I will most likely post the final preview on 31 July, if I'm not on vacation. That's a big if.
13 matches left: the 8 final matches of the 2015 CONCACAF Gold Cup and a couple of friendlies (actually Indian Ocean Islands Games and East Asian Cup matches).
Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank
USA | 784 | 911 | 31 | 22 |
Costa Rica | 728 | 912 | 39 | 21 |
Mexico | 721 | 852 | 40 | 26 |
Japan | 595 | 607 | 59 | 52 |
Korea Republic | 581 | 599 | 60 | 54 |
Trinidad and Tobago | 563 | 767 | 60 | 34 |
Jamaica | 498 | 673 | 68 | 42 |
Panama | 470 | 633 | 73 | 45 |
China PR | 416 | 441 | 81 | 77 |
Haiti | 387 | 614 | 85 | 49 |
Cuba | 254 | 464 | 119 | 74 |
Madagascar | 230 | 246 | 127 | 122 |
Korea DPR | 213 | 240 | 133 | 123 |
Maldives | 90 | 115 | 175 | 169 |
Mauritius | 59 | 73 | 185 | 179 |
Seychelles | 52 | 82 | 186 | 178 |
Comoros | 50 | 75 | 186 | 178 |
In the table below I've used the minimum points for these teams.
Best movers:
14 - Mauritania
12 - Albania
9 - Malawi
Worst movers:
-22 - El Salvador
-21 - Serbia
-18 - Benin
Best movers in the top 50:
12 - Albania
3 - USA
2 - Costa Rica, Congo
Of course, both USA and Costa Rica can climb further.
Worst movers in the top 50:
-21 - Serbia
-7 - Netherlands
-5 - Uruguay
6 teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Wales (9 - 10 in July 2015)
Austria (14 - 15 in July 2015)
Slovakia (14 - 15 in July 2015)
Albania (at least 24 - 36 in July 2015)
Congo (at least 45 - 47 in July 2015)
Guam (146 - 154 in July 2015)
Belgium will return to its best ever ranking (2nd - June 2015).
Two teams will drop to new lows:
Serbia (at most 64 - 47 in December 2005)
Bahamas (208 - 200 in July 2015)
Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:
Romania (7 - 7 in December 1997) - 17 years and 8 months
Mauritania (at least 114 - 114 in March 2008) - 7 years and 5 months
Sudan (at least 88 - 88 in June 2009) - 6 years and 2 months
Swaziland (at least 132 - 131 in May 2010) - 5 years and 3 months
Chile (10 - 10 in September 2010) - 4 years and 11 months
Cyprus (at least 84 - 76 in August 2011) - 4 years
England (8 - 7 in May 2013) - 2 years and 3 months
Canada (at least 102 - 91 in August 2013) - 2 years
Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:
Georgia (154 - 156 in April 1994) - 21 years and 4 months
Tajikistan (158 - 165 in December 2009) - 5 years and 8 months
Mali (at most 62 - 69 in January 2012) - 3 years and 7 months
Uzbekistan (at most 76 - 77 in February 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
Malta (159 - 159 in February 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
Tanzania (140 - 145 in May 2012) - 3 years and 3 months
South Africa (at most 71 - 85 in January 2013) - 2 years and 7 months
Uruguay (18 - 19 in June 2013) - 2 years and 2 months
Botswana (121 - 127 in June 2013) - 2 years and 2 months
Benin (at most 114 - 115 in July 2013) - 2 years and 1 month
Albania will be ranked above Denmark, Ghana, Russia and Sweden for the first time ever.
Anguilla will be ranked above Bahamas for the first time ever.
Belgium will be ranked above Germany for the first time ever.
Bhutan will be ranked above Indonesia for the first time ever.
Congo will be ranked above Serbia for the first time ever.
Equatorial Guinea will be ranked above Serbia for the first time ever.
Congo DR will be ranked above Serbia for the first time in the last 18 years and 11 months.
Albania will be ranked above Bosnia-Herzegovina for the first time in the last 14 years and 7 months.
Austria will be ranked above Uruguay for the first time in the last 14 years and 2 months.
Andorra will be ranked above Bahamas for the first time in the last 9 years.
