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Wednesday, June 12, 2024

FIFA ranking: June 2024 final preview

FIFA will publish the June ranking next Thursday June 20th. I expect yesterday June 11th though as the deadline for this ranking instead of the normal June 16th.

I have excluded both postponed WC-qualifiers Congo - Niger and Cuba - Cayman Islands from this preview, because there's yet no decision taken by FIFA regarding these cases.

This ranking will be used as seeding ranking for the draw of the third stage in Asian qualification for the World Cup 2026, scheduled for June 27th.


No teams will reach new highs or drop to new lows in this ranking.


Best movers:

8 - Mozambique, Korea DPR

6 - Benin, Madagascar, Sudan


Worst movers:

-8 - Nigeria

-7 - Mauritania, Togo, Zimbabwe


Best movers in the top 50:

3 - Slovakia

2 - Poland, Russia, Czech Republic, Chile, Panama, Cameroon


Worst movers in the top 50:

-8 - Nigeria

-6 - Mali

-2 - Ukraine, Turkey


Stay safe and healthy everybody !


pos Jun.

team

pts Jun.

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1860,14

0

2,14

2

France

1838,50

0

-2,09

3

Belgium

1797,97

0

2,74

4

Brazil

1792,41

1

3,76

5

England

1787,88

-1

-7,02

6

Portugal

1747,04

0

-1,07

7

Netherlands

1746,66

0

4,37

8

Spain

1729,92

0

2,42

9

Croatia

1728,30

1

7,23

10

Italy

1724,37

-1

-0,23

11

USA

1675,97

0

-5,16

12

Morocco

1669,44

1

8,02

12

Colombia

1669,44

0

5,16

14

Uruguay

1663,45

1

4,06

15

Mexico

1653,27

-1

-7,84

16

Germany

1646,78

0

2,57

17

Japan

1628,81

1

6,93

18

Senegal

1623,34

-1

-1,39

19

Switzerland

1617,24

0

0,83

20

Iran

1611,16

0

-2,80

21

Denmark

1610,76

0

8,04

22

Korea Republic

1572,87

1

8,88

23

Australia

1571,29

1

7,36

24

Ukraine

1565,37

-2

-3,49

25

Austria

1560,03

0

5,17

26

Poland

1541,49

2

10,00

27

Hungary

1529,00

-1

-3,20

28

Sweden

1522,19

-1

-9,49

29

Wales

1521,40

0

-9,98

30

Ecuador

1516,09

1

-2,14

31

Peru

1515,01

1

-0,81

32

Serbia

1514,76

1

0,56

33

Russia

1506,58

2

2,56

34

Czech Republic

1506,23

2

4,76

35

Qatar

1504,06

-1

-3,88

36

Egypt

1502,34

1

2,62

37

Cote d'Ivoire

1499,69

1

0,89

38

Nigeria

1498,93

-8

-21,34

39

Scotland

1497,18

0

-0,28

40

Chile

1496,13

2

4,42

41

Tunisia

1494,62

0

1,50

42

Turkey

1493,38

-2

-2,56

43

Panama

1482,06

2

6,44

44

Algeria

1474,13

-1

-8,58

45

Slovakia

1467,77

3

6,22

46

Norway

1466,48

1

-1,03

47

Romania

1462,35

-1

-5,82

48

Canada

1461,75

1

0,59

49

Cameroon

1458,47

2

5,88

50

Mali

1456,74

-6

-21,16

51

Greece

1455,95

-1

-1,94

52

Costa Rica

1454,17

0

8,79

53

Jamaica

1442,82

2

7,49

54

Venezuela

1442,29

0

0

55

Iraq

1433,08

3

12,61

56

Saudi Arabia

1431,30

-3

-12,23

57

Slovenia

1429,74

0

1,90

58

Paraguay

1427,11

-2

-3,62

59

South Africa

1416,66

0

8,99

60

Republic of Ireland

1403,84

0

4,10

61

Congo DR

1400,93

2

12,67

62

Uzbekistan

1397,41

2

10,83

63

Finland

1393,40

-2

-1,04

64

Ghana

1381,25

4

22,48

65

Cape Verde Islands

1380,53

0

-2,91

66

Albania

1379,40

0

4,30

67

Burkina Faso

1375,16

-5

-15,22

68

Jordan

1374,13

3

23,92

69

United Arab Emirates

1368,84

-2

2,39

70

Iceland

1353,48

2

6,66

71

North Macedonia

1348,63

-2

-5,56

72

Montenegro

1345,02

-2

-6,70

73

Northern Ireland

1341,33

0

0,28

74

Georgia

1338,91

1

5,15

75

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1332,30

-1

-3,30

76

Oman

1326,18

1

2,95

77

Guinea

1324,80

-1

0,15

78

Honduras

1313,05

4

11,13

79

Israel

1312,54

-1

1,15

80

Equatorial Guinea

1308,74

-1

0,71

81

El Salvador

1303,69

0

-1,33

82

Bahrain

1302,86

-2

-4,67

83

Bulgaria

1295,50

0

2,91

84

Gabon

1288,45

0

1,12

85

Bolivia

1282,93

0

-0,96

86

Luxembourg

1275,70

1

-2,24

87

Haiti

1274,46

3

11,96

88

Curacao

1272,71

3

10,23

89

China PR

1267,51

-1

-7,71

90

Zambia

1258,39

-4

-19,87

91

Benin

1254,18

6

28,50

92

Angola

1248,94

2

13,18

93

Syria

1246,68

-4

-19,84

94

Uganda

1242,96

-2

