The European teams will have a busy schedule this year. The qualification groups for the World Cup 2022 in 10 MD's will start in March and be played to a finish in November. There are 10 groups with the group winners qualifying directly for Qatar. The 10 group runners-up will compete with the two best UNL group winners, not qualified already, in 3 play-off paths of 4 teams for the final 3 UEFA berths. These single leg semi-final and final play-offs will be played in March 2022.
In October the UEFA Nations League 2021 Final Four will be played between the league A group winners Italy, Belgium, France and Spain.
And not to forget: this June the postponed EURO 2020 will be played, still with the same match schedule and in the same 12 venues, spread across Europe. Last November the last four participants (Hungary, Slovakia, Scotland and North Macedonia) came through the qualification finals.
Here are the probabilities (in %), generated over 10.000 simulations. All match-results in each simulation are based on NT prediction formula's for goals scored in a match depending on elo win expectancy.
Previous simulation results for the EURO tournament can be found here. At the time there were quite some discussions about the validity of those results and in the meantime I have finally found the time to explore them thoroughly. It turns out there was indeed a bug in my simulation software in the not very common case that the 'away-playing' team in a match actually plays at home. Especially in this tournament the match schedule provided some of these cases and the bug made for instance Belgium look very bad in the results. My apologies to our southern neighbours. You will see below they are strong favourites now 😀
First the group stage of the EUROs. The teams are ordered by their average group position:
|
group A |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
Italy |
66,88 |
23,41 |
7,15 |
2,56 |
|
Switzerland |
16,25 |
33,68 |
29,86 |
20,21 |
|
Wales |
12,41 |
25,98 |
32,57 |
29,04 |
|
Turkey |
4,46 |
16,93 |
30,42 |
48,19 |
|
group B |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
Denmark |
46,05 |
37,22 |
12,05 |
4,68 |
|
Belgium |
45,05 |
35,69 |
16,05 |
3,21 |
|
Russia |
7,04 |
19,80 |
41,28 |
31,88 |
|
Finland |
1,86 |
7,29 |
30,62 |
60,23 |
|
group C |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
Netherlands |
80,14 |
14,94 |
4,44 |
0,48 |
|
Ukraine |
11,36 |
47,26 |
31,55 |
9,83 |
|
Austria |
7,65 |
30,97 |
46,75 |
14,63 |
|
North
Macedonia |
0,85 |
6,83 |
17,26 |
75,06 |
|
group D |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
England |
68,75 |
22,07 |
7,35 |
1,83 |
|
Croatia |
16,26 |
29,49 |
29,57 |
24,68 |
|
Scotland |
7,33 |
26,85 |
29,95 |
35,87 |
|
Czech
Republic |
7,66 |
21,59 |
33,13 |
37,62 |
|
group E |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
Spain |
83,66 |
12,83 |
2,78 |
0,73 |
|
Sweden |
7,78 |
40,55 |
33,51 |
18,16 |
|
Poland |
6,88 |
33,42 |
40,30 |
19,40 |
|
Slovakia |
1,68 |
13,20 |
23,41 |
61,71 |
|
group F |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
Germany |
38,22 |
29,65 |
21,78 |
10,35 |
|
France |
30,84 |
30,22 |
25,30 |
13,64 |
|
Portugal |
25,10 |
27,44 |
29,39 |
18,07 |
|
Hungary |
5,84 |
12,69 |
23,53 |
57,94 |
Then the focus turns to the knock-out stage with the probabilities to qualify for each round. From the quarter finals onwards also the percentages are presented (in square brackets) to qualify for the round, given qualification for the previous knock-out round.
