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Sunday, August 16, 2020

FIFA ranking: September 2020 preview results

Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA September 2020 ranking with FIFA's Expected Home Win Probability (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) or loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method.

Normally the home-team's gained points will be the away-team's lost points. Still, both are given because there are in FIFA's calculation approach cases when they will not be the same: PSO-matches and knock-out matches in final competitions.

scheduled:

0 2020-09-03 IRN - SYR; We (FIFA): 66; W: 3,4/-3,4; D: -1,6/1,6; L: -6,6/6,6
0 2020-09-03 OMA - IRQ; We (FIFA): 46; W: 5,4/-5,4; D: 0,4/-0,4; L: -4,6/4,6
1 2020-09-03 UZB - TJK; We (FIFA): 63; W: 3,7/-3,7; D: -1,3/1,3; L: -6,3/6,3
1 2020-09-03 GER - ESP; We (FIFA): 47; W: 8,0/-8,0; D: 0,5/-0,5; L: -7,0/7,0
1 2020-09-03 UKR - SUI; We (FIFA): 43; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-03 RUS - SRB; We (FIFA): 48; W: 7,8/-7,8; D: 0,3/-0,3; L: -7,2/7,2
1 2020-09-03 TUR - HUN; We (FIFA): 57; W: 6,4/-6,4; D: -1,1/1,1; L: -8,6/8,6
1 2020-09-03 BUL - IRL; We (FIFA): 40; W: 9,0/-9,0; D: 1,5/-1,5; L: -6,0/6,0
1 2020-09-03 FIN - WAL; We (FIFA): 36; W: 9,6/-9,6; D: 2,1/-2,1; L: -5,4/5,4
1 2020-09-03 MDA - KOS; We (FIFA): 30; W: 10,4/-10,4; D: 2,9/-2,9; L: -4,6/4,6
1 2020-09-03 SVN - GRE; We (FIFA): 46; W: 8,1/-8,1; D: 0,6/-0,6; L: -6,9/6,9
1 2020-09-03 FRO - MLT; We (FIFA): 73; W: 4,0/-4,0; D: -3,5/3,5; L: -11,0/11,0
1 2020-09-03 LVA - AND; We (FIFA): 50; W: 7,6/-7,6; D: 0,1/-0,1; L: -7,4/7,4
0 2020-09-04 UAE - JOR; We (FIFA): 59; W: 4,1/-4,1; D: -0,9/0,9; L: -5,9/5,9
1 2020-09-04 ITA - BIH; We (FIFA): 66; W: 5,0/-5,0; D: -2,5/2,5; L: -10,0/10,0
1 2020-09-04 NED - POL; We (FIFA): 54; W: 6,9/-6,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -8,1/8,1
1 2020-09-04 NOR - AUT; We (FIFA): 45; W: 8,3/-8,3; D: 0,8/-0,8; L: -6,7/6,7
1 2020-09-04 ROU - NIR; We (FIFA): 50; W: 7,5/-7,5; D: 0,0/0,0; L: -7,5/7,5
1 2020-09-04 SCO - ISR; We (FIFA): 65; W: 5,2/-5,2; D: -2,3/2,3; L: -9,8/9,8
1 2020-09-04 SVK - CZE; We (FIFA): 54; W: 6,9/-6,9; D: -0,6/0,6; L: -8,1/8,1
1 2020-09-04 BLR - ALB; We (FIFA): 43; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-04 LTU - KAZ; We (FIFA): 44; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-05 DEN - BEL; We (FIFA): 35; W: 9,8/-9,8; D: 2,3/-2,3; L: -5,2/5,2
1 2020-09-05 ISL - ENG; We (FIFA): 32; W: 10,2/-10,2; D: 2,7/-2,7; L: -4,8/4,8
1 2020-09-05 POR - CRO; We (FIFA): 50; W: 7,5/-7,5; D: 0,0/0,0; L: -7,5/7,5
1 2020-09-05 SWE - FRA; We (FIFA): 36; W: 9,7/-9,7; D: 2,2/-2,2; L: -5,3/5,3
1 2020-09-05 AZE - LUX; We (FIFA): 44; W: 8,3/-8,3; D: 0,8/-0,8; L: -6,7/6,7
1 2020-09-05 CYP - MNE; We (FIFA): 39; W: 9,1/-9,1; D: 1,6/-1,6; L: -5,9/5,9
1 2020-09-05 EST - GEO; We (FIFA): 44; W: 8,4/-8,4; D: 0,9/-0,9; L: -6,6/6,6
1 2020-09-05 MKD - ARM; We (FIFA): 63; W: 5,6/-5,6; D: -1,9/1,9; L: -9,4/9,4
1 2020-09-05 GIB - SMR; We (FIFA): 55; W: 6,7/-6,7; D: -0,8/0,8; L: -8,3/8,3
1 2020-09-06 UAE - TJK; We (FIFA): 67; W: 3,3/-3,3; D: -1,7/1,7; L: -6,7/6,7
1 2020-09-06 ESP - UKR; We (FIFA): 59; W: 6,1/-6,1; D: -1,4/1,4; L: -8,9/8,9
1 2020-09-06 SUI - GER; We (FIFA): 51; W: 7,4/-7,4; D: -0,1/0,1; L: -7,6/7,6
1 2020-09-06 HUN - RUS; We (FIFA): 44; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-06 SRB - TUR; We (FIFA): 49; W: 7,7/-7,7; D: 0,2/-0,2; L: -7,3/7,3
1 2020-09-06 IRL - FIN; We (FIFA): 59; W: 6,1/-6,1; D: -1,4/1,4; L: -8,9/8,9
