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Friday, September 25, 2015

September 2015: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the September 2015 FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team and their recommended opponent.

The most popular opponent were Faroe Islands (118), followed by Albania (47) and Bhutan (31).



Of the top 20 teams, 9 would have gained points: Belgium, Germany, Colombia, Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Italy, Switzerland and Uruguay. Of these 9, only Colombia and Brazil wouldn't have climbed.

England would have lost points with a friendly against Wales, but would have climbed in the rankings, as their opponent would have dropped.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

19 - Benin
17 - Libya
9 - FYR Macedonia

The recommended  opponent for all three: Faroe Islands.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

4 - Bosnia-Herzegovina, Venezuela, Nigeria

The recommended opponent for all three: Albania.

September Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Argentina Wales -2
2 Belgium Wales 3
3 Germany Wales 23
4 Colombia Wales 9
5 Brazil Wales 1
6 Portugal Wales -3
7 Romania Albania -33
8 Chile Wales -1
9 Wales Albania -42
10 England Wales -13
11 Spain Wales 7
12 Netherlands Wales 24
13 Austria Albania -19
14 Croatia Albania -2
15 Slovakia Albania -21
16 Italy Albania 5
17 Switzerland Albania 17
18 Uruguay Albania 14
19 Algeria Albania 0
20 Czech Republic Albania -7
21 Côte d'Ivoire Albania 0
22 Denmark Albania 5
23 Iceland Albania -4
24 France Wales 26
25 Albania Faroe Islands -37
26 Mexico Albania 5
27 Ghana Albania 0
28 USA Albania 7
29 Ukraine Albania 19
30 Bosnia-Herzegovina Albania 20
31 Scotland Albania 15
32 Russia Albania 19
33 Tunisia Faroe Islands -7
34 Ecuador Albania 22
34 Poland Albania 1
36 Sweden Albania 11
37 Hungary Albania 11
38 Senegal Albania -1
39 Costa Rica Albania 17
40 Iran Albania 6
41 Northern Ireland Faroe Islands -21
42 Cameroon Albania 5
42 Congo Faroe Islands -8
44 Greece Albania 46
45 Slovenia Albania 24
46 Israel Albania 16
46 Turkey Albania 22
48 Peru Albania 10
49 Egypt Albania 21
50 Venezuela Albania 22
51 Republic of Ireland Albania 15
52 Jamaica Faroe Islands -6
53 Nigeria Albania 23
54 Trinidad and Tobago Faroe Islands -4
55 Paraguay Albania 15
56 Cape Verde Islands Faroe Islands -5
57 Korea Republic Albania 7
58 Japan Albania 10
59 Panama Albania 10
60 Mali Faroe Islands 4
61 Australia Albania 8
62 Equatorial Guinea Faroe Islands -4
63 Gabon Faroe Islands -1
63 Guinea Faroe Islands 2
65 Congo DR Faroe Islands -1
66 Serbia Albania 40
67 Bolivia Albania 24
68 Bulgaria Faroe Islands 11
69 Norway Albania 26
70 United Arab Emirates Albania 12
71 Uganda Faroe Islands 4
72 South Africa Faroe Islands 3
73 Burkina Faso Faroe Islands 7
74 Zambia Faroe Islands 4
75 Faroe Islands Equatorial Guinea -9
76 Uzbekistan Albania 17
77 Montenegro Faroe Islands 23
78 Rwanda Faroe Islands 15
79 Togo Faroe Islands 13
80 Estonia Faroe Islands 10
81 Honduras Faroe Islands 13
82 Iraq Faroe Islands 8
83 Armenia Faroe Islands 39
84 China PR Faroe Islands 6
85 Morocco Faroe Islands 14
86 Cyprus Faroe Islands 9
87 Haiti Faroe Islands 9
88 Angola Faroe Islands 15
89 Sudan Faroe Islands 11
90 Latvia Faroe Islands 17
91 Jordan Faroe Islands 14
92 Finland Faroe Islands 30
93 Saudi Arabia Faroe Islands 11
94 Qatar Faroe Islands 8
95 Mozambique Faroe Islands 11
