FIFA ranking: October 2018 probable results

Here are the results of all currently scheduled matches until October 16th, used to calculate the October 2018 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) into the FIFA fixture-list at the moment of writing. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)

1 2018-10-06 Palestine - Nepal; Friendly; We (elo): 95; 1

1 2018-10-09 Philippines - Tajikistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 52; Philippines pso win

1 2018-10-10 Gabon - South Sudan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1

1 2018-10-10 Nigeria - Libya; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1

1 2018-10-10 Ethiopia - Kenya; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 54; X

1 2018-10-10 Zambia - Guinea-Bissau; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1

1 2018-10-10 Palestine - Bangladesh; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1

1 2018-10-10 Albania - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1

1 2018-10-10 Indonesia - Myanmar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1

0 2018-10-10 Italy - Ukraine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1

0 2018-10-10 Martinique - Haiti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 56; X

1 2018-10-11 Ghana - Sierra Leone; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1

1 2018-10-11 Congo - Liberia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1

0 2018-10-11 French Guyana - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Nations League group; We (elo): 89; 1

1 2018-10-11 Argentina - Iraq; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1

1 2018-10-11 Bahrain - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 38; X

0 2018-10-11 France - Iceland; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1

1 2018-10-11 Hong Kong - Thailand; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 36; 2

1 2018-10-11 Kuwait - Lebanon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X

0 2018-10-11 Mexico - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1

1 2018-10-11 Turkey - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X

1 2018-10-11 United Arab Emirates - Honduras; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 38; X

0 2018-10-11 USA - Colombia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 39; X

1 2018-10-11 Wales - Spain; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 27; 2

1 2018-10-11 Poland - Portugal; Nations League group; We (elo): 41; X

1 2018-10-11 Russia - Sweden; Nations League group; We (elo): 56; X

1 2018-10-11 Israel - Scotland; Nations League group; We (elo): 35; 2

1 2018-10-11 Lithuania - Romania; Nations League group; We (elo): 19; 2

1 2018-10-11 Montenegro - Serbia; Nations League group; We (elo): 42; X

1 2018-10-11 Faroe Islands - Azerbaijan; Nations League group; We (elo): 50; X

1 2018-10-11 Kosovo - Malta; Nations League group; We (elo): 88; 1

1 2018-10-12 Cameroon - Malawi; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1

1 2018-10-12 Morocco - Comoros; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1

1 2018-10-12 Mali - Burundi; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1

1 2018-10-12 Algeria - Benin; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1

1 2018-10-12 Togo - Gambia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1

1 2018-10-12 Cote d'Ivoire - Central African Republic; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1

1 2018-10-12 Guinea - Rwanda; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1

1 2018-10-12 Angola - Mauritania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 52; X

1 2018-10-12 Egypt - Swaziland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1

1 2018-10-12 Cape Verde Islands - Tanzania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1

1 2018-10-12 Bahamas - Antigua and Barbuda; Nations League group; We (elo): 29; 2

0 2018-10-12 Bermuda - St. Maarten; Nations League group; We (elo): 91; 1

1 2018-10-12 Dominican Republic - Cayman Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 92; 1

1 2018-10-12 Grenada - Cuba; Nations League group; We (elo): 33; 2

1 2018-10-12 US Virgin Islands - Curacao; Nations League group; We (elo): 3; 2

1 2018-10-12 Palestine - Philippines; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1

1 2018-10-12 Saudi Arabia - Brazil; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 8; 2

1 2018-10-12 Cambodia - Timor-Leste; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1

0 2018-10-12 Chile - Peru; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 49; X

0 2018-10-12 Japan - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 79; 1

1 2018-10-12 Korea Republic - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 37; X

0 2018-10-12 Qatar - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 29; 2

1 2018-10-12 Singapore - Mongolia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1

0 2018-10-12 Sri Lanka - Malaysia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 19; 2

1 2018-10-12 Belgium - Switzerland; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1