Round of 16
|
Netherlands |
99,08 |
|
Spain |
99,03 |
|
England |
97,40 |
|
Italy |
96,85 |
|
Belgium |
94,81 |
|
Denmark |
93,02 |
|
Germany |
86,79 |
|
France |
81,54 |
|
Ukraine |
79,61 |
|
Portugal |
72,68 |
|
Austria |
71,03 |
|
Croatia |
68,54 |
|
Sweden |
68,11 |
|
Switzerland |
68,02 |
|
Poland |
66,97 |
|
Wales |
60,24 |
|
Russia |
56,62 |
|
Scotland |
52,03 |
|
Czech
Republic |
46,41 |
|
Turkey |
40,74 |
|
Hungary |
33,04 |
|
Slovakia |
28,45 |
|
Finland |
21,87 |
|
North
Macedonia |
17,12 |
Quarter finals
|
Spain |
83,97 |
[84,79] |
|
|
Belgium |
76,31 |
[80,49] |
|
|
Italy |
69,12 |
[71,37] |
|
|
Netherlands |
64,95 |
[65,55] |
|
|
France |
64,84 |
[79,52] |
|
|
Denmark |
53,89 |
[57,93] |
|
|
Portugal |
52,53 |
[72,28] |
|
|
Germany |
51,84 |
[59,73] |
|
|
England |
47,94 |
[49,22] |
|
|
Sweden |
30,23 |
[44,38] |
|
|
Switzerland |
29,24 |
[42,99] |
|
|
Croatia |
27,36 |
[39,92] |
|
|
Poland |
26,79 |
[40,00] |
|
|
Wales |
21,52 |
[35,72] |
|
|
Ukraine |
20,74 |
[26,05] |
|
|
Austria |
14,45 |
[20,34] |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
12,79 |
[27,56] |
|
|
Russia |
11,64 |
[20,56] |
|
|
Turkey |
9,93 |
[24,37] |
|
|
Hungary |
9,84 |
[29,78] |
|
|
Scotland |
9,25 |
[17,78] |
|
|
Slovakia |
5,76 |
[20,25] |
|
|
Finland |
4,03 |
[18,43] |
|
|
North
Macedonia |
1,04 |
[6,07] |
Semi finals
|
Belgium |
59,13 |
[77,49] |
|
|
France |
48,94 |
[75,48] |
|
|
Spain |
48,80 |
[58,12] |
|
|
Netherlands |
36,98 |
[56,94] |
|
|
Portugal |
35,78 |
[68,11] |
|
|
Italy |
33,98 |
[49,16] |
|
|
Germany |
32,25 |
[62,21] |
|
|
Denmark |
23,91 |
[44,37] |
|
|
England |
19,17 |
[39,99] |
|
|
Switzerland |
10,18 |
[34,82] |
|
|
Croatia |
7,52 |
[27,49] |
|
|
Sweden |
6,97 |
[23,06] |
|
|
Ukraine |
6,48 |
[31,24] |
|
|
Wales |
6,42 |
[29,83] |
|
|
Poland |
6,11 |
[22,81] |
|
|
Austria |
4,15 |
[28,72] |
|
|
Russia |
2,90 |
[24,91] |
|
|
Turkey |
2,59 |
[26,08] |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
2,48 |
[19,39] |
|
|
Hungary |
2,44 |
[24,80] |
|
|
Scotland |
0,99 |
[10,70] |
|
|
Slovakia |
0,87 |
[15,10] |
|
|
Finland |
0,86 |
[21,34] |
|
|
North
Macedonia |
0,10 |
[9,62] |
Final
|
Belgium |
38,66 |
[65,38] |
|
|
France |
32,42 |
[66,24] |
|
|
Spain |
29,85 |
[61,17] |
|
|
Portugal |
20,83 |
[58,22] |
|
|
Italy |
15,13 |
[44,53] |
|
|
Netherlands |
13,96 |
[37,75] |
|
|
Germany |
13,48 |
[41,80] |
|
|
England |
13,03 |
[67,97] |
|
|
Denmark |
8,28 |
[34,63] |
|
|
Switzerland |
2,79 |
[27,41] |
|
|
Croatia |
2,19 |
[29,12] |
|
|
Ukraine |
1,64 |
[25,31] |
|
|
Sweden |
1,61 |
[23,10] |
|
|
Wales |
1,61 |
[25,08] |
|
|
Poland |
1,34 |
[21,93] |
|
|
Austria |
0,80 |
[19,28] |
|
|
Hungary |
0,55 |
[22,54] |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
0,51 |
[20,56] |
|
|
Russia |
0,48 |
[16,55] |
|
|
Turkey |
0,40 |
[15,44] |
|
|
Scotland |
0,16 |
[16,16] |
|
|
Slovakia |
0,14 |
[16,09] |
|
|
Finland |
0,13 |
[15,12] |
|
|
North
Macedonia |
0,01 |
[10,00] |
And the winner:
|
Belgium |
25,36 |
[65,60] |
|
|
France |
20,01 |
[61,72] |
|
|
Spain |
14,22 |
[47,64] |
|
|
Portugal |
10,61 |
[50,94] |
|
|
England |
7,96 |
[61,09] |
|
|
Italy |
6,37 |
[42,10] |
|
|
Netherlands |
5,47 |
[39,18] |
|
|
Germany |
4,60 |
[34,12] |
|
|
Denmark |
2,36 |
[28,50] |
|
|
Switzerland |
0,68 |
[24,37] |
|
|
Croatia |
0,61 |
[27,85] |
|
|
Sweden |
0,37 |
[22,98] |
|
|
Wales |
0,35 |
[21,74] |
|
|
Ukraine |
0,33 |
[20,12] |
|
|
Poland |
0,25 |
[18,66] |
|
|
Austria |
0,12 |
[15,00] |
|
|
Hungary |
0,10 |
[18,18] |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
0,09 |
[17,65] |
|
|
Turkey |
0,06 |
[15,00] |
|
|
Scotland |
0,04 |
[25,00] |
|
|
Russia |
0,03 |
[6,25] |
|
|
Slovakia |
0,01 |
[7,14] |
|
|
Finland |
0,00 |
[0,00] |
|
|
North
Macedonia |
0,00 |
[0,00] |
Then a closer look to most probable match-ups in the different knock-out stages. A total of 270 different match-ups are generated in this simulation. Here are per match the 10 most probable match-ups presented. Also per knock-out stage a total overview of the 25 most probable match-ups.
