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Wednesday, November 22, 2023

FIFA ranking: November 2023 final preview

FIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday November 30th. This final preview contains 189 matches, out of 200 matches played since October 23rd.


The last round of four group matches in the Pacific Games 2023 is to be played tomorrow and Friday and three of those matches will be included in the November ranking (Tahiti - Northern Mariana Islands won't be, for obvious reasons). The knock-out stage of this tournament will be included in the December 2023 ranking.


Here is an overview how the points for the teams involved could change:


win PNG

draw

win VAN

Papua New Guinea

993,51

991,01

988,51

Vanuatu

982,76

985,26

987,76

win SOL

draw

win ASA

Solomon Islands

1112,20

1109,70

1107,20

American Samoa

893,67

896,17

898,67

win NCL

draw

win COK

New Caledonia

1004,76

1002,26

999,76

Cook Islands

901,90

904,40

906,90


Samoa, American Samoa and Tonga are included again in the November ranking. 

Nobody knows when Eritrea is playing an official international match again. Now that they have withdrawn from African qualification for the World Cup 2026, it could take a while before they reappear in the FIFA ranking.



In November two teams reach their highest ranking again:

England (3 in August 2012)

Tajikistan (106 in July 2013)


Two teams reach a new highest rank:

Kosovo (101 - 105 in October 2023)

Comoros (119 - 126 in June 2022)


One team falls back to their lowest rank again:

US Virgin Islands (208 in April 2022)


One team drops to a new low:

Liechtenstein (203 - 200 in July 2023)



Best movers:

9 - Comoros

7 - Guinea-Bissau, Malaysia, Rwanda


Worst movers:

-9 - Peru, Gambia

-7 - Costa Rica


Best movers in the top 50:

5 - Romania, Slovakia

4 - Uruguay, Tunisia, Ecuador, Greece


Worst movers in the top 50:

-9 - Peru

-5 - Serbia

-4 - Switzerland


Stay safe and healthy everybody ! 


pos Nov.

team

pts Nov.

