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Saturday, October 30, 2021

FIFA ranking: November 2021 probable results

Here are the probable results of all 144 currently scheduled matches up to and including November 17th, used to calculate the November 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.

Also the already played matches since October 18th, (probably) counting for the November ranking, are presented.


The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :) 


already played:

1 2021-10-27 Mexico - Ecuador; Friendly; 2


scheduled:

1 2021-11-05 Bolivia - El Salvador; Friendly; We (elo): 69; 1
0 2021-11-08 Bangladesh - Seychelles; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 44; X
0 2021-11-08 Sri Lanka - Maldives; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 27; 2
0 2021-11-10 Comoros - Palestine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 37; X
1 2021-11-10 Kosovo - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 61; X
1 2021-11-10 Nicaragua - Cuba; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2021-11-11 Iraq - Syria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2021-11-11 Korea Republic - United Arab Emirates; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-11-11 Lebanon - Iran; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2021-11-11 Australia - Saudi Arabia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2021-11-11 China PR - Oman; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 60; X
1 2021-11-11 Vietnam - Japan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2021-11-11 Rwanda - Mali; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 24; 2
1 2021-11-11 Uganda - Kenya; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2021-11-11 Ethiopia - Ghana; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2021-11-11 South Africa - Zimbabwe; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2021-11-11 Congo - Namibia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 56; X
1 2021-11-11 Togo - Senegal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2021-11-11 Benin - Madagascar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-11-11 Tanzania - Congo DR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 49; X
1 2021-11-11 USA - Mexico; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2021-11-11 Brazil - Colombia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2021-11-11 Ecuador - Venezuela; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-11-11 Paraguay - Chile; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 54; X
1 2021-11-11 Peru - Bolivia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-11-11 Azerbaijan - Luxembourg; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2021-11-11 Republic of Ireland - Portugal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2021-11-11 Georgia - Sweden; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2021-11-11 Greece - Spain; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 21; 2
1 2021-11-11 Malta - Croatia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 6; 2
1 2021-11-11 Russia - Cyprus; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-11-11 Slovakia - Slovenia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2021-11-11 Armenia - North Macedonia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2021-11-11 Germany - Liechtenstein; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2021-11-11 Romania - Iceland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
0 2021-11-11 Bangladesh - Maldives; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 39; X
0 2021-11-11 Sri Lanka - Seychelles; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 30; 2
1 2021-11-11 Czech Republic - Kuwait; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-11-11 Serbia - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
1 2021-11-11 Ukraine - Bulgaria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2021-11-12 Burkina Faso - Niger; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-11-12 Djibouti - Algeria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2021-11-12 Angola - Egypt; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2021-11-12 Gabon - Libya; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2021-11-12 Guinea - Guinea-Bissau; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2021-11-12 Sudan - Morocco; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 93; 2
1 2021-11-12 Canada - Costa Rica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-11-12 El Salvador - Jamaica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 55; X
1 2021-11-12 Honduras - Panama; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 54; X
1 2021-11-12 Uruguay - Argentina; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2021-11-12 Italy - Switzerland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-11-12 Northern Ireland - Lithuania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-11-12 Austria - Israel; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2021-11-12 Denmark - Faroe Islands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2021-11-12 Moldova - Scotland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2021-11-12 Andorra - Poland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2021-11-12 England - Albania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-11-12 Hungary - San Marino; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
0 2021-11-12 Bahrain - Morocco; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 41; X
1 2021-11-13 Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 28; 2
1 2021-11-13 Zambia - Mauritania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2021-11-13 Cape Verde Islands - Central African Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-11-13 Liberia - Nigeria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2021-11-13 Cote d'Ivoire - Mozambique; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-11-13 Malawi - Cameroon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 19; 2
1 2021-11-13 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Finland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2021-11-13 France - Kazakhstan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2021-11-13 Belgium - Estonia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2021-11-13 Wales - Belarus; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2021-11-13 Montenegro - Netherlands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2021-11-13 Norway - Latvia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-11-13 Turkey - Gibraltar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
0 2021-11-13 Comoros - Sierra Leone; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 43; X
1 2021-11-13 Nicaragua - Cuba; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1