First the chances of the 4 group winners of groups B, C, E and F to meet a group third from the other groups in the round of 16 (the row sums to 100%):
|
A3 |
B3 |
C3 |
D3 |
E3 |
F3 |
|
|
B1 |
19,31 |
0 |
0 |
12,44 |
31,12 |
37,13 |
|
C1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31,64 |
31,44 |
36,92 |
|
E1 |
12,44 |
31,65 |
35,61 |
20,30 |
0 |
0 |
|
F1 |
34,10 |
34,67 |
31,23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
And presented the other way round (the row sums to 100%):
|
B1 |
C1 |
E1 |
F1 |
|
|
A3 |
29,32 |
0 |
18,89 |
51,78 |
|
B3 |
0 |
0 |
47,72 |
52,28 |
|
C3 |
0 |
0 |
53,28 |
46,72 |
|
D3 |
19,32 |
49,15 |
31,53 |
0 |
|
E3 |
49,74 |
50,26 |
0 |
0 |
|
F3 |
50,14 |
49,86 |
0 |
0 |
|
Round of
16 |
||||
|
B1 - nr 3
(Bilbao - ESP) |
A1 - C2
(London - ENG) |
|||
|
Belgium -
Poland |
6,26 |
Italy -
Ukraine |
31,39 |
|
|
Denmark -
Poland |
6,18 |
Austria -
Italy |
20,62 |
|
|
Denmark -
Sweden |
4,74 |
Italy -
Netherlands |
10,27 |
|
|
Denmark -
Portugal |
4,72 |
Switzerland
- Ukraine |
7,81 |
|
|
Denmark -
France |
4,54 |
Ukraine -
Wales |
6,02 |
|
|
Belgium -
Germany |
4,51 |
Austria -
Switzerland |
4,91 |
|
|
Belgium -
Sweden |
4,51 |
Italy -
North Macedonia |
4,60 |
|
|
Belgium -
France |
4,48 |
Austria -
Wales |
3,93 |
|
|
Belgium -
Portugal |
4,39 |
Netherlands
- Switzerland |
2,36 |
|
|
Denmark -
Germany |
4,28 |
Turkey -
Ukraine |
2,04 |
|
|
F1 - nr 3
(Bucharest - ROM) |
D2 - E2
(Copenhagen - DEN) |
|||
|
Austria -
Germany |
6,11 |
Croatia -
Sweden |
11,85 |
|
|
Germany -
Russia |
5,78 |
Scotland -
Sweden |
11,06 |
|
|
France -
Russia |
4,76 |
Croatia -
Poland |
9,86 |
|
|
Austria -
France |
4,57 |
England -
Sweden |
9,01 |
|
|
Germany -
Wales |
4,46 |
Poland -
Scotland |
8,82 |
|
|
Germany -
Ukraine |
3,89 |
Czech
Republic - Sweden |
8,63 |
|
|
Portugal -
Russia |
3,84 |
Czech
Republic - Poland |
7,49 |
|
|
Austria -
Portugal |
3,82 |
England -
Poland |
7,25 |
|
|
France -
Wales |
3,71 |
Croatia -
Slovakia |
3,98 |
|
|
Germany -
Switzerland |
3,63 |
Croatia -
Spain |
3,80 |
|
|
E1 - nr 3
(Glasgow - SCO) |
D1 - F2
(Dublin - IRL) |
|||
|
Austria -
Spain |
14,17 |
England -
France |
20,88 |
|
|
Russia -
Spain |
12,07 |
England -
Germany |
20,39 |
|
|
Spain -
Ukraine |
9,58 |
England -
Portugal |
18,68 |
|
|
Croatia -
Spain |
5,89 |
England -
Hungary |
8,80 |
|
|
Belgium -
Spain |
5,71 |
Croatia -
France |
4,85 |
|
|
Finland -
Spain |
4,93 |
Croatia -
Germany |
4,82 |
|
|
Scotland -
Spain |
4,68 |
Croatia -
Portugal |
4,54 |
|
|
North
Macedonia - Spain |
4,49 |
Czech
Republic - Germany |
2,40 |
|
|
Czech
Republic - Spain |
4,23 |
France -
Scotland |
2,28 |
|
|
Denmark -
Spain |
3,85 |
Portugal -
Scotland |
2,22 |
|
|
C1 - nr 3
(Budapest - HUN) |
A2 - B2
(Amsterdam - NED) |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Poland |
10,81 |
Denmark -
Switzerland |
12,42 |
|
|
France -
Netherlands |
8,69 |
Belgium -
Switzerland |
11,99 |
|
|
Croatia -
Netherlands |
8,49 |
Denmark -
Wales |
9,82 |
|
|
Netherlands
- Portugal |
8,43 |
Belgium -
Wales |
9,14 |
|
|
Netherlands
- Sweden |
7,69 |
Denmark -
Italy |
8,77 |
|
|
Germany -
Netherlands |
7,57 |
Belgium -
Italy |
8,43 |
|
|
Czech
Republic - Netherlands |
6,82 |
Russia -
Switzerland |
6,75 |
|
|
Netherlands
- Scotland |
6,76 |