August 2015 rank - Team - July 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Argentina | 1425 | 0 | -48 |
2 | Belgium | 1244 | 1 | 0 |
3 | Germany | 1226 | -1 | -185 |
4 | Colombia | 1218 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Brazil | 1186 | 1 | 0 |
6 | Portugal | 1177 | 1 | 0 |
7 | Romania | 1166 | 1 | 0 |
8 | England | 1157 | 1 | 0 |
9 | Wales | 1155 | 1 | 0 |
10 | Chile | 1124 | 1 | -5 |
11 | Spain | 1110 | 1 | 0 |
12 | Netherlands | 1032 | -7 | -172 |
13 | Croatia | 1023 | 1 | 0 |
14 | Austria | 1016 | 1 | 0 |
14 | Slovakia | 1016 | 1 | 0 |
16 | Italy | 1001 | 1 | 0 |
17 | Switzerland | 997 | 1 | 0 |
18 | Uruguay | 988 | -5 | -48 |
19 | Algeria | 941 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Czech Republic | 933 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Côte d'Ivoire | 912 | 0 | -5 |
22 | Albania | 888 | 14 | 166 |
23 | France | 882 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Iceland | 877 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Denmark | 876 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Ghana | 827 | -1 | 0 |
27 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 819 | -1 | 0 |
28 | Ukraine | 791 | -1 | 0 |
28 | USA | 791 | 6 | 43 |
30 | Russia | 782 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Scotland | 774 | -2 | 0 |
32 | Poland | 769 | -2 | 0 |
33 | Tunisia | 768 | -1 | 10 |
34 | Hungary | 763 | -3 | 0 |
35 | Ecuador | 758 | 0 | 20 |
36 | Sweden | 752 | -3 | 0 |
37 | Costa Rica | 728 | 4 | 33 |
38 | Senegal | 722 | 1 | 7 |
39 | Mexico | 721 | 1 | 24 |
39 | Northern Ireland | 721 | -2 | 0 |
41 | Iran | 718 | -3 | 2 |
42 | Cameroon | 667 | 0 | -5 |
43 | Congo | 666 | 4 | 36 |
44 | Greece | 661 | 0 | 0 |
45 | Turkey | 627 | 3 | 0 |
46 | Slovenia | 626 | 3 | 0 |
47 | Israel | 620 | 4 | 0 |
48 | Venezuela | 617 | -3 | -26 |
49 | Peru | 612 | -3 | -23 |
50 | Cape Verde Islands | 608 | 2 | 0 |
50 | Republic of Ireland | 608 | 2 | 0 |
52 | Egypt | 606 | 3 | 0 |
53 | Nigeria | 601 | 4 | 0 |
54 | Japan | 595 | -4 | -26 |
55 | Paraguay | 588 | 1 | -15 |
56 | Korea Republic | 581 | -4 | -27 |
57 | Trinidad and Tobago | 566 | 7 | 23 |
58 | Congo DR | 555 | 2 | 0 |
59 | Guinea | 552 | -1 | -39 |
60 | Australia | 551 | -1 | -8 |
61 | Equatorial Guinea | 546 | 2 | 0 |
62 | Mali | 545 | -1 | -5 |
63 | Gabon | 544 | 2 | 20 |
64 | Serbia | 523 | -21 | -139 |
65 | Bolivia | 515 | 1 | 4 |
66 | Jamaica | 502 | 10 | 65 |
67 | Norway | 495 | 0 | 0 |
68 | Bulgaria | 489 | 0 | 0 |
69 | United Arab Emirates | 484 | 0 | -3 |
70 | Burkina Faso | 482 | 2 | 1 |
71 | South Africa | 478 | -1 | -5 |
72 | Panama | 470 | -10 | -79 |
73 | Zambia | 465 | -2 | -17 |
74 | Uganda | 463 | -1 | -4 |
75 | Faroe Islands | 456 | -1 | 0 |
76 | Uzbekistan | 452 | -1 | -1 |
77 | Montenegro | 423 | 4 | 0 |
78 | Estonia | 420 | 4 | 0 |
79 | China PR | 416 | -2 | -20 |
