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Monday, May 27, 2019

FIFA ranking: June 2019 probable ranking

After the rather quiet months April and May the action starts in the fully packed months June and July: a whopping 3 continental finals for CONMEBOL, CONCACAF and CAF will be played simultaneously from mid June onwards. Before that EURO 2020 qualifiers and the UEFA Nations League 2018/2019 finals are played. Furthermore, there are lots of (preparatory) friendlies scheduled and o yeah, the qualification for the next World Cup 2022 in Qatar starts with first round play-offs for the lowest ranked Asian teams. The COSAFA Cup 2019 in the meantime is already underway.

I'm glad that the hasty and greedily expansion to 48 teams for the WC 2022 is as easily discarded as it was suddenly introduced. Plenty of time left to discuss the dodgy resulting competition format for the 48-team 2026 tournament, I guess.

Here is the probable June 2019 ranking, to be published on Friday (!) June 14th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 131 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 153 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.


Probable June 2019 rank - Team - Probable June 2019 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points



1 Belgium 1746 0 9,0
2 France 1743 0 9,0
3 Brazil 1681 0 5,0
4 England 1650 0 3,0
5 Croatia 1635 0 14,0
6 Portugal 1627 1 20,0
7 Spain 1617 2 16,0
8 Uruguay 1615 -2 2,0
9 Denmark 1602 1 16,0
10 Switzerland 1591 -2 -13,0
11 Germany 1582 2 12,0
11 Argentina 1582 0 2,0
13 Colombia 1575 -1 2,0
14 Italy 1570 3 20,0
15 Netherlands 1563 1 9,0
16 Chile 1561 -1 2,0
17 Sweden 1558 -3 -9,0
18 Poland 1550 2 15,0
19 Mexico 1547 -1 -2,0
20 Wales 1526 -1 -13,0
21 Peru 1521 0 5,0
22 Senegal 1515 1 0,0
23 Iran 1510 -2 -6,0
24 USA 1509 0 3,0
25 Japan 1501 1 7,0
26 Ukraine 1500 1 7,0
27 Austria 1498 7 19,0
28 Romania 1497 -3 1,0
29 Tunisia 1491 -1 0,0
29 Slovakia 1491 3 9,0
31 Serbia 1489 -2 5,0
32 Venezuela 1485 -3 1,0
33 Republic of Ireland 1477 -4 -7,0
34 Paraguay 1473 2 6,0
35 Korea Republic 1472 2 10,0
36 Northern Ireland 1471 -3 -10,0
37 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1465 -2 -13,0
38 Iceland 1460 2 10,0
39 Turkey 1455 0 -2,0
40 Costa Rica 1453 -2 -5,0
41 Czech Republic 1448 7 24,0
42 Australia 1436 -1 -5,0
42 Russia 1436 4 11,0
44 Nigeria 1435 -2 0,0
45 Scotland 1433 -1 3,0
46 Morocco 1429 -1 0,0
46 Hungary 1429 5 10,0
46 Norway 1429 4 9,0
49 Greece 1428 -6 -5,0
50 Congo DR 1425 -4 0,0
51 Ghana 1423 -2 0,0
52 Montenegro 1413 -1 -6,0
53 Bulgaria 1412 -2 -7,0
54 Cameroon 1404 0 5,0
55 Qatar 1396 0 -2,0
56 Jamaica 1387 0 -4,0
57 Egypt 1384 0 0,0
58 Finland 1381 2 6,0
59 Ecuador 1380 0 2,0
59 Burkina Faso 1380 -1 0,0
61 Bolivia 1365 2 -1,0
61 Mali 1365 4 0,0
61 Cote d'Ivoire 1365 4 0,0
64 Slovenia 1363 -1 -3,0
64 Honduras 1363 -3 -6,0
66 Albania 1362 -4 -6,0
67 United Arab Emirates 1360 0 0,0
68 Algeria 1351 2 3,0
69 Guinea 1350 -1 0,0
70 South Africa 1344 3 9,0
71 Saudi Arabia 1342 1 0,0
72 El Salvador 1339 -1 -5,0
73 China PR 1333 1 6,0
73 North Macedonia 1333 -5 -17,0
75 Panama 1322 -1 -5,0
76 Iraq 1319 0 0,0
76 Cape Verde Islands 1319 0 0,0
78 Canada 1314 0 0,0
79 Zambia 1300 0 -2,0
80 Uganda 1299 -1 -3,0
81 Belarus 1298 0 -3,0
82 Curacao 1292 0 -4,0
83 Israel 1286 1 1,0
83 Uzbekistan 1286 2 7,0
