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Thursday, August 29, 2019

FIFA ranking: September 2019 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including September 10th, used to calculate the September 2019 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 
Also the already played matches since July 22nd, (probably) counting for the September ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)

already played:
0 2019-07-22 Djibouti - Somalia; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-22 Mauritius - Madagascar; Friendly; X
0 2019-07-22 Maldives - Mayotte; Friendly; 2
0 2019-07-22 Reunion Island - Comoros; Friendly; 2
0 2019-07-24 Mauritius - Mayotte; Friendly; 1
0 2019-07-24 Reunion Island - Seychelles; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-26 Djibouti - Ethiopia; Friendly; 2
1 2019-07-26 Botswana - Zambia; Friendly; X
1 2019-07-26 Comoros - Namibia; Friendly; 2
0 2019-07-26 Mayotte - Seychelles; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-27 Burundi - South Sudan; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-27 Somalia - Uganda; Friendly; 2
1 2019-07-27 Cape Verde Islands - Mauritania; Friendly; X
1 2019-07-27 Guinea-Bissau - Mali; Friendly; 2
1 2019-07-28 Tanzania - Kenya; Friendly; X
1 2019-07-28 Chad - Equatorial Guinea; Friendly; X
1 2019-07-28 Eswatini - Angola; Friendly; X
1 2019-07-28 Lesotho - South Africa; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-28 Madagascar - Mozambique; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-28 Liberia - Senegal; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-28 Benin - Togo; Friendly; X
0 2019-07-28 Mauritius - Reunion Island; Friendly; Reunion Island pso win
1 2019-07-29 Mauritius - Zimbabwe; Friendly; 2
1 2019-07-30 Iraq - Lebanon; Friendly; 1
1 2019-07-30 Palestine - Yemen; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-02 Iraq - Palestine; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-02 Syria - Lebanon; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-03 Uganda - Somalia; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-03 Angola - Eswatini; Friendly; Eswatini pso win
1 2019-08-03 Zambia - Botswana; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-03 Mauritania - Cape Verde Islands; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-03 Senegal - Liberia; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Ethiopia - Djibouti; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Kenya - Tanzania; Friendly; Tanzania pso win
1 2019-08-04 South Sudan - Burundi; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-04 Equatorial Guinea - Chad; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Mozambique - Madagascar; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Namibia - Comoros; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-04 South Africa - Lesotho; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-04 Zimbabwe - Mauritius; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Mali - Guinea-Bissau; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Togo - Benin; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-04 Jordan - Bahrain; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-04 Saudi Arabia - Kuwait; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-05 Lebanon - Palestine; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-05 Syria - Yemen; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-07 Jordan - Kuwait; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-07 Saudi Arabia - Bahrain; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-08 Iraq - Syria; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-08 Lebanon - Yemen; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-10 Bahrain - Kuwait; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-10 Saudi Arabia - Jordan; Friendly; 2
1 2019-08-11 St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-11 Iraq - Yemen; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-11 Syria - Palestine; Friendly; 2
0 2019-08-14 Dominican Republic - Guatemala; Friendly; X
1 2019-08-14 Iraq - Bahrain; Friendly; 2
0 2019-08-18 St. Maarten - Anguilla; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-25 St. Kitts and Nevis - Antigua and Barbuda; Friendly; 1
1 2019-08-27 St. Kitts and Nevis - Antigua and Barbuda; Friendly; 1
0 2019-08-28 Oman - Yemen; Friendly; 1

