua 188 -1 0
145 Luxembourg 187 1 0
146 Guam 185 8 22
147 Liechtenstein 182 0 0
148 Curaçao 173 1 -1
149 Turkmenistan 172 3 5
150 Puerto Rico 169 0 0
151 Hong Kong 168 3 5
152 Guyana 167 7 12
153 Vietnam 166 -10 -22
154 Georgia 165 -1 0
155 Singapore 162 -5 -7
156 India 160 0 -1
156 Kyrgyzstan 160 1 0
158 Tajikistan 159 -10 -22
159 Malta 157 -1 0
160 Grenada 153 0 0
161 Liberia 150 0 -2
162 Myanmar 142 0 -3
163 Timor-Leste 130 2 0
164 Bhutan 128 2 0
165 Indonesia 124 -1 -10
165 Suriname 124 -2 -17
167 New Caledonia 118 0 0
168 Malaysia 116 0 -1
169 Central African Republic 111 1 0
170 Bangladesh 102 -1 -13
171 Pakistan 101 1 0
172 Chad 100 1 0
173 Dominica 98 1 0
174 Yemen 96 -3 -8
175 Maldives 90 1 3
176 US Virgin Islands 88 -1 -9
177 Laos 86 0 0
178 Montserrat 74 0 0
179 Chinese Taipei 72 0 0
180 Cambodia 66 1 0
181 Sri Lanka 62 2 0
182 Brunei Darussalam 61 2 0
183 Mauritius 59 -3 -12
184 Nepal 57 1 -3
185 Seychelles 52 1 0
186 Comoros 50 1 -1
186 Tahiti 50 2 0
188 Macau 49 -7 -17
189 Cayman Islands 48 0 0
189 São Tomé e Príncipe 48 0 0
191 Solomon Islands 47 0 3
192 San Marino 40 0 0
193 Turks and Caicos Islands 33 0 0
194 British Virgin Islands 27 0 0
195 South Sudan 22 0 -2
196 Vanuatu 20 1 3
197 Samoa 19 -1 0
198 Fiji 17 1 1
198 Tonga 17 -1 0
200 American Samoa 12 1 0
201 Andorra 9 1 0
201 Papua New Guinea 9 1 0
203 Eritrea 8 1 0
204 Mongolia 6 1 0
204 Somalia 6 1 0
206 Cook Islands 4 1 0
206 Djibouti 4 1 0
208 Anguilla 0 1 0
208 Bahamas 0 -8 -13

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

12 comments:

  1. Wow. Spain, Italy, Netherlands and France all out of top 10 simultaneously. Has that ever happened before?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Only once, but a different calculation method was used back then. In May 1998.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Belgium will be one of the X countries who have been above every other country at least once. Which countries?

    Of course, all nr1's: Spain, Germany, France, Italy, Netherland, Argentina & Brazil.
    But who else? Probably more than a few countries if you start from 1993, but who since the recent (2006) calculation method?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. England, Portugal and Uruguay.

      Colombia and Croatia are close - they only missed Germany.

      Delete
  4. hey Ed can you tell me about the decrease of GER points??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. oh i see. so 2 matches: 3rd-place p/o and WC final still counted in 2015 time frame??

      Delete
  5. Romania 7th, good
    But wtf even Belgium beats Germany on rankings?

    ReplyDelete
  6. Belgium are back up to 2nd? Pity we haven't got to play them again :)

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hmm, Edgar, had Romania won in Northern Ireland, would we have been ranked 2nd in August? If I understand the confusing FIFA rankings and did the math correctly, it seems so. But I can't quite believe how much you can game the system... Can you confirm/deny? Cheers from foresta and the other guys on XT.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes - 2nd with 1277. Thanks, noticed GICA linking from XT a couple of days ago :)

      Delete