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Friday, May 13, 2016

AFC MA Ranking update (13 May 2016)

AFC announced the MA ranking in November 2014, using the October 2014 FIFA ranking for the NT ranking part of the formula.

The 2016 edition of the MA ranking, set to be announced at the end of the AFC club competition season, will be used to determine the slot allocations for 2017 and 2018 seasons. This had been announced by the AFC Competitions Committee on 12 April 2016.


See the previous update.

Club points updated after the end of the AFC CL and AFC Cup group stages. I haven't included the Round of 16 bonus for AFC Cup groups C and D because the final standings of those groups are pending an AFC Disciplinary Committee decision.

FIFA ranking points computed for November 2016, considering scheduled matches as defeats.

Rank - Association - Total - NT Point - Club Points - 2014  Rank


1 Korea Republic 94.221 26.741 67.480 1
2 United Arab Emirates 91.382 26.142 65.240 7
3 Saudi Arabia 90.155 20.155 70.000 2
4 China PR 83.814 23.614 60.200 8
5 Iran 83.480 30.000 53.480 3
6 Japan 81.291 25.011 56.280 4
7 Australia 78.424 25.410 53.013 6
8 Qatar 75.951 16.031 59.920 9
9 Uzbekistan 59.832 21.752 38.080 5
10 Kuwait 43.809 7.783 36.027 11
11 Jordan 42.926 21.086 21.840 12
12 Iraq 41.963 16.763 25.200 10
13 Thailand 39.031 9.911 29.120 13
14 Hong Kong 34.274 8.514 25.760 20
15 Bahrain 33.805 15.698 18.107 16
16 Vietnam 33.403 10.443 22.960 15
17 Syria 33.264 13.104 20.160 19
18 Malaysia 27.803 4.656 23.147 22
19 India 27.061 8.581 18.480 23
20 Oman 25.620 15.166 10.453 14
21 Philippines 23.790 16.696 7.093 27
22 Lebanon 23.313 9.313 14.000 17
23 Indonesia 22.392 3.725 18.667 18
24 Myanmar 20.931 7.118 13.813 21
25 Maldives 19.513 9.246 10.267 26
26 Turkmenistan 17.784 13.304 4.480 30
27 Tajikistan 17.212 6.386 10.827 28
28 Palestine 16.891 12.971 3.920 25
29 Kyrgyzstan 16.138 15.765 0.373 32
30 Singapore 15.796 7.583 8.213 24
31 Afghanistan 14.701 14.701 0.000 29
32 Laos 10.355 8.115 2.240 33
33 Korea DPR 9.978 9.978 0.000 31
34 Bangladesh 6.841 5.721 1.120 37
35 Guam 5.388 5.388 0.000 34
36 Nepal 4.922 4.922 0.000 38
37 Timor-Leste 3.991 3.991 0.000 39
38 Yemen 3.792 3.792 0.000 35
39 Chinese Taipei 3.659 3.659 0.000 43
40 Sri Lanka 3.392 3.392 0.000 36
41 Cambodia 2.927 2.927 0.000 42
42 Pakistan 2.661 2.661 0.000 39
43 Bhutan 2.129 2.129 0.000 46
43 Brunei Darussalam 2.129 2.129 0.000 45
43 Macau 2.129 2.129 0.000 41
46 Mongolia 0.266 0.266 0.000 44

Using the same conditions as those in the 2016 AFC CL (i.e. Kuwait and Indonesia suspended; Iraq, Oman, Bahrain, Lebanon and Syria with no licensed clubs), this is how allocations and qualification shape up:

West

GS = Group Stage
PO = Play-off
PR2 = 2nd preliminary round
PR1 = 1st preliminary round

Association - 2016 [GS - PO - PR2 - PR1] - 2017 [GS - PO - PR2 - PR1]

United Arab Emirates 2 2 0 0 3 1 0 0
Saudi Arabia 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 0
Iran 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 0
Qatar 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0
Uzbekistan 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 0
Jordan 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0


Matches

Play-off round

United Arab Emirates 4 vs. Al-Wehdat (Jordan)
Saudi Arabia 4 vs. Uzbekistan 3
Iran 4 vs. Qatar 3
Qatar 2 vs. Uzbekistan 2

East

Hong Kong have overtaken Vietnam and are now in 6th, with Eastern (Hong Kong champions) looking at a direct group stage spot.

Association - 2016 [GS - PO - PR2 - PR1] - 2017 [GS - PO - PR2 - PR1]

Korea Republic 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 0
China PR 2 1 1 0 3 1 0 0
Japan 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 0
Australia 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 0
Thailand 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0
Hong Kong 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
Vietnam 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
Malaysia 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
India 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0
Philippines 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Myanmar 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Matches

Preliminary round 1

[1] Philippines 1 vs. Myanmar 1

Preliminary round 2

[2] Japan 4 vs. Match [1] winners
[3] Thailand 2 vs. Bengaluru FC (India)
[4] Thailand 3 vs. Malaysia 1
[5] Hong Kong 2 vs. Vietnam 1

Play-off

Korea Republic 4 vs. Match [5] winners
China PR 4 vs. Match [4] winners
Japan 3 vs. Match [3] winners
Brisbane Roar (Australia) vs. Match [2] winners

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

9 comments:

  1. Dear ED
    please if you update MA Ranking according to FIFA Ranking on May 2016, I think that give us accurate position for each country now.

    Regards'

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Using May would mean including matches that won't be part of the calculation in November or giving an incorrect weight to old matches. Perhaps the best approach would be to simulate the matches between now and November and use the average points. I might do that, but that depends if I have the time.

      Delete
  2. Any hope for Vietnam to overcome HKG ???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Depends on performance of South China and Kitchee in the AFC Cup KO stage.

      It also depends (but not as important) on the performance of Hong Kong and Vietnam national teams.

      It's out of Vietnam's hands. The single direct group stage slot is some sort of curse. Thailand are also losing steam, but fortunately for them, Malaysia are quite far behind.

      Delete
  3. There is still large variation for NT points. For example, Hong Kong will play against winner/loser of Myanmmar and Singapore on 5 May after the tie with Vietnam on 3 May. HKFA also has the plan to friendly matches in Sept and Oct, and participate in the EAFF Championship qualifications in Nov. Malaysia can increase their NT points if they win both home and away games over East Timor in ACQ playoff and the coming friendly matches.

    So, it is too early to judge that Hong Kong will overtake Vietnam's Champion Leagues direct slot at this stage.

    p.s. the Champion of Hong Kong is Eastern, not Easter lol

    ReplyDelete
  4. Korea Republic are top on club points.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Can you do another update for the rankings following india wins and BFC wins

    ReplyDelete