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1855,20

0

-6,09

2

France

1845,44

0

-7,67

3

England

1800,05

1

-7,83

4

Belgium

1798,46

1

4,75

5

Brazil

1784,09

-2

-28,11

6

Netherlands

1745,48

1

6,22

7

Portugal

1745,06

-1

5,23

8

Spain

1732,64

0

6,67

9

Italy

1718,82

0

1,01

10

Croatia

1717,57

0

5,69

11

Uruguay

1666,00

4

22,28

12

Morocco

1661,69

1

3,20

13

USA

1658,15

-2

-17,74

14

Colombia

1651,20

3

24,60

15

Mexico

1649,66

-3

-14,28

16

Germany

1631,22

0

-12,27

17

Japan

1620,19

1

7,20

18

Switzerland

1613,44

-4

-31,94

19

Denmark

1601,31

0

-10,84

20

Senegal

1594,31

0

-6,51

21

Iran

1565,08

0

-2,22

22

Ukraine

1553,35

0

4,02

23

Korea Republic

1550,65

1

10,30

24

Austria

1546,10

1

10,69

25

Australia

1539,22

2

7,97

26

Sweden

1530,19

-3

-15,57

27

Hungary

1525,13

3

3,23

28

Tunisia

1523,23

4

7,09

29

Wales

1521,88

-1

-6,81

30

Algeria

1520,26

3

7,36

31

Poland

1520,24

0

0,96

32

Ecuador

1519,20

4

10,89

33

Egypt

1518,91

2

6,96

34

Serbia

1517,43

-5

-7,97

35

Peru

1512,68

-9

-19,89

36

Scotland

1506,89

-2

-5,45

37

Turkey

1505,28

1

6,78

38

Russia

1498,84

1

1,21

39

Czech Republic

1494,04

2

4,32

40

Chile

1489,82

-3

-13,99

41

Panama

1485,07

3

23,98

42

Nigeria

1474,44

-2

-16,04

43

Romania

1472,73

5

26,21

44

Norway

1472,36

-2

2,80

45

Slovakia

1465,73

5

20,39

46

Cameroon

1463,06

-3

-3,92

47

Greece

1453,95

4

10,99

48

Canada

1452,74

-3

-2,21

49

Venezuela

1448,77

0

3,10

50

Cote d'Ivoire

1447,65

2

8,47

51

Mali

1445,60

-4

-4,15

52

Paraguay

1430,73

1

-6,23

53

Costa Rica

1428,12

-7

-23,98

54

Slovenia

1427,84

0

-0,26

55

Jamaica

1422,56

0

1,17

56

Saudi Arabia

1421,06

1

12,21

57

Burkina Faso

1411,01

-1

0,42

58

Qatar

1407,30

3

13,14

59

Finland

1401,31

3

12,85

60

Republic of Ireland

1399,60

-2

-7,34

61

Ghana

1384,19

-1

-10,55

62

Albania

1382,69

-3

-14,14

63

Iraq

1365,98

5

16,25

64

United Arab Emirates

1364,46

5

15,59

65

North Macedonia

1362,17

1

3,76

66

South Africa

1357,08

-2

-9,27

67

Congo DR

1356,67

-2

-9,51

68

Uzbekistan

1345,26

5

12,17

69

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1343,32

-6

-24,98

70

Montenegro

1342,64

0

-1,66

71

Iceland

1338,39

-4

-14,78

72

Northern Ireland

1333,17

3

8,11

73

Cape Verde Islands

1329,80

1

2,87

74

Oman

1324,89

-2

-9,48

75

Israel

1323,43

-4

-12,91

76

Honduras

1319,35

2

14,28

77

Georgia

1312,45

-1

0,31

78

El Salvador

1306,14

-1

-0,86

79

China PR

1299,49

0

2,50

80

Guinea

1290,01

0

-6,88

81

Bulgaria

1289,90

3

10,78

82

Gabon

1289,52

4

18,72

83

Luxembourg

1285,41

4

18,74

84

Zambia

1284,56

-3

-6,78

85

Bolivia

1284,55

0

13,46

86

Bahrain

1277,29

-3

-4,17

87

Jordan

1272,63

-5

-11,76

88

Equatorial Guinea

1268,43

3

17,97

89

Haiti

1262,50

-1

0

90

Curacao

1262,48

-1

0,86

91

Syria

1245,27

1

5,90

92

Uganda

1245,08

-2

-6,86

93

Armenia

1237,15

2

2,90

94

Vietnam

1235,58

0

-0,67

95

Trinidad and Tobago

1235,17

4

17,74

96

Belarus

1232,80

4

20,28

97

Benin

1225,10

-4

-13,79

98

Kyrgyzstan

1224,14

-1

0,11

99

Palestine

1217,60

-3

-6,45

100

Kazakhstan

1215,16

-2

-4,49

101

Kosovo

1202,77

4

12,03

102

India

1200,80

0

1,96

103

Guinea-Bissau

1197,83

7

10,98

104

New Zealand

1197,47

-1

-0,94

105

Mauritania

1195,25

-4

-13,74

106

Tajikistan

1195,07

3

7,84

107

Lebanon

1192,58

-3

-5,67

108

Guatemala

1189,98

-1

1,05

109

