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Saturday, December 14, 2019

FIFA ranking: December 2019 final preview

FIFA will publish the last ranking of this year next Thursday December 19th.

The ranking publishing schedule for 2020 has not been presented yet, but seeing the complete lack of matches with any importance in the coming months unitl the next International Match Window in March, I would not be surprised if the next ranking would be the April 2020 ranking. We will see.

This December ranking will be used to seed the draw for the second round in World Cup qualifying for African teams, scheduled on January 21st.

Since the November ranking the Gulf Cup 2019 has been played and the CECAFA Cup 2019 and the East Asian Championship 2019 are started. These last two cups will be played to a finish the coming week. Peculiar, because the deadline for the ranking is tomorrow and thus the final matches of these cups will not count for the December ranking.
But as these matches are for ranking purposes considered as friendlies played outside a FIFA International Match Window, their I-factor is only 5 and all these matches deliver few points for the concerned teams.

To be complete, the following matches are included in the December ranking:

1 2019-11-26 QAT - IRQ; We (FIFA): 56; pts-exchange: -2,777
1 2019-11-26 UAE - YEM; We (FIFA): 74; pts-exchange: 1,324
1 2019-11-27 BHR - OMA; We (FIFA): 42; pts-exchange: 0,403
1 2019-11-27 KSA - KUW; We (FIFA): 75; pts-exchange: -3,771
1 2019-11-29 QAT - YEM; We (FIFA): 78; pts-exchange: 1,116
1 2019-11-29 UAE - IRQ; We (FIFA): 50; pts-exchange: -2,481
1 2019-11-30 KUW - OMA; We (FIFA): 28; pts-exchange: -1,421
1 2019-11-30 KSA - BHR; We (FIFA): 62; pts-exchange: 1,899
1 2019-12-02 IRQ - YEM; We (FIFA): 74; pts-exchange: -1,214
1 2019-12-02 QAT - UAE; We (FIFA): 56; pts-exchange: 2,214
1 2019-12-02 KUW - BHR; We (FIFA): 35; pts-exchange: -1,772
1 2019-12-02 KSA - OMA; We (FIFA): 54; pts-exchange: 2,288
1 2019-12-05 IRQ - BHR; We (FIFA): 62; pts-exchange: -0,587 (BHR 1,837)
1 2019-12-05 KSA - QAT; We (FIFA): 45; pts-exchange: 2,725
1 2019-12-07 DJI - SOM; We (FIFA): 54; pts-exchange: -0,190
1 2019-12-07 UGA - BDI; We (FIFA): 74; pts-exchange: 1,300
1 2019-12-08 KEN - TAN; We (FIFA): 61; pts-exchange: 1,967
1 2019-12-08 KSA - BHR; We (FIFA): 62; pts-exchange: -3,124
1 2019-12-09 BDI - ERI; We (FIFA): 68; pts-exchange: -3,380
1 2019-12-09 SOM - UGA; We (FIFA): 15; pts-exchange: -0,772
1 2019-12-10 SDN - KEN; We (FIFA): 42; pts-exchange: -2,075
1 2019-12-10 CHN - JPN; We (FIFA): 34; pts-exchange: -1,690
1 2019-12-11 BDI - DJI; We (FIFA): 62; pts-exchange: -3,089
1 2019-12-11 ERI - UGA; We (FIFA): 14; pts-exchange: -0,720
1 2019-12-11 KOR - HKG; We (FIFA): 81; pts-exchange: 0,934
1 2019-12-13 DJI - ERI; We (FIFA): 56; pts-exchange: -2,804
1 2019-12-13 SOM - BDI; We (FIFA): 35; pts-exchange: 3,254

Today and tomorrow the following matches will be played:


0 2019-12-14 KEN - ZAN
1 2019-12-14 SDN - TAN; We (FIFA): 52; W: 2,4/-2,4; D: -0,1/0,1; L: -2,6/2,6
1 2019-12-14 JPN - HKG; We (FIFA): 84; W: 0,8/-0,8; D: -1,7/1,7; L: -4,2/4,2
1 2019-12-15 ERI - SOM; We (FIFA): 48; W: 2,6/-2,6; D: 0,1/-0,1; L: -2,4/2,4
1 2019-12-15 UGA - DJI; We (FIFA): 83; W: 0,9/-0,9; D: -1,6/1,6; L: -4,1/4,1
1 2019-12-15 KOR - CHN; We (FIFA): 63; W: 1,9/-1,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -3,1/3,1

