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Friday, June 10, 2016

FIFA Ranking: July 2016 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 14 July.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.


Probable July 2016 rank - Team - Probable July 2016 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
 
1 Argentina 1608 0 105
2 Colombia 1506 1 178
3 Germany 1469 1 159
4 Belgium 1442 -2 58
5 Spain 1427 1 160
6 England 1354 5 285
7 Brazil 1343 0 86
8 France 1303 9 378
9 Portugal 1297 -1 116
10 Uruguay 1130 -1 -20
11 Chile 1124 -6 -169
12 Mexico 1116 4 174
13 Italy 1101 -1 119
14 Austria 1077 -4 0
15 Ecuador 1002 -2 24
16 Ukraine 961 3 67
17 Romania 937 5 59
18 Switzerland 920 -3 -28
19 Slovakia 902 5 50
20 Netherlands 848 -6 -111
21 Turkey 842 -3 -77
22 USA 818 9 15
23 Bosnia and Herzegovina 813 -3 -73
24 Russia 811 5 -17
25 Czech Republic 810 5 -5
26 Croatia 806 1 -36
27 Poland 805 0 -37
28 Algeria 781 4 -5
29 Hungary 771 -9 -115
30 Côte d'Ivoire 751 6 19
31 Ghana 749 6 21
32 Northern Ireland 726 -7 -125
33 Costa Rica 723 -10 -130
34 Wales 713 -8 -133
35 Republic of Ireland 704 -2 -64
36 Iceland 675 -2 -76
37 Iran 674 2 -14
38 Sweden 656 -3 -79
39 Senegal 651 2 -26
40 Paraguay 636 4 -2
41 Egypt 632 4 1
42 Denmark 630 -4 -67
43 Tunisia 627 4 -2
44 Peru 621 4 -2
45 Serbia 612 9 36
46 Albania 607 -4 -60
47 Korea Republic 592 3 -11
48 Venezuela 589 29 133
49 Norway 588 2 -5
50 Scotland 584 -7 -75
51 Panama 580 5 8
52 Greece 579 -12 -99
53 Cameroon 575 5 9
54 Morocco 574 8 19
55 Jamaica 573 -9 -57
56 Uzbekistan 569 10 25
57 Japan 564 -4 -17
58 Congo DR 563 -6 -26
59 Australia 555 0 -8
60 Mali 546 3 -8
61 Cape Verde Islands 545 -12 -75
62 Guinea 544 -7 -29
63 South Africa 543 5 14
63 Trinidad and Tobago 543 1 -7
65 Slovenia 542 -8 -25
66 Finland 540 1 4
66 Saudi Arabia 540 -1 -5
68 Benin 525 7 52
69 Uganda 522 3 22
70 Congo 514 -10 -46
70 Nigeria 514 -9 -45
72 Belarus 507 6 65
73 Burkina Faso 487 0 8
74 United Arab Emirates 484 -4 -33
75 Guinea-Bissau 482 40 179
76 Israel 471 -5 -42
77 Bulgaria 446 -8 -72
78 Jordan 438 2 4
79 Zambia 436 0 0
80 Qatar 425 4 18
81 St. Kitts and Nevis 423 11 49
82 China PR 422 -1 -1
83 Honduras 398 3 5
84 Antigua and Barbuda 393 -1 -20
85 Equatorial Guinea 389 -9 -77
86 Cyprus 387 -2 -20
87 Central African Republic 386 9 35
87 Kenya 386 42 110
89 New Zealand 381 58 161
90 Guatemala 376 1 -2
90 Sierra Leone 376 18 59
92 Botswana 375 -5 -16
93 Liberia 370 30 78
94 Libya 366 28 73
95 Montenegro 365 -5 -17
96 Mozambique 363 1 14
97 Kazakhstan 359 15 47
98 Gabon 355 -10 -33
99 Iraq 354 3 20
100 Canada 350 -7 -13