85 Syria 1281 -2 -5,0
86 Oman 1277 0 0,0
86 Lebanon 1277 0 0,0
88 Gabon 1272 2 0,0
89 Luxembourg 1267 -3 -10,0
89 Benin 1267 2 0,0
91 Congo 1265 1 0,0
92 Cyprus 1258 -3 -18,0
93 Georgia 1255 1 -1,0
93 Trinidad and Tobago 1255 0 -3,0
95 Kyrgyzstan 1252 0 -1,0
96 Estonia 1240 0 0,0
97 Vietnam 1234 1 7,0
98 Jordan 1229 -1 0,0
99 Palestine 1224 0 0,0
100 Haiti 1221 0 -2,0
101 India 1215 0 -4,0
102 Mauritania 1210 1 0,0
103 Niger 1209 1 0,0
104 Armenia 1205 2 -1,0
105 Libya 1203 0 -4,0
106 Kenya 1202 2 0,0
107 Madagascar 1201 0 -2,0
108 Faroe Islands 1200 -6 -13,0
109 Namibia 1195 4 14,0
110 Zimbabwe 1192 0 2,0
111 Azerbaijan 1188 -3 -14,0
111 Bahrain 1188 0 0,0
113 Central African Republic 1184 -1 0,0
114 Thailand 1181 0 7,0
115 Kazakhstan 1174 1 3,0
116 Sierra Leone 1172 -1 0,0
117 Mozambique 1165 0 -1,0
118 Guinea-Bissau 1158 0 0,0
119 New Zealand 1157 0 0,0
120 Tajikistan 1152 0 -3,0
121 Korea DPR 1148 0 -4,0
122 Angola 1143 0 1,0
123 Antigua and Barbuda 1136 0 0,0
124 Philippines 1131 0 -4,0
125 Chinese Taipei 1127 0 -1,0
125 Togo 1127 1 0,0
127 Malawi 1121 1 -1,0
128 Nicaragua 1118 1 -2,0
129 Kosovo 1111 -2 -13,0
130 Sudan 1106 0 0,0
131 Tanzania 1105 0 0,0
132 Lithuania 1102 0 0,0
133 St. Kitts and Nevis 1096 2 0,0
134 Turkmenistan 1089 2 0,0
135 Rwanda 1088 3 0,0
136 Burundi 1087 0 -2,0
137 Latvia 1086 -4 -15,0
138 Hong Kong 1084 3 6,0
139 Solomon Islands 1083 0 0,0
140 Andorra 1082 -6 -17,0
141 Myanmar 1080 -1 0,0
142 Equatorial Guinea 1074 1 0,0
143 Yemen 1073 3 0,0
144 Guatemala 1072 -1 -2,0
144 Lesotho 1072 -2 -3,0
146 Eswatini 1070 -3 -4,0
147 Comoros 1068 0 -3,0
148 Botswana 1063 0 3,0
149 Afghanistan 1057 0 0,0
150 Ethiopia 1049 0 0,0
151 Maldives 1046 0 0,0
152 Suriname 1045 0 0,0
153 Liberia 1044 0 0,0
154 Dominican Republic 1028 0 0,0
155 New Caledonia 1026 0 0,0
156 Kuwait 1022 0 0,0
156 Mauritius 1022 0 0,0
158 Tahiti 1020 0 0,0
159 Malaysia 1009 9 23,0
160 Indonesia 1005 -1 -3,0
161 Singapore 998 -1 0,0
162 Barbados 996 -1 0,0
163 Gambia 994 0 0,0
163 Belize 994 0 0,0
165 Fiji 992 0 0,0
166 Vanuatu 991 0 0,0
167 Nepal 990 -6 -6,0
168 South Sudan 989 -1 0,0
169 Moldova 985 2 11,0
170 Papua New Guinea 984 -1 0,0
171 St. Lucia 975 -1 0,0
172 Grenada 973 0 0,0
173 Cuba 961 1 0,0
174 Guyana 959 1 0,0
174 Bermuda 959 1 0,0
176 Chad 956 1 0,0
177 Dominica 954 1 0,0
177 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 954 1 0,0
179 Cambodia 951 -6 -16,0
180 Puerto Rico 940 1 0,0
181 Malta 939 -1 -4,0
183 Guam 932 10 25,0
182 Mongolia 933 5 18,0
184 Bangladesh 922 4 13,0
184 Liechtenstein 922 -2 -10,0
186 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 920 -1 0,0
187 Macau 910 -4 -15,0
188 Laos 909 -4 -14,0
188 Aruba 909 0 0,0
190 American Samoa 908 0 0,0
190 Cook Islands 908 0 0,0
192 Pakistan 904 8 16,0
193 Sri Lanka 900 9 14,0
193 Seychelles 900 -3 -8,0
195 Samoa 896 2 0,0
195 Djibouti 896 2 0,0
197 Montserrat 895 2 0,0
198 Gibraltar 892 -3 -8,0
198 Bhutan 892 -12 -25,0
200 Brunei Darussalam 891 -6 -12,0
201 US Virgin Islands 888 -1 0,0
202 Timor-Leste 879 -7 -21,0
203 Tonga 868 0 0,0
203 Eritrea 868 0 0,0
203 Somalia 868 0 0,0
206 Cayman Islands 867 0 0,0
206 British Virgin Islands 867 0 0,0
208 Turks and Caicos Islands 862 0 0,0
209 Anguilla 857 0 0,0
210 Bahamas 855 0 0,0
211 San Marino 839 0 -9,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

