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Monday, July 16, 2018

FIFA Ranking: July 2018 final preview (old method)

I also give you the July 2018 ranking calculated with the 'old' calculation method:



Probable July 2018 rank - Team - Probable July 2018 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points



1 Brazil 1651 1 220
2 France 1646 5 448
3 Belgium 1618 0 320
4 Croatia 1420 16 475
5 Uruguay 1304 9 286
6 England 1284 6 233
7 Germany 1271 -6 -287
8 Switzerland 1252 -2 53
9 Spain 1232 1 106
10 Portugal 1208 -6 -66
11 Colombia 1151 5 165
12 Denmark 1147 0 96
13 Argentina 1138 -8 -103
14 Sweden 1123 10 243
15 Peru 1106 -4 -19
16 Poland 1103 -8 -80
17 Mexico 1017 -2 28
18 Chile 918 -9 -217
19 Senegal 881 8 43
20 Wales 850 -2 -103
21 Italy 846 -2 -105
22 Paraguay 841 10 68
23 Tunisia 829 -2 -81
24 Netherlands 823 -7 -158
25 Iran 802 12 94
26 Romania 798 4 16
27 USA 797 -2 -76
28 Austria 795 -2 -50
29 Iceland 783 -7 -125
30 Venezuela 779 3 24
31 Serbia 777 3 26
32 Russia 776 38 319
33 Republic of Ireland 765 -2 -12
34 Ukraine 762 1 29
34 Northern Ireland 762 -5 -41
36 Slovakia 740 -8 -64
37 Costa Rica 704 -14 -180
38 Australia 703 -2 -15
39 Congo DR 700 -1 -6
40 Morocco 686 1 0
41 Turkey 669 -3 -37
42 Bosnia-Herzegovina 661 -2 -32
43 Czech Republic 657 3 16
44 Nigeria 656 4 38
44 Scotland 656 -2 -4
46 Norway 653 7 57
47 Bulgaria 639 2 25
48 Ghana 636 -1 12
49 Japan 632 12 111
50 Jamaica 628 4 40
51 Montenegro 609 -8 -43
52 Korea Republic 594 5 50
52 Greece 594 -8 -56
54 Burkina Faso 585 -2 -19
55 Egypt 582 -10 -67
56 Cameroon 561 -7 -53
57 Honduras 554 5 51
58 Slovenia 546 -2 -12
59 Finland 528 4 42
60 Hungary 524 -9 -88
61 Cape Verde Islands 523 4 45
62 Bolivia 510 -3 -26
63 Saudi Arabia 508 4 43
64 FYR Macedonia 495 7 44
65 Panama 486 -10 -85
66 Cote d'Ivoire 458 2 -5
67 Albania 456 -9 -82
68 Mali 449 -4 -35
69 Algeria 442 -3 -32
70 Syria 441 3 1
71 Zambia 440 5 20
72 Guinea 434 -4 -29
73 China PR 428 2 5
74 Luxembourg 427 11 37
75 Lebanon 423 4 12
76 Kyrgyzstan 421 16 58
77 United Arab Emirates 418 0 0
78 South Africa 410 -4 -18
79 Oman 409 5 18
80 Uganda 401 2 -2
80 Ecuador 401 -20 -123
82 Gabon 398 3 8
82 Trinidad and Tobago 398 9 28
84 Congo 391 -1 -2
85 Iraq 386 4 9
86 Curacao 377 -5 -31
87 Cyprus 372 0 -12
88 Benin 365 0 -14
89 Haiti 360 15 38
89 Uzbekistan 360 6 6
91 Libya 359 10 23
92 Faroe Islands 354 -2 -22
93 Belarus 351 -15 -66
94 Estonia 350 0 -9
95 Israel 340 -2 -22
95 Niger 340 8 17
97 Palestine 336 2 -11
97 Georgia 336 -1 -16
99 India 333 -2 -17
100 Armenia 322 0 -16
101 Canada 315 -22 -96
102 Qatar 314 -4 -34
102 Korea DPR 314 6 11
104 Jordan 313 6 17
105 El Salvador 308 -33 -134
106 Azerbaijan 307 -1 -14
107 Kazakhstan 304 10 31
108 Vietnam 299 -6 -35
109 Mauritania 291 -2 -13
109 Bahrain 291 4 2
