Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (20 November 2021)
Twitter

Thursday, June 10, 2021

FIFA ranking: August 2021 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the next ranking only on August 12th. This means that all matches played in the extended June window for World Cup qualifying in AFC, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF, together with the CONCACAF Nations League Finals and all friendlies, plus all matches from three complete continental final tournaments (EURO, Copa America and Gold Cup) all will count for this ranking. Movements in the ranking should be guaranteed, one would think.


Here is the probable August 2021 ranking.


This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 175 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 182 currently scheduled matches. 

Already 162 matches have been played and will be included according to my method, out of a total of 166  already played matches.

In total this probable August ranking includes 337 matches.

See the probable results for a list of which scheduled and already played matches are included.


pos. Aug

team

pts Aug

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Brazil

1831,91

2

89,26

2

Belgium

1826,34

-1

42,96

3

France

1785,25

-1

27,95

4

England

1733,63

0

46,85

5

Spain

1724,62

1

76,49

6

Italy

1704,12

1

62,06

7

Argentina

1695,34

1

53,39

8

Denmark

1686,83

2

55,28

9

Uruguay

1686,16

0

47,08

11

Portugal

1681,44

-6

15,32

10

Mexico

1682,18

1

52,62

12

Netherlands

1653,01

4

54,97

13

Colombia

1652,45

2

51,79

14

USA

1639,61

6

84,19

15

Germany

1629,71

-3

20,59

16

Switzerland

1606,13

-3

-0,08

17

Sweden

1581,27

1

11,46

18

Croatia

1576,31

-4

-29,44

19

Wales

1550,35

-2

-20,01

20

Poland

1549,54

1

-0,33

21

Senegal

1548,18

1

5,73

22

Chile

1543,03

-3

-26,49

23

Japan

1524,53

5

15,19

24

Iran

1522,04

7

22,52

25

Ukraine

1519,22

-1

4,58

26

Tunisia

1518,32

0

5,44

27

Austria

1517,62

-4

-5,80

28

Serbia

1512,19

-3

-0,71

29

Algeria

1494,59

4

7,90

30

Morocco

1487,89

4

8,57

31

Peru

1484,91

-4

-26,97

32

Turkey

1480,84

-3

-24,21

33

Nigeria

1478,93

-1

-8,23

34

Australia

1477,21

7

19,72

35

Korea Republic

1474,96

4

14,71

36

Qatar

1468,37

22

70,45

37

Paraguay

1464,44

-2

-11,58

38

Venezuela

1463,32

-8

-37,39

39

Russia

1462,71

-1

0,06

40

Czech Republic

1453,72

0

-5,09

41

Norway

1450,12

1

-2,22

42

Jamaica

1449,04

3

16,39

44

Scotland

1441,82

0

0,39

43

Costa Rica

1447,46

7

24,06

45

Romania

1439,70

-2

-9,53

46

Hungary

1439,50

-9

-29,25

47

Slovakia

1435,00

-11

-40,24

48

Egypt

1432,63

-2

0,00

49

Republic of Ireland

1429,44

-2

2,22

50

Greece

1427,04

1

8,34

51

Northern Ireland

1422,29

-3

-3,45

52

Ghana

1420,61

-3

-4,65

53

Iceland

1418,48

-1

2,49

54

Cameroon

1411,33

1

6,46

55

Cote d'Ivoire

1402,90

4

5,13

56

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1401,57

-1

-3,30

57

Mali

1394,62

0

-6,32

58

Ecuador

1386,18

-5

-26,83

59

Saudi Arabia

1386,03

6

21,64

60

Burkina Faso

1383,86

0

-9,04

70

Canada

1346,96

0

6,40

61

Congo DR

1373,16

0

-3,49

62

Slovenia

1371,25

1

1,37

63

Finland

1370,46

-9

-40,36

64

El Salvador

1366,00

5

24,76

65

Montenegro

1363,03

-1

-5,46

66

United Arab Emirates

1362,23

7

32,07

67

Albania

1359,83

-1

-2,26

68

Honduras

1356,43

-1

-4,78

69

Iraq

1354,51

-1

1,69

71

North Macedonia

1342,92

-9

-31,81

72

Panama

1340,90

6

18,93

73

China PR

1340,18

4

17,22

74

Bulgaria

1334,83

-3

-4,20

75

Guinea

1333,15

-3

1,36

76

South Africa

1330,27

-1

4,63

77

Cape Verde Islands

1325,66

-4

-4,50

78

Syria

1315,25

1

11,13

80

Oman

1306,85

0

5,34

81

Curacao

1301,07

-5

-21,99

82

Benin

1289,89

0

-3,21

83

Israel

1287,26

2

3,90

84

Bolivia

1286,25

-3

-13,86

85

Uzbekistan

1284,42

1

3,43

86

Uganda

1282,14

-2

-4,62

79

Haiti

1307,51

