15 games left: The final two games of the 2015 Copa America and 13 friendlies (most of them CHAN qualifiers).
This is how the points and ranks could change for these 30 teams:
Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank
Argentina | 1439 | 1540 | 1 | 1 |
Chile | 1055 | 1166 | 12 | 8 |
USA | 727 | 748 | 35 | 34 |
Senegal | 705 | 715 | 39 | 39 |
Paraguay | 603 | 692 | 56 | 42 |
Guinea | 588 | 598 | 58 | 57 |
Peru | 566 | 635 | 58 | 46 |
Mali | 542 | 550 | 64 | 61 |
South Africa | 477 | 483 | 72 | 70 |
Zambia | 469 | 482 | 73 | 70 |
Uganda | 464 | 475 | 73 | 72 |
Mozambique | 346 | 354 | 95 | 94 |
Angola | 344 | 355 | 100 | 92 |
Ethiopia | 327 | 346 | 104 | 94 |
Guatemala | 311 | 342 | 105 | 100 |
Zimbabwe | 286 | 300 | 114 | 111 |
Namibia | 276 | 309 | 116 | 107 |
Kenya | 254 | 280 | 122 | 114 |
Botswana | 250 | 261 | 123 | 117 |
Guinea-Bissau | 213 | 288 | 136 | 112 |
Lesotho | 213 | 226 | 136 | 127 |
Swaziland | 206 | 232 | 140 | 126 |
Burundi | 196 | 217 | 143 | 131 |
Tanzania | 191 | 217 | 144 | 131 |
Gambia | 188 | 272 | 144 | 115 |
Liberia | 126 | 205 | 165 | 138 |
Mauritius | 71 | 113 | 182 | 170 |
Seychelles | 52 | 80 | 187 | 178 |
Comoros | 37 | 78 | 193 | 178 |
Djibouti | 4 | 38 | 207 | 192 |
In the table below I've used the minimum points for these teams.
Best movers:
34 - Belize
29 - Paraguay
28 - Faroe Islands
Worst movers:
-29 - Central African Republic
-28 - Sierra Leone
-27 - Costa Rica
Best movers in the top 50:
27 - Venezuela
15 - Albania
14 - Iceland
Worst movers in the top 50:
-27 - Costa Rica
-19 - Greece
-17 - Mexico
9 teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Wales (at least 11 - 21 in May 2015)
Austria (15 - 17 in May 1999)
Slovakia (15 - 16 in September 2010)
Iceland (23 - 28 in October 2014)
Albania (36 - 37 in July 2013)
Faroe Islands (74 - 102 in June 2015)
Belize (at least 121 - 128 in March 2013)
Philippines (at least 126 - 127 in February 2014)
Guam (at least 156 - 160 in February 2014)
Argentina will return to its best ever ranking. They were also 1st in June 2008.
4 teams will drop to new lows:
Italy (17 - 16 in October 2010)
Mexico (40 - 33 in July 2009)
Fiji (at most 199 - 196 in May 2015)
Bahamas (at most 200 - 198 in May 2015)
Mongolia (at most 205 - 200 in May 2015)
Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:
Romania (8 - 8 in March 2000) - 15 years and 4 months
Argentina (1 - 1 in June 2008) - 7 years and 1 month
Poland (30 - 29 in March 2009) - 6 years and 4 months
Sudan (90 - 88 in June 2009) - 6 years and 1 month
Northern Ireland (37 - 30 in October 2009) - 5 years and 9 months
Swaziland (at least 140 - 136 in August 2010) - 4 years and 11 months
Syria (at least 119 - 117 in January 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
China PR (77 - 69 in August 2012) - 2 years and 11 months
Nicaragua (at least 145 - 145 in February 2013) - 2 years and 5 months
Niger (at least 97 - 93 in March 2013) - 2 years and 4 months
Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:
Georgia (at most 154 - 156 in April 1994) - 21 years and 3 months
Chad (at most 173 - 174 in March 2003) - 12 years and 4 months
Greece (at most 44 - 45 in May 2003) - 12 years and 2 months
Malaysia (167 - 169 in June 2008) - 7 years and 1 month
Montenegro (81 - 89 in September 2009) - 5 years and 10 months
Central African Republic (at most 170 - 172 in September 2010) - 4 years and 10 months
Tahiti (at most 187 - 194 in September 2010) - 4 years and 10 months
Sierra Leone (at most 111 - 118 in May 2011) - 4 years and 2 months
Mali (at most 61 - 69 in January 2012) - 3 years and 6 months
Uzbekistan (75 - 77 in February 2012) - 3 years and 5 months
Malta (at most 159 - 159 in February 2012) - 3 years and 5 months
USA (at most 34 - 36 in August 2012) - 2 years and 11 months
Switzerland (18 - 20 in September 2012) - 2 years and 10 months
Nigeria (at most 56 - 57 in November 2012) - 2 years and 8 months
Finland (90 - 91 in November 2012) - 2 years and 8 months
Tanzania (at most 131 - 134 in November 2012) - 2 years and 8 months
South Africa (at most 70 - 85 in January 2013) - 2 years and 6 months
Tajikistan (at most 148 - 152 in March 2013) - 2 years and 4 months
Luxembourg (at most 146 - 148 in May 2013) - 2 years and 2 months
Uruguay (13 - 19 in June 2013) - 2 years and 1 month
Armenia (89 - 89 in June 2013) - 2 years and 1 month
Botswana (at most 117 - 127 in June 2013) - 2 years and 1 month
July 2015 rank - Team - July 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Argentina | 1439 | 2 | -57 |
2 | Germany | 1411 | -1 | -364 |
3 | Belgium | 1244 | -1 | -265 |
4 | Colombia | 1217 | 0 | -218 |
5 | Netherlands | 1204 | 1 | -174 |
6 | Brazil | 1186 | -1 | -206 |
7 | Portugal | 1177 | 0 | -52 |
8 | Romania | 1166 | 4 | 51 |
9 | England | 1157 | 6 | 106 |
10 | Wales | 1155 | 12 | 226 |
11 | Spain | 1110 | -1 | -37 |
12 | Chile | 1055 | 7 | 66 |
13 | Uruguay | 1036 | -5 | -147 |
14 | Croatia | 1023 | 4 | 31 |
15 | Austria | 1016 | 5 | 70 |
15 | Slovakia | 1016 | 2 | 4 |
17 | Italy | 1001 | -4 | -100 |
18 | Switzerland | 997 | -7 | -149 |
19 | Algeria | 941 | 2 | 0 |
20 | Czech Republic | 933 | -4 | -103 |
21 | Côte d'Ivoire | 917 | 3 | 1 |
22 | France | 882 | -13 | -282 |
23 | Iceland | 877 | 14 | 108 |
24 | Denmark | 876 | 5 | 68 |
25 | Ghana | 827 | 9 | 27 |
26 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 819 | 6 | 17 |
27 | Ukraine | 791 | 8 | 7 |
28 | Russia | 782 | -2 | -51 |
29 | Scotland | 774 | -1 | -44 |
30 | Poland | 769 | 2 | -33 |
31 | Hungary | 763 | 11 | 78 |
32 | Tunisia | 758 | -3 | -50 |
33 | Sweden | 752 | 6 | 15 |
34 | Ecuador | 738 | -3 | -68 |
35 | USA | 727 | -8 | -96 |
36 | Albania | 722 | 15 | 98 |
37 | Northern Ireland | 721 | 7 | 45 |
38 | Iran | 716 | 3 | -1 |
39 | Senegal | 705 | -3 | -77 |
40 | Mexico | 697 | -17 | -229 |
41 | Costa Rica | 695 | -27 | -361 |
42 | Cameroon | 672 | 7 | 31 |
43 | Serbia | 662 | 2 | -11 |
44 | Greece | 661 | -19 | -238 |
45 | Venezuela | 643 | 27 | 146 |
46 | Congo | 630 | 1 | -36 |
