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Thursday, September 10, 2020

FIFA ranking: September 2020 final preview

In the end only the first 2 match days in the UEFA Nations League 2020 group stage and one AFC-friendly for a total of 55 matches were played this window. But not to complain, I'm glad there's some NT-football again.

The prospects for the October and November window are still uncertain. UEFA will continue their schedule, but CONCACAF and AFC have again postponed all NT-activity, now until March next year. Further adaptations to their WC-qualifying formats seems inevitable or they have to revert to 3 matches in a FIFA-window, like UEFA does partially already.
Still no word from CONMEBOL. However, if they want to complete their qualifying format (requiring 18 MD's) in time, they should start no later than October. CAF has scheduled their first competitive matches for CAF Nations Cup qualification in November. No NT-activity in OFC this year.



Best movers:
6 - Russia
3 - Iran, Romania, Faroe Islands

Worst movers:
-4 - Slovakia, Estonia
-3 - Switzerland, Turkey, Republic of Ireland, Cyprus

Best movers in the top 50:
6 - Russia
3 - Iran, Romania

Worst movers in the top 50:
-4 - Slovakia
-3 - Switzerland, Turkey, Republic of Ireland


FIFA will publish the September ranking next Thursday September 17th.

Stay safe and healthy everybody !


September 2020 rank - Team - September 2020 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Belgium 1773 0 8,0
2 France 1744 0 11,0
3 Brazil 1712 0 0,0
4 England 1664 0 3,0
5 Portugal 1653 2 14,0
6 Uruguay 1645 -1 0,0
7 Spain 1642 1 6,0
8 Croatia 1628 -2 -14,0
9 Argentina 1623 0 0,0
10 Colombia 1622 0 0,0
11 Mexico 1621 0 0,0
12 Italy 1612 1 5,0
13 Netherlands 1603 1 -1,0
14 Germany 1602 1 0,0
15 Switzerland 1600 -3 -8,0
16 Denmark 1593 0 -5,0
17 Chile 1579 0 0,0
18 Sweden 1567 -1 -12,0
19 Poland 1558 0 -1,0
20 Senegal 1555 0 0,0
21 Wales 1550 2 10,0
22 Peru 1544 -1 0,0
23 USA 1542 -1 0,0
24 Ukraine 1539 0 2,0
25 Venezuela 1517 0 0,0
26 Tunisia 1506 1 0,0
27 Austria 1505 -1 -2,0
28 Japan 1500 0 0,0
29 Nigeria 1493 2 0,0
30 Iran 1489 3 0,0
31 Serbia 1486 -2 -8,0
32 Turkey 1485 -3 -9,0
32 Russia 1485 6 15,0
34 Romania 1483 3 8,0
35 Algeria 1482 0 0,0
36 Slovakia 1479 -4 -11,0
37 Republic of Ireland 1475 -3 -11,0
38 Northern Ireland 1468 -2 -8,0
39 Korea Republic 1464 1 0,0
40 Paraguay 1461 1 0,0
41 Australia 1457 1 0,0
41 Iceland 1457 -2 -8,0
43 Morocco 1456 0 0,0
44 Norway 1452 0 1,0
45 Czech Republic 1446 0 0,0
46 Costa Rica 1439 0 0,0
46 Ghana 1439 0 0,0
48 Jamaica 1438 0 0,0
49 Scotland 1428 1 6,0
50 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1426 -1 -4,0
51 Egypt 1420 0 0,0
52 Hungary 1418 0 2,0
53 Greece 1413 1 4,0
53 Cameroon 1413 0 0,0
55 Qatar 1396 0 0,0
56 Finland 1390 2 4,0
57 Mali 1389 -1 0,0
57 Congo DR 1389 -1 0,0
59 Burkina Faso 1381 0 0,0
60 Cote d'Ivoire 1378 1 0,0
60 Bulgaria 1378 -1 -3,0
62 Honduras 1377 0 0,0
63 Montenegro 1376 1 11,0
64 Ecuador 1368 -1 0,0
64 Slovenia 1368 0 3,0
66 Saudi Arabia 1351 1 0,0
66 North Macedonia 1351 2 4,0
66 Albania 1351 0 -5,0
69 El Salvador 1346 0 0,0
70 Iraq 1344 0 0,0
71 United Arab Emirates 1334 0 0,0
71 South Africa 1334 0 0,0
73 Canada 1332 0 0,0
74 Guinea 1328 0 0,0
75 Bolivia 1324 0 0,0
76 China PR 1323 0 0,0
77 Uganda 1321 0 0,0
78 Cape Verde Islands 1318 0 0,0
79 Syria 1314 0 0,0