100 Haiti 350 -26 -128
102 Armenia 348 8 33
103 Kyrgyzstan 341 8 28
103 Syria 341 -2 5
105 Oman 340 -5 2
106 Togo 339 -11 -19
107 Bolivia 338 -25 -82
107 Latvia 338 -3 8
109 Rwanda 334 -6 2
109 Swaziland 334 8 32
111 Puerto Rico 332 47 165
112 Chad 326 -6 0
112 Palestine 326 1 15
114 Estonia 323 -20 -37
115 Korea DPR 320 -17 -28
116 Georgia 318 21 58
117 Mauritania 317 4 23
118 Turkmenistan 312 16 48
119 Nicaragua 311 -14 -18
120 Cuba 305 6 20
120 Thailand 305 -3 3
122 Zimbabwe 303 -7 0
123 Tanzania 300 13 39
124 Burundi 297 8 28
124 El Salvador 297 -25 -45
126 Lithuania 293 1 11
127 Bahrain 289 3 18
128 Namibia 282 7 19
129 Guyana 280 1 9
130 Niger 277 -13 -25
131 Madagascar 273 -23 -44
132 Ethiopia 270 -7 -18
133 Malawi 269 -26 -51
134 Angola 263 -11 -29
135 Curaçao 261 19 70
136 Philippines 256 -16 -43
137 Faroe Islands 254 -48 -129
138 Azerbaijan 253 0 1
139 Dominican Republic 243 14 50
139 FYR Macedonia 243 0 -7
139 Vietnam 243 -6 -23
142 Sudan 229 -14 -49
143 Kuwait 223 -2 -18
144 Tajikistan 220 20 70
145 Luxembourg 219 1 -2
146 Aruba 216 -3 -17
147 Hong Kong 213 -4 -20
148 Mauritius 212 -6 -27
149 Lebanon 208 2 9
150 Afghanistan 206 6 22
151 India 200 12 49
152 São Tomé e Príncipe 197 0 0
152 South Sudan 197 5 23
154 Comoros 191 8 33
155 Barbados 182 -15 -63
155 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 182 -7 -29
157 Grenada 178 -7 -25
158 Singapore 175 -9 -32
159 Myanmar 167 2 6
160 Lesotho 166 -5 -19
161 New Caledonia 165 22 91
162 Yemen 160 16 58
163 Gambia 154 2 9
164 Belize 152 -50 -155
165 Moldova 151 -6 -14
166 Malaysia 140 7 24
167 Papua New Guinea 138 26 87
168 American Samoa 128 0 0
168 Cook Islands 128 0 0
170 Suriname 123 20 66
171 St. Lucia 121 -26 -104
172 Guam 120 -12 -44
173 Dominica 117 -1 -7
174 Maldives 115 0 0
175 Tahiti 114 4 18
176 Malta 109 -10 -32
177 Laos 107 -3 -8
178 Samoa 106 -10 -22
179 Vanuatu 103 6 31
180 Cambodia 95 4 22
181 Fiji 93 5 25
182 Solomon Islands 92 -6 -18
183 Liechtenstein 89 -15 -39
184 Bangladesh 85 -3 -8
184 Chinese Taipei 85 7 29
186 Seychelles 84 -6 -10
186 Timor-Leste 84 -9 -22
188 Bermuda 77 -21 -58
188 Nepal 77 -6 0
190 Kosovo 66 N/A 66
191 Indonesia 65 -4 0
192 Bhutan 64 -4 0
193 Sri Lanka 58 -4 0
194 Pakistan 54 -2 0
195 Macau 50 1 8
196 Montserrat 44 -2 0
196 US Virgin Islands 44 -2 0
198 Brunei Darussalam 33 -1 -4
199 Cayman Islands 21 0 0
200 San Marino 20 0 0
200 Turks and Caicos Islands 20 -2 -13
202 Mongolia 13 1 9
203 Andorra 12 -1 1
204 British Virgin Islands 11 -3 -5
205 Anguilla 0 -1 0
205 Bahamas 0 -1 0
205 Djibouti 0 -1 0
205 Eritrea 0 -1 0
205 Somalia 0 -1 0
205 Tonga 0 -1 0