111 Kenya 289 1 -2
112 New Zealand 283 8 27
113 Madagascar 274 -7 -34
113 Turkmenistan 274 17 45
115 Central African Republic 272 -7 -31
116 Philippines 266 -1 -14
117 Zimbabwe 259 1 -6
118 Tajikistan 257 1 -7
119 Mozambique 250 -5 -32
120 Namibia 248 -4 -29
121 Sudan 244 7 12
122 Togo 237 3 -4
122 Rwanda 237 14 21
124 Malawi 233 -1 -14
125 Angola 229 12 20
126 Latvia 228 3 -2
127 Tanzania 224 13 24
127 Chinese Taipei 224 -4 -23
129 Thailand 221 -7 -27
130 Yemen 217 3 -10
130 Lithuania 217 -4 -22
132 Sierra Leone 216 -21 -76
133 Afghanistan 215 12 27
134 Antigua and Barbuda 213 -8 -26
135 Botswana 209 4 4
135 Kosovo 209 6 12
137 St. Kitts and Nevis 205 -2 -13
138 Nicaragua 202 -6 -26
139 Guinea-Bissau 201 -18 -54
140 Myanmar 199 -2 -7
141 Hong Kong 190 1 -5
142 Lesotho 189 5 14
143 Guatemala 188 3 8
144 Burundi 186 4 12
145 Equatorial Guinea 180 -2 -10
146 Comoros 178 3 6
147 Ethiopia 175 4 9
147 Swaziland 175 -13 -47
149 Andorra 162 -19 -67
149 Solomon Islands 162 -6 -28
151 Dominican Republic 157 1 -5
151 Maldives 157 -1 -14
153 Liberia 155 5 26
154 Suriname 154 -1 0
155 Mauritius 141 0 1
156 New Caledonia 132 -2 -18
157 Tahiti 130 0 0
158 Kuwait 121 1 -7
159 Vanuatu 117 3 0
160 South Sudan 115 -4 -17
161 Barbados 113 -1 -14
162 Malaysia 103 9 10
163 Puerto Rico 101 10 12
164 Singapore 99 5 0
165 Fiji 97 0 -7
166 Nepal 93 -5 -25
167 Gambia 91 5 -1
168 Chad 88 7 0
169 Laos 85 9 3
170 Guyana 83 12 10
171 Moldova 82 4 -6
172 Belize 79 -9 -36
173 Indonesia 76 -9 -35
174 Grenada 74 -6 -28
174 Liechtenstein 74 6 -6
176 Papua New Guinea 73 -10 -30
177 Bhutan 68 6 0
178 Macau 66 7 6
179 Malta 65 5 0
180 Cuba 62 1 -13
180 Cambodia 62 -14 -41
180 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 62 -7 -27
183 Seychelles 60 5 12
184 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 59 2 8
185 Dominica 58 -8 -28
186 Bermuda 52 -8 -30
187 Aruba 49 1 1
187 Mongolia 49 -1 -2
189 Timor-Leste 45 1 0
189 St. Lucia 45 -19 -50
191 Gibraltar 41 4 7
192 American Samoa 38 0 0
192 Cook Islands 38 0 0
194 Guam 35 -4 -10
195 Brunei Darussalam 34 0 0
196 Bangladesh 33 -2 -2
197 Samoa 32 0 0
198 Djibouti 27 -1 -5
199 US Virgin Islands 18 0 0
200 Sri Lanka 17 0 0
201 Pakistan 10 0 0
202 Cayman Islands 9 0 1
203 San Marino 8 0 0
204 Montserrat 4 0 0
204 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0
206 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0
206 Tonga 0 0 0
206 Eritrea 0 0 0
206 Somalia 0 0 0
206 Bahamas 0 0 0
206 Anguilla 0 0 0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

8 comments:

  1. I must say that when you compare the rankings of the old with the new system, I find the old system much closer to the truth after the WorldCup. The rankings need to be sturred up after a big tournament, and not like the new system being finetuned.

