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Wednesday, August 25, 2021

FIFA ranking: September 2021 probable ranking

The FIFA September international match window starts next week. All confederations (well, except OFC) are now in full swing qualifying mode for the World Cup next year in Qatar. 

UEFA and CONCACAF have a one day extension to be able to accommodate 3 match days: MDs 4-6 in the UEFA groups and MDs 1-3 in the CONCACAF octogonal. 

CONMEBOL also has to play three match days to catch up their postponed March match days. They even need a two day extension for that. Recent news about the English Premier League clubs refusing to release their players from countries on the COVID-19 red list could, same as in March by the way, pose a threat for especially the South American qualifiers as players from all these countries need a 10-day quarantaine when returning to England. CONMEBOL doesn't have any room in the calendar to postpone their qualifiers any further though, so it's unsure what will happen here.

CAF starts their group stage with MDs 1 and 2.

AFC starts their final group stage with the first two match days. Also the first legs of the two stage 3 play-offs in the qualification of the Asian Cup of Nations 2023 are played, with the second legs played in the October window.

The few remaining countries not playing qualification might engage in friendlies, some in small friendly tournament form.


Here is the probable September 2021 ranking, to be published on September 16th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 166 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 184 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.


pos Sep

team

pts Sep

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Belgium

1832,33

0

9,99

2

Brazil

1822,05

0

24,38

3

France

1778,91

0

17,14

4

England

1767,94

0

15,11

5

Italy

1747,86

0

3,19

6

Argentina

1714,77

0

0,34

7

Spain

1685,84

0

5,40

8

Mexico

1678,28

1

19,99

9

Portugal

1674,81

-1

13,30

10

USA

1667,41

0

19,66

11

Netherlands

1660,25

1

22,77

12

Denmark

1658,29

-1

16,01

13

Uruguay

1645,23

0

10,60

14

Switzerland

1635,40

0

14,03

15

Colombia

1630,31

0

12,64

16

Germany

1628,38

0

15,09

17

Sweden

1616,93

0

10,14

18

Croatia

1596,00

0

1,64

19

Wales

1576,16

0

8,87

20

Senegal

1555,37

1

9,99

21

Peru

1548,98

1

5,82

22

Japan

1544,93

2

15,48

23

Austria

1542,04

0

6,92

24

Iran

1537,81

2

15,77

25

Tunisia

1526,62

3

11,32

26

Chile

1524,35

-6

-33,46

27

Poland

1519,32

0

3,05

28

Ukraine

1515,07

-3

-7,63

29

Serbia

1511,47

0

4,28

30

Algeria

1511,12

0

12,37

31

Morocco

1502,12

1

14,23

32

Czech Republic

1499,78

-1

7,13

33

Paraguay

1496,51

0

13,02

34

Australia

1493,99

1

16,78

35

Nigeria

1492,65

-1

13,07

36

Korea Republic

1491,42

0

16,46

37

Hungary

1481,61

0

7,25

38

Russia

1475,54

3

13,30

39

Slovakia

1475,08

-1

7,68

40

Turkey

1467,84

-1

3,93

41

Qatar

1455,75

1

0,52

42

Costa Rica

1451,38

2

1,59

43

Norway

1449,56

0

-0,56

44

Egypt

1434,89

2

2,26

45

Venezuela

1434,44

-5

-28,86

46

Iceland

1433,75

7

15,27

47

Republic of Ireland

1430,79

0

1,35