Denmark -
Turkey |
6,21 |
|
|
Hungary -
Netherlands |
5,77 |
Belgium -
Turkey |
6,13 |
|
|
Netherlands
- Slovakia |
5,54 |
Russia -
Wales |
5,12 |
|
|
total
Round of 16 |
||||
|
Italy -
Ukraine |
31,39 |
|||
|
England -
France |
20,88 |
|||
|
Austria -
Italy |
20,62 |
|||
|
England -
Germany |
20,39 |
|||
|
England -
Portugal |
18,68 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Switzerland |
14,48 |
|||
|
Austria -
Spain |
14,21 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Switzerland |
14,19 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Wales |
12,61 |
|||
|
Croatia -
Sweden |
12,52 |
|||
|
Russia -
Spain |
12,16 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Wales |
12,07 |
|||
|
Scotland -
Sweden |
11,55 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Poland |
10,99 |
|||
|
Croatia -
Poland |
10,34 |
|||
|
Italy -
Netherlands |
10,27 |
|||
|
Spain -
Ukraine |
9,78 |
|||
|
Croatia -
Spain |
9,69 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Italy |
9,68 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Italy |
9,34 |
|||
|
France -
Netherlands |
9,26 |
|||
|
Poland -
Scotland |
9,25 |
|||
|
England -
Sweden |
9,20 |
|||
|
Czech
Republic - Sweden |
9,10 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Turkey |
9,01 |
|||
|
Quarter
finals |
||||
|
B1-nr 3 /
A1-C2 (Munich - GER) |
F1-nr 3 /
D2-E2 (St. Petersburg - RUS) |
|||
|
Belgium -
Italy |
21,02 |
Germany -
Sweden |
6,46 |
|
|
Denmark -
Italy |
16,54 |
France -
Sweden |
5,87 |
|
|
Belgium -
Switzerland |
4,57 |
Germany -
Poland |
5,42 |
|
|
Belgium -
Ukraine |
4,35 |
Croatia -
Germany |
5,20 |
|
|
Denmark -
Ukraine |
3,58 |
France -
Poland |
4,97 |
|
|
Denmark -
Switzerland |
3,53 |
England -
Germany |
4,96 |
|
|
Belgium -
Wales |
3,48 |
Croatia -
France |
4,62 |
|
|
France -
Italy |
3,28 |
Portugal -
Sweden |
4,62 |
|
|
Italy -
Portugal |
2,99 |
England -
France |
4,27 |
|
|
Austria -
Belgium |
2,59 |
Croatia -
Portugal |
3,93 |
|
|
E1-nr 3 /
D1-F2 (Rome - ITA) |
C1-nr 3 /
A2-B2 (Baku - AZB) |
|||
|
England -
Spain |
21,77 |
Belgium -
Netherlands |
17,07 |
|
|
France -
Spain |
17,18 |
Denmark -
Netherlands |
12,28 |
|
|
Portugal -
Spain |
14,28 |
Netherlands
- Switzerland |
8,18 |
|
|
Germany -
Spain |
10,80 |
Italy -
Netherlands |
7,63 |
|
|
Croatia -
Spain |
3,78 |
Netherlands
- Wales |
5,46 |
|
|
Hungary -
Spain |
2,26 |
Netherlands
- Russia |
3,18 |
|
|
England -
Sweden |
1,69 |
Netherlands
- Turkey |
2,82 |
|
|
Czech
Republic - Spain |
1,26 |
Belgium -
France |
2,34 |
|
|
England -
Poland |
1,25 |
Belgium -
Ukraine |
2,02 |
|
|
France -
Sweden |
1,22 |
Denmark -
France |
1,70 |
|
|
total
Quarter final |
||||
|
England -
Spain |
21,77 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Italy |
21,02 |
|||
|
France -
Spain |
20,30 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Netherlands |
19,29 |
|||
|
Portugal -
Spain |
16,78 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Italy |
16,54 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Netherlands |
14,24 |
|||
|
Germany -
Spain |
13,70 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Switzerland |
8,25 |
|||
|
Italy -
Netherlands |
7,71 |
|||
|
Germany -
Sweden |
7,25 |
|||
|
France -
Sweden |