    But maybe FIFA comes up with a brillant solution for this, we'll find out in just two days.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "...find out in just two days". lol
      It is already August. Rankinks still hasn't updated.

      Delete
    2. FIFA took everybody by surprise when they just didn't update the ranking after the WorldCup without even so much of an explanation. Bad move from FIFA from a communication point of view.

      Looking at it from FIFA's perspective, it wasn't a big deal skipping the July rankings because no matches were scheduled in the month after the WorldCup. FIFA bought themselves a month for finetuning the calculation method because they were smart enough to realize that the calculation method they'd published would lead to a ranking which would be heavily criticized.

      We just have to be patient.

      Delete
  2. Why Brazil will be number 1? They were beaten by Belgium in quarter-finals...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please remember that this is the ranking calculated with the old system. So Brazil will not be number one. Under the new system it's even worse: Germany will remain on top.

      Delete
    2. The FIFA ranking is far from perfect. That said, having Brazil as number one is not that far-fetched. Brazil has been consistently great in the last year, and a loss against another highly-rated team should not necessarily result in a massive point drop.

      The goal of the ranking is to order teams by their perceived strength, not to rank the positions in which teams finished their last world cup campaign.

      Delete
  3. Here is a ranking that includes only teams that have played in at least a world cup. The winner of each cup gets a number of points equivalent to the teams in that tournament, with second placed teams getting one point less, third placed team getting two points less, and so on. Points are multiplied by one for the first cup, two for the second, three for the third, and so on. The totals are as follows:

    Brazil 5626.00
    Germany 5450.00
    Argentina 4690.00
    Spain 3955.00
    England 3953.00
    Italy 3715.00
    France 3659.00
    Mexico 3354.00
    Belgium 3099.00
    Netherlands 2924.00
    Uruguay 2543.00
    Portugal 2298.00
    Russia 2152.00
    Sweden 2125.00
    South Korea 1938.00
    Switzerland 1914.00
    Croatia 1875.00
    Paraguay 1797.00
    United States 1640.50
    Colombia 1591.00
    Serbia 1565.00
    Denmark 1537.00
    Japan 1511.50
    Chile 1508.00
    Nigeria 1462.00
    Poland 1407.00
    Romania 1365.00
    Costa Rica 1071.00
    Ghana 1068.00
    Ecuador 897.00
    Ivory Coast 838.00
    Morocco 838.00
    Czech Republic 834.00
    Iran 831.50
    Cameroon 827.00
    Senegal 820.00
    Bulgaria 800.00
    Republic of Ireland 760.00
    Australia 744.00
    Algeria 727.00
    Hungary 703.00
    South Africa 701.00
    Austria 683.00
    Scotland 655.00
    Tunisia 648.00
    Greece 596.00
    Turkey 580.00
    Saudi Arabia 550.50
    Peru 539.00
    Ukraine 475.00
    Norway 446.00
    Northern Ireland 364.00
    Slovenia 354.00
    Slovakia 340.00
    Bosnia and Herzegovina 273.00
    New Zealand 244.00
    Angola 190.00
    Jamaica 187.00
    Honduras 186.00
    Egypt 122.00
    Trinidad and Tobago 114.00
    East Germany 110.00
    North Korea 92.00
    Iceland 88.00
    Wales 72.00
    Bolivia 70.00
    Togo 57.00
    Iraq 56.00
    Kuwait 48.00
    Israel 45.00
    China PR 36.00
    Canada 28.00
    Cuba 27.00
    Panama 22.00
    El Salvador 21.00
    Haiti 20.00
    United Arab Emirates 14.00
    Congo DR 10.00
    Indonesia 3.00

    ReplyDelete