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Sunday, January 12, 2020

FIFA ranking: February 2020 probable results

Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA February 2020 ranking with FIFA's Expected Home Win Probability (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) or loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.
Also the already played matches since December 16th, (probably) counting for the February ranking, are presented.


The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method.



already played:


0 2019-12-17 KEN - ERI; We (FIFA): 79; pts-exchange: 0,000
0 2019-12-17 UGA - TAN; We (FIFA): 71; pts-exchange: 0,000
1 2019-12-18 CHN - HKG; We (FIFA): 72; pts-exchange: 1,392
1 2019-12-18 KOR - JPN; We (FIFA): 46; pts-exchange: 2,698
0 2019-12-19 UGA - ERI; We (FIFA): 86; pts-exchange: 0,000
0 2019-12-19 KEN - TAN; We (FIFA): 61; pts-exchange: 0,000
1 2020-01-07 CAN - BRB; We (FIFA): 77; pts-exchange: 1,132
1 2020-01-09 SWE - MDA; We (FIFA): 92; pts-exchange: 0,424
1 2020-01-10 CAN - BRB; We (FIFA): 78; pts-exchange: 1,124



scheduled:

1 2020-01-12 SWE - KOS; We (FIFA): 83; W: 0,9/-0,9; D: -1,6/1,6; L: -4,1/4,1
1 2020-01-15 BAN - PLE; We (FIFA): 25; W: 3,7/-3,7; D: 1,2/-1,2; L: -1,3/1,3
1 2020-01-15 ISL - CAN; We (FIFA): 62; W: 1,9/-1,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -3,1/3,1
1 2020-01-16 BDI - MRI; We (FIFA): 58; W: 2,1/-2,1; D: -0,4/0,4; L: -2,9/2,9
1 2020-01-17 SRI - PLE; We (FIFA): 21; W: 3,9/-3,9; D: 1,4/-1,4; L: -1,1/1,1
1 2020-01-18 BDI - SEY; We (FIFA): 67; W: 1,7/-1,7; D: -0,8/0,8; L: -3,3/3,3
1 2020-01-19 BAN - SRI; We (FIFA): 56; W: 2,2/-2,2; D: -0,3/0,3; L: -2,8/2,8
1 2020-01-19 ISL - SLV; We (FIFA): 61; W: 1,9/-1,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -3,1/3,1
1 2020-01-20 SEY - MRI; We (FIFA): 41; W: 3,0/-3,0; D: 0,5/-0,5; L: -2,0/2,0
1 2020-01-22 PLE - MRI; We (FIFA): 71; W: 1,4/-1,4; D: -1,1/1,1; L: -3,6/3,6
1 2020-01-23 BDI - BAN; We (FIFA): 63; W: 1,9/-1,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -3,1/3,1
1 2020-01-25 PLE - BDI; We (FIFA): 64; W: 1,8/-1,8; D: -0,7/0,7; L: -3,2/3,2
0 2020-01-25 ERI - SDN; We (FIFA): 27; W: 3,6/-3,6; D: 1,1/-1,1; L: -1,4/1,4
1 2020-02-01 USA - CRC; We (FIFA): 59; W: 2,0/-2,0; D: -0,5/0,5; L: -3,0/3,0
0 2020-02-14 MYA - OMA; We (FIFA): 30; W: 3,5/-3,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -1,5/1,5


Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including February 16th, used to calculate the February 2020 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 

Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.

1 2020-01-12 Sweden - Kosovo; Friendly; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2020-01-15 Bangladesh - Palestine; Friendly; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2020-01-15 Iceland - Canada; Friendly; We (elo): 59; X
1 2020-01-16 Burundi - Mauritius; Friendly; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2020-01-17 Sri Lanka - Palestine; Friendly; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2020-01-18 Burundi - Seychelles; Friendly; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2020-01-19 Bangladesh - Sri Lanka; Friendly; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2020-01-19 Iceland - El Salvador; Friendly; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2020-01-20 Seychelles - Mauritius; Friendly; We (elo): 34; 2
1 2020-01-22 Palestine - Mauritius; Friendly; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2020-01-23 Burundi - Bangladesh; Friendly; We (elo): 19; 1
1 2020-01-25 Palestine - Burundi; Friendly; We (elo): 76; 1
0 2020-01-25 Eritrea - Sudan; Friendly; We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-02-01 USA - Costa Rica; Friendly; We (elo): 72; 1
0 2020-02-14 Myanmar - Oman; Friendly; We (elo): 12; 2




About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

2 comments:

  1. It seems that matches from CECAFA cup were not included in FIFA rankings. Anybody knows the reason?

    Additionally, final of East Asian Championship between Korea and Japan was counted for February instead of December ranking. This is strange because match was played at 18.12.2019, one day before Decmber ranking was published.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Mick, regarding your second remark: the deadline date for matches counting for a ranking is not the publishing date but in general 4 days earlier, So published on Thursday a ranking normally includes only matches played on or before the Sunday before the Thursday. In this case the deadline date for the December 2019 ranking was Sunday December 15th.
    This custom is still from the time when the old calculation method was used until June 2018). I would have expected that with the introduction of the elo-based ranking calculation this deadline could easily become the publishing date itself or 1 day earlier at most, but no, this 4 day margin is still used.

    I don't know why the CECAFA Cup 2019 matches weren't included.

    ReplyDelete