scheduled:
0 2019-08-29 Chinese Taipei - Guam; Friendly; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-08-30 Belize - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Friendly; We (elo): 65; 1
0 2019-08-30 China PR - Myanmar; Friendly; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-08-30 Malaysia - Jordan; Friendly; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-08-30 United Arab Emirates - Dominican Republic; Friendly; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-08-31 United Arab Emirates - Sri Lanka; Friendly; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-09-01 Belize - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Friendly; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-09-04 Burundi - Tanzania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2019-09-04 Djibouti - Eswatini; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-09-04 Eritrea - Namibia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2019-09-04 Ethiopia - Lesotho; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-09-04 Liberia - Sierra Leone; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; X
1 2019-09-04 Mauritius - Mozambique; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 42; X
1 2019-09-04 Sao Tomé e Príncipe - Guinea-Bissau; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2019-09-04 South Sudan - Equatorial Guinea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-09-05 Bermuda - Panama; Nations League group; We (elo): 25; 2
0 2019-09-05 French Guyana - Belize; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-09-05 Grenada - St. Kitts and Nevis; Nations League group; We (elo): 42; X
1 2019-09-05 Dominica - Suriname; Nations League group; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-09-05 Nicaragua - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Nations League group; We (elo): 77; 1
0 2019-09-05 Barbados - St. Martin; Nations League group; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-09-05 US Virgin Islands - Cayman Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-09-05 Guatemala - Anguilla; Nations League group; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-09-05 Guam - Maldives; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2019-09-05 Philippines - Syria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 23; 2
1 2019-09-05 Chinese Taipei - Jordan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2019-09-05 Kuwait - Nepal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-05 Bahrain - Iraq; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 55; X
1 2019-09-05 Cambodia - Hong Kong; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2019-09-05 Palestine - Uzbekistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2019-09-05 Singapore - Yemen; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
1 2019-09-05 India - Oman; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-09-05 Qatar - Afghanistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-05 Mongolia - Myanmar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 19; 2
1 2019-09-05 Tajikistan - Kyrgyzstan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-09-05 Indonesia - Malaysia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2019-09-05 Thailand - Vietnam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-09-05 Korea DPR - Lebanon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-09-05 Sri Lanka - Turkmenistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2019-09-05 Chad - Sudan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-09-05 Seychelles - Rwanda; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-09-05 Somalia - Zimbabwe; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2
1 2019-09-05 Chile - Argentina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 34; 2
1 2019-09-05 Honduras - Puerto Rico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-05 Japan - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-09-05 Korea Republic - Georgia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-09-05 Montenegro - Hungary; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 49; X
1 2019-09-05 Northern Ireland - Luxembourg; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-09-05 Peru - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2019-09-05 Saudi Arabia - Mali; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2019-09-05 Gibraltar - Denmark; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2019-09-05 Republic of Ireland - Switzerland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-09-05 Faroe Islands - Sweden; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 5; 2
1 2019-09-05 Norway - Malta; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-09-05 Romania - Spain; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2019-09-05 Israel - North Macedonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2019-09-05 Armenia - Italy; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 11; 2
1 2019-09-05 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Liechtenstein; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-05 Finland - Greece; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
0 2019-09-06 Martinique - Trinidad and Tobago; Nations League group; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-09-06 Aruba - Guyana; Nations League group; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2019-09-06 Jamaica - Antigua and Barbuda; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
0 2019-09-06 Bonaire - British Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-09-06 Comoros - Togo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 34; 2
1 2019-09-06 Gambia - Angola; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-09-06 Brazil - Colombia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 66; 1
1 2019-09-06 Costa Rica - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 27; 2
0 2019-09-06 Cote d'Ivoire - Benin; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-09-06 Morocco - Burkina Faso; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-09-06 Tunisia - Mauritania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-09-06 USA - Mexico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 43; X
1 2019-09-06 Estonia - Belarus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-09-06 Germany - Netherlands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-09-06 Slovakia - Croatia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-09-06 Wales - Azerbaijan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-09-06 Austria - Latvia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-09-06 Slovenia - Poland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2019-09-06 Cyprus - Kazakhstan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-09-06 San Marino - Belgium; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 0; 2
1 2019-09-06 Scotland - Russia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 50; X
1 2019-09-07 Canada - Cuba; Nations League group; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2019-09-07 Curacao - Haiti; Nations League group; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-09-07 El Salvador - St. Lucia; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-09-07 Montserrat - Dominican Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 11; 2
0 2019-09-07 Guadeloupe - St. Maarten; Nations League group; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-09-07 Botswana - Malawi; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2019-09-07 Zambia - South Africa; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 53; X
1 2019-09-07 England - Bulgaria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-09-07 Kosovo - Czech Republic; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2019-09-07 Lithuania - Ukraine; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2019-09-07 Serbia - Portugal; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2019-09-07 France - Albania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-07 Iceland - Moldova; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-09-07 Turkey - Andorra; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-09-08 Panama - Bermuda; Nations League group; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-09-08 Belize - Grenada; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1