1 2018-10-12 Croatia - England; Nations League group; We (elo): 67; 1

1 2018-10-12 Austria - Northern Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 74; 1

1 2018-10-12 Estonia - Finland; Nations League group; We (elo): 41; X

1 2018-10-12 Greece - Hungary; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1

1 2018-10-12 Belarus - Luxembourg; Nations League group; We (elo): 80; 1

1 2018-10-12 Moldova - San Marino; Nations League group; We (elo): 96; 1

1 2018-10-13 Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1

1 2018-10-13 Senegal - Sudan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1

1 2018-10-13 South Africa - Seychelles; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1

1 2018-10-13 Congo DR - Zimbabwe; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1

1 2018-10-13 Burkina Faso - Botswana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1

1 2018-10-13 Tunisia - Niger; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1

1 2018-10-13 Mozambique - Namibia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 57; X

1 2018-10-13 Uganda - Lesotho; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1

1 2018-10-13 El Salvador - Barbados; Nations League group; We (elo): 92; 1

0 2018-10-13 Puerto Rico - Martinique; Nations League group; We (elo): 14; 2

1 2018-10-13 St. Lucia - Haiti; Nations League group; We (elo): 20; 2

1 2018-10-13 Suriname - British Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 98; 1

1 2018-10-13 Turks and Caicos Islands - Guyana; Nations League group; We (elo): 14; 2

1 2018-10-13 China PR - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1

0 2018-10-13 Myanmar - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 5; 2

1 2018-10-13 Philippines - Oman; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 12; 2

0 2018-10-13 Uzbekistan - Korea DPR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 79; 1

1 2018-10-13 Netherlands - Germany; Nations League group; We (elo): 55; X

1 2018-10-13 Slovakia - Czech Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 74; 1

1 2018-10-13 Republic of Ireland - Denmark; Nations League group; We (elo): 39; 2

1 2018-10-13 Bulgaria - Cyprus; Nations League group; We (elo): 87; 1

1 2018-10-13 Norway - Slovenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1

1 2018-10-13 Georgia - Andorra; Nations League group; We (elo): 96; 1

1 2018-10-13 Latvia - Kazakhstan; Nations League group; We (elo): 63; 1

1 2018-10-13 Armenia - Gibraltar; Nations League group; We (elo): 94; 1

1 2018-10-13 FYR Macedonia - Liechtenstein; Nations League group; We (elo): 94; 1

1 2018-10-14 Kenya - Ethiopia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 73; 1

1 2018-10-14 Liberia - Congo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 50; X

1 2018-10-14 Guinea-Bissau - Zambia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2

0 2018-10-14 Bonaire - Jamaica; Nations League group; We (elo): 3; 2

1 2018-10-14 Montserrat - Belize; Nations League group; We (elo): 7; 2

1 2018-10-14 Nicaragua - Anguilla; Nations League group; We (elo): 99; 1

0 2018-10-14 St. Martin - St. Kitts and Nevis; Nations League group; We (elo): 9; 2

0 2018-10-14 Scotland - Portugal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 34; 2

0 2018-10-14 Thailand - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X

1 2018-10-14 Poland - Italy; Nations League group; We (elo): 53; X

1 2018-10-14 Russia - Turkey; Nations League group; We (elo): 67; 1

1 2018-10-14 Israel - Albania; Nations League group; We (elo): 54; X

1 2018-10-14 Lithuania - Montenegro; Nations League group; We (elo): 30; 2

1 2018-10-14 Romania - Serbia; Nations League group; We (elo): 59; X

1 2018-10-14 Azerbaijan - Malta; Nations League group; We (elo): 85; 1

1 2018-10-14 Faroe Islands - Kosovo; Nations League group; We (elo): 42; X

1 2018-10-15 Comoros - Morocco; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2

1 2018-10-15 Libya - Nigeria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 21; 2

1 2018-10-15 Sierra Leone - Ghana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 28; 2