4

16,89

87

Gabon

1278,10

1

0,00

88

Zambia

1276,41

-1

-3,74

89

Armenia

1273,67

1

0,39

90

Belarus

1270,75

-1

-6,04

91

Georgia

1264,06

0

4,55

98

Lebanon

1237,96

-5

-18,12

92

Vietnam

1260,81

0

2,75

93

Congo

1259,97

1

4,09

94

Bahrain

1251,29

4

11,19

95

Jordan

1245,31

0

-6,32

96

Luxembourg

1238,59

0

-6,27

97

Madagascar

1238,24

3

0,00

99

Cyprus

1235,30

-2

-5,48

100

Mauritania

1223,35

1

-1,41

101

Kyrgyzstan

1223,31

-2

-16,77

102

Palestine

1216,25

2

19,45

103

Kenya

1205,26

-1

0,00

104

Trinidad and Tobago

1203,01

-1

1,68

105

India

1180,25

0

-4,11

106

Estonia

1177,36

10

15,78

107

Zimbabwe

1175,50

0

0,00

108

Guinea-Bissau

1172,64

0

1,45

109

Thailand

1171,80

-3

-6,27

110

Korea DPR

1169,96

-1

0,00

111

Namibia

1168,44

0

0,00

112

Azerbaijan

1166,44

-2

-2,09

113

Sierra Leone

1165,67

1

3,06

114

Faroe Islands

1165,43

-1

-0,02

115

Malawi

1161,69

0

-0,70

116

Mozambique

1161,55

1

0,00

118

Tajikistan

1157,76

3

6,66

117

Libya

1160,19

2

3,93

120

Niger

1152,28

-8

-13,63

119

Kosovo

1152,64

1

0,91

121

Sudan

1151,64

2

2,50

123

New Zealand

1149,43

-1

0,00

122

Guatemala

1150,29

5

20,99

124

Central African Republic

1147,09

-6

-10,55

125

Philippines

1144,43

0

8,49

126

Kazakhstan

1144,41

-2

-2,94

127

Angola

1135,88

-1

0,00

128

Rwanda

1134,24

1

10,55

129

Antigua and Barbuda

1131,08

-1

2,06

131

Togo

1105,62

2

1,48

132

Equatorial Guinea

1105,20

0

0,00

133

Comoros

1104,45

-2

-1,99

130

Turkmenistan

1117,60

0

11,09

134

Lithuania

1092,18

0

-10,66

135

Tanzania

1088,76

2

0,71

136

Latvia

1081,47

2

-0,19

137

Ethiopia

1079,41

3

0,00

138

St. Kitts and Nevis

1077,76

-3

-13,36

139

Burundi

1074,81

3

-0,83

140

Solomon Islands

1072,78

3

0,00

141

Lesotho

1069,91

5

0,00

142

Kuwait

1067,44

6

11,14

143

Nicaragua

1063,60

4

3,09

144

Suriname

1062,18

-8

-27,25

145

Myanmar

1057,44

-6

-23,82

146

Gambia

1056,13

6

12,68

147

Hong Kong

1053,39

-3

-18,61

148

Botswana

1051,82

2

0,00

149

Afghanistan

1047,17

0

-5,07

150

Chinese Taipei

1046,34

-9

-32,14

151

Yemen

1046,24

-6

-24,30

152

Liberia

1044,92

-1

-2,37

153

Eswatini

1039,24

1

0,00

154

New Caledonia

1035,12

3

0,00

155

Andorra

1031,64

3

-3,26

156

Dominican Republic

1029,42

0

-6,80

157

Maldives

1015,80

-2

-22,51

158

Malaysia

1015,77

-5

-24,25

159

Tahiti

1014,27

2

0,00

160

Singapore

1000,50

-1

-19,77

161

Fiji

996,27

2

0,00

162

Barbados

995,94

0

-15,01

163

Vanuatu

995,62

1

0,00

164

Papua New Guinea

990,55

2

0,00

165

South Sudan

982,84

4

-1,35

165

Bermuda

982,84

3

-4,94

167

Grenada

974,34

-7

-43,23

168

Nepal

972,19

3

4,31

169

Belize

967,42

1

-10,53

170

Mauritius

964,94

2

0,00

171

Puerto Rico

962,77

7

23,91

172

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

961,11

-5

-28,21

173

Guyana

958,87

-8

-31,78

174

Indonesia

955,05

-1

-9,02

175

Moldova

954,15

2

5,99

176

St. Lucia

953,45

0

0,00

177

Malta

952,00

-2

-3,89

178

Montserrat

950,71

2

17,07

179

Cambodia

950,26

-5

-13,53

180

Cuba

940,21

1

17,18

181

Chad

935,00

-2

0,00

182

Macau

922,10

0

0,00

183

Dominica

916,72

5

12,46

184

Mongolia

916,68

8

19,71

185

Djibouti

916,58

-2

-2,33

186

Laos

912,07

-1

0,00

187

Bhutan

910,96

0

0,00

188

Bangladesh

909,18

-4

-8,20

189

Liechtenstein

907,66

-3

-3,39

190

Brunei Darussalam

903,90

-1

0,00

191

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

903,31

-1

0,00

192

American Samoa

900,27

-1

0,00

193

Samoa

894,26

0

0,00

194

Gibraltar

880,27

1

0,11

195

Timor-Leste

879,43

1

0,00

196

Somalia

878,32

1

-0,81

197

Cayman Islands

873,64

-3

-10,80

198

Pakistan

866,81

1

0,00

199

Seychelles

865,69

1

0,00

200

Tonga

861,81

2

0,00

201

Aruba

859,97

4

9,87

202

Bahamas

858,50

-1