4 comments:

  1. I just saw this on espn.com:

    "For the 2018 World Cup, FIFA held a gala for the preliminary round draw of all confederations. However, this will not happen for the 2022 tournament.

    A FIFA spoksperson told ESPN: "Given the fact that the FIFA World Cup 2022 will take place in November-December and that each confederation plans a different timeline for their qualifiers to the tournament, it has been agreed that a preliminary draw will be held separately for each one of them."

    The complete article is here: http://www.espn.com/soccer/fifa-world-cup/story/3860182/2022-world-cup-how-qualifying-works-around-the-world

    ReplyDelete
  2. For all those who were so certain of their "facts" ... told you so ... ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Best solution for Uefa is qualifying draw for 2022 World Cup in November / December 2020 after knowing finalists of next Uefa Nations League. All dates before will handle some scheduling problems. I expect 10 groups for European qualifying of 2022 World Cup. It should be the same structure as for Euro 2020 with the difference to guarantee qualification to only the group winners. No idea of playoff format. If they follow the 10 groups format they have only 3 open slots after decision to stay with 32 teams for this edition. Does anybody have more information?

    ReplyDelete
  4. I found the following article from last week:

    https://www.apnews.com/d30c09518ce940ac8e86a8f04c34dee3

    Uefa is currently working on a qualification procedure:

    The following Option was mentioned.
    Looks like 10 Groups like Euro 2020. The winners take direct qualification. The runners up and two Teams from Nations league 2020 can fill 3 Playoff tournaments consisting of four Teams to determine the final 3 spots of 2022 World Cup qualification.

    U

    ReplyDelete