Madagascar

1187,63

-1

-0,94

110

Kenya

1181,92

0

-4,93

111

Mozambique

1180,71

2

4,13

112

Congo

1179,80

-6

-10,10

113

Thailand

1176,75

-1

-0,40

114

Azerbaijan

1174,22

6

18,31

115

Namibia

1168,38

-1

-4,03

116

Korea DPR

1168,12

-1

-1,84

117

Angola

1168,05

-1

-1,59

118

Togo

1165,74

1

7,50

119

Comoros

1156,45

9

30,88

120

Libya

1155,23

6

17,59

121

Tanzania

1155,19

0

8,73

122

Estonia

1149,70

-4

-9,63

123

Malawi

1149,40

0

5,11

124

Zimbabwe

1144,56

1

6,00

125

Cyprus

1143,42

-1

2,15

126

Gambia

1140,06

-9

-20,49

127

Sierra Leone

1138,53

-5

-6,59

128

Sudan

1128,74

2

19,52

129

Niger

1127,75

0

4,94

130

Malaysia

1122,87

7

26,15

131

Central African Republic

1121,34

-4

-5,38

132

Solomon Islands

1112,20

-1

4,59

133

Rwanda

1107,04

7

20,01

134

Nicaragua

1104,26

-1

4,56

135

Faroe Islands

1102,10

0

4,44

136

Kuwait

1098,07

0

1,02

137

Latvia

1097,84

-5

-3,86

138

Lithuania

1086,93

-4

-11,55

139

Burundi

1086,62

3

6,19

140

Philippines

1086,17

-2

-9,77

141

Turkmenistan

1078,25

0

-7,87

142

Antigua and Barbuda

1072,66

-3

-17,41

143

Suriname

1071,85

1

0

144

Ethiopia

1068,79

-1

-3,75

145

Botswana

1064,50

3

8,65

146

Indonesia

1064,01

-1

-5,81

147

St. Kitts and Nevis

1057,05

0

-1,01

148

Lesotho

1047,27

5

13,09

149

Eswatini

1045,88

-3

-17,25

150

Hong Kong

1042,93

0

-2,08

151

Dominican Republic

1040,77

-2

-8,26

152

Yemen

1027,94

4

4,35

153

Liberia

1024,11

-2

-17,39

154

Chinese Taipei

1023,93

-2

-16,77

155

Moldova

1022,60

2

4,15

156

Singapore

1020,50

-1

-12,39

157

Guyana

1018,14

3

8,52

158

Afghanistan

1017,68

-4

-16,12

159

Puerto Rico

1007,19

5

14,14

160

New Caledonia

1004,76

2

5,74

161

Maldives

1003,48

0

0

162

Myanmar

1000,46

-4

-11,27

163

Andorra

998,00

-4

-13,68

164

Tahiti

994,97

-1

-0,14

165

Papua New Guinea

991,01

0

-0,03

166

South Sudan

989,29

1

2,73

167

St. Lucia

988,67

-1

1,01

168

Vanuatu

985,26

0

0,03

169

Cuba

980,65

0

-1,22

170

Fiji

980,62

0

0,14

171

Bermuda

972,36

1

7,34

172

Malta

967,29

-1

-0,96

173

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

953,47

2

-0,13

174

Grenada

950,99

2

0

175

Nepal

948,05

-2

-15,77

176

Montserrat

946,08

4

16,88

177

Mauritius

944,95

0

2,31

178

Barbados

943,80

-4

-13,19

179

Cambodia

931,47

-1

0

180

Dominica

922,25

4

12,33

181

Chad

920,37

-2

-9,85

182

Belize

918,68

-1

-7,21

183

Bangladesh

916,75

0

4,15

184

Bhutan

913,02

-2

0

185

Cook Islands

901,90

0

2,57

186

Macau

896,62

1

0

187

Samoa

896,28

-

2,02

188

American Samoa

893,67

-

-6,60

189

Laos

889,62

-1

0

190

Mongolia

889,16

0

0

191

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

888,94

-5

-8,75

192

Djibouti

881,18

-3

-8,02

193

Aruba

879,32

-1

13,92

194

Brunei Darussalam

870,63

-3

0

195

Pakistan

856,54

-2

-8,30

196

Tonga

853,49

-

-8,32

197

Cayman Islands

851,19

-3

-7,31

198

Somalia

845,66

-2

-6,40

199

Seychelles

845,53

-4

-7,97

200

Timor-Leste

843,40

-3

0

201

Gibraltar

840,80

-3

-1,27

202

Bahamas

835,81

-3

-5,25

203

Liechtenstein

833,01

-3

-4,60

204

Sri Lanka

822,03

-2

0

205

Guam

821,91

-2

0

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

818,57

-5

-6,20

207

British Virgin Islands

807,57

-3

-6,13

208

US Virgin Islands

796,78

-3

-6,62

209

Anguilla

785,69

-3

0

210

San Marino

741,61

-3

-5,37



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

29 comments:

  1. Bonjour possible de faire les matchs de la can 2024 phase de poule merci

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yes, I will simulate the upcoming Asian and African Cup of Nations, somewhere in the coming weeks. Also scheduled are new simulations of the ongoing World Cup qualification in South America, Asia and Africa.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Oh Ed you are a dining problems for the Copa America. You’ve put Uruguay above USA and Mexico which supposedly means the group heads for the Copa will be Arg, Bra, Uru and either USA or Mex. That’s not what USA or Mex expected. You’ve done it now. :)

    I’m sure another ranking method will be used for the group heads.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello again
      Does Fifa consider that the CNL quarterfinals be considered elimination matches? That doesn't happen when they are a single match like in the World Cups or European Cups?
      As they are round-trip matches, they should not be considered eliminatory in my opinion.

      Delete
    2. See the discussion in the other comments below about exactly this topic. Short answer: we don't know and we will have to wait until Thursday.

      Delete
    3. Thanks Ed. Perhaps the organizers took advantage of the October Ranking positions to adjust the seedings, obviously thinking about economic convenience.

      Delete
  4. As long as the US of A is seeded and avoids ARG, BRA and URU in the group stage, I think everything is quite okay for the organizing host :)
    I haven't seen anything yet about the CA draw procedure, so maybe they won't use the FIFA ranking at all.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Good morning, I am from Uruguay and I am retired, and as a hobby I develop something very similar to what you do.
    I have a question, are you sure that the 2023 Pacific Games will be included in the next Fifa Ranking?
    Is the reinstatement of Tonda, Samoa and American Samoa confirmed?
    Thank you
    My email is ebonda@adinet.com.uy in case you want to share information and I can send you the forms that I make as a game
    Greetings

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hi Eduardo,
    the matches in the Pacific Games 2023 tournament appear in my three sources (soccerway.com, theroonba.com and eloratings.net) so that's for me reason enough to expect that these matches will be included in the FIFA ranking.

    The rule is that only teams appear in a FIFA ranking that have played at least one international match the past 4 years. And Tonga, Samoa, and American Samoa were removed from the ranking in July 2023, because then their last international match was played in July 2019. Now they have played in this tournament, so they will be reinstated in this November ranking.

    The November ranking will be published on Thursday 30th. The deadline for that ranking is Sunday 26th. Therefore, the group stage matches will be included in the November ranking and the matches in the knock-out stage (which starts on Monday 27th) will be included in the December ranking.

    And... the only confirmation you will ever get from FIFA is their published ranking. They are not known for being transparent beforehand about anything concerning their ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hey Ed I don’t know if you care but the one other site that pretends to also do what you do has Mexico higher up as they seem to be counting the concacaf semis as one game and not two distinct games.

    I am fighting the good fight and advising people online that your site is right (you are always right). However I if fifa decide to count that as 1 game then we might as well start making things up ourselves right? I say point for pretty jerseys. :)

    ReplyDelete
  8. Well, points for the CONCACAF teams in the quarter finals are a bit of a question mark until next Thursday. Because the quarter finals in CNL are a completely new type of match there are a few unknowns around the points calculation of these matches:
    - what is the I-factor used, 15 or 25? I use I = 25 in my preview.
    - are they handled as knock-out matches or not? If yes, then teams can't lose points for a match, if no (by mistake my choice in the above preview, I think they will count as knock-out matches though), then teams can lose points.

    I think it's anyway incorrect to handle the home-and-away matches in the quarter finals as one match.

    Your suggestion about points for pretty jerseys though... :D

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. FIFA considers the CNL quarterfinals with a factor of 15. Maybe 25 is only for the final four. I was already checking that today. The Jamaica Guatemala friendly match was also considered off the FIFA date

      Delete
    2. These round-trip matches are not considered eliminatory. Therefore a score is normally assigned if you win or lose.

