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Friday, December 28, 2018

FIFA ranking: January 2019 probable ranking

Here is the probable January 2019 ranking, to be published on February 7th. This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 59 currently scheduled matches in FIFA's fixture list, so including the complete predicted knock-out phase of the Asian Nations Cup 2019. Only 10 scheduled friendlies are not yet included.

A total of 69 matches is scheduled to be played until the deadline of February 4th.


Probable January 2019 rank - Team - Probable January 2019 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Belgium 1727 0 0,0
2 France 1726 0 0,0
3 Brazil 1676 0 0,0
4 Croatia 1634 0 0,0
5 England 1631 0 0,0
6 Portugal 1614 0 0,0
7 Uruguay 1609 0 0,0
8 Switzerland 1599 0 0,0
9 Spain 1591 0 0,0
10 Denmark 1589 0 0,0
11 Argentina 1582 0 0,0
12 Colombia 1575 0 0,0
13 Chile 1565 0 0,0
14 Sweden 1560 0 0,0
14 Netherlands 1560 0 0,0
16 Germany 1558 0 0,0
16 Iran 1558 13 77,0
18 Mexico 1540 -1 0,0
19 Italy 1539 -1 0,0
20 Wales 1525 -1 0,0
21 Poland 1518 -1 0,0
21 Peru 1518 -1 0,0
23 Austria 1509 -1 0,0
24 Senegal 1505 -1 0,0
25 Romania 1501 -1 0,0
26 USA 1497 -1 0,0
27 Tunisia 1493 -1 0,0
28 Korea Republic 1488 25 83,0
29 Slovakia 1483 -2 0,0
30 Ukraine 1482 -2 0,0
31 Serbia 1481 -2 0,0
32 Australia 1480 9 44,0
33 Venezuela 1478 -2 0,0
34 Paraguay 1476 -2 0,0
35 Republic of Ireland 1474 -2 0,0
36 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1472 -2 0,0
37 Japan 1470 13 56,0
38 Northern Ireland 1465 -3 0,0
39 Costa Rica 1464 -3 0,0
40 Iceland 1452 -3 0,0
41 Scotland 1446 -3 0,0
42 Turkey 1443 -3 0,0
43 Morocco 1440 -3 0,0
44 Czech Republic 1435 -2 0,0
45 Greece 1428 -2 0,0
46 Nigeria 1427 -2 0,0
46 Montenegro 1427 -2 0,0
48 Bulgaria 1425 -2 0,0
48 Norway 1425 -2 0,0
50 Russia 1424 -2 0,0
51 Congo DR 1420 -2 0,0
52 Hungary 1412 -1 0,0
52 Ghana 1412 -1 0,0
54 Jamaica 1404 0 0,0
55 Cameroon 1394 0 0,0
56 Egypt 1393 0 0,0
57 Ecuador 1382 0 0,0
58 Finland 1378 0 0,0
59 Bolivia 1374 0 0,0
60 United Arab Emirates 1372 19 63,0
60 Albania 1372 0 0,0
62 Burkina Faso 1371 -1 0,0
63 Slovenia 1369 -1 0,0
63 Honduras 1369 -1 0,0
65 Saudi Arabia 1365 4 30,0
66 Mali 1363 -2 0,0
67 Cote d'Ivoire 1356 -2 0,0
68 Guinea 1354 -2 0,0
69 Algeria 1349 -2 2,0
70 Syria 1344 4 22,0
71 FYR Macedonia 1343 -3 0,0
72 China PR 1342 4 25,0
73 El Salvador 1327 -3 0,0
74 Panama 1326 -3 0,0
75 South Africa 1325 -3 0,0
75 Cape Verde Islands 1325 -3 0,0
77 Uganda 1320 -2 0,0
78 Belarus 1317 -2 0,0
79 Canada 1314 -1 0,0
80 Curacao 1306 0 0,0
81 Iraq 1292 7 21,0
81 Zambia 1292 2 0,0
81 Oman 1292 1 -3,0
84 Congo 1280 0 0,0
85 Gabon 1277 0 0,0
86 Luxembourg 1276 0 0,0
86 Cyprus 1276 0 0,0
86 Qatar 1276 7 18,0
89 Lebanon 1275 -8 -21,0
90 Georgia 1269 -1 0,0
91 Israel 1265 -1 0,0
92 Trinidad and Tobago 1260 0 0,0
93 Benin 1257 1 0,0
94 Uzbekistan 1256 1 5,0
95 Kyrgyzstan 1250 -4 -14,0
96 Estonia 1242 0 0,0
97 Faroe Islands 1238 1 0,0
98 Mauritania 1222 3 0,0
98 Armenia 1222 3 0,0
100 Vietnam 1220 0 -9,0
101 Haiti 1219 2 0,0
102 Libya 1217 2 0,0
103 Palestine 1211 -4 -25,0
104 Kenya 1210 1 0,0
105 Madagascar 1209 1 0,0
106 Azerbaijan 1206 1 0,0
107 Niger 1205 1 0,0
108 Namibia 1191 3 0,0
109 India 1187 -12 -53,0
110 Bahrain 1186 3 8,0
111 Central African Republic 1180 1 0,0
112 Zimbabwe 1175 2 0,0
113 Sierra Leone 1172 2 0,0
113 Korea DPR 1172 -4 -24,0
115 Jordan 1171 -6 -25,0
116 Thailand 1167 2 7,0
116 Mozambique 1167 1 0,0
118 Kazakhstan 1159 1 0,0
119 Guinea-Bissau 1158 1 0,0
120 New Zealand 1157 2 0,0
121 Tajikistan 1155 -1 -3,0
122 Togo 1136 1 0,0
123 Chinese Taipei 1134 1 0,0
124 Philippines 1133 -8 -38,0
125 Angola 1131 0 0,0
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1126 0 0,0
127 Sudan 1120 0 0,0
128 Nicaragua 1119 1 0,0
129 Malawi 1115 1 0,0
130 Kosovo 1113 1 0,0
131 Latvia 1112 1 0,0
132 Andorra 1111 1 0,0
132 Lithuania 1111 1 0,0
134 St. Kitts and Nevis 1105 2 0,0
135 Rwanda 1094 2 0,0
136 Turkmenistan 1089 -9 -31,0
137 Tanzania 1087 1 0,0
138 Myanmar 1085 1 0,0
138 Burundi 1085 1 0,0
140 Hong Kong 1078 1 0,0
140 Eswatini 1078 1 0,0
142 Comoros 1076 1 0,0
143 Solomon Islands 1073 1 0,0
143 Yemen 1073 -8 -33,0
145 Botswana 1071 0 0,0
146 Lesotho 1069 0 0,0
147 Afghanistan 1066 0 -2,0
148 Equatorial Guinea 1063 0 0,0
149 Guatemala 1061 0 0,0
150 Liberia 1051 0 0,0
151 Ethiopia 1049 0 0,0
152 Maldives 1046 0 0,0
153 Suriname 1037 0 0,0
154 Dominican Republic 1036 0 0,0
154 New Caledonia 1036 0 0,0
156 Mauritius 1022 0 0,0
157 Tahiti 1020 0 0,0
158 Kuwait 1018 0 0,0
159 Indonesia 1003 0 0,0
160 Belize 1002 0 0,0
161 Nepal 1001 0 0,0
162 Barbados 998 0 0,0
163 Vanuatu 996 0 0,0
164 South Sudan 994 0 0,0
165 Singapore 991 0 0,0
166 Gambia 986 0 0,0
167 Malaysia 985 0 0,0
168 Papua New Guinea 984 0 0,0
169 Fiji 981 0 0,0
170 Moldova 979 0 0,0
171 St. Lucia 976 0 0,0
172 Cambodia 970 0 0,0
173 Grenada 968 0 0,0
174 Cuba 963 0 0,0
175 Chad 956 0 0,0
176 Bermuda 952 0 0,0
177 Guyana 951 0 0,0
178 Dominica 950 0 0,0
179 Puerto Rico 948 0 0,0
180 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 946 0 0,0
181 Liechtenstein 937 0 0,0
182 Malta 926 0 0,0
183 Macau 925 0 0,0
184 Laos 923 0 0,0
185 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 920 0 0,0
186 Bhutan 917 0 0,0
187 Aruba 916 0 0,0
188 Mongolia 915 0 0,0
189 Seychelles 911 0 0,0
190 American Samoa 908 0 0,0
190 Cook Islands 908 0 0,0
192 Guam 907 0 0,0
192 Bangladesh 907 0 0,0
194 Gibraltar 905 0 0,0
195 Brunei Darussalam 903 0 0,0
196 Timor-Leste 900 0 0,0
197 Samoa 896 0 0,0
197 Djibouti 896 0 0,0
199 Pakistan 888 0 0,0
200 Montserrat 887 0 0,0
201 Sri Lanka 886 0 0,0
202 US Virgin Islands 881 0 0,0
203 Cayman Islands 874 0 0,0
204 Tonga 868 0 0,0
204 Eritrea 868 0 0,0
204 Somalia 868 0 0,0
207 British Virgin Islands 867 0 0,0
208 Turks and Caicos Islands 864 0 0,0
208 Anguilla 864 0 0,0
210 Bahamas 858 0 0,0
211 San Marino 854 0 0,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