1 2021-11-14 Mali - Uganda; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2021-11-14 Ghana - South Africa; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2021-11-14 Zimbabwe - Ethiopia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2021-11-14 Senegal - Congo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2021-11-14 Congo DR - Benin; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2021-11-14 Madagascar - Tanzania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2021-11-14 Luxembourg - Republic of Ireland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2021-11-14 Portugal - Serbia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2021-11-14 Greece - Kosovo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2021-11-14 Spain - Sweden; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2021-11-14 Croatia - Russia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2021-11-14 Malta - Slovakia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2021-11-14 Slovenia - Cyprus; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-11-14 Armenia - Germany; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2021-11-14 Liechtenstein - Romania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 6; 2
1 2021-11-14 North Macedonia - Iceland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
0 2021-11-14 Seychelles - Maldives; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 46; X
0 2021-11-14 Sri Lanka - Bangladesh; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-11-14 Azerbaijan - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 23; 2
1 2021-11-15 Oman - Japan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-11-15 Algeria - Burkina Faso; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2021-11-15 Niger - Djibouti; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-11-15 Kenya - Rwanda; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2021-11-15 Egypt - Gabon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2021-11-15 Libya - Angola; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2021-11-15 Namibia - Togo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-11-15 Guinea-Bissau - Sudan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2021-11-15 Morocco - Guinea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2021-11-15 Northern Ireland - Italy; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2021-11-15 Switzerland - Bulgaria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2021-11-15 Austria - Moldova; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2021-11-15 Israel - Faroe Islands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2021-11-15 Scotland - Denmark; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 24; 2
1 2021-11-15 Albania - Andorra; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2021-11-15 Poland - Hungary; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-11-15 San Marino - England; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 0; 2
1 2021-11-15 Georgia - Uzbekistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
1 2021-11-15 Lithuania - Kuwait; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
1 2021-11-16 Iraq - Korea Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2021-11-16 Lebanon - United Arab Emirates; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 54; X
1 2021-11-16 Syria - Iran; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2021-11-16 China PR - Australia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2021-11-16 Vietnam - Saudi Arabia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2021-11-16 Mauritania - Equatorial Guinea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2021-11-16 Tunisia - Zambia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-11-16 Liberia - Central African Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2021-11-16 Nigeria - Cape Verde Islands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2021-11-16 Cameroon - Cote d'Ivoire; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 51; X
1 2021-11-16 Mozambique - Malawi; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2021-11-16 Canada - Mexico; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 47; X
1 2021-11-16 Costa Rica - Honduras; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2021-11-16 Jamaica - USA; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 28; 2
1 2021-11-16 Panama - El Salvador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2021-11-16 Argentina - Brazil; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 55; X
1 2021-11-16 Bolivia - Uruguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 27; 2
1 2021-11-16 Chile - Ecuador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2021-11-16 Colombia - Paraguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2021-11-16 Venezuela - Peru; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 48; X
1 2021-11-16 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Ukraine; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 44; X
1 2021-11-16 Finland - France; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2021-11-16 Czech Republic - Estonia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2021-11-16 Wales - Belgium; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2021-11-16 Gibraltar - Latvia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-11-16 Montenegro - Turkey; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2021-11-16 Netherlands - Norway; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2021-11-16 Bahrain - Kyrgyzstan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2021-11-16 Belarus - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2021-11-16 Kazakhstan - Tajikistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
0 2021-11-17 Maldives - Seychelles; Friendly; We (elo): 54; Maldives pso win


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

4 comments:

  1. Hi Ed, - please explain why you have excluded matches in Mahinda Rajapaksa Trophy tournament in Sri Lanka starting tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Because FIFA since June 2018 doesn't maintain their own fixture list of included NT-matches anymore, I've decided for my calculations to include NT-matches only when they appear in both sources I now deem leading in this matter: Soccerway and Roon BA.
    The Sri Lanka tournament until now only appears in Roon BA, not in Soccerway.

    But of course this is only a state of the moment, it can change any day. I check both sources on a daily basis, so matches that are indicated above as excluded can be included after all. Only after publication of the ranking I can really determine which matches FIFA excluded and I included and vice versa.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ok, Ed.... . in fact Roon Ba has just deleted the matches mentioned. ;-)

      Delete
    2. Not quite, they are only moved from the fixtures section to the results section because they are scheduled for today :)

      Delete