      Delete
  9. As usual your explanations and details are more than we get from FIFA Ed. Great work as always and greatly appreciated.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Storm in a tea-cup after all that! CONCACAF Nations League matches just normal matches as expected really, and Pacific Games matches after 26 November not included. If all ranking updates were this simple!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I say that, but they included Jamaica v Guatemala even though Guatemala used 7 substitutes, so I expect that match to be removed next ranking when FIFA finally figure out what everyone else already knows.

      Delete
    2. On a related note though the Copa America pots were decided earlier in the week BEFORE the new rankings to ensure Mexico were in pot 1.

      It can only happen to little Uruguay. Won’t make a difference. We will get our 16th but still while we all know money talks it’s a bit much when it’s this obvious.

      Delete
    3. I think that anticipating how the new Ranking would come, given that Uruguay had beaten Argentina in the World Cup Qualifiers and that generated many positive points, they put together the names with the October Ranking that coincided with the interests of the seeded teams.

      Delete
    4. In the rules of Copa América (published yesterday) it says that Pot 1 will include the champions of their respective confederations, Mexico and Argentina, as well as the best-placed teams in the FIFA Ranking, one per confederation, so it's Brazil and the US.

      All other pots are based on the FIFA Ranking.

      Delete
    5. Hahaha. Those published rules yesterday seem like a “nothing to see here” comment.

      Look it doesn’t matter but it stinks to high hell.

      Delete
  11. Bonsoir est ce possible d'avoir les suggestions résultats et points pour la coupe d'Afrique des nations en janvier s'il vous plaît ???

    ReplyDelete
  12. It seems FIFA used and I=15 for the quarter finals of the Concacaf Nations League, which I find odd, and defeats do result in loss of points, which I'm OK with.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Regarding the CNL quarterfinal matches, the final instance of only four participants emulating the European NL will be considered as qualifiers. That's why the factor is 15.
      Regarding the loss or not of points in these instances, I think I assume that it is only in single eliminatory matches and not in round trips.
      The Copa América should be considered in its group stage like all the other Nations Cups of the other confederations.
      I = 35: matches of the final phase of the confederation competitions until
      the quarterfinals

      Delete
  13. The new CONCACAF Nations League quarter finals were calculated as normal group stage matches after all, which I find a bit odd, but okay. I had at least expected an I of 25, but it turned out otherwise.

    Because very few friendlies were played this November window all matches that I included were also included by FIFA.
    As expected Tonga, Samoa and American Samoa were reinstated in the ranking.

    The seeding for the draw of the Copa America 2024 was based on the FIFA ranking for pots 2 to 4. The four top seeds are Argentina (as Copa America title holder), Mexico (as Gold Cup title holder) and Brazil and USA as otherwise best ranked team from each confederation. The knock-out stage is scheduled in a way that the pair Argentina and Brazil and the pair Mexico and USA can only meet in the final.
    How about protecting your commercial interests the best way you can?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. NL quarters were Copa America qualification matches and I=15? Well... How will play-in be assessed?

      Delete
  14. Good question, George. I would say beforehand: exactly the same as the quarter finals: I=25 and points can't be lost. But that was apparently the wrong guess.
    Probably it turns out that they will be treated exactly the same as the quarters in the November ranking: I=15 and points can be lost.
    Once again, FIFA works in mysterious ways :)

    ReplyDelete
  15. Btw George, I've sent Hypercube an extensive email requesting their help regarding the calculation of the CONCACAF ranking. That's now two weeks ago. Still no reply....

    ReplyDelete
  16. Thinking about how non-transparent Fifa is, I think that with I=15 in the quarterfinals of the tournament, it would be damned if the I CNL, Mexico and the United States lost fewer points, and were not so far behind. And having lost a match with Honduras and Trinidad Tobago respectively meant that they would lose many points if the I=25

    ReplyDelete