0 2019-09-08 St. Kitts and Nevis - French Guyana; Nations League group; We (elo): 53; X
1 2019-09-08 St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Dominica; Nations League group; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2019-09-08 Suriname - Nicaragua; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-09-08 Cayman Islands - Barbados; Nations League group; We (elo): 30; 2
0 2019-09-08 St. Martin - US Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-09-08 Equatorial Guinea - South Sudan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-09-08 Lesotho - Ethiopia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-09-08 Sierra Leone - Liberia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-09-08 Tanzania - Burundi; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-09-08 Zimbabwe - Somalia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-08 Kenya - Uganda; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 52; X
1 2019-09-08 Georgia - Denmark; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2019-09-08 Switzerland - Gibraltar; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-09-08 Romania - Malta; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-08 Spain - Faroe Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-09-08 Sweden - Norway; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-09-08 Armenia - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-09-08 Finland - Italy; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-09-08 Greece - Liechtenstein; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
0 2019-09-09 Trinidad and Tobago - Martinique; Nations League group; We (elo): 49; X
1 2019-09-09 Antigua and Barbuda - Aruba; Nations League group; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-09-09 Guyana - Jamaica; Nations League group; We (elo): 16; 2
0 2019-09-09 Bahamas - Bonaire; Nations League group; We (elo): 47; X
0 2019-09-09 Algeria - Benin; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2019-09-09 Iraq - Uzbekistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 54; X
1 2019-09-09 Wales - Belarus; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-09-09 Estonia - Netherlands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2019-09-09 Northern Ireland - Germany; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 23; 2
1 2019-09-09 Azerbaijan - Croatia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2019-09-09 Hungary - Slovakia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 51; X
1 2019-09-09 Latvia - North Macedonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-09-09 Poland - Austria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-09-09 Slovenia - Israel; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-09-09 Russia - Kazakhstan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-09-09 San Marino - Cyprus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 6; 2
1 2019-09-09 Scotland - Belgium; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-09-10 Cuba - Canada; Nations League group; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-09-10 Haiti - Curacao; Nations League group; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-09-10 Dominican Republic - El Salvador; Nations League group; We (elo): 27; 2
1 2019-09-10 Montserrat - St. Lucia; Nations League group; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2019-09-10 Puerto Rico - Guatemala; Nations League group; We (elo): 8; 2
0 2019-09-10 Turks and Caicos Islands - Guadeloupe; Nations League group; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2019-09-10 Guam - Philippines; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2019-09-10 Maldives - China PR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2019-09-10 Chinese Taipei - Nepal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-09-10 Kuwait - Australia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2019-09-10 Cambodia - Bahrain; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2019-09-10 Hong Kong - Iran; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 5; 2
1 2019-09-10 Singapore - Palestine; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-09-10 Yemen - Saudi Arabia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2019-09-10 Afghanistan - Bangladesh; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-09-10 Qatar - India; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-09-10 Mongolia - Tajikistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2019-09-10 Myanmar - Japan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2
1 2019-09-10 Indonesia - Thailand; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
1 2019-09-10 Malaysia - United Arab Emirates; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-09-10 Sri Lanka - Korea DPR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2019-09-10 Turkmenistan - Korea Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2019-09-10 Angola - Gambia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2019-09-10 Eswatini - Djibouti; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-09-10 Guinea-Bissau - Sao Tomé e Príncipe; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-09-10 Malawi - Botswana; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-09-10 Mozambique - Mauritius; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-09-10 Namibia - Eritrea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-09-10 Rwanda - Seychelles; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2019-09-10 Sudan - Chad; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; Sudan pso win
1 2019-09-10 Togo - Comoros; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-09-10 Brazil - Peru; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-09-10 Colombia - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
0 2019-09-10 Cote d'Ivoire - Tunisia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-09-10 Ecuador - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-09-10 Honduras - Chile; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 34; 2
1 2019-09-10 Jordan - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 34; 2
1 2019-09-10 Mexico - Argentina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 43; X
0 2019-09-10 Morocco - Niger; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-09-10 Republic of Ireland - Bulgaria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-09-10 Ukraine - Nigeria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-09-10 USA - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-09-10 England - Kosovo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-09-10 Montenegro - Czech Republic; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2019-09-10 Lithuania - Portugal; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2
1 2019-09-10 Luxembourg - Serbia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2019-09-10 Albania - Iceland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2019-09-10 France - Andorra; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-09-10 Moldova - Turkey; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 11; 2

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

4 comments:

  1. After the home win percentage is quantified & denoted by a number why does it show an X in parenthesis on some of the scheduled matches? For example on USA V Mexico it says Usa has a 43% expected win%,but it then shows an X where as the other matches show a 1 or 0.

    ReplyDelete
  2. When the home team win expectancy lies between 36,6% and 63,4% (for friendlies) or between 39,1% and 60,9% (for non-friendlies) then the match is predicted to end in a draw, denoted with an X.

    A predicted home team win is denoted with a 1; a predicted away team win is denoted with a 2.

    ReplyDelete
  3. India scheduled to play Oman and Qatar on September 5 and 10 respectively. But you wrote both matches scheduled on 5th September. Correct it

    ReplyDelete
  4. My bad. Since you've asked it so politely, I've fixed it.

    ReplyDelete