17 comments:

  1. I think it is a must to stop producing this ranking.As it is not used for confection of teams in WCQ after using of the "special " ranking.

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  2. Ed, we had a questions and we need answers from anyone who are interesting in ranking and fair play:

    1- what was the reason for all this time to decide on the special FIFA ranking despite that the dates of the fifth round for the Africa Cup of Nations 2017 have already been set and previously known even before setting the date of the draw of the third round last November?

    2- the date and the venue and the system of the draw of the third round of the qualifiers to the World Cup will be announced following the second round which is in November 2015” , date was fixed on the 24th of June in Cairo in order to conduct the draw.he usual procedure is that the last ranking of the national teams taken into consideration before the draw, which is the ranking of June 2 in which Egypt, was ranked fifth in the Africa, SO ,why was a special FIFA ranking was decided on the 5th of April, which is contradictory to the said articles of the FIFA World Cup Regulations.

    3- dates around 8th to 10th June were set to be the dates to release the special FIFA Coca-Cola ranking,The ranking was CALCULATED on June 7th and was published to the media on June 8th before informing the Egyptian FA with it on the 9th of June.

    4- Seeing that Egypt was ranked in the fifth place on the 2nd of June 2016 ranking –The Normal ranking- and seeing that Egypt won its last match against Tanzania on the 4th of June 2016, hence the logical procedure is that Egypt remains in its 5th position in the ranking, Egypt went to the seventh position in the SPECIAL ranking, why??


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  3. Hossam,

    I don't know the answers. You know my point of view:
    FIFA leaves much too much room for invented rules in their official World Cup qualifying regulations. Important issues like the seeding procedure for draws and the draw procedure to be used etc. are not written out at all in their published regulations but left to 'the discretion of organising committees'. The only 'concrete' regulation about the seeding is 'the FIFA ranking shall be used to seed the teams'. If you call that a concrete statement then you can sleep soundly....
    Btw if they want to better their lifes then they should take example from f.i. UEFA where the complete qualification, seeding and drawing procedure of the EURO 2016 tournament are written out in regulations published December 12th 2013 (qualification started in September 2014).

    Most of the times FIFA uses this room in the regulations in the expected way: using the latest ranking available at the time of the draw. But this time they have made a real mess of it:
    - the second round of CAF-qualifying ended in November 2015;
    - invent a special ranking on April 5th 2016. At that moment the June 2016 ranking could already be determined with reasonable precision after the March AFCON-qualifiers;
    - introduce it in a very limited way: a mail to one African football association (Tunisia; Senegal FA reported also about it afterwards);
    - in this brief introduction leave again all the room they could possibly need: no explanation how the extra ranking will be calculated and a window of publishing dates (June 8-10);
    - finally they publish the special ranking (ok, calculated in the normal way, I have to give them that) on June 7th !

    For now this whole process is more than suspect. It has corruption written all over it. I find it repulsive and disgusting. You have my sympathies, although you can't buy any bread with that.

    And to be clear once again: I'm not the one deciding what content this blog publishes. It is Edgar's blog, I'm just commenting.

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  4. Thanks Ed, your message is clear. We sent a complaint to FIFA,CAF, and if no response,, we will go to CAS.

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  5. Hossam, if I may ask (and you don't have to answer if you don't want to): who is "we" in your last reply ? What is your role exactly ? Are you part of Egyptian FA, just a committed fan ?

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  6. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  7. Iam a normal fan , not a part of any assosiation , the news released today said that EFA sent a complaint

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  8. Hossam, thanks for answering. I just read it also on Kingfut, although they only mention CAS, not FIFA or CAF. Anyway, I wish you as a fan and Egypt NT all the best with this complaint. May it bear fruit. And please, keep us posted about the results.

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  9. Iam a follower for the blog since 2013,,, i ll update you sure.

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  10. FIFA accepted the compaint ,, ranking will be calculated again at 21 June. FIFA sent a letter today to the 20 teams in the draw.

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  11. what will the situation in June 21 ?

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  12. In Circular 1355 of FIFA, they say there may only maximum of 2 matches in any FIFA dates. So if any teamm play the 3rd match, it woudn't be counted, i.e. VIE vs SYR on 31st May. Are there any match else which wasn't counted in the same situation??

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    Replies
    1. Only Philippines come to mind - they have 3 matches schedule for their Peace Cup last year if I'm not mistaken. They had to change the format from league of 4 to straight KO.

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    2. now I wish that match hat taken place on 29th May. A lot of points for that win had lost

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  13. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  14. Chile just won copa america and were in 5th, and now possibly 10th. does not make sense

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