48

Romania

1427,62

-3

-12,08

49

Ghana

1423,74

3

3,13

50

Cote d'Ivoire

1422,76

7

19,86

51

Greece

1421,90

-3

-5,14

52

Northern Ireland

1417,67

-1

-4,62

53

Canada

1415,94

6

16,59

54

Ecuador

1415,36

1

10,10

55

Jamaica

1414,29

-5

-8,77

56

Scotland

1410,93

-7

-13,84

57

Finland

1407,08

-1

3,16

58

Cameroon

1404,76

-4

-5,89

59

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1403,22

-1

1,65

60

Mali

1396,60

0

3,96

61

Saudi Arabia

1393,26

0

7,23

62

Burkina Faso

1381,32

0

-2,54

63

Congo DR

1377,09

2

3,93

64

United Arab Emirates

1370,04

4

7,74

64

Slovenia

1370,04

2

-1,21

66

Honduras

1359,80

-3

-17,99

67

El Salvador

1357,53

-3

-17,90

68

Montenegro

1353,51

-1

-9,52

69

North Macedonia

1345,18

3

2,26

70

Albania

1343,96

-1

-15,87

71

Bulgaria

1337,66

4

2,83

72

Iraq

1336,60

-2

-17,91

73

South Africa

1336,10

0

-1,67

74

China PR

1335,05

-3

-17,63

75

Guinea

1329,70

1

-0,09

76

Cape Verde Islands

1326,42

1

-0,69

77

Panama

1321,68

-3

-13,17

78

Curacao

1310,40

0

0

79

Oman

1299,91

0

-5,10

80

Israel

1298,03

1

9,81

81

Syria

1297,05

-1

-5,70

82

Uzbekistan

1284,42

1

0

83

Uganda

1283,11

1

0,97

84

Benin

1278,89

2

1,50

85

Gabon

1278,84

0

0,74

86

Bolivia

1271,37

-4

-14,57

87

Georgia

1269,70

4

5,64

88

Haiti

1268,38

2

0

89

Zambia

1267,94

-2

-8,20

90

Armenia

1262,78

-2

-10,89

91

Belarus

1254,81

-2

-15,94

92

Bahrain

1251,29

2

0

93

Congo

1247,81

0

-8,07

94

Jordan

1245,31

1

0

95

Vietnam

1244,09

-3

-16,76

96

Luxembourg

1239,50

0

0,91

97

Madagascar

1235,64

0

-2,60

98

Mauritania

1225,32

2

-1,82

99

Kyrgyzstan

1223,40

2

0

100

Lebanon

1221,60

-2

-16,38

101

Palestine

1216,25

1

0

102

Cyprus

1214,91

-3

-20,39

103

Trinidad and Tobago

1207,94

0

0

104

Kenya

1205,19

0

-0,07

105

India

1186,37

0

6,16

106

Sierra Leone

1178,17

0

0

107

Zimbabwe

1173,32

1

1,44

108

Namibia

1172,62

-1

0,25

109

Korea DPR

1169,96

2

0,00

110

Estonia

1166,87

0

-4,02

111

Faroe Islands

1160,39

3

-5,04

112

Mozambique

1158,89

1

-7,49

113

Tajikistan

1157,77

3

0

114

Niger

1156,27

3

-0,03

115

Sudan

1155,51

6

7,64

116

New Zealand

1149,43

3

0

117

Guinea-Bissau

1149,40

-8

-21,79

118

Thailand

1148,63

2

0

119

Malawi

1147,01

-1

-6,49

120

Azerbaijan

1146,08

-8

-20,36

121

Angola

1142,82

5

6,94

122

Kosovo

1139,76

-7

-19,26

123

Guatemala

1139,12

2

0

124

Libya

1137,74

-2

-9,93

125

Philippines

1131,93

3

0

126

Antigua and Barbuda

1131,08

3

0

127

Rwanda

1129,37

0

-4,87

128

Kazakhstan

1126,37

-4

-18,04

129

Central African Republic

1124,04

-6

-23,05

130

Turkmenistan

1117,60

0

0

131

Comoros

1104,45

2

0

132

Equatorial Guinea

1103,90

0

-1,30

133

Togo

1103,45

-2

-2,17

134

Tanzania

1090,93

1

-2,83

135

Lithuania

1082,04

-1

-14,52

136

Latvia

1079,54

0

-4,03

137

St. Kitts and Nevis

1077,76

1

0

138

Suriname

1077,57

1

0

139

Ethiopia

1076,50

-2

-2,91

140

Burundi

1075,64

0

0

141

Solomon Islands

1072,78

0

0

142

Kuwait

1067,44

0

0

143

Nicaragua

1063,60

0