-3,34

203

Guam

858,49

-5

-14,34

204

Eritrea

855,56

-1

0,00

205

Sri Lanka

846,54

-1

-6,53

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

839,84

0

-3,81

207

US Virgin Islands

816,13

0

-13,00

208

British Virgin Islands

812,94

0

-13,33

209

San Marino

802,43

1

-2,28

210

Anguilla

792,34

-1

-13,08



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

23 comments:

  1. Hello my friend, would you please update this ranking. What will be Algeria's ranking after our win over Tunisia yesterday.
    Cheers.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Algeria after the friendly win over Tunisia has 1498,75 pts, currently at spot 30.

      Delete
    2. According to my calculations Algeria will get 1500 pts.

      Delete
  2. Tunisia at the moment 1511,38 pts at spot 27.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. After Tunisia winning against Congo DR and Mali, and losing against Algeria?
      How many points does Tunisia currently have now?
      What is Tunisia's ranking now?

      There is something you should take into consideration.
      The match "Tunisia VS Mali" is played in "15-06-2021" not in "16-06-2021".
      So the points exchange will be higher than what you write because the match is played in FIFA International days "from 31-05-2021 to 15-06-2021".

      Delete
  3. Tunisia at the moment 1515,30 pts at spot 26.
    Date of the Mali-match is yesterday 15/6, so inside FIFA-window, so calculated with I = 10.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Ed
      When calculating the final ranking points on your personal excel spreadsheet for each game played, how many decimal places to you take them to get the final point rankings? Do you take it to the 12 decimal maximum?

      Delete
    2. I do not round anything in my calculations. So that goes with the internal precision of Excel (indeed with this range of numbers that will be about 12 decimals).
      Only for presentation of a ranking I round to two decimals.

      Delete
    3. Can you post a preliminary ranking for the month of June after all the matches of the month of June are played?

      The perfect time to post the ranking for the month of June is after the end of the round of 16 in the UEFA Euro and the end of the group stage in the Copa America, which will end on Tuesday 29th June.

      Delete
    4. Yeah, that was on my to-do list :)

      Delete
  4. Hey Ed! Can you tell me how Hungary stand at the moment? My hope is that the draw against France help them big time as big underdogs. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Unfortunately for Hungary the loss against Portugal (-11,2 pts) costs a little bit more than the draw against France delivered (9,4 pts).
    Compared to the May ranking (so including also the preparatory friendlies) Hungary currently has won only 0,78 points and lost 2 positions in the ranking.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's not too bad, thanks. I guess we just have to go ahead and beat Germany tomorrow. :)

      Delete
    2. That will get you another 22,4 pts and a jump of 8 spots to 31st in the ranking. Good luck :)

      Delete
  6. It does, the draw delivers Hungary 4,9 points :) You were so close, a pity.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm so bummed. But at least we stopped losing to big teams. Where are we in the rankings? Or should I just wait for your next post and stop bugging you? But I'm pumped! I'm pumped!

      Delete
    2. I understand :) Hungary currently at spot 36, but things concerning spots will continue to change of course with the knock-out phase starting this weekend.
      I will give a 'current' ranking and a new preview of the August ranking after the round of 16 next week, so around June 30th.

      Delete
  7. Ed have you seen the updated look of FIFA website? They removed the decimal from the rankings after the update. Can you ask them if they could bring the decimal back? They only added the decimal in April, and why remove it now?

    ReplyDelete