7,09 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Ukraine |
6,37 |
|||
|
Germany -
Poland |
6,11 |
|||
|
France -
Poland |
6,04 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Wales |
5,57 |
|||
|
Portugal -
Sweden |
5,53 |
|||
|
Croatia -
Germany |
5,49 |
|||
|
England -
Germany |
5,12 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Ukraine |
4,88 |
|||
|
Croatia -
France |
4,87 |
|||
|
Poland -
Portugal |
4,59 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Switzerland |
4,57 |
|||
|
England -
France |
4,47 |
|||
|
Croatia -
Portugal |
4,23 |
|||
|
total Semi
final (London - ENG) |
||||
|
Netherlands
- Spain |
14,49 |
|||
|
Belgium -
France |
12,21 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Spain |
11,37 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Germany |
8,94 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Portugal |
8,55 |
|||
|
France -
Italy |
7,62 |
|||
|
France -
Netherlands |
6,54 |
|||
|
Germany -
Italy |
6,36 |
|||
|
Italy -
Portugal |
5,46 |
|||
|
Denmark -
France |
4,91 |
|||
|
England -
Netherlands |
4,75 |
|||
|
Belgium -
England |
4,56 |
|||
|
Italy -
Spain |
4,14 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Portugal |
4,12 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Spain |
4,04 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Portugal |
3,76 |
|||
|
France -
Portugal |
3,59 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Germany |
3,56 |
|||
|
France -
Spain |
2,77 |
|||
|
France -
Germany |
2,64 |
|||
|
Germany -
Netherlands |
2,55 |
|||
|
Spain -
Switzerland |
2,39 |
|||
|
England -
Italy |
2,11 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Croatia |
2,04 |
|||
|
Germany -
Portugal |
2,04 |
|||
|
total
Final (London - ENG) |
||||
|
Belgium -
Spain |
8,01 |
|||
|
Belgium -
France |
7,65 |
|||
|
France -
Spain |
5,82 |
|||
|
France -
Portugal |
4,63 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Portugal |
4,59 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Netherlands |
4,17 |
|||
|
Portugal -
Spain |
3,91 |
|||
|
Italy -
Spain |
3,48 |
|||
|
Belgium -
England |
3,02 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Italy |
3,02 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Germany |
2,77 |
|||
|
France -
Germany |
2,76 |
|||
|
France -
Netherlands |
2,74 |
|||
|
England -
France |
2,67 |
|||
|
Germany -
Spain |
2,48 |
|||
|
France -
Italy |
2,37 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Denmark |
2,34 |
|||
|
Germany -
Portugal |
1,73 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Spain |
1,55 |
|||
|
Italy -
Netherlands |
1,55 |
|||
|
England -
Portugal |
1,54 |
|||
|
England -
Italy |
1,48 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Portugal |
1,46 |
|||
|
England -
Spain |
1,33 |
|||
|
Denmark -
France |
1,28 |
|||
|
total
Knock-out matches |
||||
|
Belgium -
Italy |
34,94 |
|||
|
Italy -
Ukraine |
32,89 |
|||
|
Belgium -
France |
29,91 |
|||
|
England -
France |
29,16 |
|||
|
France -
Spain |
28,89 |
|||
|
England -
Spain |
27,88 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Italy |
26,93 |
|||
|
England -
Germany |
26,68 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Spain |
26,21 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Netherlands |
24,54 |
|||
|
England -
