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Friday, May 6, 2016

FIFA Ranking: June 2016 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 2 June. God willing, I will most likely post the final preview on 27 May.

45 matches. Friendlies all of them - with the exception of 4 matches of the OFC Nations Cup. Not 100% sure they will be included in the June ranking. Last time, FIFA chose to include all OFC Nations Cup in the same ranking.



OFC and its member nations should push FIFA to mark their Nations Cup games as continental final matches (3.0 multiplier). As it stands, they are only World Cup qualifiers (2.5).

Argentina will keep top stop for at least another month.

Austria will return to its best ever FIFA ranking - 10th, last achieved in March 2016.

The min/max points are computed simply counting a team's fixtures as losses or wins.

The worst/best/average rank are the result of 10000 simulations. The table is sorted ascending on average rank.

Country - Min Points - Max Points - Worst Rank - Best Rank - Avg Rank


Argentina 1484 1503 1 1 1
Germany 1310 1366 5 2 2.5
Belgium 1322 1384 4 2 2.93
Colombia 1301 1328 5 2 3.72
Chile 1293 1320 5 3 4.85
Spain 1213 1267 7 6 6.24
Brazil 1229 1257 7 6 6.76
Portugal 1141 1181 9 8 8.05
Uruguay 1120 1150 9 8 8.95
Austria 1077 1077 10 10 10
England 989 1069 14 11 11.02
Ecuador 978 1015 15 11 12.7
Switzerland 948 1001 16 11 13.52
Italy 939 982 18 12 13.99
Netherlands 942 992 17 11 14.14
Mexico 923 942 20 14 16.11
France 925 925 20 16 17.31
Romania 865 959 22 13 18.43
Hungary 871 916 22 18 19.62
Turkey 866 939 22 15 19.68
Bosnia and Herzegovina 886 943 22 14 19.82
Ukraine 845 894 26 18 22.08
Costa Rica 832 853 28 22 23.55
Wales 846 846 26 22 24.01
Poland 842 842 27 24 25.4
Northern Ireland 811 851 30 22 25.44
Croatia 826 842 29 24 25.48
Russia 828 828 29 26 27.63
Czech Republic 800 815 32 28 28.98
Slovakia 778 852 33 22 30.53
USA 758 803 33 29 31.56
Algeria 786 786 33 30 31.78
Republic of Ireland 750 804 35 29 32.12
Iceland 751 751 35 33 33.91
Sweden 735 735 36 35 35.22
Côte d'Ivoire 721 754 38 33 36.12
Ghana 728 728 37 36 36.46
Denmark 697 697 39 38 38.17
Greece 696 696 40 39 39.17
Iran 688 688 41 40 40.17
Scotland 659 728 44 36 41.12
Senegal 657 677 44 41 41.86
Albania 631 667 45 41 42.85
Paraguay 638 672 45 41 43.48
Egypt 631 631 46 44 44.84
Tunisia 629 629 48 46 46.09
Cape Verde Islands 620 620 50 47 47.76
Peru 582 623 55 47 47.89
Korea Republic 603 603 54 48 49.65
Jamaica 598 630 54 46 50.33
Norway 593 645 54 43 50.68
Congo DR 581 607 56 48 51.8
Panama 566 608 61 48 53.35
Japan 581 581 57 52 53.63
Guinea 573 573 59 54 56.07
Serbia 540 576 66 54 56.62
Slovenia 567 567 61 55 57.66
Australia 563 621 62 47 57.86
Congo 560 591 62 51 58.58
Cameroon 566 566 62 56 58.66
Mali 554 572 64 55 60.93
Trinidad and Tobago 550 610 64 48 61.5
Nigeria 535 559 67 60 63.46
Morocco 531 555 67 61 63.58
Saudi Arabia 545 545 65 62 64.13
Uzbekistan 544 544 66 63 65.13
Finland 536 536 67 65 66.64
South Africa 529 529 68 68 68
Bulgaria 518 518 70 69 69.03
United Arab Emirates 517 517 71 70 70.03
Israel 513 513 72 71 71.03
Uganda 500 500 74 72 72.05
Burkina Faso 479 479 76 73 73.41
Haiti 478 523 76 69 74.01
Benin 473 473 77 75 75.4
Equatorial Guinea 466 466 79 76 76.48
Venezuela 446 510 81 72 77.24
Belarus 442 500 81 72 77.49
Zambia 447 447 81 77 78.08
Jordan 434 434 84 80 80.46
Bolivia 420 456 85 77 81.73
China PR 423 423 86 81 81.76
Qatar 407 442 86 79 82.96
Antigua and Barbuda 413 413 87 83 83.71
Cyprus 407 468 87 76 83.75
Botswana 401 401 88 86 86.1
Gabon 395 395 89 87 87.23
Honduras 393 424 89 81 88.09
Guatemala 378 393 91 88 89.09
Montenegro 382 438 91 80 89.51
Faroe Islands 383 383 91 89 89.72
St. Kitts and Nevis 374 374 93 92 92.24
Estonia 360 376 95 92 93.32
Canada 363 363 95 93 93.56
Central African Republic 351 351 97 95 95.3
Mozambique 349 349 98 96 96.44