1 2020-09-06 WAL - BUL; We (FIFA): 64; W: 5,3/-5,3; D: -2,2/2,2; L: -9,7/9,7
1 2020-09-06 KOS - GRE; We (FIFA): 29; W: 10,6/-10,6; D: 3,1/-3,1; L: -4,4/4,4
1 2020-09-06 SVN - MDA; We (FIFA): 83; W: 2,6/-2,6; D: -4,9/4,9; L: -12,4/12,4
1 2020-09-06 AND - FRO; We (FIFA): 40; W: 9,1/-9,1; D: 1,6/-1,6; L: -5,9/5,9
1 2020-09-06 MLT - LVA; We (FIFA): 34; W: 9,9/-9,9; D: 2,4/-2,4; L: -5,1/5,1
1 2020-09-07 UZB - IRN; We (FIFA): 32; W: 6,8/-6,8; D: 1,8/-1,8; L: -3,2/3,2
1 2020-09-07 BIH - POL; We (FIFA): 38; W: 9,3/-9,3; D: 1,8/-1,8; L: -5,7/5,7
1 2020-09-07 NED - ITA; We (FIFA): 50; W: 7,5/-7,5; D: 0,0/0,0; L: -7,5/7,5
1 2020-09-07 AUT - ROU; We (FIFA): 52; W: 7,3/-7,3; D: -0,2/0,2; L: -7,7/7,7
1 2020-09-07 NIR - NOR; We (FIFA): 51; W: 7,4/-7,4; D: -0,1/0,1; L: -7,6/7,6
1 2020-09-07 CZE - SCO; We (FIFA): 51; W: 7,3/-7,3; D: -0,2/0,2; L: -7,7/7,7
1 2020-09-07 ISR - SVK; We (FIFA): 28; W: 10,7/-10,7; D: 3,2/-3,2; L: -4,3/4,3
1 2020-09-07 ALB - LTU; We (FIFA): 73; W: 4,1/-4,1; D: -3,4/3,4; L: -10,9/10,9
1 2020-09-07 KAZ - BLR; We (FIFA): 37; W: 9,4/-9,4; D: 1,9/-1,9; L: -5,6/5,6
0 2020-09-08 IRQ - SYR; We (FIFA): 53; W: 4,7/-4,7; D: -0,3/0,3; L: -5,3/5,3
1 2020-09-08 BEL - ISL; We (FIFA): 77; W: 3,5/-3,5; D: -4,0/4,0; L: -11,5/11,5
1 2020-09-08 DEN - ENG; We (FIFA): 43; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-08 FRA - CRO; We (FIFA): 60; W: 6,0/-6,0; D: -1,5/1,5; L: -9,0/9,0
1 2020-09-08 SWE - POR; We (FIFA): 43; W: 8,5/-8,5; D: 1,0/-1,0; L: -6,5/6,5
1 2020-09-08 CYP - AZE; We (FIFA): 56; W: 6,5/-6,5; D: -1,0/1,0; L: -8,5/8,5
1 2020-09-08 LUX - MNE; We (FIFA): 37; W: 9,4/-9,4; D: 1,9/-1,9; L: -5,6/5,6
1 2020-09-08 ARM - EST; We (FIFA): 50; W: 7,4/-7,4; D: -0,1/0,1; L: -7,6/7,6
1 2020-09-08 GEO - MKD; We (FIFA): 42; W: 8,7/-8,7; D: 1,2/-1,2; L: -6,3/6,3
1 2020-09-08 SMR - LIE; We (FIFA): 40; W: 9,0/-9,0; D: 1,5/-1,5; L: -6,0/6,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

3 comments:

  1. Ed, do you have any idea how are Liechtenstein and Gibraltar allowed not to play a friendly during their bye week in the Nations League. I see that Asian countries play international football as well, so they could've scheduled a friendly with one of them.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nogomet, only thing I can think of is that the September window was designated for UEFA teams only by FIFA. Indeed some AFC teams had scheduled friendlies with neigbouring countries but that was done before the further postponement of the AFC qualifiers to next year by AFC two weeks ago. I saw for instance Iran-Syria was already cancelled last week.
    I just think there are no suitable opponents available. Plus, a friendly between an UEFA and AFC team in these uncertain times, I don't really think that would be wise, seeing the current persistent concerns around COVID-19.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I agree it's better not to force teams to play meaningless friendlies in these times when all travel is difficult. I sincerely hope UEFA will cancel all friendlies in October and November window because I don't see the sense in it. With these weird and uncoordinated quarantine rules across European countries, the Nations League itself will be difficult to finish without forfeiting games. So why force teams to travel cross-border and risk more problems with quarantining, especially when teams already have 2 more games to play within the same week? I hope common sense will prevail.

    ReplyDelete