0,81

95

Palestine

1231,25

-2

-7,41

96

Armenia

1230,79

-1

1,61

97

Trinidad and Tobago

1222,45

1

1,80

98

Belarus

1219,78

-2

-6,76

99

Thailand

1218,56

2

9,63

100

Kyrgyzstan

1213,58

0

-0,02

101

Tajikistan

1212,41

-2

-4,35

102

Mozambique

1205,82

8

21,33

103

Madagascar

1203,66

6

17,80

104

Kosovo

1203,16

-2

-2,69

105

Guatemala

1199,20

3

10,93

106

New Zealand

1197,68

-2

0

107

Kenya

1195,45

0

4,21

108

Namibia

1194,43

-2

2,30

109

Kazakhstan

1193,62

-6

-10,02

110

Korea DPR

1183,96

8

23,39

111

Azerbaijan

1179,88

1

2,05

112

Mauritania

1177,50

-7

-18,00

113

Congo

1176,45

-2

-3,35

114

Tanzania

1174,47

5

14,66

115

Guinea-Bissau

1168,49

1

5,05

116

Vietnam

1168,02

-1

3,48

117

Lebanon

1167,64

3

8,68

118

Libya

1165,73

-4

-0,98

119

Comoros

1158,71

-2

-4,31

120

Togo

1158,70

-7

-11,64

121

Sudan

1152,55

6

23,23

122

Sierra Leone

1149,40

4

12,04

123

Estonia

1146,47

0

5,34

124

India

1139,39

-3

-6,55

125

Malawi

1138,95

0

-1,98

126

Cyprus

1136,78

-2

-4,25

127

Central African Republic

1129,30

1

1,13

128

Niger

1125,50

1

0

129

Zimbabwe

1122,56

-7

-21,10

130

Nicaragua

1119,88

5

17,34

131

Rwanda

1114,17

0

1,73

132

Gambia

1112,55

-2

-2,25

133

Solomon Islands

1111,02

-1

0

134

Indonesia

1108,99

0

6,29

135

Malaysia

1107,58

3

13,04

136

Lithuania

1100,66

1

5,43

137

Kuwait

1098,42

2

12,96

138

Latvia

1095,98

-2

0,07

139

Faroe Islands

1093,70

-6

-9,73

140

Burundi

1091,24

0

9,61

141

Suriname

1087,83

3

15,98

142

Ethiopia

1066,15

3

-2,33

143

Turkmenistan

1065,42

0

-7,10

144

Botswana

1064,19

2

-0,88

145

St. Kitts and Nevis

1059,53

2

2,92

146

Philippines

1053,04

-5

-22,10

147

Antigua and Barbuda

1052,80

-5

-19,86

148

Lesotho

1051,47

1

3,89

149

Dominican Republic

1045,64

1

2,78

150

Liberia

1042,42

2

12,84

151

Afghanistan

1034,37

0

-2,55

152

Moldova

1033,75

1

4,90

153

Eswatini

1025,18

-5

-23,71

154

Guyana

1023,57

0

3,26

155

Yemen

1021,24

1

4,19

156

Puerto Rico

1020,22

4

13,87

157

Hong Kong

1011,91

0

-0,92

158

New Caledonia

1008,92

0

0

159

Singapore

1008,26

-4

-10,80

160

Maldives

1003,48

1

0

161

Tahiti

999,48

1

0

162

Andorra

996,05

2

-2,70

163

Chinese Taipei

991,34

-4

-15,96

164

Myanmar

988,98

-1

-10,48

165

Papua New Guinea

985,32

1

0

166

Fiji

983,81

2

0

167

South Sudan

980,03

0

-4,62

168

St. Lucia

979,57

-3

-9,10

169

Cuba

975,01

0

-5,64

170

Vanuatu

972,14

2

0

171

Bermuda

971,15

-1

-3,15

172

Malta

970,62

-1

-2,52

173

Grenada

951,31

1

0,32

174

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

940,80

-1

-12,67

175

Nepal

935,93

3

-1,91

176

Montserrat

934,46

-1

-11,62

177

Barbados

932,63

0

-11,17

178

Chad

929,97

-2

-15,95

179

Mauritius

927,94

4

8,54

180

Cambodia

924,52

-1

-0,88

181

Samoa

920,54

0

0

182

Dominica

912,93

-2

-9,32

183

Bhutan

904,10

2

0

184

Belize

901,35

-2

-18,17

185

Bangladesh

896,67

-1

-8,63

186

Macau

896,62

0

0

187

Cook Islands

896,59

0

0

188

American Samoa

890,97

1

0

189

Laos

889,62

1

0

190

Mongolia

884,92

1

0,88

191

Brunei Darussalam

881,73

3

9,08

192

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

877,54

-4

-16,04

193

Djibouti

875,13

-1

-2,15

194

Aruba

873,90

-1

-1,92

195

Cayman Islands

865,34

1

17,53

196

Timor-Leste

843,40

2

0

197

Pakistan

842,59

-2

-7,35

198

Gibraltar

836,14

5

3,64

199

Liechtenstein

835,83

3

3,08

200

Tonga

833,12

1

0

201

Seychelles

831,96

-4

-13,57

202

Somalia

829,81

-3

-12,83

203

Bahamas

823,62

-3

-12,19

204

Guam

821,91

1

0

205

Sri Lanka

820,32

-1

-9,09

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

817,03

0

0

207

British Virgin Islands

801,29

0

-12,02

208

US Virgin Islands

797,29

0

0

209

Anguilla

779,86

0

-13,62

210

San Marino

739,64

0

-2,41



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

6 comments:

  1. Portugal and Ukraine played 3 matches ( the Max. number of matches is two )
    but june window is not for UEFA

    If the coefficient is 5 for UEFA team ,
    What's the coefficient for France/Netherlands (UEFA team) vs Canada (CONCACAF team)? 5 or 10.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will see what I-factor will be used, but I expect that the 'June window is not for UEFA' shall have no effect on the ranking calculation. In the preview above the mentioned friendlies are calculated with I=10.
      And all friendlies for UEFA teams are included, even the three for Portugal and Ukraine.

      Delete
    2. i-factor, schmai-factor. All matches for Portugal and Ukraine just have an importance of 10, as do the matches for Netherlands and France against Canada.

      The only irregular thing (apart from the "normal" irregular things!!!) is that the calculations for the awarded matches involving Equatorial Guinea are not "logical" by calculating the ranking difference using the nations' points at the start of the ranking. While I calculate that Equatorial Guinea should lose -51.5245 points, FIFA calculates that they lose something like 50.3865 points. I calculate that Namibia should gain around 25.8764 points, but actually only gain 25.2184 points. And for Liberia I reckon it should be 25.6481, but it is more like 25.1681.

      And as expected the cut-off for matches is either 12 or 13 June, but with no matches on 13 June let's assume it is 12. So this ranking doesn't take into account any Euro 2024 matches. The only matches receiving 5 "I" (eye) points are the matches played on 12 June. And finally, indeed the first Thursday after the continental championship finals is the next FIFA ranking date, namely 18 July.

      Delete
  2. Indeed, all friendlies are calculated with I=10 as long as they are played in the June window.
    All three friendlies for Ukraine and Portugal, all played inside the June window, are included.
    In the June ranking the friendlies played on 12 June are included.

    FIFA excluded the following friendlies that I included in the preview above:
    2024-05-13 Trinidad and Tobago - Guyana 2:1 friendly in Trinidad and Tobago
    2024-05-15 Sudan - Tanzania 2:1 friendly in Saudi Arabia
    2024-05-15 Trinidad and Tobago - Guyana 2:0 friendly in Trinidad and Tobago
    2024-05-19 Sudan - Tanzania 1:1 friendly in Saudi Arabia
    2024-05-26 Grenada - St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0:3 friendly in Grenada
    2024-05-31 Bolivia - Mexico 0:1 friendly in USA
    2024-06-01 Lesotho - Namibia 1:1 friendly in South Africa
    2024-06-02 Indonesia - Tanzania 0:0 friendly in Indonesia
    2024-06-05 France - Luxembourg 3:0 friendly in France

    The forfeited WC qualifiers of Equatorial Guinea against Namibia (15/11/2023) and Liberia (20/11/2023) are corrected before the start of the June window. I've given up calculating the exact correction term because it doesn't match the correction FIFA uses in the ranking anyway. So I applied the following correction terms to match FIFA's ranking on two decimals for the concerned teams:
    EQG -50,39
    LBR +25,17
    NAM +25,22

    The postponed WC-qualifiers from this June window are indeed excluded from this ranking.

    Next ranking is published on Thursday July 18th.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Why did FIFA excluded so much matches? Especially France - Luxembourg? Could anyone explain me?

      Delete
    2. While for some matches we can make educated guesses, like:

      - France v Luxembourg (France used 7 substitutes)
      - Indonesia v Tanzania (Indonesia used 10 substitutes)
      - Bolivia v Mexico (Bolivia used 7, Mexico used 8 substitutes)
      - Trinidad & Tobago v Guyana (second match: T&T used 8, Guyana used 7 substitutes)
      - Trinidad & Tobago v Guyana (fist match: Guyana used 7 substitutes)

      for other matches:

      - Lesotho v Namibia
      - Grenada v St. Vincent & the Grenadines
      - Sudan v Tanzania (x2)

      they may have used local rather than neutral referees for example. As FIFA prefer to hide behind self-protecting secrecy rather than full openness, we'll never know.

      Delete