tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post4540874738959134100..comments2024-03-18T00:03:11.385+01:00Comments on Football rankings: FIFA ranking: September 2021 probable resultsEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66338975769287669922021-08-30T08:22:11.348+02:002021-08-30T08:22:11.348+02:00Thanks for the feedback. Indeed those two Algerian...Thanks for the feedback. Indeed those two Algerian friendlies are not included because they are mentioned in only one source, not both my sources for matches.<br />Btw, the friendly Algeria - Liberia (5:1, 17-6-2021 in Oran) was not included in the August ranking by FIFA.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-20936614371907045802021-08-29T22:52:40.341+02:002021-08-29T22:52:40.341+02:00Vous n'avez pris en compte les 2 matchs amicau...Vous n'avez pris en compte les 2 matchs amicaux de l'Algérie. <br />Algerie 2 Syrie 1<br />Algérie 3 Burundi 0.<br />Bien que c'est la 2ème équipe de l'Algérie, mais ses resultats comptes dans le classement fifa.<br />La preuve que la FIFA a comptabilisé la victoire de cette équipe sur le Liberia 5 à 0 .<br />Merci B.Benelhadj-Djelloulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07010209468763945472noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-9286144419728721252021-08-26T18:47:28.363+02:002021-08-26T18:47:28.363+02:00Yes, in the calculated win expectancy We the home ...Yes, in the calculated win expectancy We the home field advantage is incorporated. That's just standard elo.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-7211275022617238922021-08-26T16:45:19.679+02:002021-08-26T16:45:19.679+02:00Does your NT model account for home field advantag...Does your NT model account for home field advantage?CWY2190https://www.blogger.com/profile/07489877587725781507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-17840895464640740552021-08-26T16:27:44.702+02:002021-08-26T16:27:44.702+02:00Indeed, We = 42% gives in my NT-model the followin...Indeed, We = 42% gives in my NT-model the following probabilities for the home team Sweden: to win 33%, to draw 27% and to lose 39%.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-17971826012778671992021-08-26T15:22:15.928+02:002021-08-26T15:22:15.928+02:00It's the win expectancy (draws not included) b...It's the win expectancy (draws not included) based ranking point differential. Based on what model you use, a 42 We would work out to ~29% Sweden win, ~28% draw, and ~ 43% Spain winCWY2190https://www.blogger.com/profile/07489877587725781507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-81507574028700936182021-08-26T00:11:09.138+02:002021-08-26T00:11:09.138+02:0042% chance for Sweden to beat Spain in Stockholm? ...42% chance for Sweden to beat Spain in Stockholm? Is that right Ed? If so, I hope math is right! Hopefully Sweden can leave Spain 5 points behind after MD 3 and 4. The NL semifinalists (Spain included!) will play 3 non-friendly matches in seven days so I also hope that it might affect Spains quality and energy on MD 4 away in Kosovo. <br /><br />Go Sweden! And thanks Ed!kristofferpichahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04798754810345469914noreply@blogger.com