47 | Turkey | 627 | 10 | 37 |
48 | Slovenia | 626 | 0 | -27 |
49 | Japan | 621 | 3 | -2 |
50 | Israel | 620 | -10 | -105 |
51 | Cape Verde Islands | 608 | -13 | -138 |
51 | Korea Republic | 608 | 7 | 21 |
51 | Republic of Ireland | 608 | 9 | 27 |
54 | Egypt | 606 | 1 | 10 |
55 | Paraguay | 603 | 30 | 221 |
56 | Nigeria | 601 | -13 | -80 |
57 | Guinea | 588 | -12 | -85 |
58 | Peru | 566 | 3 | 20 |
59 | Australia | 559 | 4 | 27 |
60 | Congo DR | 555 | -4 | -36 |
61 | Panama | 549 | -7 | -48 |
62 | Equatorial Guinea | 546 | -12 | -89 |
63 | Trinidad and Tobago | 543 | 4 | 24 |
64 | Mali | 542 | -12 | -81 |
65 | Gabon | 524 | -6 | -59 |
66 | Bolivia | 511 | 23 | 140 |
67 | Norway | 495 | -3 | -33 |
68 | Bulgaria | 489 | -6 | -48 |
69 | United Arab Emirates | 487 | 4 | -9 |
70 | Burkina Faso | 481 | -4 | -39 |
71 | South Africa | 477 | -2 | -38 |
72 | Zambia | 469 | -4 | -48 |
73 | Uganda | 464 | -2 | -40 |
74 | Faroe Islands | 456 | 28 | 138 |
75 | Uzbekistan | 453 | -1 | -26 |
76 | Jamaica | 437 | -11 | -87 |
77 | China PR | 436 | 2 | 27 |
78 | Rwanda | 433 | 16 | 87 |
79 | Haiti | 428 | -3 | -14 |
80 | Honduras | 427 | -5 | -35 |
81 | Montenegro | 423 | -11 | -90 |
82 | Estonia | 420 | 9 | 50 |
83 | Togo | 415 | -6 | -23 |
84 | Morocco | 394 | 8 | 25 |
85 | Cyprus | 391 | 2 | 14 |
86 | Iraq | 382 | 0 | 1 |
87 | Latvia | 377 | -5 | -13 |
88 | El Salvador | 374 | 1 | 3 |
89 | Armenia | 373 | -5 | -10 |
90 | Finland | 371 | -12 | -39 |
90 | Sudan | 371 | 18 | 79 |
92 | Jordan | 355 | 11 | 39 |
92 | Saudi Arabia | 355 | 6 | 26 |
94 | Mozambique | 346 | -13 | -45 |
95 | Benin | 345 | 15 | 56 |
95 | Libya | 345 | 24 | 107 |
95 | Niger | 345 | 22 | 94 |
95 | Qatar | 345 | 2 | 11 |
99 | Angola | 344 | -11 | -30 |
100 | Belarus | 341 | -20 | -59 |
101 | Oman | 329 | 0 | 10 |
102 | Canada | 328 | 7 | 38 |
103 | Ethiopia | 327 | -4 | 3 |
104 | Cuba | 313 | 3 | 18 |
105 | FYR Macedonia | 311 | -5 | -10 |
105 | Guatemala | 311 | -12 | -37 |
107 | Antigua and Barbuda | 303 | -3 | -10 |
108 | Azerbaijan | 302 | 7 | 30 |
108 | Malawi | 302 | -13 | -43 |
110 | Lithuania | 301 | -14 | -40 |
111 | Sierra Leone | 300 | -28 | -87 |
112 | Zimbabwe | 286 | 7 | 48 |
113 | Bahrain | 282 | -7 | -17 |
114 | Namibia | 276 | -9 | -27 |
115 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 268 | -3 | -11 |
116 | Syria | 262 | 5 | 28 |
117 | Belize | 257 | 38 | 126 |
118 | Palestine | 255 | 0 | 13 |
119 | Kenya | 254 | 4 | 34 |
119 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 254 | -5 | -21 |
121 | Botswana | 250 | -10 | -35 |
121 | Madagascar | 250 | -8 | -28 |
123 | Kuwait | 242 | 2 | 24 |
124 | Moldova | 236 | 0 | 17 |
124 | Philippines | 236 | 13 | 53 |
126 | Dominican Republic | 227 | -10 | -30 |
127 | St. Lucia | 225 | 9 | 39 |
128 | Mauritania | 224 | 21 | 78 |
129 | Korea DPR | 222 | 17 | 71 |
130 | Lebanon | 218 | 5 | 30 |
131 | Guinea-Bissau | 213 | 24 | 82 |
131 | Lesotho | 213 | -9 | -13 |
133 | Afghanistan | 212 | 18 | 74 |