0

144

Liberia

1060,64

6

10,67

145

Lesotho

1057,62

-1

0

146

Myanmar

1057,44

-1

0

147

Eswatini

1054,14

-1

0

148

Hong Kong

1053,39

-1

0

149

Gambia

1053,18

-1

0

150

Botswana

1051,59

-1

0

151

Yemen

1046,26

1

0

152

Afghanistan

1045,34

1

0

153

Malaysia

1040,81

1

0

154

New Caledonia

1035,12

1

0

155

Andorra

1033,60

1

1,96

156

Chinese Taipei

1031,72

-5

-14,62

157

Dominican Republic

1029,42

0

0

158

Maldives

1028,30

0

0

159

Tahiti

1014,27

0

0

160

Singapore

1000,35

0

0

161

Fiji

996,27

0

0

162

Barbados

995,94

0

0

163

Vanuatu

995,62

0

0

164

Papua New Guinea

990,55

0

0

165

South Sudan

982,84

0

0

166

Bermuda

982,43

0

0

167

Grenada

974,03

0

0

168

Indonesia

971,67

6

14,62

169

Belize

967,42

0

0

170

Nepal

966,03

-2

-6,16

171

Mauritius

964,94

-1

0

172

Puerto Rico

962,77

-1

0

173

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

960,71

-1

0

174

Guyana

958,87

-1

0

175

St. Lucia

953,45

1

0

176

Malta

950,97

1

-1,03

177

Montserrat

950,71

1

0

178

Cambodia

948,08

1

-2,18

179

Cuba

946,86

1

0

180

Moldova

940,30

-5

-13,85

181

Chad

935,00

0

0

182

Macau

922,10

1

0

183

Dominica

916,72

1

0

184

Mongolia

916,68

1

0

185

Djibouti

912,57

-3

-9,80

186

Laos

912,07

0

0

187

Bhutan

910,96

0

0

188

Bangladesh

909,11

0

0

189

Brunei Darussalam

903,90

1

0

190

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

903,31

1

0

191

American Samoa

900,27

1

0

192

Liechtenstein

898,01

-3

-9,65

193

Samoa

894,26

0

0

194

Timor-Leste

879,43

1

0

195

Somalia

873,71

1

0

196

Cayman Islands

873,64

1

0

197

Gibraltar

867,69

-3

-12,58

198

Pakistan

866,81

0

0

199

Seychelles

865,69

0

0

200

Tonga

861,81

0

0

201

Guam

860,67

2

2,18

202

Aruba

859,97

-1

0

203

Bahamas

858,50

-1

0

204

Eritrea

855,56

0

0

205

Sri Lanka

846,54

0

0

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

839,84

0

0

207

US Virgin Islands

816,13

0

0

208

British Virgin Islands

812,94

0

0

209

Anguilla

792,34

1

0

210

San Marino

790,95

-1

-11,48



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

5 comments:

  1. If Hungary tie or beat England (and win against Albania+Andorra), how high do they go up? Cheers!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hungary did shit and wont even finish 3rd

      Delete
  2. With 3 wins Hungary ends on 1506 points, with a draw against England and two wins on 1494 points. Resulting positions are of course also dependent on results of surrounding teams in the ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hey, you used to write wonderful, but the last few posts have been kinda boring¡K I miss your great writings. Past few posts are just a bit out of track! come on! 
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    ReplyDelete
  4. The role of a cultural media manager has appealed to the mass generation of socially-active internet users. It's hard not to. Especially when some might think that you can earn big bucks from posting Facebook updates. Hardly.
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    ReplyDelete