In the ranking table the elo predicted results of these matches are incorporated as follows:


0 2019-12-14 Kenya - Zanzibar; Friendly; We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-12-14 Sudan - Tanzania; Friendly; We (elo): 41; X
1 2019-12-14 Japan - Hong Kong; Friendly; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-12-15 Eritrea - Somalia; Friendly; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2019-12-15 Uganda - Djibouti; Friendly; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-12-15 Korea Republic - China PR; Friendly; We (elo): 91; 1


So in total 32 matches will count for this ranking. 

Best movers:
3 - Kenya
2 - Uganda, Eritrea

Worst movers:
-3 - Burundi
-2 - China PR, Hong Kong, Djibouti

Best (and only) mover in the top 50:
1 - Korea Republic

One team will drop to a new low:
Sri Lanka (206 - 205 in November 2019)



December 2019 rank - Team - December 2019 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Belgium 1764,51 0 0,0
2 France 1732,57 0 0,0
3 Brazil 1711,76 0 0,0
4 England 1660,71 0 0,0
5 Uruguay 1645,24 0 0,0
6 Croatia 1642,06 0 0,0
7 Portugal 1639,14 0 0,0
8 Spain 1635,82 0 0,0
9 Argentina 1623,10 0 0,0
10 Colombia 1622,14 0 0,0
11 Mexico 1620,63 0 0,0
12 Switzerland 1608,27 0 0,0
13 Italy 1606,58 0 0,0
14 Netherlands 1604,18 0 0,0
15 Germany 1601,55 0 0,0
16 Denmark 1597,57 0 0,0
17 Chile 1579,38 0 0,0
17 Sweden 1578,74 0 0,0
19 Poland 1559,33 0 0,0
20 Senegal 1555,42 0 0,0
21 Peru 1543,83 0 0,0
22 USA 1539,91 0 0,0
22 Wales 1539,51 0 0,0
24 Ukraine 1537,18 0 0,0
25 Venezuela 1516,79 0 0,0
26 Austria 1506,73 0 0,0
27 Tunisia 1505,72 0 0,0
28 Japan 1502,69 0 3,0
29 Turkey 1493,93 0 0,0
29 Serbia 1493,67 0 0,0
31 Nigeria 1493,29 0 0,0
32 Slovakia 1489,85 0 0,0
33 Iran 1488,72 0 0,0
34 Republic of Ireland 1485,51 0 0,0
35 Algeria 1482,27 0 0,0
36 Northern Ireland 1475,75 0 0,0
37 Romania 1474,91 0 0,0
38 Russia 1470,03 0 0,0
39 Iceland 1463,56 0 0,0
40 Korea Republic 1461,35 1 2,0
40 Paraguay 1460,89 0 0,0
42 Australia 1457,49 0 0,0
43 Morocco 1455,83 0 0,0
44 Norway 1451,09 0 0,0
45 Czech Republic 1445,56 0 0,0
46 Costa Rica 1441,52 0 0,0
47 Ghana 1439,19 0 0,0
48 Jamaica 1437,39 0 0,0
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1429,66 0 0,0
50 Scotland 1421,92 0 0,0
51 Egypt 1420,28 0 0,0
52 Hungary 1416,31 0 0,0
53 Cameroon 1412,62 0 0,0
54 Greece 1409,41 0 0,0
55 Qatar 1396,13 0 -2,0
56 Mali 1388,70 0 0,0
56 Congo DR 1388,54 0 0,0
58 Finland 1386,24 0 0,0
59 Bulgaria 1381,26 0 0,0
59 Burkina Faso 1381,22 0 0,0
61 Cote d'Ivoire 1380,44 0 0,0
62 Honduras 1376,79 0 0,0
63 Ecuador 1368,41 0 0,0
64 Montenegro 1364,66 0 0,0
64 Slovenia 1364,53 0 0,0
66 Albania 1355,72 0 0,0
67 Saudi Arabia 1351,41 0 0,0
68 North Macedonia 1346,82 0 0,0
69 El Salvador 1345,73 0 0,0
70 Iraq 1343,81 0 4,0
71 United Arab Emirates 1334,45 0 -4,0
71 South Africa 1334,10 1 0,0
73 Canada 1331,20 0 0,0
74 Guinea 1327,92 0 0,0
75 Uganda 1324,91 2 4,0
76 Bolivia 1324,05 0 0,0
77 China PR 1321,57 -2 -3,0
78 Cape Verde Islands 1317,95 0 0,0
79 Syria 1314,07 0 0,0
80 Curacao 1312,96 0 0,0
81 Panama 1304,23 0 0,0
82 Oman 1302,89 -1 -1,0
83 Gabon 1296,79 0 0,0
84 Benin 1294,63 0 0,0
85 Uzbekistan 1288,87 0 0,0
86 Haiti 1284,80 0 0,0
87 Belarus 1280,42 0 0,0
88 Zambia 1277,02 0 0,0
89 Congo 1269,31 0 0,0
89 Lebanon 1268,55 0 0,0
91 Madagascar 1267,43 0 0,0
91 Georgia 1266,63 0 0,0