Portugal |
24,51 |
|||
|
Portugal -
Spain |
22,61 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Portugal |
21,77 |
|||
|
Austria -
Italy |
21,55 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Germany |
20,53 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Switzerland |
20,01 |
|||
|
Italy -
Netherlands |
19,68 |
|||
|
France -
Netherlands |
19,07 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Switzerland |
18,24 |
|||
|
Netherlands
- Spain |
17,83 |
|||
|
Germany -
Spain |
17,08 |
|||
|
Belgium -
Wales |
16,42 |
|||
|
France -
Italy |
15,36 |
|||
|
Austria -
Spain |
15,23 |
|||
|
Denmark -
Netherlands |
15,18 |
Then the UEFA Nations League Final Four, played in October in Italy:
|
to win a
semi-final |
|
|
Italy |
63,53 |
|
Belgium |
55,24 |
|
France |
44,76 |
|
Spain |
36,47 |
|
to win the
UNL |
|
|
Italy |
32,67 |
|
Belgium |
29,50 |
|
France |
22,75 |
|
Spain |
15,08 |
Then qualification for the World Cup. First the group stage. The teams are ordered by their average group position:
|
group A |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
|
|
Portugal |
83,91 |
14,00 |
2,06 |
0,03 |
0,00 |
|
|
Serbia |
13,39 |
59,70 |
23,67 |
2,84 |
0,40 |
|
|
Republic
of Ireland |
2,68 |
24,32 |
58,51 |
11,62 |
2,87 |
|
|
Azerbaijan |
0,02 |
1,19 |
8,55 |
44,52 |
45,72 |
|
|
Luxembourg |
0,00 |
0,79 |
7,21 |
40,99 |
51,01 |
|
|
group B |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
|
|
Spain |
84,95 |
13,77 |
1,15 |
0,09 |
0,04 |
|
|
Sweden |
13,55 |
62,51 |
17,64 |
5,20 |
1,10 |
|
|
Greece |
1,27 |
15,77 |
44,96 |
24,76 |
13,24 |
|
|
Georgia |
0,12 |
4,07 |
19,19 |
36,66 |
39,96 |
|
|
Kosovo |
0,11 |
3,88 |
17,06 |
33,29 |
45,66 |
|
|
group C |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
|
|
Italy |
71,50 |
26,13 |
2,19 |
0,18 |
0,00 |
|
|
Switzerland |
27,20 |
60,54 |
10,18 |
1,83 |
0,25 |
|
|
Northern
Ireland |
0,92 |
8,81 |
50,86 |
28,67 |
10,74 |
|
|
Bulgaria |
0,33 |
3,95 |
28,59 |
44,44 |
22,69 |
|
|
Lithuania |
0,05 |
0,57 |
8,18 |
24,88 |
66,32 |
|
|
group D |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
|
|
France |
85,06 |
12,22 |
2,40 |
0,32 |
0,00 |
|
|
Ukraine |
11,40 |
54,94 |
24,17 |
9,11 |
0,38 |
|
|
Finland |
2,69 |
21,85 |
42,79 |
29,33 |
3,34 |
|
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
0,85 |
10,81 |
29,16 |
51,61 |
7,57 |
|
|
Kazakhstan |
0,00 |
0,18 |
1,48 |
9,63 |
88,71 |
|
|
group E |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
|
|
Belgium |
86,38 |
11,60 |
1,90 |
0,11 |
0,01 |
|
|
Wales |
8,97 |
54,07 |
30,98 |
5,24 |
0,74 |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
4,55 |
31,37 |
51,22 |
11,10 |
1,76 |
|
|
Belarus |
0,10 |
2,54 |
12,12 |
56,68 |
28,56 |
|
|
Estonia |
0,00 |
0,42 |
3,78 |
26,87 |
68,93 |
|
|
group F |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
|
Denmark |
68,86 |
22,52 |
7,13 |
1,41 |
0,08 |
0,00 |
|
Austria |
21,78 |
44,85 |
23,45 |
9,37 |
0,52 |
0,03 |
|
Scotland |
6,65 |
21,21 |
39,08 |
29,69 |
3,01 |
0,36 |
|
Israel |
2,70 |
11,33 |
28,98 |
48,89 |
6,82 |
1,28 |
|
Faroe
Islands |
0,01 |
0,05 |
0,84 |
6,38 |
50,55 |
42,17 |
|
Moldova |
0,00 |
0,04 |
0,52 |
4,26 |
39,02 |
56,16 |
|
group G |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
|
Netherlands |
77,07 |
17,11 |
