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Friday, December 28, 2018

FIFA ranking: January 2019 preview results

Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA January 2019 ranking with FIFA's Expected Home Win Probability (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) or loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.


The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) into the FIFA fixture-list at the moment of writing.

Normally the home-team's gained points will be the away-team's lost points. Still, both are given because there are in FIFA's calculation approach cases when they will not be the same: PSO-matches and knock-out matches in final competitions.


0 2018-12-28 AFG - TKM; We (FIFA): 45; W: 2,8/-2,8; D: 0,3/-0,3; L: -2,2/2,2
1 2018-12-28 IRQ - PLE; We (FIFA): 53; W: 2,3/-2,3; D: -0,2/0,2; L: -2,7/2,7
1 2018-12-28 JOR - CHN; We (FIFA): 38; W: 3,1/-3,1; D: 0,6/-0,6; L: -1,9/1,9
0 2018-12-28 UAE - KUW; We (FIFA): 75; W: 1,2/-1,2; D: -1,3/1,3; L: -3,8/3,8
1 2018-12-29 BHR - PRK; We (FIFA): 48; W: 2,6/-2,6; D: 0,1/-0,1; L: -2,4/2,4
0 2018-12-30 AUS - OMA; We (FIFA): 63; W: 1,8/-1,8; D: -0,7/0,7; L: -3,2/3,2
1 2018-12-30 YEM - SYR; We (FIFA): 30; W: 3,5/-3,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -1,5/1,5
1 2018-12-31 PLE - KGZ; We (FIFA): 47; W: 2,7/-2,7; D: 0,2/-0,2; L: -2,3/2,3
1 2018-12-31 QAT - IRN; We (FIFA): 30; W: 3,5/-3,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -1,5/1,5
1 2018-12-31 KSA - KOR; We (FIFA): 43; W: 2,8/-2,8; D: 0,3/-0,3; L: -2,2/2,2
1 2018-12-31 VIE - PHI; We (FIFA): 55; W: 2,2/-2,2; D: -0,3/0,3; L: -2,8/2,8
0 2019-01-02 OMA - THA; We (FIFA): 63; W: 1,9/-1,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -3,1/3,1
1 2019-01-05 UAE - BHR; We (FIFA): 62; W: 13,3/-13,3; D: -4,2/4,2; L: -21,7/21,7
1 2019-01-06 THA - IND; We (FIFA): 42; W: 20,2/-20,2; D: 2,7/-2,7; L: -14,8/14,8
1 2019-01-06 AUS - JOR; We (FIFA): 72; W: 9,9/-9,9; D: -7,6/7,6; L: -25,1/25,1
1 2019-01-06 SYR - PLE; We (FIFA): 58; W: 14,6/-14,6; D: -2,9/2,9; L: -20,4/20,4
1 2019-01-07 CHN - KGZ; We (FIFA): 55; W: 15,7/-15,7; D: -1,8/1,8; L: -19,3/19,3
1 2019-01-07 KOR - PHI; We (FIFA): 71; W: 10,0/-10,0; D: -7,5/7,5; L: -25,0/25,0
1 2019-01-07 IRN - YEM; We (FIFA): 81; W: 6,7/-6,7; D: -10,8/10,8; L: -28,3/28,3
1 2019-01-08 IRQ - VIE; We (FIFA): 54; W: 16,1/-16,1; D: -1,4/1,4; L: -18,9/18,9
1 2019-01-08 KSA - PRK; We (FIFA): 63; W: 13,0/-13,0; D: -4,5/4,5; L: -22,0/22,0
0 2019-01-08 SWE - FIN; We (FIFA): 67; W: 1,7/-1,7; D: -0,8/0,8; L: -3,3/3,3
1 2019-01-09 QAT - LIB; We (FIFA): 46; W: 18,8/-18,8; D: 1,3/-1,3; L: -16,2/16,2
1 2019-01-09 JPN - TKM; We (FIFA): 75; W: 8,6/-8,6; D: -8,9/8,9; L: -26,4/26,4
1 2019-01-09 UZB - OMA; We (FIFA): 46; W: 19,0/-19,0; D: 1,5/-1,5; L: -16,0/16,0