134 | Aruba | 211 | 17 | 73 |
135 | Bermuda | 209 | -9 | -8 |
135 | New Zealand | 209 | 3 | 29 |
137 | Swaziland | 206 | 25 | 85 |
138 | Thailand | 199 | -9 | -8 |
139 | Barbados | 198 | -7 | 2 |
140 | Burundi | 196 | -6 | 2 |
141 | Kazakhstan | 193 | -8 | -2 |
142 | Tanzania | 191 | -15 | -24 |
143 | Gambia | 188 | 17 | 64 |
143 | Nicaragua | 188 | 8 | 50 |
143 | Vietnam | 188 | -16 | -27 |
146 | Luxembourg | 187 | -15 | -14 |
147 | Liechtenstein | 182 | -18 | -25 |
148 | Tajikistan | 181 | -9 | 8 |
149 | Curaçao | 174 | -5 | 15 |
150 | Puerto Rico | 169 | 17 | 55 |
150 | Singapore | 169 | 4 | 33 |
152 | Guyana | 167 | 6 | 38 |
152 | Turkmenistan | 167 | 21 | 68 |
154 | Georgia | 165 | -15 | -8 |
155 | Guam | 163 | 19 | 66 |
155 | Hong Kong | 163 | 9 | 45 |
157 | India | 161 | -16 | 0 |
158 | Kyrgyzstan | 160 | 19 | 71 |
159 | Malta | 157 | -14 | 3 |
160 | Grenada | 153 | 0 | 29 |
161 | Myanmar | 145 | -18 | -15 |
162 | Indonesia | 134 | -7 | 3 |
163 | Timor-Leste | 130 | -17 | -21 |
164 | Bhutan | 128 | -5 | 0 |
165 | Liberia | 126 | -17 | -23 |
166 | New Caledonia | 118 | 3 | 7 |
167 | Malaysia | 117 | -5 | -4 |
168 | Bangladesh | 115 | -2 | -1 |
168 | Suriname | 115 | -18 | -26 |
170 | Central African Republic | 111 | -29 | -50 |
171 | Yemen | 104 | -6 | -13 |
172 | Pakistan | 101 | -2 | -5 |
173 | Chad | 100 | -1 | 0 |
174 | Dominica | 98 | -6 | -14 |
175 | US Virgin Islands | 97 | -4 | -7 |
176 | Maldives | 87 | 2 | 1 |
177 | Laos | 86 | -2 | -8 |
178 | Montserrat | 74 | 3 | 0 |
179 | Chinese Taipei | 72 | -1 | -14 |
180 | Mauritius | 71 | -4 | -19 |
181 | Cambodia | 66 | -3 | -20 |
181 | Macau | 66 | 4 | 0 |
183 | Sri Lanka | 62 | 3 | -2 |
184 | Brunei Darussalam | 61 | 0 | -8 |
185 | Nepal | 60 | -2 | -10 |
186 | Seychelles | 52 | 1 | -8 |
187 | Tahiti | 50 | -5 | -21 |
188 | Cayman Islands | 48 | 1 | 0 |
188 | Sao Tome e Principe | 48 | 0 | -10 |
190 | Solomon Islands | 44 | 0 | 0 |
191 | San Marino | 40 | 1 | 0 |
192 | Comoros | 37 | -2 | -7 |
193 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 33 | 0 | 0 |
194 | British Virgin Islands | 27 | 0 | -2 |
195 | South Sudan | 24 | 2 | 0 |
196 | Samoa | 19 | 2 | -2 |
197 | Tonga | 17 | 3 | 0 |
197 | Vanuatu | 17 | 3 | 0 |
199 | Fiji | 16 | -4 | -12 |
200 | Bahamas | 13 | -4 | -13 |
201 | American Samoa | 12 | 2 | 0 |
202 | Andorra | 9 | 2 | 1 |
202 | Papua New Guinea | 9 | 0 | -4 |
204 | Eritrea | 8 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Mongolia | 6 | -6 | -13 |
205 | Somalia | 6 | 1 | 0 |
207 | Cook Islands | 4 | 0 | 0 |
207 | Djibouti | 4 | 0 | 0 |
209 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | -2 |
There's one thing I don't understand about the FIFA World Rankings: Why does Bhutan (for example) not lose any points despite losing their past two games?
ReplyDeleteIt's because they only had 2 games in the last 12 months. And the points are divided by number of games, but no fewer than 5. Now they have 4 games and even with another defeat the total wouldn't have dropped.