80 Curacao 1313 0 0,0
81 Panama 1305 0 0,0
82 Oman 1303 0 0,0
83 Gabon 1297 0 0,0
84 Benin 1295 0 0,0
85 Uzbekistan 1290 0 4,0
86 Haiti 1285 0 0,0
87 Belarus 1282 0 -1,0
88 Zambia 1279 0 0,0
89 Georgia 1274 2 7,0
90 Congo 1269 -1 0,0
90 Lebanon 1269 -1 0,0
92 Madagascar 1267 -1 0,0
93 Israel 1265 0 5,0
94 Vietnam 1258 0 0,0
95 Kyrgyzstan 1240 1 0,0
96 Jordan 1238 1 0,0
97 Luxembourg 1237 1 1,0
98 Cyprus 1236 -3 -15,0
99 Bahrain 1225 0 0,0
100 Mauritania 1223 0 0,0
101 Libya 1215 0 0,0
101 Armenia 1215 1 2,0
103 Palestine 1204 0 0,0
104 Trinidad and Tobago 1201 1 0,0
105 Mozambique 1200 1 0,0
106 Kenya 1199 1 0,0
107 Faroe Islands 1191 3 10,0
108 Estonia 1188 -4 -14,0
109 India 1187 -1 0,0
110 Central African Republic 1184 -1 0,0
111 Zimbabwe 1180 0 0,0
112 Azerbaijan 1179 2 2,0
112 Niger 1179 0 0,0
114 Thailand 1178 -1 0,0
115 Korea DPR 1170 1 0,0
116 Kosovo 1167 -1 -7,0
117 Namibia 1160 0 0,0
118 Kazakhstan 1156 0 1,0
119 Sierra Leone 1155 -1 0,0
119 Guinea-Bissau 1155 -1 0,0
121 New Zealand 1149 1 0,0
122 Tajikistan 1148 -1 -4,0
123 Malawi 1141 0 0,0
124 Philippines 1136 0 0,0
124 Angola 1136 0 0,0
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1127 0 0,0
126 Togo 1127 0 0,0
128 Sudan 1112 0 0,0
129 Turkmenistan 1107 0 0,0
130 Guatemala 1104 0 0,0
131 Lithuania 1093 0 4,0
132 Rwanda 1089 -1 0,0
133 Comoros 1088 0 0,0
134 Tanzania 1086 0 0,0
135 Myanmar 1081 1 0,0
136 Chinese Taipei 1078 2 0,0
137 Latvia 1076 0 -3,0
137 Andorra 1076 -2 -6,0
139 Lesotho 1074 0 0,0
139 St. Kitts and Nevis 1074 0 0,0
141 Suriname 1073 0 0,0
141 Solomon Islands 1073 0 0,0
143 Hong Kong 1072 0 0,0
144 Yemen 1071 0 0,0
145 Equatorial Guinea 1066 0 0,0
146 Ethiopia 1061 0 0,0
147 Kuwait 1060 0 0,0
148 Botswana 1055 0 0,0
149 Burundi 1052 0 0,0
149 Afghanistan 1052 0 0,0
151 Nicaragua 1051 0 0,0
152 Liberia 1047 0 0,0
153 Eswatini 1042 0 0,0
154 Malaysia 1040 0 0,0
155 Maldives 1038 0 0,0
156 New Caledonia 1035 0 0,0
157 Singapore 1020 0 0,0
158 Dominican Republic 1019 0 0,0
159 Gambia 1015 0 0,0
159 Grenada 1015 0 0,0
161 Tahiti 1014 0 0,0
162 Barbados 1009 0 0,0
163 Fiji 996 0 0,0
163 Vanuatu 996 0 0,0
165 Papua New Guinea 991 0 0,0
166 Guyana 988 0 0,0
167 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 986 0 0,0
168 South Sudan 983 0 0,0
168 Bermuda 983 0 0,0
170 Nepal 974 0 0,0
170 Belize 974 0 0,0
172 Mauritius 965 0 0,0
173 Indonesia 964 0 0,0
173 Cambodia 964 0 0,0
175 Moldova 959 0 0,0
176 St. Lucia 953 0 0,0
177 Chad 943 0 0,0
178 Puerto Rico 941 0 0,0
179 Cuba 936 0 0,0
180 Liechtenstein 932 0 6,0
181 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 923 0 0,0
182 Macau 922 0 0,0
183 Montserrat 921 0 0,0
184 Djibouti 919 0 0,0
184 Dominica 919 0 0,0
186 Malta 917 -2 -2,0
187 Bangladesh 914 0 0,0
188 Laos 912 0 0,0
189 Bhutan 911 0 0,0
190 Mongolia 906 0 0,0
191 Brunei Darussalam 904 0 0,0
192 American Samoa 900 0 0,0
193 Cayman Islands 897 0 0,0
194 Samoa 894 0 0,0
195 Gibraltar 886 1 7,0
196 Bahamas 880 -1 0,0
197 Timor-Leste 879 -1 0,0
197 Somalia 879 -1 0,0
199 Guam 873 0 0,0
200 Aruba 867 0 0,0
200 Pakistan 867 0 0,0
202 Seychelles 866 0 0,0
203 Tonga 862 0 0,0
203 Turks and Caicos Islands 862 0 0,0
205 Eritrea 856 0 0,0
206 Sri Lanka 853 0 0,0
207 US Virgin Islands 844 0 0,0
208 British Virgin Islands 842 0 0,0
209 Anguilla 821 1 0,0
210 San Marino 811 -1 -13,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