93 Israel 1260,18 0 0,0
94 Vietnam 1258,06 0 0,0
95 Cyprus 1250,66 0 0,0
96 Kyrgyzstan 1240,08 0 0,0
97 Jordan 1237,68 0 0,0
98 Luxembourg 1236,16 0 0,0
99 Bahrain 1224,66 1 6,0
100 Mauritania 1223,14 -1 0,0
101 Libya 1214,94 0 0,0
102 Armenia 1213,02 0 0,0
103 Kenya 1203,06 3 4,0
104 Estonia 1202,22 -1 0,0
105 Trinidad and Tobago 1200,72 -1 0,0
106 Mozambique 1199,97 -1 0,0
107 Palestine 1198,78 -1 0,0
108 India 1186,98 0 0,0
109 Central African Republic 1183,89 0 0,0
110 Faroe Islands 1180,56 0 0,0
111 Zimbabwe 1179,88 0 0,0
112 Niger 1178,98 0 0,0
113 Thailand 1178,07 0 0,0
114 Azerbaijan 1177,31 0 0,0
115 Kosovo 1174,49 0 0,0
116 Korea DPR 1169,96 0 0,0
117 Namibia 1159,93 0 0,0
118 Kazakhstan 1155,34 0 0,0
118 Sierra Leone 1155,15 0 0,0
118 Guinea-Bissau 1154,87 0 0,0
121 Tajikistan 1152,15 0 0,0
122 New Zealand 1149,43 0 0,0
123 Malawi 1140,60 0 0,0
124 Philippines 1135,94 0 0,0
124 Angola 1135,82 0 0,0
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1127,35 0 0,0
126 Togo 1127,21 0 0,0
128 Sudan 1109,41 0 -3,0
129 Turkmenistan 1106,51 0 0,0
130 Guatemala 1105,94 0 0,0
131 Rwanda 1089,25 0 0,0
131 Lithuania 1088,70 0 0,0
133 Comoros 1088,35 0 0,0
134 Tanzania 1084,27 0 -2,0
135 Andorra 1082,14 0 0,0
136 Myanmar 1081,26 0 0,0
137 Latvia 1078,52 0 0,0
138 Chinese Taipei 1078,48 0 0,0
139 Lesotho 1074,04 1 0,0
139 St. Kitts and Nevis 1073,86 1 0,0
141 Hong Kong 1073,39 -2 -2,0
141 Suriname 1073,39 1 0,0
141 Solomon Islands 1072,78 1 0,0
144 Yemen 1070,54 0 -1,0
145 Equatorial Guinea 1066,36 0 0,0
146 Ethiopia 1061,01 0 0,0
147 Kuwait 1059,94 0 1,0
148 Botswana 1055,44 0 0,0
149 Afghanistan 1052,24 0 0,0
150 Nicaragua 1050,21 0 0,0
151 Liberia 1047,45 1 0,0
152 Eswatini 1041,93 1 0,0
153 Malaysia 1040,02 1 0,0
154 Maldives 1038,31 1 0,0
154 Burundi 1037,57 -3 -11,0
156 New Caledonia 1035,12 0 0,0
157 Singapore 1020,27 0 0,0
158 Dominican Republic 1019,36 0 0,0
159 Gambia 1014,81 0 0,0
159 Grenada 1014,55 0 0,0
161 Tahiti 1014,27 0 0,0
162 Barbados 1011,04 0 0,0
163 Fiji 996,27 0 0,0
163 Vanuatu 995,62 0 0,0
165 Papua New Guinea 990,55 0 0,0
166 Guyana 988,40 0 0,0
167 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 985,75 0 0,0
168 Bermuda 984,02 0 0,0
169 South Sudan 983,43 0 0,0
170 Nepal 974,41 0 0,0
170 Belize 973,98 0 0,0
172 Mauritius 967,52 0 0,0
173 Indonesia 964,07 0 0,0
173 Cambodia 963,79 0 0,0
175 Moldova 958,79 0 0,0
176 St. Lucia 953,45 0 0,0
177 Chad 943,20 0 0,0
178 Puerto Rico 941,09 0 0,0
179 Cuba 935,97 0 0,0
180 Liechtenstein 926,06 0 0,0
181 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 922,54 0 0,0
182 Macau 922,10 0 0,0
183 Montserrat 920,53 0 0,0
184 Malta 919,19 0 0,0
184 Dominica 918,70 0 0,0
186 Djibouti 918,13 -2 -1,0
187 Bangladesh 915,32 0 0,0
188 Laos 912,07 0 0,0
189 Bhutan 910,96 0 0,0
190 Mongolia 906,34 0 0,0
191 Brunei Darussalam 903,90 0 0,0
192 American Samoa 900,27 0 0,0
193 Cayman Islands 896,65 0 0,0
194 Samoa 894,26 0 0,0
195 Bahamas 879,61 0 0,0
196 Timor-Leste 879,43 0 0,0
196 Gibraltar 879,24 0 0,0
196 Somalia 879,21 0 0,0
199 Guam 872,83 0 0,0
200 Seychelles 867,97 0 0,0
201 Aruba 867,44 0 0,0
201 Pakistan 866,81 0 0,0
203 Eritrea 863,63 2 8,0
204 Tonga 861,81 -1 0,0
204 Turks and Caicos Islands 861,56 -1 0,0
206 Sri Lanka 856,35 -1 0,0
207 US Virgin Islands 844,16 0 0,0
208 British Virgin Islands 841,73 0 0,0
209 San Marino 823,74 0 0,0
210 Anguilla 821,24 0 0,0