80 | Togo | 415 | 3 | 0 |
81 | Honduras | 409 | -1 | -18 |
82 | Cyprus | 391 | 3 | 0 |
82 | Morocco | 391 | 2 | -3 |
84 | Haiti | 387 | -5 | -41 |
85 | Iraq | 386 | 1 | 4 |
86 | Latvia | 377 | 1 | 0 |
87 | Sudan | 375 | 3 | 4 |
88 | Armenia | 373 | 1 | 0 |
89 | Angola | 371 | 3 | 16 |
89 | Finland | 371 | 1 | 0 |
91 | Rwanda | 369 | -13 | -64 |
92 | Jordan | 357 | 0 | 2 |
93 | Saudi Arabia | 351 | -1 | -4 |
94 | Libya | 345 | 2 | 0 |
95 | Qatar | 344 | 1 | -1 |
96 | Belarus | 341 | 4 | 0 |
97 | Mozambique | 339 | -2 | -15 |
98 | Malawi | 335 | 10 | 33 |
99 | Ethiopia | 330 | 2 | -3 |
99 | Oman | 330 | 3 | 1 |
101 | Canada | 323 | 2 | -5 |
102 | Niger | 312 | -6 | -33 |
103 | FYR Macedonia | 311 | 2 | 0 |
104 | Sierra Leone | 304 | 7 | 4 |
105 | Antigua and Barbuda | 303 | 2 | 0 |
106 | Azerbaijan | 302 | 2 | 0 |
107 | Lithuania | 301 | 3 | 0 |
108 | Guatemala | 299 | -3 | -12 |
108 | Zimbabwe | 299 | 4 | 9 |
110 | El Salvador | 289 | -22 | -85 |
111 | Namibia | 284 | 3 | 8 |
112 | Bahrain | 282 | 1 | 0 |
113 | Mauritania | 273 | 15 | 49 |
114 | Benin | 269 | -18 | -76 |
115 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 268 | 0 | 0 |
116 | Kenya | 266 | 0 | 3 |
117 | Syria | 259 | 0 | -3 |
118 | Palestine | 255 | 1 | 0 |
119 | Cuba | 254 | -15 | -59 |
119 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 254 | 1 | 0 |
121 | Botswana | 253 | -1 | -1 |
122 | Belize | 242 | -4 | -15 |
123 | Philippines | 239 | 1 | 3 |
124 | Kuwait | 237 | -1 | -5 |
125 | Moldova | 236 | -1 | 0 |
126 | Madagascar | 230 | -4 | -20 |
127 | Lesotho | 229 | 4 | 12 |
128 | Dominican Republic | 224 | -2 | -3 |
129 | Lebanon | 223 | 1 | 5 |
130 | St. Lucia | 220 | -3 | -5 |
131 | Burundi | 218 | 0 | 1 |
131 | Swaziland | 218 | 7 | 12 |
133 | Korea DPR | 213 | -4 | -9 |
134 | Afghanistan | 212 | 0 | 0 |
135 | Bermuda | 209 | 1 | 0 |
135 | New Zealand | 209 | 1 | 0 |
137 | Aruba | 201 | -2 | -10 |
138 | Barbados | 198 | 3 | 0 |
139 | Thailand | 197 | 1 | -2 |
140 | Tanzania | 194 | -1 | -6 |
141 | Kazakhstan | 193 | 1 | 0 |
142 | Gambia | 191 | 1 | 3 |
142 | Guinea-Bissau | 191 | -9 | -22 |
144 | Nicaragua | 188 | -1 | 0 |
145 | Luxembourg | 187 | 1 | 0 |
146 | Guam | 185 | 8 | 22 |
147 | Liechtenstein | 182 | 0 | 0 |
148 | Curaçao | 173 | 1 | -1 |
149 | Turkmenistan | 172 | 3 | 5 |
150 | Puerto Rico | 169 | 0 | 0 |
151 | Hong Kong | 168 | 3 | 5 |
152 | Guyana | 167 | 7 | 12 |
153 | Vietnam | 166 | -10 | -22 |
154 | Georgia | 165 | -1 | 0 |
155 | Singapore | 162 | -5 | -7 |
156 | India | 160 | 0 | -1 |
156 | Kyrgyzstan | 160 | 1 | 0 |
158 | Tajikistan | 159 | -10 | -22 |
159 | Malta | 157 | -1 | 0 |
160 | Grenada | 153 | 0 | 0 |
161 | Liberia | 150 | 0 | -2 |
162 | Myanmar | 142 | 0 | -3 |
163 | Timor-Leste | 130 | 2 | 0 |
164 | Bhutan | 128 | 2 | 0 |
165 | Indonesia | 124 | -1 | -10 |