5,31 |
0,51 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
|
Norway |
11,63 |
39,95 |
37,02 |
10,95 |
0,43 |
0,02 |
|
Turkey |
10,79 |
37,76 |
39,73 |
11,34 |
0,38 |
0,00 |
|
Montenegro |
0,51 |
5,12 |
17,16 |
67,42 |
8,92 |
0,87 |
|
Latvia |
0,00 |
0,05 |
0,75 |
8,73 |
70,10 |
20,37 |
|
Gibraltar |
0,00 |
0,01 |
0,03 |
1,05 |
20,17 |
78,74 |
|
group H |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
|
Croatia |
57,22 |
26,09 |
12,10 |
4,25 |
0,34 |
0,00 |
|
Russia |
24,75 |
35,00 |
24,58 |
14,14 |
1,45 |
0,08 |
|
Slovakia |
11,00 |
22,22 |
31,60 |
30,39 |
4,40 |
0,39 |
|
Slovenia |
6,96 |
16,25 |
29,22 |
39,82 |
6,95 |
0,80 |
|
Cyprus |
0,07 |
0,42 |
2,20 |
9,18 |
59,63 |
28,50 |
|
Malta |
0,00 |
0,02 |
0,30 |
2,22 |
27,23 |
70,23 |
|
group I |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
|
England |
65,95 |
23,34 |
9,33 |
1,38 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
|
Poland |
20,73 |
41,10 |
29,45 |
8,67 |
0,05 |
0,00 |
|
Hungary |
12,18 |
30,01 |
41,97 |
15,80 |
0,04 |
0,00 |
|
Albania |
1,14 |
5,55 |
19,25 |
73,13 |
0,92 |
0,01 |
|
Andorra |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,97 |
80,77 |
18,26 |
|
San Marino |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,05 |
18,22 |
81,73 |
|
group J |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
|
Germany |
85,18 |
11,43 |
2,60 |
0,62 |
0,17 |
0,00 |
|
Romania |
7,26 |
36,45 |
26,88 |
17,87 |
11,34 |
0,20 |
|
Iceland |
4,63 |
27,54 |
28,88 |
23,53 |
14,80 |
0,62 |
|
North
Macedonia |
1,94 |
14,98 |
23,45 |
30,31 |
28,10 |
1,22 |
|
Armenia |
0,99 |
9,60 |
18,13 |
27,25 |
41,45 |
2,58 |
|
Liechtenstein |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,06 |
0,42 |
4,14 |
95,38 |
|
team |
PO |
nr2 |
via UNL |
seeded |
unseeded |
%seeded |
|
Czech
Republic |
93,87 |
31,37 |
62,50 |
5,99 |
87,88 |
6,38 |
|
Wales |
91,01 |
54,07 |
36,94 |
13,20 |
77,81 |
14,50 |
|
Austria |
77,85 |
44,85 |
33,00 |
43,02 |
34,83 |
55,26 |
|
Hungary |
66,02 |
30,01 |
36,01 |
29,76 |
36,26 |
45,08 |
|
Sweden |
62,51 |
62,51 |
0 |
15,41 |
47,10 |
24,65 |
|
Switzerland |
60,54 |
60,54 |
0 |
22,65 |
37,89 |
37,41 |
|
Serbia |
59,70 |
59,70 |
0 |
17,52 |
42,18 |
29,35 |
|
Ukraine |
54,94 |
54,94 |
0 |
11,92 |
43,02 |
21,70 |
|
Poland |
41,10 |
41,10 |
0 |
40,80 |
0,30 |
99,27 |
|
Norway |
39,95 |
39,95 |
0 |
38,55 |
1,40 |
96,50 |
|
Turkey |
37,76 |
37,76 |
0 |
36,41 |
1,35 |
96,42 |
|
Slovenia |
36,78 |
16,25 |
20,53 |
14,86 |
21,92 |
40,40 |
|
Romania |
36,45 |
36,45 |
0 |
30,78 |
5,67 |
84,44 |
|
Russia |
35,00 |
35,00 |
0 |
32,85 |
2,15 |
93,86 |
|
Iceland |
27,54 |
27,54 |
0 |
22,39 |
5,15 |
81,30 |
|
Italy |
26,87 |
26,13 |
0,74 |
12,47 |
14,40 |
46,41 |
|
Croatia |
26,09 |
26,09 |
0 |
24,97 |
1,12 |
95,71 |
|
Republic
of Ireland |
24,32 |
24,32 |
0 |
4,32 |
20,00 |
17,76 |
|
England |
23,34 |
23,34 |
0 |
23,30 |
0,04 |
99,83 |
|
Denmark |
22,52 |
22,52 |
0 |
22,19 |
0,33 |
98,53 |
|
Slovakia |
22,22 |
22,22 |
0 |
20,59 |
1,63 |
92,66 |
|
Finland |
21,85 |
21,85 |
0 |
2,54 |
19,31 |
11,62 |
|
Scotland |
21,21 |
21,21 |
0 |
19,83 |
1,38 |
93,49 |
|
Netherlands |
17,11 |
17,11 |
0 |
17,00 |
0,11 |
99,36 |
|
Greece |
15,77 |
15,77 |
0 |
1,54 |
14,23 |
9,77 |
|
Spain |
15,05 |
13,77 |
1,28 |
6,06 |
8,99 |
40,27 |
|