As it is the last ranking of the year a small overview of this years biggest ranking movements is appropriate:

top-10 biggest climbers in ranking positions:
Qatar 38
Algeria 32
Japan 22
Guatemala 19
Iraq 18
Haiti 17
Montserrat 17
Kosovo 16
Madagascar 15
Bahamas 15

top-10 biggest climbers in ranking points:
Qatar 138
Algeria 135
Japan 89
Mexico 81
Iraq 73
Italy 68
Haiti 66
Nigeria 66
Kosovo 61
Madagascar 58

top-10 biggest droppers in ranking positions:
Nicaragua -21
Montenegro -20
Bolivia -17
Mauritius -16
Burundi -15
Bosnia-Herzegovina -15
Chinese Taipei -14
Aruba -14
Indonesia -14
Trinidad and Tobago -13
Bulgaria -13
Romania -13

top-10 biggest droppers in ranking points:
Nicaragua -69
Montenegro -62
Trinidad and Tobago -59
Faroe Islands -57
Chinese Taipei -56
Mauritius -54
India -53
Bolivia -50
Aruba -49
Burundi -47

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

5 comments:

  1. For some obscure reason the complete CECAFA Cup 2019 was excluded from the FIFA-ranking calculation. That means only 19 matches (instead of 32) counted for the December ranking.

    The February 2020 ranking will be the next ranking, to be published on Thursday February 20th next year.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Reason is probably number of substitution players. If it exceeds allowed 3, then it is excluded from counting

    ReplyDelete
  3. Could well be the reason, Mick. Couldn't find any detailed match reports though to confirm it.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Or maybe participation of Zanzibar, not affiliated FIFA member. But in that case, Concacaf competitions would not be involved in this ranking too….

    ReplyDelete
  5. Curious, matches from all previous CECAFA Cups (this was the 21st edition since the FIFA ranking started in 1993) were always included in the ranking calculation as a regional tournament, no matter if Zanzibar participated or not.
    Of course only the matches counted where Zanzibar wasn't involved :)

    ReplyDelete