1 2019-01-10 BHR - THA; We (FIFA): 49; W: 17,9/-17,9; D: 0,4/-0,4; L: -17,1/17,1
1 2019-01-10 IND - UAE; We (FIFA): 40; W: 20,9/-20,9; D: 3,4/-3,4; L: -14,1/14,1
1 2019-01-10 JOR - SYR; We (FIFA): 35; W: 22,6/-22,6; D: 5,1/-5,1; L: -12,4/12,4
1 2019-01-11 PLE - AUS; We (FIFA): 30; W: 24,6/-24,6; D: 7,1/-7,1; L: -10,4/10,4
1 2019-01-11 KGZ - KOR; We (FIFA): 34; W: 23,0/-23,0; D: 5,5/-5,5; L: -12,0/12,0
1 2019-01-11 PHI - CHN; We (FIFA): 34; W: 23,1/-23,1; D: 5,6/-5,6; L: -11,9/11,9
0 2019-01-11 EST - FIN; We (FIFA): 37; W: 3,1/-3,1; D: 0,6/-0,6; L: -1,9/1,9
0 2019-01-11 SWE - ISL; We (FIFA): 60; W: 2,0/-2,0; D: -0,5/0,5; L: -3,0/3,0
1 2019-01-12 VIE - IRN; We (FIFA): 26; W: 25,9/-25,9; D: 8,4/-8,4; L: -9,1/9,1
1 2019-01-12 YEM - IRQ; We (FIFA): 32; W: 23,7/-23,7; D: 6,2/-6,2; L: -11,3/11,3
1 2019-01-12 LIB - KSA; We (FIFA): 45; W: 19,2/-19,2; D: 1,7/-1,7; L: -15,8/15,8
1 2019-01-13 PRK - QAT; We (FIFA): 43; W: 20,0/-20,0; D: 2,5/-2,5; L: -15,0/15,0
1 2019-01-13 OMA - JPN; We (FIFA): 38; W: 21,7/-21,7; D: 4,2/-4,2; L: -13,3/13,3
1 2019-01-13 TKM - UZB; We (FIFA): 37; W: 22,1/-22,1; D: 4,6/-4,6; L: -12,9/12,9
1 2019-01-14 IND - BHR; We (FIFA): 54; W: 16,2/-16,2; D: -1,3/1,3; L: -18,8/18,8
1 2019-01-14 UAE - THA; We (FIFA): 65; W: 12,4/-12,4; D: -5,1/5,1; L: -22,6/22,6
1 2019-01-15 AUS - SYR; We (FIFA): 60; W: 14,0/-14,0; D: -3,5/3,5; L: -21,0/21,0
1 2019-01-15 PLE - JOR; We (FIFA): 54; W: 16,1/-16,1; D: -1,4/1,4; L: -18,9/18,9
0 2019-01-15 EST - ISL; We (FIFA): 31; W: 3,5/-3,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -1,5/1,5
1 2019-01-16 KOR - CHN; We (FIFA): 58; W: 14,6/-14,6; D: -2,9/2,9; L: -20,4/20,4
1 2019-01-16 KGZ - PHI; We (FIFA): 58; W: 14,5/-14,5; D: -3,0/3,0; L: -20,5/20,5
1 2019-01-16 IRN - IRQ; We (FIFA): 68; W: 11,2/-11,2; D: -6,3/6,3; L: -23,8/23,8
1 2019-01-16 VIE - YEM; We (FIFA): 61; W: 13,6/-13,6; D: -3,9/3,9; L: -21,4/21,4
1 2019-01-17 LIB - PRK; We (FIFA): 60; W: 13,8/-13,8; D: -3,7/3,7; L: -21,2/21,2
1 2019-01-17 KSA - QAT; We (FIFA): 58; W: 14,5/-14,5; D: -3,0/3,0; L: -20,5/20,5
1 2019-01-17 JPN - UZB; We (FIFA): 66; W: 12,0/-12,0; D: -5,5/5,5; L: -23,0/23,0
1 2019-01-17 OMA - TKM; We (FIFA): 67; W: 11,7/-11,7; D: -5,8/5,8; L: -23,3/23,3
1 2019-01-20 AUS - VIE; We (FIFA): 72; W: 9,7/0,0; D: 0,0/7,8; L: 0,0/25,3; PSO-W: 0,9/7,8; PSO-L: 0,0/16,6
1 2019-01-20 IRN - OMA; We (FIFA): 70; W: 10,6/0,0; D: 0,0/6,9; L: 0,0/24,4; PSO-W: 1,9/6,9; PSO-L: 0,0/15,6
1 2019-01-20 BHR - CHN; We (FIFA): 37; W: 22,2/0,0; D: 4,7/0,0; L: 0,0/12,8; PSO-W: 13,4/0,0; PSO-L: 4,7/4,1
1 2019-01-21 UAE - KGZ; We (FIFA): 59; W: 14,2/0,0; D: 0,0/3,3; L: 0,0/20,8; PSO-W: 5,5/3,3; PSO-L: 0,0/12,0
1 2019-01-21 JPN - QAT; We (FIFA): 66; W: 11,9/0,0; D: 0,0/5,6; L: 0,0/23,1; PSO-W: 3,2/5,6; PSO-L: 0,0/14,3