1 2018-10-15 Saudi Arabia - Iraq; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1

1 2018-10-15 Croatia - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 97; 1

1 2018-10-15 Kuwait - Australia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 26; 2

1 2018-10-15 Iceland - Switzerland; Nations League group; We (elo): 36; 2

1 2018-10-15 Spain - England; Nations League group; We (elo): 83; 1

1 2018-10-15 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Northern Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 79; 1

1 2018-10-15 Estonia - Hungary; Nations League group; We (elo): 49; X

1 2018-10-15 Finland - Greece; Nations League group; We (elo): 60; X

1 2018-10-15 Belarus - Moldova; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1

1 2018-10-15 Luxembourg - San Marino; Nations League group; We (elo): 97; 1

1 2018-10-16 Madagascar - Equatorial Guinea; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1

1 2018-10-16 Sudan - Senegal; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2

1 2018-10-16 Malawi - Cameroon; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2

1 2018-10-16 Burundi - Mali; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 35; 2

1 2018-10-16 South Sudan - Gabon; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2

1 2018-10-16 Benin - Algeria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 50; X

1 2018-10-16 Gambia - Togo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 47; X

1 2018-10-16 Seychelles - South Africa; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 5; 2

1 2018-10-16 Zimbabwe - Congo DR; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 46; X

1 2018-10-16 Central African Republic - Cote d'Ivoire; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2

1 2018-10-16 Rwanda - Guinea; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2

1 2018-10-16 Botswana - Burkina Faso; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2

1 2018-10-16 Mauritania - Angola; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1

1 2018-10-16 Niger - Tunisia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2

1 2018-10-16 Swaziland - Egypt; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 21; 2

1 2018-10-16 Namibia - Mozambique; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 71; 1

1 2018-10-16 Lesotho - Uganda; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 48; X

1 2018-10-16 Tanzania - Cape Verde Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 47; X

0 2018-10-16 Martinique - British Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 99; 1

1 2018-10-16 Canada - Dominica; Nations League group; We (elo): 97; 1

0 2018-10-16 Guadeloupe - Aruba; Nations League group; We (elo): 89; 1

1 2018-10-16 Brazil - Argentina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1

1 2018-10-16 Bahrain - Palestine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1

0 2018-10-16 Belgium - Netherlands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 83; 1

1 2018-10-16 Cambodia - Singapore; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 30; 2

1 2018-10-16 China PR - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 55; X

0 2018-10-16 Colombia - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1

1 2018-10-16 Denmark - Austria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1

0 2018-10-16 Ecuador - Oman; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1

1 2018-10-16 Indonesia - Hong Kong; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1

0 2018-10-16 Iran - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1

0 2018-10-16 Japan - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 31; 2

1 2018-10-16 Korea Republic - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1

0 2018-10-16 Laos - Mongolia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1

1 2018-10-16 Malaysia - Kyrgyzstan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 37; X

0 2018-10-16 Mexico - Chile; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 56; X

0 2018-10-16 Myanmar - Afghanistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X

0 2018-10-16 Sweden - Slovakia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1

1 2018-10-16 United Arab Emirates - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 20; 2

0 2018-10-16 USA - Peru; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 49; X

0 2018-10-16 Uzbekistan - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1

1 2018-10-16 France - Germany; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1

1 2018-10-16 Ukraine - Czech Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 77; 1

1 2018-10-16 Republic of Ireland - Wales; Nations League group; We (elo): 53; X

1 2018-10-16 Norway - Bulgaria; Nations League group; We (elo): 62; 1

1 2018-10-16 Slovenia - Cyprus; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1

1 2018-10-16 Kazakhstan - Andorra; Nations League group; We (elo): 88; 1

1 2018-10-16 Latvia - Georgia; Nations League group; We (elo): 37; 2

1 2018-10-16 Armenia - FYR Macedonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 50; X

1 2018-10-16 Gibraltar - Liechtenstein; Nations League group; We (elo): 52; X

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.