9 comments:

  1. Thanks for the great job you're doing since you've taken over this site.
    I have a question : how do you know in advance the dates of the next FIFA rankings ? There used to be a page on the FIFA site where they gave the dates but now it"s gone. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nicolas, you (and everybody else) are welcome. I enjoy doing it, so that makes it an easy task.

    The next publishing date of February 7th was mentioned in the article that described the December ranking in the news section. However you're right, the regular page with the ranking schedule (https://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking) is still not updated yet for 2019.
    As FIFA is also very slow to update the scheduled matches for this new year. The Asian Nations Cup starts today, but not a single match is already in their fixture list.
    I think they are still in their winter break and I expect a major update next week though :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The FIFA website has finally been updated with the ranking dates for 2019. It looks like they've also mostly aligned the dates to the international calendar:

      2019-04-04
      2019-06-14
      2019-07-18
      2019-09-19
      2019-10-24
      2019-11-28
      2019-12-19

      Delete
    2. Looks like the Fifa scores page has disappeared altogether now, so hard to know what friendlies that have been played this month are counting towards rankings and which aren't!

      Delete
  3. India won Against Thailand and draw against Oman...but your prediction was lost both the games.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. for wining against Thailand India gonna add 12 Point in Tally

      Delete
    2. To be precise:
      the draw against Oman delivered 0,264 points and the emphatic win against Thailand at the Nations Cup delivered another 14,831 points to India.

      Delete
  4. Ed, you are doing a great job, thanks for this calculation.

    How can we get live effect for each match of the Fifa Ranking? As it is at Elo ratings Website, as Example plus and minus points and live ranking.

    ReplyDelete