165 | Suriname | 124 | -2 | -17 |
167 | New Caledonia | 118 | 0 | 0 |
168 | Malaysia | 116 | 0 | -1 |
169 | Central African Republic | 111 | 1 | 0 |
170 | Bangladesh | 102 | -1 | -13 |
171 | Pakistan | 101 | 1 | 0 |
172 | Chad | 100 | 1 | 0 |
173 | Dominica | 98 | 1 | 0 |
174 | Yemen | 96 | -3 | -8 |
175 | Maldives | 90 | 1 | 3 |
176 | US Virgin Islands | 88 | -1 | -9 |
177 | Laos | 86 | 0 | 0 |
178 | Montserrat | 74 | 0 | 0 |
179 | Chinese Taipei | 72 | 0 | 0 |
180 | Cambodia | 66 | 1 | 0 |
181 | Sri Lanka | 62 | 2 | 0 |
182 | Brunei Darussalam | 61 | 2 | 0 |
183 | Mauritius | 59 | -3 | -12 |
184 | Nepal | 57 | 1 | -3 |
185 | Seychelles | 52 | 1 | 0 |
186 | Comoros | 50 | 1 | -1 |
186 | Tahiti | 50 | 2 | 0 |
188 | Macau | 49 | -7 | -17 |
189 | Cayman Islands | 48 | 0 | 0 |
189 | São Tomé e Príncipe | 48 | 0 | 0 |
191 | Solomon Islands | 47 | 0 | 3 |
192 | San Marino | 40 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 33 | 0 | 0 |
194 | British Virgin Islands | 27 | 0 | 0 |
195 | South Sudan | 22 | 0 | -2 |
196 | Vanuatu | 20 | 1 | 3 |
197 | Samoa | 19 | -1 | 0 |
198 | Fiji | 17 | 1 | 1 |
198 | Tonga | 17 | -1 | 0 |
200 | American Samoa | 12 | 1 | 0 |
201 | Andorra | 9 | 1 | 0 |
201 | Papua New Guinea | 9 | 1 | 0 |
203 | Eritrea | 8 | 1 | 0 |
204 | Mongolia | 6 | 1 | 0 |
204 | Somalia | 6 | 1 | 0 |
206 | Cook Islands | 4 | 1 | 0 |
206 | Djibouti | 4 | 1 | 0 |
208 | Anguilla | 0 | 1 | 0 |
208 | Bahamas | 0 | -8 | -13 |
Wow. Spain, Italy, Netherlands and France all out of top 10 simultaneously. Has that ever happened before?
ReplyDeleteOnly once, but a different calculation method was used back then. In May 1998.
ReplyDeleteBelgium will be one of the X countries who have been above every other country at least once. Which countries?
ReplyDeleteOf course, all nr1's: Spain, Germany, France, Italy, Netherland, Argentina & Brazil.
But who else? Probably more than a few countries if you start from 1993, but who since the recent (2006) calculation method?
England, Portugal and Uruguay.
DeleteColombia and Croatia are close - they only missed Germany.
hey Ed can you tell me about the decrease of GER points??
ReplyDeleteI've already replied here.
Deleteoh i see. so 2 matches: 3rd-place p/o and WC final still counted in 2015 time frame??
DeleteApparently so.
DeleteRomania 7th, good
ReplyDeleteBut wtf even Belgium beats Germany on rankings?
Belgium are back up to 2nd? Pity we haven't got to play them again :)
ReplyDeleteHmm, Edgar, had Romania won in Northern Ireland, would we have been ranked 2nd in August? If I understand the confusing FIFA rankings and did the math correctly, it seems so. But I can't quite believe how much you can game the system... Can you confirm/deny? Cheers from foresta and the other guys on XT.
ReplyDeleteYes - 2nd with 1277. Thanks, noticed GICA linking from XT a couple of days ago :)
Delete