Korea DPR 348 348 99 97 97.44
El Salvador 342 370 99 93 97.47
Oman 338 338 100 99 99.48
Togo 338 338 100 99 99.48
Rwanda 332 355 103 95 100.17
Syria 336 336 102 101 101.48
Iraq 334 334 103 102 102.48
Latvia 330 330 104 104 104
Nicaragua 329 329 105 105 105
Chad 326 326 106 106 106
Malawi 320 320 107 107 107
Madagascar 317 317 108 108 108
Sierra Leone 317 317 108 108 108
Kyrgyzstan 313 313 112 110 110.31
Kazakhstan 312 312 113 111 111.31
Palestine 311 311 114 112 112.31
Belize 307 307 115 113 113.31
Guinea-Bissau 303 303 116 114 114.31
Zimbabwe 303 303 116 114 114.31
Niger 302 302 118 116 116.31
Swaziland 302 302 118 116 116.31
Thailand 302 302 118 116 116.31
Philippines 299 299 121 119 119.31
Libya 293 293 122 120 120.31
Angola 292 292 123 121 121.31
Liberia 292 292 123 121 121.31
Ethiopia 288 288 125 123 123.31
Mauritania 288 288 125 123 123.31
Armenia 271 315 131 110 123.73
Cuba 285 285 127 125 125.31
Kenya 271 285 132 125 126.84
Sudan 278 278 131 126 128.03
Bahrain 271 271 132 128 129.46
Guyana 271 271 132 128 129.46
Lithuania 250 282 138 126 132.07
Burundi 269 269 135 131 132.2
Georgia 260 316 138 110 133.21
Vietnam 266 266 136 132 133.42
Azerbaijan 247 280 139 126 133.48
Turkmenistan 264 264 137 133 134.43
Namibia 263 263 138 134 135.43
Tanzania 254 275 138 127 135.68
Barbados 245 245 140 139 139.48
Kuwait 241 241 141 140 140.48
FYR Macedonia 230 250 145 137 140.95
Mauritius 239 239 143 141 141.52
Aruba 233 233 144 142 142.77
Hong Kong 233 233 144 142 142.77
St. Lucia 225 225 146 145 145.03
Luxembourg 221 221 147 146 146.03
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 211 211 150 147 147.73
Singapore 207 207 151 148 148.73
Grenada 203 203 152 149 149.73
New Zealand 156 220 163 147 150.5
Lebanon 199 199 153 150 150.73
São Tomé e Príncipe 197 197 154 151 151.73
Dominican Republic 193 193 155 152 152.75
Lesotho 192 192 156 153 153.75
Curaçao 191 191 157 154 154.85
Afghanistan 184 184 159 155 155.91
South Sudan 174 174 160 156 157.14
Puerto Rico 167 240 161 141 157.5
Myanmar 158 168 162 157 158.98
Moldova 165 217 162 147 159.24
Comoros 158 158 163 159 160.8
Guam 151 151 164 162 162.14
India 151 151 164 162 162.14
Tajikistan 150 150 166 164 164.14
Gambia 145 145 167 165 165.25
Malta 141 197 167 151 165.51
Samoa 128 191 170 154 167.53
Bermuda 135 135 169 167 167.69
American Samoa 128 128 171 168 168.81
Cook Islands 128 128 171 168 168.81
Liechtenstein 128 128 171 168 168.81
Dominica 124 124 174 172 172.65
Laos 118 118 177 173 174.07
Vanuatu 72 136 186 167 174.17
Malaysia 113 123 179 173 175.34
Maldives 115 115 179 174 175.71
Timor-Leste 106 121 179 173 176.55
Yemen 102 102 180 177 178.28
Seychelles 94 94 182 178 180.11
Tahiti 32 96 198 178 181.51
Bangladesh 93 93 183 180 181.69
Nepal 77 77 184 181 182.88
New Caledonia 52 116 193 174 182.95
Fiji 68 132 187 168 182.96
Chinese Taipei 70 70 187 183 184.94
Cambodia 64 73 188 183 185.28
Indonesia 65 65 188 185 187.11
Solomon Islands 46 110 193 176 187.3
Bhutan 64 64 189 186 188.11
Sri Lanka 58 58 190 188 189.31
Suriname 57 57 191 189 190.31
Papua New Guinea 30 94 198 178 190.46
Pakistan 54 54 192 190 191.31
Montserrat 44 44 194 192 193.55
US Virgin Islands 44 44 194 192 193.55
Macau 42 42 196 194 195.55
Brunei Darussalam 37 37 197 195 196.55
Turks and Caicos Islands 33 33 198 196 197.55
Cayman Islands 21 21 200 199 199.04
San Marino 20 20 201 200 200.04
British Virgin Islands 16 16 202 201 201.04
Mongolia 4 4 203 202 202.14
Andorra 3 25 203 199 202.74
Anguilla 0 0 204 204 204
Bahamas 0 0 204 204 204
Djibouti 0 0 204 204 204
Eritrea 0 0 204 204 204
Somalia 0 0 204 204 204
Tonga 0 0 204 204 204
 

2 comments:

  1. Edgar, how come there's no July preview?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Too busy with my job. The company works better than expected - this means more clients, more requests, more changes etc.

      Delete