DeleteThank you! :)
DeleteWhen was Hungary so high up in the ranking? I checked the FIFA website but you can only go back till '93, no higher position (nor the same).
ReplyDeleteFrom September 2011 until September 2013 Hungary had their best period in the FIFA ranking so far. They were a regular in the 30-40 ranges then with a record high of 27 in September 2011. You are closing in on that record now.
DeleteBtw the FIFA ranking exists from August 1993.
vou're linked from Austrians most popular site!!!
ReplyDeletehttp://sport.orf.at/stories/2233926/2233927/
Best ranking for Austria ever!!!
DeleteVery nice of ORF to link to my site. Not many media outlets do this.
Deleteat the Moment the link is added for every new ranking:
Deletehttp://sport.orf.at/stories/2234239/2234241/
how would be calculate that gama albania betwin serbia in oktomber 2014, because that game is going in CAS Laussane. serbia has won that game in table 3.0, now cas wild be decide thats 10 july 2015proably in favor to albania 3.0, .
ReplyDeletequestion ist hauw will be recalculate this game pleace, do you now ?
If CAS decides to favour Albania, the matchpoints for this match will be altered: for Serbia set to 0 and for Albania to 3*(200-43)*0.99*2.5 = 1165.725. Serbia would then have 523 pts (instead of 675 pts) and Albania would then have 888 pts (instead of 722 pts) in the August ranking.
Deletethanks for yours investings time Eduard, and for yours answeres.
DeleteIf i'm right, there are only 3 teams which could become nr 1 at the end of 2015: Argentina, Germany & Belgium. Argentina needs a win vs. Mexico to be 100% sure of nr1 spot (if no other friendlies are planned), Germany and Belgium have almost equal points if they win everything.
ReplyDeleteArgentina play four WC qualifiers in October and November 2015.
Deleteok, roonba didn't have them in their database, but that's obvious... no yet planned ;).
DeleteJeroen, if you are calculating FIFA rankings your only source for matches must be the fixture-list on fifa.com, I would think. Not that the CONMEBOL-qualifiers are included there....
Deletewhy GER pts are 1411??
ReplyDeletei think their pts may be 1226
the only change is that WC final match vs Argentina was counted in 2015 time frame
so why ???
Go to fifa.com and look at the time frame averages for Germany. You could spot your mistake.
DeleteCourt of Arbritration for Sport (CAS) has now awarded Albania a 3-0 victory in reversing the original decision of a 3-0 Serbia win between the two nations last year in a UEFA Euro 2016 Qualifer. Would this decision have affected not only the FIFA World Rankings, but additionally either Serbia or Albania's Pots for UEFA Qualification for the upcoming World Cup?
ReplyDeleteYes. Serbia will go to 523 potins, thus being surpassed by Turkey in pot 3.
ReplyDeleteAlbania will reach 888 points, reaching pot 2, and leaving Bosnia in pot 3.
Now, pot 2 has: Slovakia, Austria, Italy, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Albania, France, Iceland, Denmark
Pot 3 has: Bosnia, Ukraine, Scotland, Poland, Hungary, Sweden, Northern Ireland, Greece, Turkey
Pot 4 has: Slovenia, Israel, Ireland, Serbia, Norway, Bulgaria, Faroe Islands, Montenegro, Estonia.
Locked? No, because UEFA is still on the verge (until July 16) to say if they will punish Croatia duw the Nazi symbol on the field, depending on the outcome, Croatia can drop to pot 2, while Slovakia or Itay can go to pot 1, depending if UEFA will punish them, and how (give the match win to Italy, or other thing).
Could they want to recalculate the whole ranking, because a defeat for Serbia would have meant them lower in the ranks, and therefore less points for say Denmark, who beat Serbia twice since then.
DeleteThats true, and since then, Italy also beat Albania, which could change the rankings from pot 1 as well.
DeleteBut dunno what they will do. Perhaps Ed can do the recalculation to let us know.
As far as I know already published rankings are not recalculated following a decision regarding the result of played matches. Even if UEFA's earlier decision has influenced the pot-distribution for the WCq-draw.
ReplyDeleteDoes the CAS decision regarding Serbia v Albania game has any influence now on this ranking and especially on pots for WC Russia 2018 Q's?
ReplyDeleteNo, the decision regarding Serbia - Albania won't affect the seeding because it happened after the deadline for matches.
ReplyDelete