North
Macedonia |
14,98 |
14,98 |
0 |
11,52 |
3,46 |
76,90 |
|
Portugal |
14,00 |
14,00 |
0 |
6,62 |
7,38 |
47,29 |
|
Belgium |
13,62 |
11,60 |
2,02 |
5,09 |
8,53 |
37,37 |
|
France |
13,03 |
12,22 |
0,81 |
4,36 |
8,67 |
33,46 |
|
Germany |
11,43 |
11,43 |
0 |
11,09 |
0,34 |
97,03 |
|
Israel |
11,33 |
11,33 |
0 |
10,22 |
1,11 |
90,20 |
|
Montenegro |
10,91 |
5,12 |
5,79 |
4,52 |
6,39 |
41,43 |
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
10,81 |
10,81 |
0 |
0,64 |
10,17 |
5,92 |
|
Armenia |
9,61 |
9,60 |
0,01 |
7,15 |
2,46 |
74,40 |
|
Northern
Ireland |
8,81 |
8,81 |
0 |
1,20 |
7,61 |
13,62 |
|
Albania |
5,92 |
5,55 |
0,37 |
5,37 |
0,55 |
90,71 |
|
Georgia |
4,07 |
4,07 |
0 |
0,36 |
3,71 |
8,85 |
|
Bulgaria |
3,95 |
3,95 |
0 |
0,24 |
3,71 |
6,08 |
|
Kosovo |
3,88 |
3,88 |
0 |
0,15 |
3,73 |
3,87 |
|
Belarus |
2,54 |
2,54 |
0 |
0,11 |
2,43 |
4,33 |
|
Azerbaijan |
1,19 |
1,19 |
0 |
0,01 |
1,18 |
0,84 |
|
Luxembourg |
0,79 |
0,79 |
0 |
0,03 |
0,76 |
3,80 |
|
Lithuania |
0,57 |
0,57 |
0 |
0,00 |
0,57 |
0,00 |
|
Estonia |
0,42 |
0,42 |
0 |
0,02 |
0,40 |
4,76 |
|
Cyprus |
0,42 |
0,42 |
0 |
0,28 |
0,14 |
66,67 |
|
Kazakhstan |
0,18 |
0,18 |
0 |
0,01 |
0,17 |
5,56 |
|
Faroe
Islands |
0,05 |
0,05 |
0 |
0,04 |
0,01 |
80,00 |
|
Latvia |
0,05 |
0,05 |
0 |
0,02 |
0,03 |
40,00 |
|
Moldova |
0,04 |
0,04 |
0 |
0,02 |
0,02 |
50,00 |
|
Malta |
0,02 |
0,02 |
0 |
0,00 |
0,02 |
0,00 |
|
Gibraltar |
0,01 |
0,01 |
0 |
0,01 |
0,00 |
100,00 |
|
Andorra |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
|
San Marino |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
|
Liechtenstein |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,00 |
|
Austria |
38,84 |
[49,89] |
|
|
Wales |
35,39 |
[38,89] |
|
|
Switzerland |
32,55 |
[53,77] |
|
|
Poland |
31,55 |
[76,76] |
|
|
Norway |
28,76 |
[71,99] |
|
|
Hungary |
28,66 |
[43,41] |
|
|
Sweden |
27,53 |
[44,04] |
|
|
Turkey |
26,69 |
[70,68] |
|
|
Czech
Republic |
25,48 |
[27,14] |
|
|
Serbia |
24,96 |
[41,81] |
|
|
Ukraine |
24,76 |
[45,07] |
|
|
Russia |
22,83 |
[65,23] |
|
|
England |
20,31 |
[87,02] |
|
|
Croatia |
19,47 |
[74,63] |
|
|
Romania |
19,12 |
[52,46] |
|
|
Italy |
18,92 |
[70,41] |
|
|
Denmark |
18,74 |
[83,21] |
|
|
Netherlands |
14,74 |
[86,15] |
|
|
Iceland |
12,90 |
[46,84] |
|
|
Scotland |
12,75 |
[60,11] |
|
|
Slovakia |
12,55 |
[56,48] |
|
|
Belgium |
10,59 |
[77,75] |
|
|
Slovenia |
10,55 |
[28,68] |
|
|
Spain |
10,53 |
[69,97] |
|
|
Portugal |
10,07 |
[71,93] |
|
|
France |
9,74 |
[74,75] |
|
|
Germany |
9,19 |
[80,40] |
|
|
Finland |
6,54 |
[29,93] |
|
|
North
Macedonia |
6,25 |
[41,72] |
|
|
Republic
of Ireland |
6,16 |
[25,33] |
|
|
Israel |
5,42 |
[47,84] |
|
|
Armenia |
3,45 |
[35,90] |
|
|
Greece |
3,17 |
[20,10] |
|
|
Albania |
2,46 |
[41,55] |
|
|
Montenegro |
2,37 |
[21,72] |
|
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
2,13 |
[19,70] |
|
|
Northern
Ireland |
1,62 |
[18,39] |
|
|
Georgia |
0,55 |
[13,51] |
|
|
Bulgaria |
0,54 |
[13,67] |
|
|
Kosovo |
0,53 |
[13,66] |
|
|
Belarus |
0,29 |
[11,42] |
|
|
Cyprus |
0,11 |
[26,19] |
|
|
Azerbaijan |
0,10 |
[8,40] |
|
|
Luxembourg |
0,07 |
[8,86] |
|
|
Lithuania |
0,02 |
[3,51] |
|
|
Kazakhstan |
0,02 |
[11,11] |
|
|
Estonia |
0,02 |
[4,76] |
|
|
Latvia |
0,01 |
[20,00] |
|
Wales |