1 2019-01-21 SYR - UZB; We (FIFA): 58; W: 14,7/0,0; D: 0,0/2,8; L: 0,0/20,3; PSO-W: 6,0/2,8; PSO-L: 0,0/11,5
1 2019-01-22 KOR - THA; We (FIFA): 74; W: 9,0/0,0; D: 0,0/8,5; L: 0,0/26,0; PSO-W: 0,2/8,5; PSO-L: 0,0/17,3
1 2019-01-22 KSA - IRQ; We (FIFA): 57; W: 15,2/0,0; D: 0,0/2,3; L: 0,0/19,8; PSO-W: 6,4/2,3; PSO-L: 0,0/11,1
1 2019-01-24 AUS - JPN; We (FIFA): 52; W: 19,2/0,0; D: 0,0/0,8; L: 0,0/20,8; PSO-W: 9,2/0,8; PSO-L: 0,0/10,8
1 2019-01-24 CHN - IRN; We (FIFA): 34; W: 26,6/0,0; D: 6,6/0,0; L: 0,0/13,4; PSO-W: 16,6/0,0; PSO-L: 6,6/3,4
1 2019-01-25 UAE - SYR; We (FIFA): 52; W: 19,2/0,0; D: 0,0/0,8; L: 0,0/20,8; PSO-W: 9,2/0,8; PSO-L: 0,0/10,8
1 2019-01-25 KOR - KSA; We (FIFA): 58; W: 16,7/0,0; D: 0,0/3,3; L: 0,0/23,3; PSO-W: 6,7/3,3; PSO-L: 0,0/13,3
0 2019-01-27 USA - PAN; We (FIFA): 66; W: 1,7/-1,7; D: -0,8/0,8; L: -3,3/3,3
1 2019-01-28 IRN - JPN; We (FIFA): 56; W: 17,6/0,0; D: 0,0/2,4; L: 0,0/22,4; PSO-W: 7,6/2,4; PSO-L: 0,0/12,4
1 2019-01-29 KOR - UAE; We (FIFA): 59; W: 16,3/0,0; D: 0,0/3,7; L: 0,0/23,7; PSO-W: 6,3/3,7; PSO-L: 0,0/13,7
1 2019-02-01 IRN - KOR; We (FIFA): 56; W: 17,5/0,0; D: 0,0/2,5; L: 0,0/22,5; PSO-W: 7,5/2,5; PSO-L: 0,0/12,5
0 2019-02-02 USA - CRC; We (FIFA): 53; W: 2,3/-2,3; D: -0,2/0,2; L: -2,7/2,7

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

9 comments:

  1. What about Oman vs India match??

    ReplyDelete
  2. You mean a match that was played yesterday ? Only scheduled matches need a previewed/predicted result :)
    The 0:0 result of Oman-India is of course included in the preview and the probable ranking for January.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Ed, you are doing a great job, thanks for this calculation.

    How can we get live effect for each match of the Fifa Ranking? As it is at Elo ratings Website, as Example plus and minus points and live ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Tarek, you're welcome.

    I don't intend to give live updates. You will have to do with the static preview above.

    At https://www.fctables.com/fifa-rankings/ they give live updates, if you don't mind the occasional error in the points calculation.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Thanks again Ed.. But fctables is not accurate at all.

    I'm asking for the live update because the actual 2nd round matches of AFC cup is not covered in real state within your review calculation.But in all cases, you let our life easier for fifa ranking 😊.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Ok Tarek, I will provide an updated preview of the knock-out stage after the group stage has finished at the end of this week.

    ReplyDelete
  7. thank you for such a great effort.

    ReplyDelete