13 comments:

  1. Great job Ed as always! Can you share big Excel table like "points_calculation_20191129.xlsm" with every such final preview as you did earlier? Thanks in advance!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You're welcome.

      I will, but only after the September ranking is published and I have had the chance to compare my results against theirs. I don't want to share information that may be incorrect :)

      Delete
    2. Yeah, it's very reasonably to publish such file monthly on a permanent basis after FIFA official ranking. Unfortunately they do not disclose such information. Thanks a lot!

      Delete
  2. Only a little remark, Fifa specified that the September international window was for Uefa nations only. This is reported also in their official pdf IMC 2020-2024, published in august. The practical effect is that clubs are not obliged to release players for national teams outside UEFA. So I think the friendly match Uzbekistan-Tajikistan, if included in the new ranking, will be considered as friendly outside the IMC (I=5).

    ReplyDelete
  3. Could indeed be as you say, Jos. Though I haven't seen since June 2018 a previous example of such a case, so let's wait and see what FIFA decides to do.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Are San Marino now officially the worst team in the world? If they aren't going to finally win a competitive game in this group, I am struggling to see where it will come from. There are still two rounds of matches to go for them, so I have fingers crossed. Gibraltar at home is surely the best chance they will get for a while. Imagine if they somehow fluked a win in the qualifiers against, say, a pot 4 team. How many places would they gain? 20? 30? 40? And how quickly would the losing manager be sacked? 5 minutes? 10 minutes? 5 seconds?

    ReplyDelete
  5. The FIFA ranking says so, but San Marino hasn't been measured yet against any minnow from other confederations. And they have the 'luck' to play a lot of competitive matches against simply stronger teams, so they lose their points rather quickly at the moment compared to these other minnows.
    One win against a team from around spot 100 (let's say Luxembourg) in WCq for instance would win them 21 points. You can see above that they would need a few of those surprises to really climb their way out of the cellars.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I wonder how they have 811 points. From recollection they drew a game 0-0 v Estonia some years ago, but that doesn't seem like it could account for that many points. They have also won a single friendly game vs. Liechtenstein 1-0, that also can't be worth more than a few points.

      They should set up a friendly against US Virgin Islands or Anguilla!

      Delete
  6. San Marino started in June 2018 with the introduction of the new ranking calculation method by FIFA with 876 points. This was a translation of the position of each team in the May 2018 ranking to initial starting points, so that the new calculation could be applied for each team when they played their first match after the introduction of the new calculation method. They were then 203rd in the May 2018 ranking.
    Since then San Marino lost 65 points and dropped to 210th and last, while for instance Montserrat (204th and 872 points in June 2018) now have 921 points on 183rd and showed some real imporvement in the CNL matches.
    Some other minnows then, like Eritrea and Tonga, started with the minimum 868 points as they were lowest ranked in May (206th), hardly played anything and subsequently dropped only a few points since then.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Interesting, thank you for the answers.

      Delete
  7. I've checked my results against the published ranking. All was identical.
    So we have learned that the AFC-friendly, even though this September window was only 'open' for UEFA teams, still was calculated with an I-factor of 10. Apparently, when determining the I-factor for a friendly, the only check is if the match date is inside or outside the FIFA window dates.

    And for all you impatient readers, here's the detailed points calculation sheet: points_calculation_20200917.xlsm. Enjoy :)!

    ReplyDelete