96 Malawi Faroe Islands 10
97 Belarus Faroe Islands 18
98 Guatemala Faroe Islands 9
98 Libya Faroe Islands 69
100 Oman Faroe Islands 14
101 Niger Faroe Islands 16
102 Canada Faroe Islands 12
103 Ethiopia Faroe Islands 15
104 FYR Macedonia Faroe Islands 35
105 Antigua and Barbuda Faroe Islands 9
105 Sierra Leone Faroe Islands 30
107 El Salvador Faroe Islands 9
108 Zimbabwe Faroe Islands 21
109 Lithuania Faroe Islands 19
110 Azerbaijan Faroe Islands 31
111 Namibia Faroe Islands 19
112 Bahrain Faroe Islands 13
113 Cuba Faroe Islands 14
114 Mauritania Faroe Islands 30
115 Benin Faroe Islands 69
116 Kenya Faroe Islands 30
116 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Faroe Islands 14
118 Botswana Faroe Islands 17
119 Palestine Faroe Islands 20
119 St. Kitts and Nevis Faroe Islands 13
121 Madagascar Faroe Islands 23
121 Syria Faroe Islands 20
123 Dominican Republic Faroe Islands 22
124 Moldova Faroe Islands 29
125 Philippines Faroe Islands 15
126 Korea DPR Faroe Islands 12
127 Kuwait Faroe Islands 15
128 Belize Faroe Islands 20
128 Lesotho Faroe Islands 18
130 Afghanistan Faroe Islands 41
131 St. Lucia Faroe Islands 18
132 Bermuda Faroe Islands 24
133 Lebanon Faroe Islands 31
134 Burundi Faroe Islands 40
135 Swaziland Faroe Islands 15
136 New Zealand Faroe Islands 69
137 Aruba Bhutan 25
137 Thailand Faroe Islands 13
139 Nicaragua Faroe Islands 21
140 Tanzania Faroe Islands 24
141 Luxembourg Faroe Islands 36
142 Guinea-Bissau Faroe Islands 69
143 Gambia Faroe Islands 37
144 Barbados Faroe Islands 15
145 Kazakhstan Faroe Islands 26
146 Guam Bhutan -1
147 Georgia Faroe Islands 44
148 Curaçao Faroe Islands 4
149 Turkmenistan Faroe Islands 69
150 Liechtenstein Faroe Islands 22
151 Hong Kong Faroe Islands 20
152 Puerto Rico Faroe Islands 35
152 Vietnam Faroe Islands 25
154 Guyana Faroe Islands 26
155 India Faroe Islands 43
155 Kyrgyzstan Faroe Islands 69
157 Singapore Faroe Islands 15
158 Grenada Faroe Islands 26
158 Tajikistan Faroe Islands 48
160 Liberia Faroe Islands 69
160 Malta Faroe Islands 30
162 Myanmar Faroe Islands 19
163 Timor-Leste Bhutan 2
164 Bhutan American Samoa 0
165 Indonesia Faroe Islands 28
166 New Caledonia Faroe Islands 69
166 Suriname Faroe Islands 69
168 Central African Republic Faroe Islands 69
169 Malaysia Faroe Islands 17
170 Pakistan Bhutan 26
171 Chad Faroe Islands 69
172 Dominica Bhutan 5
173 Bangladesh Bhutan 7
174 Laos Bhutan 5
175 Yemen Faroe Islands 23
176 US Virgin Islands Bhutan 25
177 Maldives Faroe Islands 69
178 Montserrat Bhutan 26
179 Chinese Taipei Bhutan 9
180 Cambodia Bhutan 3
181 Fiji Faroe Islands 69
182 Brunei Darussalam Bhutan 10
182 Tahiti Faroe Islands 69
184 Sri Lanka Bhutan 19
185 Mauritius Faroe Islands 34
185 Nepal Bhutan 25
187 Cayman Islands Bhutan 25
187 Macau Bhutan 26
187 Solomon Islands Faroe Islands 69
190 Comoros Bhutan 26
190 São Tomé e Príncipe Faroe Islands 37
192 Seychelles Bhutan 15
193 San Marino Bhutan 12
194 Turks and Caicos Islands Bhutan 26
195 British Virgin Islands Bhutan 25
196 Samoa Bhutan 25
197 Vanuatu Faroe Islands 69
198 South Sudan Faroe Islands 69
199 American Samoa Bhutan 26
199 Tonga Bhutan 26
201 Eritrea Faroe Islands 69
202 Andorra Bhutan 17
202 Mongolia Bhutan 26
202 Somalia Bhutan 25
205 Cook Islands Bhutan 26
205 Djibouti Bhutan 26
205 Papua New Guinea Faroe Islands 69
208 Anguilla Bhutan 21
208 Bahamas Bhutan 26

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